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EAGLE EYE SPORTS---Billy Joe Hershey
Cleveland Indians (+133)
Toronto Blue Jays (-105)
----------------------------
EAGLE EYE SPORTS---Philly Connection
Your Pick: Chicago Cubs (+123)
Your Pick: Heat / Pacers Over 181.5 (-110)
NBA
(504) MIAMI -7 (-20)
*(-20) means buy half point if necessary
MLB
(979) MINNESOTA +165/RRL -1.5 +TBD
TBD means line is not currently available but will be official as soon as posted
"RRL" means "Reverse Runline" or "Alternate Runline"
*Play side and reverse runline equally.
NBA - 503 Indiana Pacers @ 504 Miami Heat
Projected Line: Miami by 4 points
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) Indiana Pacers (+8)
For the Game 1 of this series, I expect that Indiana will be better prepared than Miami especially on defense! The transition from facing the Knicks' small ball to Miami's small ball isn't that hard to do. Indiana's defense will make Miami struggle to score down low and from the outside. Dwyane Wade has been physically limited on these playoffs and Miami might struggle with that. The Heat are yet to face any problems in scoring via perimeter on this postseason. Milwaukee's backcourt defense with Monta Ellis, Brandon Jennings, J.J. Redick and Mike Dunleavy was non-existent, while Chicago without Luol Deng and Kirk Hinrich doesn't have an impressive backcourt defense, as Jimmy Butler was the only good backcourt defensive player available. Now against Indiana, the Pacers have three good defensive players on their backcourt in George Hill, Lance Stephenson and Paul George. I also expect Indiana to crash the boards during this series as a trade off of the face that Miami will keep using small lineups throughout the series.
Paul George will defend Lebron James without any kind of team help, just like it happened on the series against the Knicks, where he defended Carmelo Anthony. With the Heat's shooters being well defended, Lebron will need to have a "scorer mindset" and simply outplay George time and time again, something that he might struggle in accepting at the start of this series. I remember that he had just 2 points on the first half of Game 1 against Chicago, while he scored 22 points on the second half, but that wasn't enough for the Heat to recover and they ended up losing that game. Miami has the edge down the stretch, but we are talking about a 8-points spread in here. That's too much for this specific matchup and so, I'll be taking the Pacers tonight.
200♦ Winners for today are going to be on the COLORADO ROCKIES, TEXAS RANGERS and MINNESOTA TWINS. the only game he wants you to list the pitchers is Colorado....list De La Rosa and Cahill (all early games)
INDIANA (503) at MIAMI (504) 8:05 pm ET
Latest Line: Heat -8; Total: 182.5
I'm not expecting a repeat of Heat-Bulls Game 1, when Miami came out flat after a long layoff and gave the game away late. The Heat learned its lesson there, and both these teams have been out of action long enough that the layoff shouldn't matter. Miami is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season, and even with the game they stole in New York in their last series, the Pacers are a sub-.500 team on the road this year (21-25 SU, 22-24 ATS).
PLAY ON: HEAT -8
2 UNIT = Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays - OVER 9.5 RUNS (+107) *AFTERNOON GAME*
Listed Pitchers: Hellickson vs Buehrle
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.14 units)
Toronto took the first of this series 7-5, while Tampa Bay took last night's game 4-3. So far totals of their 6 meetings this season have been 7, 12, 9, 14, 10, and 15. Tampa Bay will send a struggling Jeremy Hellickson to start tonight's game. He is 2-2 with a 5.82 ERA, .261 OBA and 1.29 WHIP. In May over 4 starts he is 1-0 with a high 7.77 ERA, .310 OBA and 1.56 WHIP. The Jays faced him in Tampa Bay earlier this month and got 6 hits and 3 earned runs off him in 5 innings. The damage could have been higher as he also walked 4 batters in that start. His last time out he gave up 10 hits and 8 earned runs in 7.2 innings in a game we took the OVER in Baltimore on Friday. Mark Buehrle will get the ball for Toronto and the southpaw is just 1-3 with a 6.33 ERA, .291 OBA and 1.48 WHIP. He had a great start on May 11th in Boston, but followed that up with another bad start giving up 6 hits and 5 earned runs over 6 innings in New York over the weekend. He has given up 5+ earned runs against in 5 of his 9 starts this year. Tampa Bay roughed him up as he went 6 innings giving up 9 hits and 7 earned runs at Tropicana Field. The OVER is 19-5-2 in the Rays last 26 overall and 12-2-3 in their last 17 road games. The OVER is 5-1 in the Blue Jays last 6 home games and 11-4 in their last 15 overall. Take the OVER this afternoon.
2 UNIT = New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles - YANKEES TO WIN (-110)
Listed Pitchers: Kuroda vs Hammel
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
These two teams have split the first two games of this three game series, with New York winning the first 6-4 and Baltimore winning last night 3-2. The Yankees sit in first in the AL East with a 28-17 record and 13-8 road record and the Orioles are 4th with a 24-21 record and 10-12 home record. New York will go with Hiroki Kuroda tonight who is 6-2 on the season with a 1.99 ERA, .201 OBA and 0.95 WHIP. He is coming off 8 innings of shutout ball vs Toronto, and pitched a complete game shutout vs the Orioles earlier this season in New York. Jason Hammel is on the mound for Baltimore and he is 5-2 on the season despite a high 5.72 ERA, .299 OBA and 1.57 WHIP. In three May starts his ERA is 10.43 with a .409 OBA and 2.32 WHIP. His home ERA over three starts is 7.79 with an 0-2 record. The Yankees are 7-1 in Kuroda's last 8 starts and 4-1 in his last 5 road starts. They are also 7-2 in their last 9 road games overall and 7-1 in their last 8 divisional games. The Orioles are just 1-6 in their last 7 games overall and 1-7 in their last 8 home games. The Yankees are 24-11 in their last 35 meetings in Baltimore and given the odds and the pitching match up I will take them to win tonight.
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