5-22-13

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Wednesday

Yankees -125

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Hondo

YANKEES
TIGERS

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Joe Wiz

Free Play Wednesday K.C./Houston Over 7 1/2

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Hockey Crusher
Ottawa Senators +129 over Pittsburgh
(System Record: 68-3, won last game)
Overall Record: 68-45-4

Baseball Crusher
Chicago White Sox -115 over Red Sox
(System Record: 23-4, won last 4 games)
Overall Record: 23-29-1

Soccer Crusher
Godoy Cruz + Olimpo Bahia Blanca UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 400-15, lost last game)
Overall Record: 400-348-49

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Reds won Latos' last three road starts (2-0, 2.33). Harvey is 1-1, 1.57 in his last four outings.
-- Ryu is 2-1, 2.93 in his last five starts.
-- Cahill is 3-1, 1.64 in his last five starts. de la Rosa is 3-0, 2.50 in last three.
-- GGonzalez is 1-0, 2.29 in his last three starts.
-- Liriano is 2-0, 1.59 in two starts this season.
-- Lee is 2-0, 1.64 in his last three starts.

-- Parker is 1-0, 2.70 in his last couple starts.
-- Kuroda is 3-1, 1.21 in his last four starts.
-- Jimenez is 3-0, 1.90 in his last four starts.
-- Shields is 1-2, 2.20 in his last six starts.
-- Buchholz is 6-0, 1.78 in nine starts this season.

Cold pitchers
-- Peralta is 1-3, 8.44 in his last four starts.
-- Bumgarner is 1-2, 7.64 in his last three starts.
-- Samardzija is 1-5, 4.81 in his last six starts.
-- Slowey is 0-2, 12.91 in his last couple starts.
-- Lefty Lyons is 2-1, 4.47 in eight AAA starts (56 hits allowed in 46.1 IP). BSmith is 0-1, 15.64 in two starts this season.

-- Worley is 1-2, 5.88 in his last five starts. Maholm is 2-4, 6.68 in his last six .

-- Wolf was 1-1, 1.85 in six AAA starts (27 hits allowed in 34 IP).
-- Buehrle is 0-3, 6.68 in his last five starts. Hellickson has a 7.72 RA in his last five starts.
-- Hammel is 1-1, 10.43 in his last three starts.
-- Verlander is 0-2, 14.09 in his last couple starts.
-- Wilson is 0-3, 5.40 in his last three starts. Maurer is 0-2, 6.00 in his last three outings.
-- Lyles is 1-1, 7.11 in four starts this season.
-- Santiago is 0-1, 8.68 in his last couple starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Latos 3-9; Harvey 2-9
-- Ryu 3-9; Peralta 1-9
-- Cahill 2-9; de la Rosa 3-9
-- GGonzalez 4-9; Bumgarner 0-9
-- Samardzija 3-9; Liriano 1-2
-- Lee 0-9; Slowey 3-9
-- Lyons 0-0; Smith 0-2

-- Worley 7-9; Maholm 1-9

-- Parker 2-9; Wolf 0-0
-- Hellickson 6-9; Buehrle 4-9 (1 of last 6)
-- Kuroda 4-9; Hammel 4-9 (3 of last 3)
-- Verlander 2-9 (2 of last 2); Jimenez 2-8
-- Maurer 3-8; Wilson 3-9
-- Shields 3-9; Lyles 3-4
-- Buchholz 1-9; Santiago 0-4

Totals
-- Eight of last eleven Cub games went over the total.
-- Eight of last twelve Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Cincinnati games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Milwaukee games.
-- Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Arizona games.
-- Five of last seven San Diego games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-2-1 in last twelve San Francisco games.

-- Under is 4-2-1 in last seven Atlanta games.

-- Over is 19-4 in last twenty-three Tampa Bay games.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Bronx games.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Cleveland games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Oakland games.
-- Ten of last thirteen Houston home games went over total.
-- Eight of last twelve Boston road games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Angel games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Pirates won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Reds won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Phillies won six of their last nine games.
-- Colorado won four of its last five games. Diamondbacks won five of their last seven games.
-- Cardinals won nine of their last thirteen games. San Diego won three of its last four games.
-- Giants won last five home games, allowing six runs.

-- Braves won their last six home games, scoring 35 runs.

-- Cleveland won 12 of its last 16 games.
-- Tampa Bay won ten of its last thirteen games.
-- Bronx won ten of its last fourteen games.
-- Oakland won its last five games, allowing seven runs. Rangers won nine of their last thirteen games.
-- White Sox won six of their last eight games. Boston won five of its last seven games.
-- Angels won their last three games, scoring 30 runs.

Cold teams
-- Cubs lost three of their last four games.
-- Marlins lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Mets lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Brewers lost ten of their last thirteen games. Dodgers lost seven of their last eight away games.
-- Washington lost eight of its last eleven games.

-- Twins lost their last six games, allowing 38 runs.
-- Blue Jays lost three of their last four games.
-- Mariners are 7-17 in their last 24 road games.
-- Baltimore lost six of its last seven games.
-- Tigers lost four of their last six games.
-- Royals lost 12 of their last 16 games. Astros lost 11 of their last 14.

Umpires
-- Cin-NY-- 11 of last 15 Guccione games went over total.
-- Phil-Mia-- Favorites won five of last six Fletcher games.
-- LA-Mil-- Four of last five Gonzalez games went over total.
-- Chi-Pitt-- Seven of last nine Winters games went over total.
-- Az-Col-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Demuth games.
-- Wsh-SF-- Five of last six Darling games went over the total.
-- StL-SD-- Six of last eight Joyce games stayed under the total.

-- Min-Atl-- Under is 23-6-1 in last thirty Culbreth games.

-- TB-Tor-- Visiting team won last six Bucknor games.
-- NY-Balt-- Five of last seven Schrieber games stayed under.
-- A's-Tex-- Seven of last eight LBarrett games went over.
-- Det-Clev-- Seven of last ten Foster games stayed under.
-- KC-Hst-- Home side won seven of last eight Hoye games.
-- Bos-Chi-- Seven of last eight Dimuro games went over total.
-- Sea-LA-- 12 of last 17 Carapazza games stayed under total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Pacers +8
Reds +115
Royals(RL) -1.5(-119)

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NBA

Wednesday, May 22

Miami is 9-1 in playoffs, with only loss in Game 1 to Bulls, would look for Heat to be anxious to get off to good start vs defensively-stout Pacer squad that beat New York in six games. Heat is 2-3 as home favorite in playoffs; over is 2-2-1 in their home games. Indiana beat Miami twice in three meetings this season, with home team winning all three. Heat won last meeting 105-91 (-6.5), only one played here- wouldn't put whole lot of stock in that, but its my job to tell you. Pacers are 2-4 on road during playoffs, with all four losses by 10+ points (2-4 as road underdogs).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Wednesday, May 22

Home teams are now 11-2 in this round of playoffs, under 7-3-3. Pittsburgh had a power play and 1-0 lead in last minute of Game 3, somehow gave up goal, lost in OT- they're 5-1 vs Senators this year, winning 2-1/4-2/3-1/4-1/4-3. Senators are 3-0 at home in playoffs, with two OT wins- they've only allowed four goals in those three games. Penguins won four of last five games overall, with only nine goals allowed since the switch to Vokoun in goal. Seven of last eleven series games went over total. Penguins were 0-6 on power play in Game 3, after being 3-10 in two home games. Senators are 0-10 on power play in series.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

Boston at Chicago White Sox

The White Sox go for a series sweep today and look to take advantage of a Boston team that is 1-7 in its last 8 games after dropping the first two games of a series. Chicago is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the White Sox favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, MAY 22 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Cincinnati at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Latos) 14.219; NY Mets (Harvey) 15.259 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 5 Vegas Line: NY Mets (-115); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-115); Under

Game 953-954: LA Dodgers at Milwaukee (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Ryu) 14.253; Milwaukee (Peralta) 15.457 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-115); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-105); Over

Game 955-956: Arizona at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Cahill) 15.625; Colorado (De La Rosa) 16.562 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Colorado (-125); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-125); Under

Game 957-958: Washington at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 14.530; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 16.031 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-145); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-145); Over

Game 959-960: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Samardzija) 15.337; Pittsburgh (Liriano) 15.992 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-130); 7 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-130); Under

Game 961-962: Philadelphia at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 15.563; Miami (Slowey) 13.739 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-170); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-170); Over

Game 963-964: St. Louis at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lyons) 16.606; San Diego (Smith) 15.650 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 8 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-115); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-115); Over

Game 965-966: Oakland at Texas (2:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Parker) 16.111; Texas (Wolf) 15.284 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+120); Under

Game 967-968: Tampa Bay at Toronto (4:37 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 16.641; Toronto (Buehrle) 15.569 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-105); Under

Game 969-970: NY Yankees at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 15.581; Baltimore (Hammel) 16.477 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+100); Over

Game 971-972: Detroit at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 16.649; Cleveland (Jimenez) 15.518 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Detroit (-155); 8 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-155); Under

Game 973-974: Seattle at LA Angels (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Maurer) 14.297; LA Angels (Wilson) 15.908 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-180); 8 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-180); Over

Game 975-976: Kansas City at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Shields) 13.782; Houston (Lyles) 14.657 Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-200); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+170); Over

Game 977-978: Boston at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 14.833; White Sox (Santiago) 16.325 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 7 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-115); Under

Game 979-980: Minnesota at Atlanta (12:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Worley) 13.489; Atlanta (Maholm) 15.619 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 7 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-180); 8 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-180); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HANDICAPPING KINGS

JIMMY

BASEBALL

TAMPA +105 TORONTO (435PM)

NYY -120 BALTIMORE (7PM)

PHILADELPHIA/MIAMI - UNDER 6.5 +105 (7PM)

NBA

INDIANA/MIAMI - OVER 182.5 (8PM)

PJ (TENNIS PLAYS)

Viktor Troicki -165 Grega Zemlja (8AM)

Robin Haase +110 John Isner (1030AM)

Fabio Fognini +115 Gael Monfils (130PM)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB BOSTON at CHI WHITE SOX

Play On - Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL
132-68 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.0% 50.7 units )
9-6 this year. ( 60.0% 1.6 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB NY YANKEES at BALTIMORE

BALTIMORE is 20-8 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (5.1) , OPPONENT (3.9)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA INDIANA at MIAMI

Play Over - All teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more
163-105 since 1997. ( 60.8% 47.5 units )
3-5 this year. ( 37.5% -2.5 units )

NBA INDIANA at MIAMI

Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) a good defensive team (88-92 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or more
110-76 since 1997. ( 59.1% 34.3 units )
4-6 this year. ( 40.0% -2.2 units )

NBA INDIANA at MIAMI

Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games
92-48 since 1997. ( 65.7% 39.2 units )
7-3 this year. ( 70.0% 3.7 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ScLiveDogs

Wednesday MLB

Why we like the Reds on Wednesday at -103...the Reds are undervalued in this spot after winning their last 9 of 11 games as well as averaging 5 rpg while allowing 2 rpg during that span compared to the Mets who have lost their last 9 of 12 games while averaging 3 rpg and allowing 5 rpg during that span. The reason that the Mets are the early favorite in this one is because of the public perception of the Mets young phenom in Matt Harvey who brings his 5-0 record to match his 1.56 era into Wednesdays daytime matchup. The first area for concern with Harvey is that Wednesdays start will be the first time in 2013 that a team will be facing him for the second time, especially the hot hitting Reds. Along with that is the fact that Harvey's last two starts have come against the below average offensive teams in the Pirates and Cubs where he has seen his K totals decrease in May where as his Hits allowed totals have increased. A few more numbers of interest is the fact that Harvey has allowed just 3 HRs all season with all 3 of those coming on 4 days of rest (which he will be on Wednesday) and two of those three HRs coming during the day. The Reds will be starting Mat Latos who comes into Wednesdays game with a 2-0 road record to match his 2.53 era. Latos has also posted good numbers during the day this season where he has a 3-0 record and a 3.82 era where he has allowed just 3 HRs through 30 innings of work. This Mets team has a combined 60 ABs off of Latos where they have a .200 average with just 1 HR. A few trends to keep in mind for Wednesdays game are that the Reds are 10-4 with a total of 7 or less while the Mets are 7-6 with a total of 7 or less. The Reds are 13-8 in day games while the Mets are 9-11 in day games. The Reds are 8-2 against the Mets over the last three seasons.

Play on the Reds at -103.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES

20* Pacers/Heat Game 1 No-Brainer on Indiana +8

I've believed that Indiana has been the most underrated team in the entire 2013 playoffs. Once again, the Pacers are undervalued in Game 1 of this series with the Miami Heat as a massive 8-point road underdog.

Miami could not have had an easier path to the Eastern Conference Finals. It got to face the only team in the playoffs with a losing record in Milwaukee, and it also played a depleted Chicago Bulls team that just simply did not have the talent to be competitive.

I believe that easy path is going to work against the Heat as they won't be ready for the fight they are going to get from Indiana in Game 1. They have basically just had to go through the motions to this point to win games, but that won't be the case against the Pacers.

Plus, Miami is going to be rusty coming into this one. The Heat have not played since beating Chicago 94-91 on May 15th. It had a big layoff after sweeping the Bucks on April 28th, and didn't get to start the Chicago series until May 6th. It would come out rusty and lose to the Bulls 86-93 at home in Game 1.

Remember, the Pacers took a 2-1 series lead in the playoffs against Miami last year before losing the last three. Also, the Pacers have won two out of three against the Heat this season. They simply match up well with Miami considering Paul George and Lance Stephenson are two of the most underrated defenders in the league.

Both George and Stephenson can check Lebron James and Dwyane Wade as well as anyone in the NBA. Plus, the Pacers have a big edge inside with Roy Hibbert and David West. They can exploit Miami's biggest weakness, which is its interior play.

The Pacers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Indiana is 39-18 ATS after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent since 1996. The Pacers are 46-26 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 25 or more fouls since 1996. Bet Indiana Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Hunter
St Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres (MLB) - 10:10 PM EDT
Pick: Total: 3* Over 7.5/-118

Kyle Hunter
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT
Pick: Money Line: 3* New York Yankees -112


Kyle Hunter
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets (MLB) - 1:10 PM EDT
Pick: Money Line: 3* Cincinnati Reds ML

Kyle Hunter
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies (MLB) - 3:10 PM EDT
Pick: Money Line: 4* Colorado Rockies ML