6-7-13

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Penguins at Bruins: What bettors need to know

Pittsburgh Penguins at Boston Bruins (-122, 5.5)

Bruins lead best-of-seven series 3-0.

The Boston Bruins find themselves one win away from a sweep of the top-seeded Pittsburgh Penguins and a berth in the Stanley Cup final for the second time in three years. The fourth-seeded Bruins will look to make quick work of the Penguins on Friday by winning Game 4 of their Eastern Conference final series at TD Garden. Patrice Bergeron redirected Brad Marchand's centering feed past Tomas Vokoun at 15:19 of double overtime and Tuukka Rask turned aside a postseason-high 53 shots as Boston skated to a 2-1 triumph on Wednesday.

The NHL's leading scorer with nine goals, David Krejci has four in this series - which are two more than the sum total collected by Pittsburgh's entire team. The Penguins were the highest scoring club in the regular season, but have received a grand total of zero points from captain Sidney Crosby, reigning Hart Trophy winner Evgeni Malkin and Norris Trophy finalist Kris Letang. In addition, Pittsburgh went 0-for-6 on the power play in Game 3 and is 0-for-12 in the series.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC Sports, CBC, RDS

ABOUT THE PENGUINS: To a man, Pittsburgh's players and coaches essentially said the same thing. The Penguins need to focus on one game - and one game only - if they are going to pull themselves out of this deficit and hand Boston its second historic collapse in four years. "Looking at the situation, down 0-3, you can look at the odds, the history, it’s not a very encouraging picture,” coach Dan Bylsma said. “We don’t have to win four games against the Boston Bruins. We have to win one game (Friday) night to get this thing back to the 'Burgh. That’s what we have to look at."

ABOUT THE BRUINS: Fourth-line center Gregory Campbell suffered a broken right leg after blocking Malkin's shot during a penalty kill in Game 3. Despite being in obvious pain, Campbell remained on the ice for an additional minute before exiting to a standing ovation. "What he did, it kind of epitomizes what type of player he is," fellow Merlot Line member Shawn Thornton said. "He's been like that for probably his whole career, but the whole time he's been here, for sure." Veteran Jay Pandolfo and Kaspars Daugavins are likely candidates to replace Campbell, who will miss the remainder of the postseason.

TRENDS:

* Bruins are 5-0 in their last five home games.
* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Penguins are 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Boston.

OVERTIME

1. Pittsburgh won all three regular-season meetings between the teams, but Boston owns an 11-2 edge in goals in this series.

2. Rask's previous postseason high for saves was 45, which was accomplished in Games 3 and 4 of the first-round series versus Toronto.

3. Philadelphia overcame a 3-0 deficit to upend Boston in the second round of the 2010 playoffs.

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Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = New York Yankees @ Seattle Mariners - YANKEES TO WIN (-151)
Listed Pitchers: Kuroda vs Bonderman
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.32 units)

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Chicago Syndicate

Afternoon Top Play - Pittsburgh Pirates

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World Cup Qualifiers: Betting notes on four matches

The road to Brazil continues as Friday features a full slate of World Cup 2014 qualifying matches. Here is a look at a handful of notable matches on the board Friday.

Finland v Belarus +140 +220 +200 (played in Helsinki, Finland)

The Finns have had a somewhat surprising first three matches in this qualifying campaign. They drew with Spain 1-1 and lost to France by the slimmest of margins at 1-0. They have played under the 2.5 goal total in each of their three qualifying matches.

Belarus was throttled by Spain 4-0 and by France 3-1. They seem to have a leaky back four, though the Finns don't have much firepower up front. Playing in front of the home crowd should inspire the Finns.

Croatia v Scotland -350 +400 +1000 (played in Zagreb, Croatia)

Croatia, per usual, has a strong team and sits second in its qualifying group behind Belgium. The Croats will look for three points here as the Belgians have a tough match versus Serbia and could take control of the group.

Scotland has had a dismal campaign and have two draws in its six matches thus far. The Scots have mustered just three goals for in those six matches and have yet to secure a point away from home.

Montenegro v Ukraine +140 +220 +200 (played in Podgorica, Montenegro)

Montenegro is a very interesting side. The nation sits in top spot of a group which includes England and Poland. Montenegro boasts a tidy defense, having conceded just three goals in its six qualifying matches. It also features one of the world's best strikers in Stevan Jovetic.

Ukraine should be desperate for a victory here to get itself back in contention to make it out of the group. It does not bode well for the Ukranians, however, as they lost 1-0 at home against Montenegro back in October.

Jamaica v USA +275 +220 -125 (played in Kingston, Jamaica)

The United States should be buzzing following a 4-3 victory over Germany in an international friendly back on June 2. After securing just four points from three matches, a win here puts the Americans in a great spot to get out of the group.

Jamaica ranks last in the group with two points from four matches and lost to Mexico at home in a qualifier in April. Despite their relatively poor showing thus far, the Jamaicans can still gain some ground on the leaders of the group with a victory. The squads last played on September 11, 2012 with the United States winning 1-0.

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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Wood is 3-1, 3.06 in his last five starts. Liriano is 3-2, 2.15 in his five starts this season.
-- Harvey has a 2.63 RA in his last seven starts.
-- Leake is 3-0, 0.67 in his last four starts. Wainwright is 3-0, 1.85 in his last three outings.
-- Lee is 5-0, 1.54 in his last six starts.
-- de la Rosa is 5-0, 2.17 in his last six starts.
-- Arizona is 11-0 when Corbin starts (5-0, 1.97 at home).
-- Ryu is 3-0, 1.61 in his last four starts,. but missed his last turn (foot). Braves won last four Maholm starts (3-0, 4.62), scoring 29 runs.
-- Kuroda is 5-3, 2.17 in his last ten starts.

-- GGonzalez has a 2.41 RA in his last five starts.

-- Tepesch is 1-1, 2.35 in his last four starts. Rogers didn't allow a run in his first '13 start, but only last 3.2 IP (62 PT).
-- Jimenez is 1-0, 1.20 in his last two starts.
-- Red Sox are 3-0 at home with Doubront (1-0, 4.66), scoring 23 runs.
-- Lyles is 2-0, 1.93 in his last three starts. Shields has a 2.82 RA in his last seven starts, but Royals are 2-5 in those games, scoring 20 runs.
-- Parker is 3-1, 2.41 in his last five starts. Sale is 4-1, 1.53 in his last six starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Fernandez is 2-3, 6.75 in his last five road starts.
-- Figaro allowed four runs in five IP in his first '13 start.
-- Volquez is 1-2, 5.70 in his last four starts.
-- Cain is 1-2, 8.88 in his last four road starts.

-- Correia is 1-2, 5.70 in his last four starts.

-- Verlander has a 7.76 RA in his last five starts, but won last three (3-0, 5.21). -- Hammel is 2-2, 7.52 in his last five starts. Archer allowed five runs in four IP in his first '13 start.
-- Angels lost last three Hanson starts (0-1, 5.19).
-- Bonderman allowed seven runs in 4.2 IP in his first '13 start, which was his first MLB start since 2010.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Liriano 1-5; Wood 1-11
-- Fernandez 2-11; Harvey 3-12
-- Wainwright 3-12; Leake 2-11
-- Lee 1-12; Figaro 0-1
-- Volquez 3-12; de la Rosa 3-12
-- Cain 4-12; Corbin 3-11 (2 of last 2)
-- Maholm 2-12; Ryu 3-11

-- Correia 4-11; Gonzalez 4-12

-- Tepesch 2-11; Rogers 0-1
-- Jimenez 4-11; Verlander 4-12 (4 of last 5)
-- Hammel 4-12; Archer 0-1
-- Hanson 2-6; Doubront 2-9
-- Lyles 4-7; Shields 5-12
-- Parker 4-12; Sale 4-11
-- Kuroda 5-12; Bonderman 0-1

Totals
-- Three of last four games for both Pirates/Cubs went over total.
-- Four of last five Miami games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven St Louis games went over the total.
-- Ten of last twelve Arizona games went over the total.
-- Last three Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Colorado games went over the total.
-- Last six Maholm starts went over the total.

-- Four of last five Washington games stayed under total.

-- Four of last five Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Detroit home games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Tampa Bay home games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten games at Fenway Park.
-- Six of last eight Oakland games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last twelve Houston games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Bronx road games stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Cardinals won five of their last six road games.
-- Arizona won four of its last six games.
-- Phillies won last five games, scoring 32 runs.
-- Colorado won four of its last six games.
-- Atlanta won 15 of its last 20 games. Dodgers won last five home games, scoring 27 runs.

-- Minnesota won seven of its last ten games, but lost last two.

-- Tampa Bay won eight of its last eleven games. Orioles won six of their last eight games.
-- Houston won eight of its last eleven games.
-- A's won 17 of their last 20 games.
-- Boston won nine of its last 13 games.
-- Bronx won its last four games, scoring 23 runs.

Cold teams
-- Pirates lost five of their last six games. Cubs lost three of last four.
-- Miami lost its last ten road games, outscored 60-26. Mets lost four of their last five games.
-- Cincinnati lost three of its last four games.
-- Brewers lost 17 of their last 23 games.
-- Giants lost six of their last nine games.
-- San Diego lost four of its last six road games.

-- Nationals lost five of their last seven games.

-- Tigers lost six of their last nine games. Cleveland lost its last eight games on foreign soil.
-- Angels lost five of their last six games.
-- Rangers lost five of their last six road games. Blue Jays lost four of their last six games overall.
-- White Sox lost nine of their last ten games.
-- Royals lost 15 of their last 20 games, but won last two.
-- Mariners lost four of their last six games.

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DCI Pro Hockey
The Daniel Curry Index

06/07/13 Prediction

Season: 317-196 (.618)

Eastern Conference Finals
Game 4, best-of-7
Pittsburgh vs. BOSTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

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Today's NHL Picks

Chicago at Los Angeles

The Kings look to build on their 27-5 record in their last 32 home games when the total is less than 5. Los Angeles is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-125). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JUNE 7 Time Posted 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 15-16: Pittsburgh at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.956; Boston 14.695 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-125); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-125); Under

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Today's MLB Picks

Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs

The Pirates look to take advantage of a Cubs team that is 2-8 in Travis Wood's last 10 starts as a home underdog. Pittsburgh is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JUNE 7 Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Liriano) 15.815; Cubs (Wood) 14.339 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-115); No Run Total Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-115); N/A

Game 953-954: Miami at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Fernandez) 13.724; NY Mets (Harvey) 15.812 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 2; 7 Vegas Line: NY Mets (-210); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-210); Over

Game 955-956: St. Louis at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 16.018; Cincinnati (Leake) 14.932 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 7 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 8 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-120); Under

Game 957-958: Philadelphia at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 14.579; Milwaukee (Figaro) 15.029 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-145); 8 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+125); Over

Game 959-960: San Diego at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Volquez) 16.443; Colorado (De La Rosa) 15.331 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 11 Vegas Line: Colorado (-170); 10 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+150); Over

Game 961-962: San Francisco at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 14.818; Arizona (Corbin) 16.990 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2; 7 Vegas Line: Arizona (-135); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-135); Under

Game 963-964: Atlanta at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Maholm) 14.974; LA Dodgers (Ryu) 15.840 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 8 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-115); 7 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-115); Over

Game 965-966: Texas at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Tepesch) 15.349; Toronto (Rogers) 14.827 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-115); Under

Game 967-968: Cleveland at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Jimenez) 15.388; Detroit (Verlander) 14.330 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Detroit (-200); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+170); Over

Game 969-970: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Hammel) 15.688; Tampa Bay (Archer) 17.012 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tampa bay (-115); Under

Game 971-972: LA Angels at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Hanson) 15.783; Boston (Doubront) 15.348 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 11 Vegas Line: Boston (-140); 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+120); Over

Game 973-974: Houston at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Lyles) 14.582; Kansas City (Shields) 16.182 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-220); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-220); Under

Game 975-976: Oakland at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Parker) 15.924; White Sox (Sale) 13.865 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2; 8 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-130); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+110); Over

Game 977-978: NY Yankees at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 14.444; Seattle (Bonderman) 14.973 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-155); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+135); Under

Game 979-980: Minnesota at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Correia) 14.371; Washington (Gonzalez) 15.752 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Washington (-135); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-135); Under

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WNBA Basketball Picks

New York at Atlanta

The Dream look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 home games. Atlanta is the pick (-10) according to Dunkel, which has the Dream favored by 13. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-10). Here are all of today's picks

FRIDAY, JUNE 7 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 651-652: Washington at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 101.208; Connecticut 115.181 Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 14; 151 Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 8; 156 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-8); Under

Game 653-654: New York at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New York 106.700; Atlanta 119.512 Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 13; 157 Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 10; 151 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-10); Over

Game 655-656: Chicago at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 114.188; San Antonio 108.556 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 5 1/2; 147 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 153 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3 1/2); Under

Game 657-658: Tulsa at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 100.845; Seattle 112.259 Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 11 1/2; 152 Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 7; 147 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-7); Over

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1045-775 (58 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner FRI: Baltimore + 105

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Spurs (+5 1/2) Thursday.

Friday it’s the Penguins. The deficit is 359 sirignanos.

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Friday

NYY -155

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Joe Wiz

Free Play Friday Houston/Kansas City Over 7

Has lost last 4

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Hondo

Houston Astros

"The wretched White Sox were unable to hold onto a 4-0 lead last night as they lost to the A’s in 10, causing Hondo’s deficit to grow to 185 kerfelds.
Tonight, Mr. Aitch will push the envelope with the Astros — 10 units on Lyles to outduel KC’s hard-luck ace, the one and only Jimmy Shields."