5-10-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

5* (MLB) Chicago White Sox ML -125

4* (MLB) Chicago Cubs ML +130

3* (MLB) Atlanta Braves ML +106
3* (NBA) Warriors/Spurs UNDER 203

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Yankees

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BEN BURNS 10* MAIN EVENT

San Antonio

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NHL

Friday, May 10

Friday's NHL West playoff action: What bettors need to know

Anaheim Ducks at Detroit Red Wings (-123, 5)

Anaheim leads series 3-2.

The seventh-seeded Detroit Red Wings attempt to stave off elimination Friday, when they host Game 6 of their Western Conference first-round series with the Pacific Division champion Anaheim Ducks. Detroit extended its streak of consecutive playoff appearances to 22 campaigns on the last day of the lockout-shortened regular season and was even in the series after four games thanks to a pair of overtime victories. But the Red Wings were unable to accomplish the feat a third time on Wednesday, losing 3-2 in the extra session in Anaheim to fall within one loss of being knocked out in the first round for the second straight year.

Nick Bonino was the hero for the Ducks in Game 5 as he scored his second game-winning goal of the series just 1:54 into overtime. Bonino, who is tied with captain Ryan Getzlaf for the team lead in tallies with three, also netted the winner in Game 3. Second-seeded Anaheim is one victory away from advancing to the second round for the first time since 2009. Should they move on, the Ducks will face the winner of the first-round matchup between the fourth-seeded St. Louis Blues and fifth-seeded Los Angeles Kings.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, CNBC, TSN2, RDSI, KDOC (Anaheim), FSN (Detroit)

ABOUT THE DUCKS: Jonas Hiller posted his 10th career postseason victory Wednesday, giving him sole possession of second place on the franchise list. He had been tied for the spot with Ilya Bryzgalov. Jean-Sebastien Giguere is Anaheim's all-time leader with 33 playoff wins. Coach Bruce Boudreau believes Corey Perry will contribute offensively once he learns to relax. Perry has recorded just one assist over the first five games of the series. "It's one of those things with scorers - if he gets one, I don't think he'll stop," Boudreau said. "He's probably gripping his stick too tight."

ABOUT THE RED WINGS: Justin Abdelkader will return to the lineup Friday after serving his two-game suspension for an illegal hit on Anaheim defenseman Toni Lydman in Game 3. The left wing registered one goal in the first three games of the series. Despite playing in the third period on Wednesday, Dan Cleary will be evaluated Friday morning before coach Mike Babcock determines whether or not the right wing will play in Game 6. Cleary was helped off the ice Wednesday after being boarded by Anaheim's Daniel Winnik late in the second period. "My whole left side was sore - shoulder, hand, ribs, neck, head," Cleary said after Game 5. "I didn't see him coming at all."

TRENDS:

* Under is 3-1-2 in the last six meetings.
* Under is 20-8-3 in the last 31 meetings in Detroit.
* Home team is 38-16-1 in the last 55 meetings.
* Ducks are 9-32-1 in the last 42 meetings in Detroit.

OVERTIME:

1. Bonino is two goals away from matching his total in 27 regular-season games.

2. Detroit has been outscored 9-3 in the third period.

3. Ds Lydman and Luca Sbisa are the only members of the Ducks who have appeared in a game but have not recorded a point in the series.



St. Louis Blues at Los Angeles Kings (-149, 4.5)

Los Angeles leads series 3-2.

The Los Angeles Kings can move one step closer to repeating as Stanley Cup champions with a home victory over the fourth-seeded St. Louis Blues in Game 6 of their Western Conference first-round series on Friday. Fifth-seeded Los Angeles dropped the first two games in St. Louis by identical 2-1 scores but evened the series with a pair of triumphs at Staples Center. The Kings claimed Game 5 after defenseman Slava Voynov scored during a 3-on-1 rush eight minutes into overtime on Wednesday.

It was the second game-winning goal of the series for Voynov, who also netted the lone tally in Game 3. Jeff Carter scored twice in Game 5 as Los Angeles became the first road team to post a victory in the series. St. Louis got the game to overtime with 44.1 seconds remaining in the third period as defenseman Alex Pietrangelo fired the puck past screened goaltender Jonathan Quick. It marked the third time in the series a tying or winning goal was scored in the final minute of regulation. Los Angeles' Justin Williams tallied with 32 seconds left to forge a tie in Game 1 and Blues defenseman Barret Jackman scored with 51 seconds to go two days later to snap a 1-1 deadlock.

TV: 10 p.m. ET, NBCSN, CBC, RDS, FSN Midwest (St. Louis), Prime Ticket (Los Angeles)

ABOUT THE BLUES: St. Louis entered having won all 10 playoff series in which it held a 2-0 lead. But recent history is not on the Blues' side as the club has lost seven consecutive elimination games and is 0-6-1 in its last seven visits to Staples Center. Despite those dubious streaks, the Blues have not given up hope. "We're still positive," Jackman said. "We still feel like we have a very good team that can easily skate with L.A. We have to continue to wear them down."

ABOUT THE KINGS: Los Angeles has every reason to feel confident heading into Game 6. After scoring just once in each of the first three games, the Kings have totaled seven goals in the last two contests. Coach Darryl Sutter, however, knows his team cannot afford to be overconfident. "You've got to win four games," he said. "That's what it's about. ... It's not easy just because you have a lead in the series and you're supposed to close it out. Who says you're supposed to close it out? It's not that easy."

TRENDS:

* Home team is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Under is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings.
* Blues are 3-13 in the last 16 meetings.
* Blues are 0-7 in the last seven meetings in Los Angeles.

OVERTIME:

1. All five games of the series have been decided by one goal.

2. Los Angeles enters with a nine-game home winning streak. It has not fallen at Staples Center since suffering back-to-back shutout losses to Dallas and Vancouver on March 21 and 23.

3. St. Louis has won Game 6 only seven times in 18 attempts when down 3-2 in a playoff series.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Friday, May 10

Hot pitchers
-- Samardzija is 0-1, 3.18 in his last three starts.
-- Cingrani is 2-0, 2.63 in four starts this season. Gallardo is 3-0, 3.51 in his last four starts.
-- Miller is 4-2, 2.50 in six starts this season.
-- Fernandez is 1-0, 1.64 in his last two starts.
-- Hudson is 2-0, 2.51 in his last couple starts.

-- Volquez is 3-0, 2.33 in his last three starts. Cobb is 3-0, 3.21 in last four.

-- Detroit won last four Scherzer starts (2-0, 2.35 in last two).
-- Orioles won last five Hammel starts (4-0, 4.66) scoring 37 runs.
-- Hughes is 2-0, 1.93 in his last four starts.
-- Axelrod is 0-1, 2.75 in his last three starts. Hanson is 1-0, 2.65 in his last three starts.
-- Ogando is 1-1, 3.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Iwakuma is 5-1, 2.01 in seven starts this season.

Cold pitchers
-- Detwiler is 0-3, 5.06 in his last three starts.
-- Rodriguez is 0-3, 7.80 in his last three starts. Marcum is 0-1, 6.48 in two starts for the Mets.
-- Garland is 1-2, 6.60 in his last three starts.
-- Kennedy is 0-1, 6.39 in his last two starts. Cloyd was 2-2, 4.91 in six starts for Phillies LY; this is his first '13 start.
-- Magill is 0-0, 7.88 in two starts for the Dodgers.
-- Cain is 1-1, 5.68 in his last four starts.

-- Kluber is 1-1, 3.55 in two starts this season.
-- Lester has a 6.11 RA in his last three starts. 39-year old Ortiz has started 214 big league games, but only four since '07, two in '10, two in '11.
-- Pelfrey is 1-2, 5.63 in his last three starts.
-- Davis is 2-2, 6.00 in six starts, three great starts, three hideous ones.
-- Keuchel was 3-8, 5.27 in 27 starts LY; this is his first '13 start. He is 0-1, 4.96 in 16 IP in relief this season.
-- Straily has a 5.93 RA in three starts, but A's won all three, scoring 23 runs.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Samardzija 3-7 (3 of last 4); Detwiler 2-6 (2 of last 2)
-- Rodriguez 2-6; Marcum 0-2
-- Gallardo 2-7; Cingrani 1-4
-- Garland 3-6; Miller 1-6
-- Cloyd 0-0; Kennedy 3-7 (2 of last 2)
-- Fernandez 1-6; Magill 1-2
-- Hudson 1-7; Cain 2-7

-- Kluber 0-2; Scherzer 1-6
-- Ortiz 0-0; Lester 1-7
-- Hammel 2-7; Pelfrey 3-6
-- Hughes 3-6; Davis 2-6
-- Hanson 2-5; Axelrod 2-6
-- Ogando 1-7; Keuchel 0-0
-- Straily 1-3; Iwakuma 2-7

-- Volquez 3-7 (0 of last 3); Cobb 1-6.

Totals
-- Five of last six Cub games went over the total.
-- Nine of last thirteen Pittsburgh games went over the total.
-- Last six Cincinnati games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Colorado games went over the total.
-- 11 of last 15 Philly road games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of last 13 games at Dodger Stadium went over.
-- 11 of last 14 Atlanta games went over the total.

-- Last eleven Tampa Bay games went over the total.

-- Under is 5-0 in Cleveland's road series openers.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in the last ten games at Fenway Park.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in Baltimore's last nine road games.
-- Five of last six Kansas City games stayed under total.
-- Seven of Angels' last ten games went over the total.
-- Over is 11-4-1 in Houston's last sixteen home games.
-- 14 of 19 Oakland road games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Nationals won six of their last seven games.
-- Mets won four of their last six games.
-- Reds are 9-4 in their last thirteen home games.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last eight games.
-- Arizona won five of its last six games.
-- Atlanta won four of its last five games.

-- San Diego won six of its last seven games overall. Rays won nine of their last 13 home games.

-- Indians won ten of their last eleven games. Detroit won nine of its last twelve games, but lost last two.
-- Twins won their last three games, scoring 26 runs. Baltimore is 7-4 in its last eleven road games.
-- Royals won four of their last five home games. Bronx won eight of its last twelve road games.
-- Mariners won five of their last seven home games.

Cold teams
-- Cubs lost five of their last seven games.
-- Pirates lost four of their last five games.
-- Brewers lost six of their last seven games.
-- Rockies lost seven of their last eleven games.
-- Phillies lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Miami is 5-14 on the road. Dodgers lost their last six games.
-- Giants lost three of their last four games.

-- Blue Jays lost nine of their last twelve road games. Red Sox lost last three games, allowing 26 runs.
-- Oakland lost ten of its last thirteen road games.
-- Angels lost nine of their last twelve games. White Sox are 3-5 in their last eight home games.
-- Houston lost seven of its last nine games. Rangers lost four of their last five away games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Friday, May 10

Chicago-Miami split six games this season; Heat shot 50.7/51.4/60.0% in three games they won, 46.2/48.1/39.7% in three losses. Miami won 13 of its last 14 games overall; they're 5-1 in playoffs, with no wins by less than 11 points. Team that led at halftime won all five series games so far this season (one game was tied). Under is 4-1-1 in Heat's last six away games. Chicago has been mentally tough in playoffs, but reality is their 3rd string PG starts now. Hard to beat Miami that way.

Steph Curry played 101:00 of a possible 106:00 in first two games of a series where Spurs have led for only 11:00; not sure why teams that had to play Wednesday are playing here too, while Tuesday's teams are off until Saturday- TV's call? Warriors are now 11-0 vs spread in last eleven games overall; over is 4-4 in their playoff games. Spurs are now 5-1 in playoffs, with four wins by double digits; home side is 5-1 in series tilts this year, with Spurs losing by 6ot/10 in their two visits here. Golden State was 11-23 from arc last game; Thompson was amazing 8-9.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Friday, May 10

Home side won all four Cap-Ranger playoff games, with home team scoring a power play goal in each game, while visitors are 0-12 in series with man advantage. Capitals won 13 of last 17 games, nine of last ten at home. Rangers won nine of their last 13 games but are 4-8 in last dozen road games- they've lost eight of last 11 games in this building. New York scored 4+ goals in its last seven wins, 1-2-2-0 in its last four losses. Under is 10-2-5 last 17 series games- all five pushes ended 3-2. Rangers beat Washington in seven games LY, with last six games all decided by a single goal.

Bruins outscored Toronto 9-2 in second period in this series, which saw last three games go over total; now Maple Leafs have to win here, where they've won once in last seven visits. Over is 12-3-2 in last 17 series games. Boston is just 3-5 in last eight home games. Toronto threw 95 shots on goal in two home games, after having only 52 in first two games- they have had total of only 27 penalty minutes in last three games, after having 39 in game 1, but Bruins still went 2-5 on power play in Game 4, and are 3-14 in series with man advantage.

Three of five Detroit-Anaheim games went OT; Ducks outscored Detroit 9-3 in the third period in series, but Red Wings' wins are both in OT. Under is 7-3-2 in last twelve Detroit games. Red Wings were 1-10 on power play last three games, after being 4-10 in first two games in Anaheim. Ducks lost nine of last 11 visits to Motor City, but did shut Wings out 4-0 in Game 3 here. Anaheim won four of last five road games, allowing a total of only five goals in those games. Red Wings won four of their last five home games.

Home team won four of first five LA-St Louis games, but Kings are 12-5 in last 17 games vs St Louis, having swept St Louis 4-0 in playoffs LY, and winning last three games this series, Blues lost six of last seven visits here, LA is 2-14 on power play in series, Blues are 2-16. St Louis is 14-6 in last 20 games overall, allowing seven goals in last two games, after giving up one in each of previous five, only second/third times in their last 13 games Blues allowed more than two goals. Under is 9-3-1 in Blues' last 13 games overall, 6-3-1 in last ten series games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin
MLBPredictions w/writeup

2 UNIT = Oakland Athletics @ Seattle Mariners - UNDER 6.5 RUNS (+100)
Listed Pitchers: Straily vs Iwakuma
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)

Oakland enter's this series 18-18 on the year and 9-10 on the road. They've lost 4 straight and 5 of their last 6 games while scoring just 8 runs over their lat 4 games. Seattle is 16-19 on the year and 9-8 at home and they are entering this series after splitting two games with Pittsburgh and then a day off yesterday. The Mariners are 27th overall in runs scored this year with 120 in 35 games (just 3.43 runs per game). While the Athletics lead the majors with 179 runs scored they are off to a slow start in May hitting just .218 as a team (26th). The Mariners are dead last in the MLB with a .199 team batting average so far in May. The A's will send Dan Straily to the mound for his 4th start of the year. He is 1-0 with a 5.94 ERA, .250 OBA and 1.20 WHIP. He has had some tough luck and given his OBA, WHIP and strikeout to walk ratio of 21:4 he hasn't been pitching too poorly. Last year over 7 starts with Oakland he was 2-1 witha 3.89 ERA. Seattle has Hisashi Iwakuma on the mound who is 3-1 on the year with a 1.61 ERA, .168 OBA and 0.76 WHIP. He has given up 1 or fewer earned runs against in 5 of his 7 starts (the other two were 2 and 3 earned runs against). In three home starts he is 1-0 with a 0.48 ERA, .143 OBA and 0.59 WHIP. The UNDER is 7-3-2 in the Mariners last 12 games as a home favorite, 3-0-1 in Iwakuma's last 4 home starts, and 5-1 in his last 6 starts overall. The UNDER is also 8-3-1 in these two teams last 12 meetings in Seattle. I like this starting pitching match up and these two teams aren't hitting the ball right now. Even with a lower total I like the value on the UNDER as this should be a low scoring ball game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin

NY Yankees w/ Phil Hughes

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Brian Edwards

Friday NBA

GSW M/L
GSW - 2 ( he got 1.5 Wednesday)

Memphis Likes them to win the series too

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Chris jordan

600* nats rl

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Johnny Detroit

GOW...Orioles -1.5 +135

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Craig Davis 50 Dime

San Antonio/Warriors OVER

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Powerplaywins have won 7 straight

POD Nats

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The Philly Godfather

My Moves

NHL [57] STL BLUES +130 100: +130
NBA [718] TOTAL u187.5 -110 (MIA HEAT vrs CHI BULLS) 100: U187.5