4-26-13

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Linebeaters

Friday NBA

Celtics -3

Warriors -1

Spurs -5

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Kyle Hunter 3* Braves
NYY Ov 9
Phillies
KC Rl

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Kevin
MLBPredictions w/writeup


2 UNIT = Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees - YANKEES TO WIN (-125)
Listed Pitchers: Laffey vs Nova
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.60 units)

The Yankees took the first game of this series last night 5-3 with 3 long balls, including Robinson Cano's 3 run shot that probably would of been a fly ball out at most stadiums. The Yankees are now 3-1 in these teams 4 meetings so far this season, and they are 12-9 on the season (6-4 at home). The Blue Jays are 9-14 on the season (4-6 on the road) and are 3-7 over their last 10 games. Being a Blue Jays fan it has been extremely hard to watch them this season, as they average just 3.7 runs per game and rarely ever score more than 4 runs in a game. They are 29th in the MLB in team batting average at .224 and 27th in OBP at just .291. The Yankees on the other hand are 7th and 13th respectively in those categories and are averaging 4.7 runs per game. Tonight's starter for Toronto is Aaron Laffey who pitched for them last year and will make the spot start for Josh Johnson. In 4 appearances this year he is 0-0 with a 7.20 ERA. Last season as a starter with the Jays he was 4-6 with a 4.81 ERA. Ivan Nova will start against the Blue Jays for the second time this season. Last time out he went 5 innings allowing 7 hits and 4 earned runs at the Rogers Centre, with two of those earned runs coming in the 6th inning. The Blue Jays are just 1-4 in Laffey's last 5 starts vs a team with a winning record, while the Yankees are 14-6 in Nova's last 20 starts as a home favorite. Toronto has had a tough time at Yankee Stadium going 7-20 in their last 27 meetings there. With the way the Blue Jays have really struggled at the plate it is always worth a look at betting against them right now and with this pitching match up in New York I think we've got value on the Yanks.

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Cincinnati at Washington (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Cincinnati +115 (moneyline)

Washington has not enjoyed the type of start they had hoped to achieve. Despite a breakout night at the plate last night, the bats produced a grand total of 4 runs in their previous four games. The Nats are just .500 through 22 games, and have scored 3 or fewer runs in more than half their games, having been shutout four times already. The Reds have fared extremely well in Bailey's last five starts as a road dog where they have been 5-0. Overall, they have been stellar after a loss by going 22-9 in their next game. The Nationals have struggled at home vs. winning teams where they are just 1-6 in their last seven. This is a good spot for the dog here, so play on Cincinnati.

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Stephen Nover | NBA Sides - Friday, Apr 26 2013 10:35PM
743 DEN 1.5(-115) Bodog vs 744 GSW double-dime bet

Analysis:
Denver actually is lucky to be tied with Golden State at 1-1 despite playing the first two games at Pepsi Center. It's hard to imagine the Nuggets playing a third straight poor game.
I expect Kenneth Faried to play better after he returned to the lineup in Game 2 and for the Nuggets to tighten up their defense now that they know the Warriors are going small after losing forward David Lee.
The Nuggets were humiliated at home by Golden State in Game 2. It may have been Denver's worst game of the season. The Nuggets will strongly be looking to atone.
Denver is 11-3 ATS the past 14 times it has met a foe with a winning record. Golden State is 5-11 ATS the last 16 times following a straight-up victory.
While Faried is back in Denver's lineup, the Warriors are banged-up. Lee is out, Stephen Curry has a tender ankle and Andrew Bogut remains fragile as ever.
The key to this matchup is controlling the boards. I see Denver doing that with Faried back in action and the ¸ Warriors minus Lee.

Stephen Nover | NBA Sides - Friday, Apr 26 2013 8:05PM
740 BOS -3.0(-110) 5Dimes vs 739 NYK double-dime bet

Analysis:
There's no secrets between these two long-time Eastern Conference rivals. The Knicks are the better team, but in this Game 3 matchup I want Boston.
I don't think the tax is excessive to get the Celtics either down 0-2 and finally getting to play at home.
The Celtics are a terrible road team. They are much different and better at home. No team had more of a home-court advantage during the regular season than Boston, which had 13 more wins at home than on the road.
The emotional aspect couldn't be higher for the Celtics and the people of Boston having gone through the traumatic bombing at the Boston Marathon and dealing with the aftermath. I see the Celtics drawing on that playing their most emotional and inspired game of the season.
The Celtics ha ¸ve covered 13 of their last 18 (72%) home contests.

Stephen Nover | MLB ML - Friday, Apr 26 2013 10:10PM
ML 963 SFG (-115) Hilton vs 964 SDP triple-dime bet

Analysis:
It's time to start trusting Tim Lincecum again. The two-time Cy Young Award winner is back on track and has dominated the Padres.
Lincecum has won five of his last six regular-season decisions and has beaten the Padres four straight times. Lincecum hasn't allowed an earned run in half of his four starts this season. He just faced the Padres this past Saturday and beat them, 2-0, striking out eight in 6 2/3 innings. Lincecum is 5-1 with a 2.58 ERA in his last eight starts versus San Diego.
The Padres have lost 15 of 21 games this season and aren't hitting. They have scored eight runs in their last six games batting under .200 during this span.
The Giants should have no problem scoring against Andrew Cashner, a one-time touted prospect who has been hampered by injuries and has not come close to fulfilling his potential. Cashner is 0-2 with a 4.40 ERA in seven career starts. There is some doubt if Cashner should even be a starter. The Giants just saw Cashner this past Saturday.
San Francisco has dominated this series winning 26 of the last 35 times.

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Fezzik Focus

Lakers UNDER

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Gamblers Data (Fletcher)

5* Angels-143

MLB Season

52-24

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powerplaywins

Nationals

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Al DeMarco

Run Line Dog of the Month

15 Dime Release

KC Royals -1.5

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The Philly Godfather

My Moves

• NBA Golden State 100: PK
• NBA Brooklyn Nets 300: +3

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Brandon Lang

50 dime Golden St +1.5
25 dime Knicks +2.5

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Feist
LA Angels
NY Islanders
Nuggets/GSW Under

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DannyB

Phillies/Mets over 7.5 runs

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Chip Chirimbes

Lakers

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Jimmy Boyd

5* (NBA) Knicks/Celtics OVER 183.5

4* (NBA) Boston Celtics -2.5

3* (NBA) Denver Nuggets +1
3* (MLB) Houston Astros ML +240
3* (MLB) Minnesota Twins ML +104
3* (MLB) Seattle Mariners ML +126