If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
Stephen Nover | NBA Total - Sunday, Apr 28 2013 1:00PM
509 NYK / 510 BOS OVER 181.5 Hilton double-dime bet
Analysis:
The first three games of this series went under the total. The oddsmaker has reacted accordingly lowering the total on each game.
The Celtics are averaging 75 points a game during the series while shooting less than 40 percent from the floor. Boston isn't that feeble of an offensive team and the Knicks aren't that dominant of a defensive team ranking 19th in defensive field goal percentage.
Boston entered the playoffs going above the total five straight times. The Celtics averaged 96.5 points during the season - 21 points more per game than they've averaged in this series - and ranked sixth in field goal percentage and free throw percentage.
The Knicks averaged 100 points in the regu ·lar season and were fourth in 3-point field goal percentage although marksman J.R. Smith is suspended.
I understand the playoffs are an entirely different animal and scoring usually goes way down. But I see a return to the norm here. It wouldn't take much either considering how low this total is.
Look for a lot of fouls and free throws as the Celtics are frustrated and furious at the Knicks for not only for blowing them out but for excessive showboating. This game could get real rough. Smith was suspended for a flagrant elbow to Jason Terry. If the Celtics fall hopelessly behind, it wouldn't shock me if they kept fouling throughout.
Comment