4-30-13

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Big al

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NHL Selections for Tuesday, Apr. 30

3* Wild/Blackhawks 'over' 5
3* Blues/Kings 'under' 5

Baseball Selections for Tuesday, Apr. 30

3* Orioles - 124 (Hammel/Maurer)
3* Red Sox -124 (Lester/Morrow)

NBA Selections for Tuesday, Apr. 30

5* Clippers -5.5
4* Nuggets -7.5

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Dominic Brando's Inner Circle RefPicks site

MLB Diamond Club Tuesday #1 Elite Side:
Atlanta Braves -110 over Washington (Listing Only Hudson)

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NBA

Tuesday, April 30

NBA playoff betting notes: Nuggets' Faried battling ankle injury

Nuggets forward Kenneth Faried is battling through a sprained left ankle and is probable Tuesday. Here is a look at some NBA playoff notes heading into Tuesday night's action.

Faried frustrated with ankle sprain

Denver Nuggets forward Kenneth Faried is probable to play Tuesday as he heals from a sprained left ankle.

Faried injured the ankle in Denver's April 14 game versus the Portland Trail Blazers.

He missed Game 1 due to the injury but played in the next three. Faried averages 28.1 minutes, nine points and seven rebounds per game. He came off the bench in Game 2, but has started Games 3 and 4.

"It's extremely frustrating," Faried told Christopher Dempsey of the Denver Post. "Especially when it's taking away my most powerful weapon — my legs. I've just got to fight through it and hopefully I'll be all right."

Faried's frustration spilled over following Denver's Game 4 115-101 loss versus the Warriors. Faried reportedly kicked a hole in the wall inside the visitors locker room at Oracle Arena in Oakland. He was unsure of which foot he used to kick the wall.

Dooling questionable

Memphis Grizzlies guard Keyon Dooling is reportedly progressing from a neck strain that held him out of Game 4 Saturday. He is questionable for Tuesday's Game 5 against the Los Angeles Clippers.

The veteran is averaging 10.7 minutes, 4.3 points and one assist per game in the postseason.

Rookie guard Tony Wroten played five minutes in Dooling's absence in Game 4.

Andris Biedrins questionable for Game 5

Golden State Warriors center Andris Biedrins is questionable for Game 5 Tuesday versus the Denver Nuggets.

Biedrins has yet to play in the series due to lower back tightness.

The 7-footer has only played 30 minutes since March 1 and averaged 0.5 points and 2.9 rebounds per game in the regular season.

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NHL

Tuesday, April 30

Will NHL playoffs' opening-round under trend continue?

Oddsmakers like to trim totals down to five as the standard number in the NHL playoffs. And with good reason.

In the opening round of the 2012 playoffs, there were 48 games played and 241 total goals scored - an average of 5.02 total goals per game. That led to an over/under record of 14-23-11 in the first round, paying out under bettors at more than 59 percent.

Only the infamous series between the Philadelphia Flyers and the Pittsburgh Penguins trended towards the over, going 4-2 over/under with the teams scoring 56 combined goals (9.3 goals per game).

Playoff jitters can sometimes lead to a decline in offensive rhythm early into first-round series. There were four teams in the 2012 playoffs that weren't in the previous postseason. Those teams - Florida Panthers, New Jersey Devils, Ottawa Senators, and St. Louis Blues - combined for a 6-10-10 over/under count.

This year, there are five teams which qualified for the playoffs that did not play in the postseason a year ago. The New York Islanders, Toronto Maple Leafs, Montreal Canadiens, Minnesota Wild and Anaheim Ducks are all good candidates to be "holding their sticks a little tighter" due to a lack of recent playoff experience.

Three games open the NHL playoffs Tuesday. The Wild are on the road to face the Chicago Blackhawks, the Blues will host the defending champion Los Angeles Kings, and the Ducks host the the Detroit Red Wings. Each games total is set at five goals.

Under bets cashed in at a 54.08 percent rate during the lockout-shortened schedule this year, including a 62.79 percent rate in the final seven days of the season with teams rounding into playoff form.

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Dr Bob

3* CLIPPERS

Denver

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Goodfella

Angels/A's over 8
Mem/LAC under 180
dodgers

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JACK JONES

MLB Baseball Premium Picks

MLB | Apr 30 '13 (7:05p) Houston Astros vs New York Yankees	New York Yankees -1½-129 at 5dimes
15* AL Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-129) After getting embarrassed by the Houston Astros in a 9-1 home loss in Game 1 of this series, I fully expect the New York Yankees to bounce back with a blowout victory in Game 2 tonight. Given the edge they have on the mound in this one, you'll be counting your chips by the end of the 5th inning folks. Houston's Philip Humber is simply atrocious, going 0-5 with a 7.98 ERA and 1.817 WHIP through five starts this season. New York's Hiroki Kuroda is one of the most underrated starters in the league, going 3-1 with a 2.79 ERA and 1.035 WHIP through five starts this season to pick up right where he left off last year. Kuroda is 3-0 with a 1.61 ERA and 0.985 WHIP In seven career starts against Houston. Houston is 10-41 (-20.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by 2.7 runs/game in this spot. Humber is 0-9 (-9.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. His teams are losing by a whopping 5.8 runs/game in this spot. Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Tuesday.

MLB | Apr 30 '13 (7:05p) Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers -1½-115 at 5dimes
15* AL Central PLAY OF THE DAY on Detroit Tigers -1.5 (-115) I'll side with the 2011 AL Cy Young and 2011 AL MVP winner, Justin Verlander, to hand the Minnesota Twins a multi-run loss tonight. Given how he has fared in his most recent starts against Minnesota, it's easy to see why I'm backing the Tigers on the Run Line tonight. Verlander is 7-0 with a 1.22 ERA in his last seven starts against the Twins dating back to 2010. Detroit has won ALL SEVEN of those games by 2 or more runs. Enough said. Take the Tigers on the Run Line Tuesday.

MLB | Apr 30 '13 (7:05p) Philadelphia Phillies vs Cleveland Indians	Philadelphia Phillies -108 at 5dimes
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Philadelphia Phillies -108 Rarely will you get the opportunity to get Roy Halladay at this kind of price against a team like the lowly Cleveland Indians. I'll gladly take advantage and back the former Cy Young winner, who has been returning to form. Halladay got off to a slow start this season, which is why he is currently undervalued. However, he has returned to his old self of late, going 2-0 with a 1.71 ERA and 0.619 WHIP in his last three starts. He has allowed just 4 earned runs and 13 base runners over 21 innings in those three outings. The Phillies are 54-26 in Halladay's last 80 starts. Philadelphia is 24-8 in Halladay's last 32 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Indians are 20-47 in their last 67 games as an underdog. Cleveland is 3-10 in Zach McAllister's last 13 starts overall. Bet the Phillies Tuesday.

MLB | Apr 30 '13 (7:10p) Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves	Washington Nationals +105 at SIA
15* NL East PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington Nationals +105 The Washington Nationals should not be an underdog to the Atlanta Braves tonight. They will be highly motivated to put an end to an 8-game losing streak to Atlanta which extends back to last season. Considering the Nationals have the edge on the mound in this one, I like their chances of ending the skid. Gio Gonzalez is by far the superior starter in this one over Tim Hudson even though their numbers are comparable in the early going this season. Gonzalez is 22-7 (+13.2 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. His teams are winning 5.6 to 3.6 on average in this spot. Gonzalez is 16-4 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. His teams are winning 5.5 to 3.2 in this spot. Take the Nationals Tuesday.

MLB | Apr 30 '13 (8:05p) San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs	Total 10 un+100 at 5dimes
15* NL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Padres/Cubs UNDER 10 The San Diego Padres and Chicago Cubs will play part in a pitcher's duel tonight. The books have set this number way too high as two underrated starters go up against two of the worst line-ups in baseball. While neither starter has been dominant in the early going, both have been excellent against tonight's opposition. Edinson Volquez has posted a 2.21 ERA in six career starts against Chicago. Edwin Jackson sports a 3.99 ERA in six career starts against San Diego. The Padres are hitting .243 and scoring 3.5 runs/game this season, including .233 and 3.2 runs/game on the road. The Cubs are hitting .232 and scoring 3.4 runs/game on the year. The UNDER is 4-0 in Padres last 4 road games. The UNDER is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 during game 2 of a series. The UNDER is 6-1-1 in Padres last 8 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. The UNDER is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 overall. These four trends combine for a 21-2 system backing the UNDER. Roll with the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

MLB | Apr 30 '13 (8:05p) Chicago White Sox vs Texas Rangers	Chicago White Sox +185 at SIA
15* AL Non-Divisional KNOCKOUT on Chicago White Sox +185 The Chicago White Sox are showing tremendous value as nearly a 2-to-1 underdog to the Texas Rangers tonight. Yu Darvish is getting too much respect from oddsmakers due to his fast start this season. Well, the underrated Jose Quintana has been nearly as good. Chicago's best-kept secret is 2-0 with a 2.78 ERA and 1.059 WHIP through four starts this season, including 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.585 WHIP in two road starts. Quintana faced the Rangers once last season, giving up just one earned run over 8 innings while striking out eight in a 2-1 victory. Yu Darvish faced Chicago once last year, giving up 6 runs and 11 base runners over 6 1/3 innings of a 5-9 home loss to the White Sox. The White Sox are 10-3 in their last 13 games following an off day. Chicago is 15-7 in its last 22 vs. AL West opponents. The White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings with Texas. Roll with Chicago Tuesday.

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NBA Basketball Premium Picks

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NBA | Apr 30 '13 (10:35p) MEMPHIS GM5 vs LA CLIPPERS GM5

LA CLIPPERS GM5 -5-110 at SIA

20* Grizzlies/Clippers TNT Tuesday No-Brainer on Los Angeles -5 The home team has won each of the first four meetings in this series with three of them being blowouts. After Memphis took care of business in Games 3 and 4 at home, I look for Los Angeles to return the favor at home in Game 5 with a blowout victory. Chris Paul, one of the most underrated leaders in the game, will rally his troops and have everyone hitting on all cylinders tonight. Paul hasn't been getting much help since Game 1, but playing at home tonight, I look for the role players to feel a lot more comfortable, which will allow them to contribute a lot more. Los Angeles is 39-23 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Better yet, the Clippers are 18-6 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Clippers Tuesday.

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Powerplaywins on the Clippers

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Joe Williams

Mem@Clipper OVER
Golden State

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Scott Ferrall AGAINST THE SPREAD

Golden State
DENVER -7 ½

MEMPHIS +5 ½
Clippers

POINTS TOTALS

Golden State / Denver OVER 211 ½
Memphis / Clippers UNDER 180

MONEY LINES

Golden State
DENVER -425

Memphis
CLIPPERS -250

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High roller sports pick. 20* yanks run line -140

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GOODFELLA

All 2 dime plays
Dodgers
Oakland Over
Clippers Under

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SuperSPortsGroup MLB

Washington v. Atlanta 7:10pm
PICK: OVER 7 Game -120

Chicago v. Texas 8:05pm
PICK: UNDER 7.5 Game +100

San Fran v. Arizona 9:40pm
PICK: UNDER 8 Game +100 (8)
PICK: Arizona ML +105 Game

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SB Professor MLB 4/30

Miami Marlins +106
Arizona Diamondbacks +102
Oakland Athletics -104

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Sports Pickin' - April 30

NBA:
Memphis/LA Over 179.5 Points

MLB:
Philadelphia ML

NHL:
LA/St. Louis Under 5 Goals
Minny/Chicago Under 5 Goals
Detroit/Anahiem Under 5 Goals