6-18-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spurs at Heat: What bettors need to know

San Antonio Spurs at Miami Heat (-7, 191)

Spurs lead best-of-seven series 3-2.

The San Antonio Spurs are one win away from their fifth NBA title and the Miami Heat need a series-saving victory when Game 6 of the NBA Finals is played in South Beach on Tuesday. San Antonio took a 3-2 lead with a 114-104 victory on Sunday behind a season-best game from Manu Ginobili and another superb performance from 3-point shooter Danny Green. Miami is vying to become the fourth team to rally from a 3-2 deficit with two homecourt victories.

The Heat watched the Dallas Mavericks celebrate on their home floor two seasons ago and would like to avoid seeing another such scene involving the Spurs. Miami won 27 consecutive games during the regular series but is finding the playoffs to be much tougher, having gone 5-6 in its last 11 games with no back-to-back victories since winning Game 1 of the Eastern Conference finals against Indiana on May 22. Ginobili had 24 points and 10 assists in Game 5 and Green made five 3-pointers to set an NBA Finals record with 25. San Antonio knows there is more work to do. “Obviously, you want to finish in the first opportunity you get,” point guard Tony Parker said. “We understand that Miami is going to come out with a lot more energy, and they’re going to play better at home.”

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ABC

ABOUT THE SPURS: Green is the clear-cut Finals MVP if San Antonio closes out the series in Game 6. The player previously cut by both the Cleveland Cavaliers and Spurs has made five or more 3-pointers in three different games while averaging 18 points. Superb ball movement by San Antonio has presented Green with numerous unguarded looks and he has answered by making 65.8 percent of his 3-point attempts. “My teammates have done a great job of finding me and getting me open,” Green said. “Luckily, it seems everything is going right for me.” Parker scored a game-high 26 points in Game 5 despite playing through a hamstring injury while power forward Tim Duncan had 17 points and 12 rebounds for his third double-double of the series.

ABOUT THE HEAT: Forward LeBron James is aware he will receive a lot of criticism if Miami falls short but he isn’t running from it on the eve of Game 6. James is averaging 21.6 points and 10.8 rebounds and has reached 20 points just twice in the series. “I have to come up big for sure in Game 6,” James said. “But I believe we all have to play at a high level in order to keep the series going. So me being one of the leaders of this team, I do put a lot of pressure on myself to force a Game 7 and I look forward to the challenge.” Guard Dwyane Wade has put together back-to-back stellar games of 32 and 25 points and veteran guard Ray Allen had his best game of the series with 21 points on 7-of-10 shooting in Game 5.

TRENDS:

* Heat are 12-0 ATS in their last 12 games following a loss.
* Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
* Under is 4-0 in Heat’s last four home games.
* Under is 16-4-1 in Spurs’ last 21 road games.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. The three teams to rally from a 3-2 deficit with two consecutive home victories are the 1988 Los Angeles Lakers, the 1994 Houston Rockets and the 2010 Lakers.

2. San Antonio is shooting 44.2 percent from 3-point range in the series with G Gary Neal (12-for-24) joining Green in shooting superbly.

3. James is shooting 43.6 percent in the series, well below his regular-season mark of 56.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roxxy

SEATTLE STORM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

06/18/13 Prediction

Season
Straight Up: 856-406 (.678)
ATS: 671-623 (.519)
ATS Vary Units: 1672-1585 (.513)
Over/Under: 665-629 (.514)
Over/Under Vary Units: 925-849 (.521)

NBA Finals
Game #6
MIAMI 100, San Antonio 96

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spurs Seek 5th NBA Title on Tuesday in Miami

"NBA Finals"
Game 6 - San Antonio leads series 3-2
Tip-off: Tuesday, 8:00 p.m. ET
Line: Miami -7, Total: 190.5

The Spurs try to wrap up their fifth NBA Championship since 1999 when they visit the Heat in Tuesday's Game 6.

After a quiet postseason, San Antonio veteran SG Manu Ginobili finally showed up on Sunday, pouring in 24 points and 10 assists with a game-best +19 rating to help lead his team to the 114-104 victory. The Spurs now lead the series 3-2 with the final two games taking place in Miami. San Antonio shot a blistering 60% from the floor and 41% from three-point range (9-of-22), with SG Danny Green knocking down six threes, giving him an NBA Finals record 25 made three-pointers in the series. The Heat actually shot better from behind the arc (48%, 11-of-23) than they did on their two-point shots (41%, 26-for-63) during Game 5. The Spurs held a 50-40 advantage for points in the paint, but rebounding was nearly even (36-34 San Antonio). These teams have now alternated wins and losses in all five games of the series, and the Heat have alternated wins and losses now for 12 straight contests. But they have not lost two in a row since Jan. 10, and are 19-3 SU (16-6 ATS, 73%) following an SU loss this season. Miami is 45-7 SU at home (87%), but just 27-25 ATS, while San Antonio is 30-20 SU and 27-23 ATS (54%) on the road this season, including 7-2 (SU and ATS) in playoff away games. The Heat have been the much better wager with just one day of rest though at 36-28 ATS (56%), while the Spurs are just 29-31 ATS (48%) with one off-day in between games.

The Spurs are now 15-4 SU and 13-6 ATS (68%) in the postseason, outscoring opponents by 8.3 PPG, and outshooting them 47% FG to 43% FG over these 19 contests. But after committing just four turnovers in the Game 1 win, the club has been much more sloppy with the basketball, producing 68 miscues (17.0 TOPG). But the high number of assists (103) to made field goals (183) in the series shows that this is still an unselfish basketball team willing to pass for the best possible shot. Defensively, San Antonio has allowed 92.7 PPG on 43% FG (36% threes) in the postseason, but has not been able to stop Miami at times during the NBA Finals, allowing just 96.2 PPG, but on an efficient 46% FG and 42.3% threes. The Spurs have produced just 5.8 SPG in the NBA Finals, but also have a respectable 5.0 BPG. Rebounding hasn't been a huge factor in this series, as San Antonio has 205 boards (50 offensive) over the five games, while the Heat have 193 rebounds (46 offensive). But the best big man in the series has clearly been PF Tim Duncan (15.6 PPG, 11.2 RPG in series) who has recovered from a horrible Game 2 (nine points on 3-of-13 FG) with 16.3 PPG on 58% FG and 10.3 RPG in the past three games. In his NBA Finals career, Duncan has a 19-8 record with 21.4 PPG on 47% FG, 13.8 RPG, 3.0 APG and 2.8 BPG. PG Tony Parker (16.2 PPG, 6.6 APG in series) had his best offensive game of the series in Game 5 with 26 points on 10-of-14 FG and 6-of-8 threes. And since committing five turnovers in the Game 2 loss, Parker has dished out 22 assists with just eight turnovers (2.8 Ast/TO ratio) in the past three contests. SG Manu Ginobili (10.8 PPG, 4.4 APG in series) had a paltry 7.5 PPG on 34.5% FG in the first four games of the series, but he erupted on Sunday with 24 points on 8-of-14 FG, while adding a game-high 10 assists. The 24 points were the most he's scored since last year's Western Conference Finals when he poured in 34 points in a loss to Oklahoma City, also in Game 5. Speaking of hot shooting, SG Danny Green (18.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG in series) continues to sizzle during the NBA Finals, knocking down 25-of-38 threes (66%), including 6-of-10 from behind the arc on Sunday. His 25 made three-pointers this series shattered the previous NBA Finals record of 22, and he still has at least one more game to play. In the two contests in Miami, Green made 9-of-14 threes. SF Kawhi Leonard (12.2 PPG, 10.2 RPG in series) has been consistently good on both ends of the floor in the NBA Finals, finishing with a series-high 16 points while also grabbing eight boards in Game 5. Although he's made a hefty 17-of-28 FG (61%) at home during the NBA Finals, Leonard connected on only 7-of-21 FG (33%) in the two games in Miami. SG Gary Neal (11.2 PPG in series) had also been on fire in the first two AT&T Center games in this series with 18.5 PPG on 13-of-24 FG (54%), but was a non-factor on Sunday with just two points on 1-of-4 shooting in 21 minutes. But he did help the team by playing strong enough defense to post a +17 rating.

Miami is 14-7 SU and 11-10 ATS (52%) this postseason, and the offense is finally starting to gel. After failing to reach 100 points in five straight games, the Heat have surpassed the century mark in three of the past four contests, averaging 98.3 PPG on 47% FG and 46% threes during these four games. They continue to protect the basketball with great care, piling up 22.2 APG and just 11.0 TOPG (2.02 Ast/TO ratio) in the NBA Finals. After getting lit up for 114 points in Game 5, Miami has now allowed 99.2 PPG on 47% FG (44% threes) to San Antonio this series. That's a big drop-off from the first three playoff series when Heat opponents scored just 87.6 PPG on 43% FG (33% threes). The three-point shot is really burning Miami, as San Antonio has made an insane 43-of-90 threes (48%) over the past four games. SF LeBron James (21.6 PPG, 10.8 RPG, 6.8 APG in series) continues to be the team's best, and most consistent player in the postseason. In Game 5, he scored 25 points (8-of-22 FG) with eight assists and six boards. And in his past six home games, James is averaging a hefty 27.2 PPG (51% FG), 10.0 RPG, 6.7 APG, 1.7 SPG and 1.5 BPG. SG Dwyane Wade (20.0 PPG, 5.4 APG in series) has posted back-to-back outstanding games, averaging 28.5 PPG on 51% FG with 7.0 APG, 5.0 RPG and 3.5 SPG. In his brilliant NBA Finals career spanning 22 games, Wade is averaging a lofty 26.4 PPG (48% FG), 6.0 RPG and 4.9 APG. PF Chris Bosh (14.6 PPG, 8.8 RPG, 2.0 SPG in series) has been pretty consistent in the NBA Finals with three double-doubles in the five games. And after his pedestrian 12.7 PPG on 44% FG in the first three contests, Bosh has averaged 18.0 PPG on 52% FG over the past two games. Although he pulled down just six rebounds on Sunday, five of those came on the offensive glass. PG Mario Chalmers (8.0 PPG in series) has scored a woeful 4.3 PPG on 21% FG (4-of-19) in the three San Antonio games, but he's happy to return home where he began the series with 13.5 PPG on 41% FG in Games 1 and 2. SG Ray Allen (13.0 PPG in series) has made up for Chalmers' poor shooting, as he's been on fire in the NBA Finals, making 22-of-34 shots (65%) and 11-of-17 threes (65%). He netted a series-high 21 points (7-of-10 FG, 4-of-4 threes) in Game 5. Although SG Mike Miller (5.8 PPG in series) has missed only three shots the entire series (10-of-13 FG, 9-of-12 threes), he's failed to get open recently. In the past two games -- both starts -- Miller is 0-for-1 in each contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LeBron's Shooting Sinks in Playoff Elimination Games

As LeBron James goes, so do the Miami Heat. If LeBron has a bad day in Game 6 of the NBA Finals Tuesday, Miami will more than likely watch the San Antonio Spurs celebrate a championship in South Beach.

James hasn’t been at his best when his team’s back is against the wall. During his career – with Miami and Cleveland – LeBron has played in eight playoff games with his team facing elimination. He’s won only two of those. And never has his team come back to win the series.

James is 4-4 ATS and over/under in those eight games. Miami is set as a 7-point home favorite with the total at 190.5 for Game 6 Tuesday.

In those eight do-or-die games, James averages 29.75 points, which is almost two points higher than his career postseason scoring average (28.0 ppg). His shooting percentages in those elimination games, however, has been much, much lower than the norm.

James has shot 43 percent (80 for 186) from the field, 27 percent from the 3-point arc (12 for 44) and 70 percent from the foul line (66 for 94) in those eight games, all of which are well under his career postseason averages (FG: 47%, 3PT: 32%, FT: 74.7%).

He’s played in two finals games facing elimination, scoring 21 points on 9-for-15 shooting in Game 6 versus the Dallas Mavericks in 2011 and 24 points on 10-for-30 shooting in a Game 4 loss to San Antonio in 2007.

James is averaging 25.1 points on 49.3 percent shooting during this current playoff run but only 21.6 points per game on 43.6 percent shooting versus the Spurs in The Finals. He has scored 25 and 33 points respectively in the last two games after putting up 18, 17, 15 in the first three contests. In his three seasons with Miami, the Heat are 22-18-1 ATS and 16-23-2 over/under when James scores less than 20 points.

The Heat are currently -130 favorites to win the NBA title (San Antonio +110) with the next two games scheduled in Miami. James is a -110 favorite to win NBA Finals MVP.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities
By JASON LOGAN

Spot bets are a classic handicapping practice that have proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots.

Lookahead spot

The ACC undergoes a face lift this season but the contenders remain the same. Florida State is one of the constants in the conference and is projected to finish second in the ACC Atlantic Division and is listed at +250 to win the ACC crown. One of the Seminoles’ biggest tests of the season comes against the rival Miami Hurricanes in Week 10. But before these Sunshine State schools collide, FSU hosts North Carolina State as 20-point home chalk on October 26.

The Wolfpack are sandwiched between Florida State’s games with the ACC’s favorites (+175) – Clemson and Miami. The Noles lost to NC State, 17-16, as 17-point road favorites last year and have had trouble meeting the oddmakers’ expectations against the Wolfpack. Florida State is 6-6 SU but 1-10-1 ATS versus NC State since 2001. Those 20-points look like a gift with the Noles peaking past the Pack and ahead to the Canes.

Letdown spot

The St. Louis Rams were one of the best bets in football last season, despite playing in the tough NFC West. They managed to cover in 11 of their 16 games overall and went a stunning 6-0 ATS versus division foes – San Francisco, Seattle and Arizona. St. Louis is looking up at the Niners and Seahawks again and has a home date with San Francisco in Week 4, pegged as a 4-point home underdog.

Win or lose in Week 4, the Rams will be in danger of a letdown spot against their next opponent, the Jacksonville Jaguars. Early lines project them as a 6.5-point home favorite versus the lowly Jags and if they show some fight against the 49ers, bettors may take this spread to a touchdown or beyond. Last season, after playing San Francisco to a 24-24 tie in Week 10, St. Louis fell flat on its face visiting the New York Jets. History may repeat itself in Week 5.

Schedule spot

The Los Angeles Dodgers - formerly of Brooklyn - have come back to the Big Apple for an interleague set with the New York Yankees, playing two games in the Bronx this week starting Tuesday. Following Wednesday’s 7:05 p.m. ET start in New York, the Dodgers hop back across the country to visit the San Diego Padres Thursday.

Los Angeles is just 10-19 on the road for -10.11 units heading into Game 1 with the Yankees, having dropped two of three games at Pittsburgh this weekend to open the nine-game road swing. San Diego, on the hand, was the best bet in baseball last week and is riding a six-game winning streak into Monday’s visit to San Francisco. The four-game set with L.A. kicks off Thursday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Strasburg bettors burning through units

Washington Nationals starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg is one of the worst bets in the MLB this season.

The Nationals are just 3-8 in Strasburg’s 13 starts to date and if you bet $100 on each of his outings, you’d be down $558.

The hard-throwing righty just returned from the disabled list Sunday (back) and the Nationals suffered their worst display of situational hitting all season in a 2-0 loss to the Cleveland Indians. Eight times they had runners on base with no outs and couldn’t score. Three of those times a runner reached third base with no outs and failed to plate.

Strasburg ranks 98th in the bigs in run support, receiving just 2.69 per game. His 2.50 ERA and 1.06 WHIP are on pace to be career bests, although that is not reflected in his 3-6 win-loss record.

Bettors looking for an over/under angle on Strasburg’s starts are also out of luck. The Nationals are 6-7 O/U in his outings.

Surprisingly, Strasburg wasn't a great bet last season either.

Despite Washington going 19-9 in the fireballer’s 28 starts in 2012, bettors only turned a profit of $350 due to the pumped up juice in his starts.

Strasburg has only been an underdog once this season - May 21 at San Francisco opposite Matt Cain.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indians a decent moneyline wager, horrible runline bet

The Cleveland Indians are turning a nice little profit on the moneyline but are a catastrophe on the runline.

The Indians’ 34-34 start has yielded a return of 4.66 units on the moneyline, but their 30-38 record on the runline has bettors burning 15.49 units.

Cleveland has played in 17 one-run ball games to date, winning 11 of those contests. That means the Tribe has lost by a single run six times in 34 losses. In fact, Cleveland is getting beat by an average of 4.1 runs in its losses.

The Indians’ inability to keep games close has resulted in a 19-14-1 over/under mark when they're on the losing end.

Cleveland continues its current nine-game homestand Monday night when it kicks off a three-game set with the Kansas City Royals. The Minnesota Twins roll into town on Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapping Kings

PJ (Tennis Capper)

ATP - TOPSHELF OPEN

NICOLAS MAHUT -185 RICARDAS BERANKIS (7am)

MICHAEL LLODRA -140 BENOIT PAIRE (5am)

ATP - AEGON INT
DENIS ISTOMIN +100 IVAN DODIG (8am)

WTA - AEGON INT
JOHANNA KONTA +135 SU-WEI HSIESH (6AM)

WTA - TOPSHELF OPEN
NADIA PETROVA -115 SAMANTHA STOSUR (8AM)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB: Washington vs. Philadelphia

Pick:
PHILADELPHIA 3 Units
Start: June 18, 2013 - 7:05 PM
Capper: Marc Lawrence

Offered at: BetOnline @ -160 Philadelphia

Analysis:

Play On:
Philadelphia w/Lee

Note: Cliff Lee and the Phillies host the Nationals in
Game Two of this three-game set in Philadelphia Tuesday night knowing Lee is in
commanding KW form with 34 strikeouts and 4 walks in his last four starts. Lee
is also 11-3 his last fourteen home team starts during the month of
June.

With Washington's Ross Detwiler just 2-4 under the lights at night
this season, look for Lee to improve to 6-3 in his career team starts against
the Nats here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on Philadelphia. Thank you and
good luck as always.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Lee is 6-0, 2.08 in his last eight starts.
-- Harvey is 0-1, 2.97 in his last five starts.
-- Latos is 2-0, 3.20 in his last four starts.
-- Wainwright is 5-0, 1.63 in his last five starts.
-- Figaro is 1-0, 4.15 in his three starts this season.
-- Cashner is 4-1, 3.35 in his last seven starts. Cain is 1-0, 0.00 (13.2 IP) in his last two starts.

-- Former Rocky Rogers is 1-0, 1.23 in three starts (14.2 IP), all Jays' wins.
-- Ryu is 3-0, 1.94 in his last six starts.
-- Lyles is 2-0, 1.65 in his last five starts.

-- Santana is 2-0, 1.66 in his last three starts. Jimenez is 2-1, 3.13 in his last four starts.
-- Verlander is 3-0, 2.89 in his last four starts.
-- Doubront is 2-0, 3.64 in his last three starts. Aceves is 2-0, 1.50 in his last two starts, which were 16 days apart.
-- Parker is 3-1, 2.34 in his last six starts. Darvish is 0-0, 1.71 in his last three.

Cold pitchers
-- Detwiler is 1-4, 4.70 in his last six starts.
-- Maholm is 1-1, 5.04 in his last four starts. Wheeler is making MLB debut; he was 4-2, 3.93 in 13 AAA starts. Wood is making first MLB start; he's allowed three runs in 7.2 IP in relief and was 4-2, 1.26 in ten AA starts this season.
-- Morton allowed four runs in five IP in losing his first '13 start.
-- Samarsdzija is 0-1, 5.89 in his last three starts.
-- Eovaldi is 5-15, 4.15 in 28 MLB starts (LA/Mia); he was 1-1, 4.35 in his five rehab starts in minors this year. Delgado is 5-10, 4.03 in 24 career starts; this is his first '13 start- he was 2-5, 5.91 in 13 AAA starts.

-- Francis is 1-2, 4.68 in his last five starts.
-- Hughes is 1-3, 5.83 in his last six starts.

-- Britton allowed six runs in six IP in losing his first '13 start.
-- Archer is 1-2, 4.80 in three starts this season. Odorizzi is 0-0, 9.00 (9 IP) in his first two MLB starts.
-- Pelfrey is 0-3, 5.95 in his last seven starts. Axelrod is 1-1, 4.37 in his last four outings.
-- Blanton is 0-3, 5.40 in his last three starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Detwiler 5-9 (5 of last 5); Lee 1-14
-- Harvey 3-14; Wheeler 0-0; Wood 0-0 Maholm 3-14
-- Morton 1-1; Latos 5-14
-- Samardzija 5-14; Wainwright 3-14
-- Eovaldi 0-0; Delgado 0-0
-- Cashner 4-10; Cain 4-14

-- Francis 5-10; Rogers 1-3
-- Ryu 3-13; Hughes 4-13 (0 of last 5)
-- Figaro 1-3; Lyles 4-9 (0 of last 3)

-- Santana 7-14; Jimenez 4-13
-- Britton 1-1; Verlander 4-14
-- Archer 0-3 Odorizzi 1-2; Aceves 0-5; Doubront 2-11
-- Parker 5-14; Darvish 5-13
-- Axelrod 4-13; Pelfrey 6-13
-- Bonderman 1-3; Blanton 5-13

Totals
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Washington games.
-- Ten of last fourteen St Louis games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Cincinnati games stayed under total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in Mets' last six games.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in Miami's last eight games.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in last twelve San Diego games.

-- Last five Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Bronx games.
-- 10 of last 12 Houston games stayed under the total.

-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Baltimore games.
-- Seven of last eight Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Boston games.
-- Nine of last thirteen Oakland games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Minnesota games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last eleven Seattle games stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Cincinnati won six of its last eight games.
-- Braves won eight of their last nine home games.
-- Cardinals won 15 of their last 22 home games.
-- Miami won six of its last nine games.
-- Padres won ten of their last twelve games.

-- Toronto won its last six games, allowing nine runs.
-- Milwaukee won six of its last nine games. Astros won four of last five.

-- Baltimore won six of its last nine games. Detroit won eight of its last eleven.
-- Royals won 11 of their last 13 games.
-- Angels won four of their last five games.

Cold teams
-- Phillies lost seven of their last ten games. Washington lost three of last four.
-- Mets lost 11 of their last 14 games.
-- Pirates lost five of their last seven road games.
-- Cubs lost ten of their last fifteen games.
-- Arizona lost seven of its last nine games.
-- San Francisco lost five of its last seven games.

-- Colorado is 3-5 in its last eight road games.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last eight games. Bronx lost five of last six.

-- Indians lost ten of their last fourteen games.
-- Tampa Bay lost six of its last eight games. Boston lost three of last four.
-- Rangers lost nine of their last twelve games; A's lost three of last four.
-- White Sox lost 11 of their last 13 road games. Twins lost three of last four.
-- Seattle lost 11 of its last 15 away games.

Umpires
-- Wsh-Phil-- Five of last six TBarrett games stayed under total.
-- NY-Atl-- Five of last six Cooper games stayed under; under is 9-2-1 in last 12 Schrieber games.
-- Pitt-Cin-- Underdogs won six of last seven Darling games.
-- Chi-StL-- Seven of last ten BWelke games stayed under, with dogs 8-5 in his last thirteen games behind the dish.
-- Mia-Az-- Five of last seven Muchlinski games stayed under.
-- SD-SF-- Seven of last nine Gonzalez games went over the total.

-- Col-Tor-- Seven of last eight Cuzzi games went over the total.

-- KC-Cle-- Underdogs are 10-4 in Wendelstedt games; over is 9-5 in his games, but last three stayed under the total.
-- Balt-Det-- Over is 9-5 in last 14 Winters games; favorites won six of his last seven games behind plate.
-- A's-Tex-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Nauert games.
-- Chi-Min-- Underdogs split last eight (+$144) Everitt games.
-- Sea-LA-- Last four Hirschbeck games stayed under the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

San Francisco Giants

"This is no fish tale: Hondo cashed a tasty 2-1 shot last night when his current favorite player, Giancarlo Stanton, powered the Marlins past the Diamondbacks to reduce the accounts payable to 250 hubbells.Tonight, Mr. Aitch likes the price for Cain, who recently showed some interest in working his way back into the stable – 10 units on the Giants to pick apart the Pods."

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

LA Dodgers at NY Yankees

The Yankees look to take advantage of a Dodgers team that is 2-10 in its last 12 road games against teams with a winning record. New York is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JUNE 18 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Washington at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Detwiler) 14.778; Philadelphia (Lee) 16.261 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-160); 7 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-160); Under

Game 903-904: NY Mets at Atlanta (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Harvey) 15.922; Atlanta (Wood) 14.796 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); 7 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-105); Over

Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.862; Cincinnati (Latos) 16.776 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2; 7 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-185); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-185); Under

Game 907-908: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Samardzija) 15.235; St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.755 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-200); 7 Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+170); Over

Game 909-910: Miami at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Eovaldi) 14.582; Arizona (Delgado) 15.940 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 911-912: San Diego at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Cashner) 16.507; San Francisco (Cain) 15.421 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+130); Over

Game 913-914: Kansas City at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Santana) 16.841; Cleveland (Jimenez) 15.478 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Cleveland (-125); 8 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+105); Over

Game 915-916: Baltimore at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Britton) 15.573; Detroit (Verlander) 17.377 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2; 7 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 917-918: Tampa Bay at Boston (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Archer) 16.651; Boston (Aceves) 15.369 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 11 Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 10 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+110); Over

Game 919-920: Oakland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Parker) 14.539; Texas (Darvish) 15.915 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Texas (-170); 8 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-170); Under

Game 921-922: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Axelrod) 15.191; Minnesota (Pelfrey) 16.508 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Minnesota (-120); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120); Under

Game 923-924: Seattle at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Bonderman) 14.987; LA Angels (Blanton) 13.957 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 10 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-165); 9 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+145); Over

Game 925-926: Colorado at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Francis) 16.293; Toronto (Rogers) 15.110 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Toronto (-175); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+155); Over

Game 927-928: LA Dodgers at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Ryu) 14.476; NY Yankees (Hughes) 15.872 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 8 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-120); Under

Game 929-930: Milwaukee at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Figaro) 14.301; Houston (Lyles) 15.771 Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+100);

Game 931-932: Tampa Bay at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Odorizzi) 15.711; Boston (Doubront) 14.608 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 11 Vegas Line: Boston (-155); 10 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+135); Over

Game 933-934: NY Mets at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Wheeler) 14.877; Atlanta (Maholm) 13.692 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-180); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+160); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

San Antonio at Miami

The Heat look to bounce back from their 114-104 loss in Game 5 and take advantage of a San Antonio team that is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game. Miami is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-7). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JUNE 18 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 711-712: San Antonio at Miami (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.768; Miami 135.702 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 9; 186 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7; 191 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-7); Under