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RickJ's Handicapping Picks Sunday MLB Play
1/2 Unit
953 - L Lynn
954 - CIN - B Arroyo -105
1/2 Unit
953 - L Lynn
954 - CIN - B Arroyo -105
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Kevin
MLBPredictions
2 UNIT = Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs - PIRATES TO WIN (-119)
Listed Pitchers: Locke vs Jackson
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.68 units)
-- No write up here on a Sunday. Have a good day and lets get a winner.Comment
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RTG Sports
3* San Antonio Spurs +6Comment
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Greg Shaker | MLB Total - Sunday, Jun 9 2013 2:20PM
957 PIT / 958 CHC OVER 8.5 double-dime betComment
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Dr. Ed Meyer | MLB ML - Sunday, Jun 9 2013 2:10PM
ML 955 PHI +134 vs 956 MIL double-dime betComment
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Chuck Edel | MLB Total - Sunday, Jun 9 2013 4:10PM
959 SFG / 960 ARI OVER 9 double-dime betComment
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JR ODonnell | NBA Total - Sunday, Jun 9 2013 8:07PM
703 SAN / 704 MIA OVER 188 double-dime betComment
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King Creole | NBA Total - Sunday, Jun 9 2013 8:07PM
703 SAN / 704 MIA OVER 187.5 double-dime bet
Analysis:
Sunday, June 9th / 5:07pm PT - 8:07pm ET / Game 2 / NBA Finals
SAN ANTONIO SPURS @ MIAMI HEAT
2** Play on: OVER the TOTALComment
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Teddy Covers
Brewers overComment
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Scott Spreitzer MLB Money Line Sun, 06/09/13 - 4:10 PM
double-dime bet - 978 SEA (-145) vs 977 NYY
Analysis: I'm laying the price with the Mariners on Sunday afternoon. Felix Hernandez has "owned" much better Yankee versions (or at least much healthier) than the one he'll face on Sunday. Hernandez is 7-2 in his last 11 starts against the Yanks and has a lifetime 2.99 ERA against New York to go along with a 1.27 WHIP and .244 BAA. "King Felix" held the Yanks to 1 earned run and 5 hits, while striking out 8 batters in 6 innings in his first meeting this season, a May 14 start in the Bronx. I expect Hernandez to get what he needs from his teammates at the plate. Yankees' righty David Phelps has been "playing with fire," walking 14 batters in his last 27 2/3 IP, an average of more than 4.5 walks per 9 IP. The Mariners are on a 20-7 run as a favorite of -150 or less. I'll back them here as they look to extend their run to 9-3 against the Yankees when "King Felix" is on the mound. Seattle on Sunday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.Comment
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Wunderdog Sports Free Plays
Game: Miami at New York Mets (1:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Miami +1.5 runs -135 (runline)
The Mets have been awful, but are favored here despite a losing record both home and away. This New York offense is terrible, 26th in runs scored, 27th in on-base percentage and slugging while batting .227 as a team (29th). They've lost five of six games, including yesterday to these Marlins, 2-1 in 20 innings! That will burn out your bullpen. And the offense left 22 men on base. The Mets are 3-9 in their last 12 home games, and 7-19 against a right-handed starter. New York goes with Jonathon Niese, and the team is 2-6 his last eight starts, as well as 2-5 with a 4.31 ERA against the Marlins. Tom Koehler of the Mets has only walked 13 in 41+ innings and has allowed fewer hits (35) than innings pitched. The Marlins are 5-2 in their last seven after allowing two runs or less in their previous game, and 4-0 in the last four meetings with New York, so the value is the Marlins on the run-line.Comment
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SCOTT LANDAU Sunday:
MIA +180 / SF +125 / SD +155 / TX +125Comment
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SPORTS WAGERS
L.A. Angels +153 over BOSTON
Joe Blanton has some very ugly surface stats which include a 1-9 record, a 5.53 ERA and a bloated 1.62 WHIP. Those numbers are grossly deceiving, which in turn creates a pretty sweet overlay. Blanton is the reason you buy skills and not stats. Over his last five starts, covering 30 innings, Blanton has walked 2 and struck out 30. He also has an outstanding 60% groundball rate over that span and a very low 16% line-drive rate. Joe Blanton has been frustrating his managers for years, as he's posted stellar skills in the past with not much to show for his efforts. Pitching for his third squad in since 2011, it appears MLB teams are growing tired of playing the waiting game but really, all Blanton needs is a shift of luck to excel because he has all the tools. He remains a risky investment because of his shaky past but if there was ever a time to take a leap of faith on him, it's now.
Ryan Dempster’s terrific start has been supercharged by fortunate hit and strand percentages. While Dempster's fastball velocity has dipped to 89 mph, his third straight year of fastball decline, he is using his splitter more to generate swings-and-misses and it’s working with 77 K’s in 70 innings so far. Dempster is still a consistent, low-upside workhorse, though age, injury and recent ERA/WHIP swings are becoming red flags. It’s also worth noting that current Angels hitters have 37 hits in 111 career AB’s against Dempster for a BA of .333 and 10 of those 37 hits left the yard. Overlay.
COLORADO -1½ +118 over San Diego
The Padres have really been battling hard this entire season and should remain one of the more profitable dogs the rest of the way. However, there is no defense or answer for Clayton Richard, one of the five worst starting pitchers in the majors. In 29 innings, Richard has 20/20 vision, meaning in 39 innings of work this season he has walked 20 and struck out 20. Prior to this year, Richard thrived at PETCO Park with a career 2.82 ERA at home in 45 starts but he was a product of that park. Since they moved the fences at Petco, he’s been exposed as the fraud that he is. He has a 1.81 WHIP in eight games started and that’s really all you need to know about this stiff. Clayton Richard can’t get out of trouble on his own and there will be plenty of trouble at Coors against the Rockies.
Juan Nicasio is coming on. He’s pitched in Cincinnati, San Francisco and at home twice in his last four games and not one pitch left the yard. Nicasio does an outstanding job of inducing grounders with a rate of 55% on the year. Nicasio has battled significant injuries the past two seasons and that shelf time has prevented him from making use of his 94 mph fastball. Nicasio also throws an above average change and slider that he’s beginning to trust and use more each outing. The total in this game is 11 and one has to figure that if it comes close to that number or goes over the majority of the runs will be charged to Clayton Richard.
Houston +153 over KANSAS CITY
With a 4.97 ERA and 1.68 WHIP, Lucas Harrell won't get attention even from some savvy bettors. He's 28, and his skills with Houston have been far from attractive. That said, Harrell owns elite skills with the bases empty that include a 56% groundball rate. Harrell has given up five-plus runs four times already this season, but all four of those outings came against either the A's or Tigers. He’s had plenty of solid starts that include one run allowed in five or more innings against the Yankees, Angels twice, Texas, Seattle, Pittsburgh and Baltimore. That’s seven games out of 13 that starts that Harrell has allowed one earned run. There's some serious profit potential here if he can piece together these skill flashes and if the Astros can give him some support. That could all come to pass here against Luis Mendoza.
Mendoza is pure fade material and in no way does he deserve to be this high a price with his lack of skills and pitching for the Royals. In nine games started covering 51 frames, Mendoza has one win, 34 K’s and 23 walks issued. He comes in with a 1.55 WHIP and at The K, Mendoza is 0-2 with a 8.05 ERA. Mendoza is exactly the type of pitcher you don’t want to lay significant juice with because his pure quality starts are few and far between. Most balls are hit hard off him and he’s at the mercy of his defense and good fortune to have a good game. The price here makes these feisty Astros worth a betComment
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SPORTS WAGERS
San Antonio/MIAMI Under 187.5
Game 2 of the NBA Finals promises to be more of the same defensive battle that we saw out of these two teams in Game 1. Although these are two of the better offensive teams in the league, they both play swarming defense which denies their opponent from getting into their comfort zone on a repeated basis. The Heat and Spurs both recover excellently on open shooters and will make life tough on the opponent from a defensive standpoint. The Spurs have held opponents to a ghastly 42% shooting from the field in the playoffs, while the Heat are right there with them only letting opponents shoot 43%. The Heat recognizes that a big part of the Spurs deadly attack revolves on San Antonio shooting 3-point shots. Miami did quite a good job in Game 1 in limiting the damage from beyond the arc. Kawhi Leonard missed all four of his attempts on corner 3’s. The Heat focused in on Matt Bonner in his seven minutes of court-time and did not allow him to break free for any wide open 3’s at the top of the arc. Danny Green was really the only Spur that was hot from downtown, as he went on a 4 of 9 shooting spree from 3. In all though, San Antonio only connected on 7 of 23 three’s. This 30% clip is far lower than their playoff average of 36%.
Meanwhile, the Spurs defensive attack just threw the Heat offense completely out of whack for the entire game. LeBron, who received praise for putting up another Finals triple-double, shot only 7 of 16 from the field, but even more concerning was that nearly a third of his attempts were from beyond the arc. The Spurs did a great job turning LeBron into a jump shooter, and preventing him from attacking and bulldozing his way to the rim. Much of the credit certainly must go to Kawhi Leonard who embraced the challenge of defending LeBron, and Kawhi did as wonderful a job as could be expected in limiting LeBron’s offensive production. Meanwhile, Chris Bosh once again spent much of his time hanging out by the perimeter, and he finished 0-4 from 3, while only pulling in 5 rebounds. That is truly unacceptable as he is Miami’s only legitimate big-man threat, but this sadly is the sort of trend that has been going on all playoffs with Bosh. Dwyane Wade’s lack of offensive explosion and scoring prowess has been well documented so don’t expect him to have a massive bounce-back in Game 2. D-Wade has gone off for 20 points just twice in these playoffs, as the once tenacious D-Wade that we all came to know, now sadly only exists in our memories and on NBA Classic games. Once again, as in so many Finals in the past, defense will rule the day.Comment
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Z Money Sports
Texas/Toronto over 9Comment
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