5-21-13

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Wunderdog Sports Sports Free Pick

Game: Tampa Bay at Toronto (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Toronto +130 (moneyline)

It has become apparent that the Tampa Bay Rays aren't the same pitching-heavy team they were a year ago. David Price has struggled, Shields is in Kansas City, and Fernando Rodney who was lights-out closing games a year ago, is not even close to what he did a year ago. Factor in Moore who is 8-0, and the Rays are otherwise a bad team. Alex Cobb has dominated at home, but has been very shaky on the road. Ramon Ortiz has given the Blue Jays' rotation a lift at 1-1 with a 2.35 ERA. The Jays have played well in expected higher than normal scoring games, taking their last five with a total of 9 to 10.5. The Rays are just 2-8 behind Cobb after scoring 5+ in their previous game. Go with Toronto.

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Matt Fargo 10* NBA Enforcer

Memphis

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The Philly Godfather


NBA [1505] 1H MEM GRIZZLIES +150 100: +150
MLB [904] NY METS +101 100: +101

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Doc's Sports

4-unit Play Take #915 Tampa Bay Rays (-140) over Toronto Blue Jays (7:05pm ET) One of the more underrated pitchers in the American League takes the mound today in Toronto and it's not Ramon Ortiz. At 25-years old, Alex Cobb is making a name for himself. He put together a solid season and a half coming into 2013, and this year he's raised his game several levels. He's 4-2 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.17 WHIP and is every bit as good as those numbers indicate. He's striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings and has only given up 12 free passes in 53 innings of work. He's also a groundball machine and has a good plan against every batter he faces. He'll go up against a talented but underachieving Blue Jays lineup today. The Jays are just 11th in the AL in runs scored and have scored just four runs more than the Houston Astros. Ortiz will be tasked with slowing down a hot hitting Tampa Bay Rays team today. The Rays have averaged 6.2 runs per game in their last 21 games after a slow start to the season. Ortiz is 40-years old in two days and hasn't pitched more than 35 major league innings in a season since 2007. His career ERA is 4.90 and he surely isn't in his prime at this point. This one could get really ugly, as the Rays should cruise to a victory.

2-unit Play Take #917 New York Yankees (+105) over Baltimore Orioles (7:05pm ET) Phil Hughes has given up 13 runs in his last two starts and has a ridiculous 18.47 ERA in those outings. In the four starts previous, he had a 1.93 ERA and a 30-5 strikeout-to-walk ratio. But that's who Hughes is - an inconsistent pitcher who has more than his share of ups and downs. But one thing can definitely be said for Hughes is that he shouldn't be allowed to pitch in Yankee Stadium. He's a right-handed fly ball pitcher, and that's not good in a stadium with a short porch in right field. Today we get him on the road, where he's been more comfortable his entire career. The Baltimore Orioles are sliding a bit lately, losing six straight games. I didn't think this team was as strong as advertised last season, and expected significant regression in 2013. After a hot start, I think we're starting to see it. The ageless Freddy Garcia will get the ball for the O's today, and that's not a good sign. Sweaty Freddy has a 5.51 ERA and is only striking out 3.3 batters per nine innings. He's just a stopgap filling in for injuries right now, so Baltimore would be happy to just get five innings from him each start. The Yankees offense has been surprising this season given all of their injury problems. Now they're starting to get guys back, and that's scary for the rest of the league as the Yankees are in first place at the moment. If this game should happen to come down to bullpens, the Yanks have an advantage there with Robertson and Rivera in the 8th and 9th. I like the Yanks to continue their hot start and get the win today.

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Goodfellas

3* Angels

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Blasscyk WINSBW Play: 919 Detroit Tigers OVER 8.5 (-117) *5 UNITS* (5 Dimes)
BW Play: 928 L.A. Angels -1.5 (+130) *3 UNITS (Bookmaker)
BW Play: 905 Philadelphia Phillies ml (-102) *4 UNITS* (MatchBook)
BW Play: 903 Cincinnati Reds ml (-115) *4 UNITS* (5 Dimes)

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GoodFella Free Tuesday MLB Team Total (14-5 L/19)

Tuesday Night MLB Team Total
BALTIMORE ORIOLES OVER 4.5 RUNS (@sporsbook.ag)
A solid weather pattern for us here tonight at Camden Yards & with the temps being in the high 80's and with said humidity due to the temps in high 80's we are really seeing the ball carry at Camden & we also have the wind blowing out slightly to LCF as well tonight. NYY starter Phil Hughes is a BIG TIME FLY BALL pitcher and he has been smacked around his last couple starts. He has also been roughed up in his L/5 starts vs these Orioles (4 starts last season and 1 this season). He only went 3 innings and gave up 9 hits and 5 ER and 3 HR's, 2BB and xero K's, in his 1 start vs Baltimore this season. Needless to say that several O's have great numbers vs Hughes and that coupled with the weather pattern we have going on tonight with an extreme fly ball pitcher, we really should get this one tonight, IMO.

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Joe Duffy’s GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com. Today, they have a winner on the San Francisco Giants.

SAN FRANCISCO (CAIN -115) Washington (Strasburg)

Washington has lost 6-of-8 with Stephen Strasburg -6.5 units. His road ERA is an unimpressive 4.18.

Matt Cain has a stunning 18-0 team mark if he won his last start and threw at least 100 pitches. San Francisco has won three straight with Matt Cain.

Cain's WHIP suggests he has pitched much better than his ERA suggests and that is why he has regressed to the mean with his winning streak. His WHIP is 1.207 overall and 1.120 at home.

The Nats are 3-7 the last 10. The Giants are 15-5 their last 20 at home. In 12 starts to the Nats, Matt Cain has an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.129. He has been dominant at home against the Nationals, going 3-1 with a 1.66 ERA and two complete games in five career starts.

The last seven games the Nats are hitting .200 with an embarrassing .259 OBP. Compare that to the Giants .312 and .356.

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The Philly Godfather

My Moves

• 100 MU [11919] 1H DET TIGERS M SCHERZER -R -130 (1H DET TIGERS M SCHERZER -R vrs 1H CLE INDIANS C KLUBER -R): -130
• NBA [1505] 1H MEM GRIZZLIES +150 100: +150
• MLB [904] NY METS +101 100: +101
• MLB [918] BAL ORIOLES -113 100: -113

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Ats hockey lock club
4 units rangers/bruins under 5

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Vincent Rizzo Sports

Dodgers -128 (1.28u)

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"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee had Np on Monday.

For Tuesday "Mr Chalk" likes the "Chalkest" game on the board the Rangers -$200/A's.

"Mr Chalk" is 27-15 + $250 for the 2013 Regular Season.


Ben lee had Np on Monday and has Np for Tuesday..

Ben lee is 13-9 +$300 for the NBA Conference Playoffs.


Ben lee won on Monday with the Red Wings +$115/Blackhawks.

For Tuesday Ben lee likes the Rangers -$140/Bruins.

Ben lee is 1-0 +115 for the week and 8-2 +$470 for the NHL Playoffs.

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Bob Balfe

Grizzlies/Spurs Under 182

Royals -130

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CHRIS JORDAN

400 Braves RL +115

100 Padres +130

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Allen Eastman

3-Unit Play. Take #902 Pittsburgh (-140) over Chicago Cubs (7 p.m.)

I am going with the home Pirates in this game. Matt Garza is coming back from injury and is making his first start of the year. I think it is going to take some time for him to get into a groove. Wandy Rodriguez has been really good for the Pirates. He is 6-2 on the year and has an ERA of just 2.37 in his last three starts. The Cubs have struggled against left-handed pitching and that gives us a big edge here. The Pirates have revenge here because they lost their first series of the year at home to these Cubs. Chicago is just 19-40 against a team with a winning record and just 16-36 against a left-handed pitcher. Go with the home team.

2-Unit Play. Take #907 L.A. Dodgers (-130) over Milwaukee (8 p.m.)

I won my wager with the Dodgers last night behind Clayton Kershaw. Now I think that Zach Greinke can get the job done against his old team. The Brewers are just 5-16 in their last 21 games and they are just 8-20 as an underdog. This team is really struggling right now. The Dodgers are not a reliable team to wager on. But they are 5-0 as a favorite and they have gone 5-2 as a road favorite so the books are pricing them well. I think the visitors have a big pitching mismatch in their favor and should get Game 2 of this series.