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Bob Balfe
Heat -6.5
A's +105
Heat -6.5
A's +105
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TMC SportsAdvisors
Cincinnati -140
Oakland/Milwaukee Over 9
Last Week 14-6Comment
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SB Professor Original NBA & MLB Picks 6/3
528. Miami Heat -7
962. New York Yankees -110
968. Milwaukee Brewers -119Comment
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Ness legend play
Miami HeatComment
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BIG AL's 100% PERFECT (9-0 ATS) NBA ELITE INFO!
At 8:30 pm, our selection in Game 7 is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Indiana. We played on the 'under' in Game 6, and stayed away from the side. But we'll step in and take the Miami Heat off that 91-77 loss. First of all, the Heat have been terrific off a loss -- both in this year's playoffs and dating back to the regular season. Indeed, since January 12, the Heat is a dominant 9-0 straight up and against the spread off a loss. And all nine wins have been by double digits (an average of 19.55 ppg, with the three playoff wins by an average of 22 ppg). It's common knowledge that the home teams have dominated Game 7s in the NBA Playoffs. Since 1991, they're 40-8 straight up and 30-16-2 ATS when favored by more than three points. Take the Heat. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
Prediction: Miami HeatComment
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Scott Delaney
10 Dime Run Line Blowout
Angels MLComment
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Hoopsgooroo 6/3
962 Yanks -125 @ 7:05p
Yanks/Indians under 8
954 Braves -145 @ 7:10p
956 Reds -155 @ 7:10p
968 Brewers -113 @ 8:10p
965 White Sox -110 @ 10:10pComment
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Stephen Nover | NBA Total - Monday, Jun 3 2013 8:30PM
527 IND / 528 MIA UNDER 181.5 SportsInterAction triple-dime bet
Analysis:
The first four games of this Eastern Conference Finals series went over the total by a combined 44 points. The last two went under by a combined 29 1/2 points.
So what happens here with Game 7? The under trend continues is the way I see it. The Pacers win with defense and playing half-court. They are certainly not going to go away from that style in this pivotal Game 7. The Heat are an underrated defensive team. They can play defense as well as any team when they want to - and they certainly want to here.
The combination of a cautious, half-court game with neither team opting to take chances should result in a third straight low-scoring game.
We know the Pacers aren't a big scoring team. They were 23rd in scoring during the regular season and 26th in field goal percentage. The Heat are far more explosive. However, their key bench scorers are cold, Dwayne Wade is far fro ¿m 100 percent and Chris Bosh is in a funk.
Ray Allen and Shane Battier are a combined 15-for-62 (24%) from the floor in the series. They have missed a combined 30 of 39 shots from beyond the arc. They can't be counted on and neither can Wade nor Bosh. Wade is averaging 12 points during the last three games while shooting 32 percent from the floor during this span. Bosh is averaging a puny 6.3 points in his last three games on 24 percent shooting from the field.Last edited by Can'tPickAWinner; 06-03-2013, 04:43 PM.Comment
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Vegas Bookie Plays
NBA Play for Monday 06/03/2013
Miami Heat -6.5Comment
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D Money Sports
FREE Play: Won 9 straight free plays
Cincinnati Reds -133Comment
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Dr. Bob
HeatComment
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Championship Picks
3 Units Miami Heat -7Comment
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Greg Shaker MLB ML - Monday, Jun 3 2013 10:10PM
ML 966 SEA (-113) vs 965 CWS double-dime betComment
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Doc's Sports
4-unit Play Take #955 Colorado Rockies (+130) over Cincinnati Reds (7:10pm ET) Tyler Chatwood appears as if he's finally figured things out at the big league level. The right-hander is 3-0 with a 2.12 ERA and 1.28 WHIP on the season and that includes half of his starts in Coors Field. While he still has a lot to prove to stay in the rotation, he's come a long way. His career ERA coming into this season hovered around 5.00 and he had no confidence. He looks much more comfortable out there now and he's shown a great ability to keep the ball down and induce plenty of groundballs to the tune of a whopping 58% groundball rate. That really comes in handy in home run parks like Coors and Great American Ballpark, where today's game is being played. Veteran Bronson Arroyo goes for the Cincinnati Reds today. The 36-year old can still pitch but his skills are slowly eroding. He relies a lot more on his control as he doesn't have the stuff he once did. The Rockies have hit well against Arroyo in his career and today should be no different. The Rockies have really turned some heads this year, and one of the reasons is their outstanding bullpen work. The bullpen unit has been near the top of the league all season long despite the fact that they pitch in a hitter-friendly environment at home. Today's game should be a tight one, and could very easily come down to the bullpens. As a result, we'll take the Rockies today in this one.
4-unit Play Take #957 Arizona Diamondbacks (+140) over St. Louis Cardinals (8:15pm ET) It's a battle of first place teams as the St. Louis Cardinals host the Arizona Diamondbacks today in Busch Stadium. We have two consistent starting pitchers going at it in this one and two offenses that know what to do with the bat. Trevor Cahill is one of the most consistent pitchers in all of baseball over the last two seasons. In his last 35 starts dating back to last season, Cahill has yielded more than four earned runs just one time. That is really amazing when you think about it. As a result, he's kept his team in every game and that is huge for a well-rounded team like Arizona. Lance Lynn has been pretty good since earning a rotation spot to begin the 2012 season. His ERA last season was 3.78 and this season he's improved to 2.91. His mound presence is fantastic and he's been good enough to finally convince the Cardinals that he's never going back to the bullpen to make way for any of their young talent. Overall, I grade these two pitchers similarly. However, Cahill has better career numbers against the Cardinals than Lynn does against the D-backs, so slight edge to Arizona there. As for the offenses, these two teams are very close once again. The Cardinals are 3rd in the National League in runs scored, while Arizona is 6th. However, Arizona has a higher OPS and they've dealt with more injuries earlier in the year. When it comes to bullpens, Arizona has clearly outperformed the Cardinals this season and defensively Arizona is the better team as well. All in all, these teams are very evenly-matched so we'll gladly take +140 with Arizona today.
Best of Luck - Doc's SportsComment
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NBA action report: Early money likes Pacers, late action on under
The NBA Eastern Conference finals have come down to one game, with the Indiana Pacers putting up a good fight against the reigning champion Miami Heat. We talk to Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker at CarbonSports.ag, about the action coming in on tonight’s deciding contest:
Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat – Open: -7, Move: -6.5, Move: -7.5
Depending on where you play, the Heat opened at -6.5 or -7 and early money took the road underdog and knocked the spread down to -6.5. The public is beginning to wake up and wager on the Heat, balancing out the Game 7 handle at most books. Some online and Nevada markets are dealing Miami as high as -7.5.
“Since going to 6.5, we've booked nothing but dead even action at that number,” Stewart told Covers. “So while we're a tiny bit long on the Pacers due to that money bet at +7, we're very happy with our position right now. The way the action is shaping up, I just can't see us moving off this number but we might adjust the juice if we feel it's warranted.”
As for the total for Game 7, the number opened at 181 and drew early attention to the over. Books are dealing between 180.5 and 181.5, depending on where you shop, but sharp money is starting to show on the under.
The Heat and Pacers played over in the first four games of the series but have stayed below the total in the last two, combining for 169 and 168 points in those outings.
“At 182, we booked sharp money under that number and quickly went back to 181.5 and haven't moved off that number,” says Stewart. “So far, 65 percent of the action is on the over and we like our position right now.”Comment
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