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CINCINNATI (+115) over St. Louis
7:10 p.m. ET
Our free pick record is now 7-2 the last 9 days, including four underdogs. The Reds are one of the most undervalued teams in baseball and are a sterling 21-9 at home. Starter Mike Leake is in tremendous form, winning his last four starts while allowing just one run. St. Louis sends out starter Adam Wainwright, who has struggled in his career against the Reds and will once again have his problems tonight. It's another underdog winner on the Reds.
06/07 7:10 PM EST MLB (955) ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS (956) CINCINNATI REDS
Take: (955) NL Division Showdown Shocker: Cardinals.
A big NL Central showdown between the top two teams. St. Louis has a powerful offense and ace Adam Wainwright going (8-3, 2.33 ERA), with an amazing 6 walks in 89 innings and 84 strikeouts! Wainwright has pitched eight-plus innings in three of his last five starts. He has allowed eight runs in his last 39 1/3 innings. He is 3-0 with a 1.85 ERA his last three games. The Cardinals are 19-7 in Wainwright's last 26 starts. Unlike Wainwright, Mike Leake of the Reds is very hittable allowing 74 hits and 68+ innings. The Cardinals know him well with a 4.66 ERA in 29 innings against them allowing 39 hits and 45 base runners. The Cardinals are 11-1 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter, so grab the talented visitors. Play the Cardinals.
06/07 7:05 PM EST MLB (965) TEXAS RANGERS VS (966) TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Take: (965) TEXAS RANGERS
Reason: First place Texas has a strong offense, 9th in baseball in runs scored, 5th in OBP and second in slugging, and they are in the Rogers Center, a great hitter's paradise. The Rangers have a winning road record and are 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Righty Nick Tepesch (3-4, 3.44 ERA) is having a strong season with only 14 walks in 55 innings and Toronto has never seen him. He also has a 2.12 ERA in his last three starts. Toronto is a last place team that has a losing record both home and away. The Blue Jays are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. the AL West and the Rangers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play the Rangers.
06/07 7:10 PM EST MLB (971) LOS ANGELES ANGELS VS (972) BOSTON RED SOX
Take: (971) MLB Diamond Dog: LA Angels.
The Angels are 11-3 in their last 14 games following an off day and 15-6 against a left-handed starter. You need to throw strikes in Fenway Park and LA righty Tommy Hanson does, with 10 walks in 34 innings. Boston hasn't seen much of the young prospect and the LA has gotten its offense going over the last month (now 10th in slugging). Fenway Park will be great for the offense but is tough on pitchers and that's concern with Boston lefty Felix Doubront (4.88 ERA), who has a high ERA because he walks so many guys, 29 in 55 innings. The Angels are 8-0 in the last 8 meetings and 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Boston. Play the LA Angels.
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