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Game: Tampa Bay at Boston (1:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tampa Bay +105 (moneyline)
The Rays are just four behind in the loss column, so these games become doubly important. Boston comes limping home after dropping three of four in Baltimore. Alfredo Aceves has been awful the last two seasons, and was even demoted to Pawtucket for awhile this season, as he has struggled to a 5.58 ERA. The Rays have not fared well on the road where they are under .500 for the season, but there has been a much better outcome when facing a right hander on the road, where they are an impressive 10-4 in their last 14. The Red Sox are a miserable 1-5 in Aceves' last six home starts, and Boston is 21-43 in their last 64 vs. a winning team. Play on Tampa Bay in Game One.
Spurs +7.5 over Heat
I think the Heat will win this game, but they really are not worthy to be 7.5 points favorites. The Spurs have been the much better team in this series and I understand that the winner in every game so far has blown out the other team, but I think we are going to see a lower scoring type game today. Put it this way. The winner of this game will win the championship. If the Spurs win they obviously win, but if Miami wins and forces a game 7 there is no way we can possibly go against Lebron James who is the poster boy of the NBA in a Game 7. To be honest I don’t think James is ready to be placed in the same sentence as Kobe and Jordan, but he has been invested in by so many people that there is no turning back now. I am looking for a tight game with the Spurs covering. As a handicapper there are some series that are just not worth betting. This is one of them. I know it is not the best thing to say, but I give you all my complete honesty. You don’t have to wager on a game just because it’s a big one. A game is just a game be it Game 7 of the NBA Finals or Week 4 in the NFL. Take the Spurs.
A’s +160 over Rangers
Parker/DarvishThis is the lowest I have seen Darvish listed at in a while. He is a great pitcher for sure, but his team is struggling to get him runs and I am pretty sure the A’s give him more trouble than any other team in baseball. Jarrod Parker has been Darvish like in his last three starts and I think we will see a fine pitchers duel today. This is a good price for the A’s who are able to win games against Texas in this fashion. Oakland can hit the ball well and I see a lot of value in this line. Take Oakland.
#913 KANSAS CITY ROYALS +105
We cashed a (2*) on KC last night, and I am going right back to the "streaking" Royals tonight. Of course these Indians are "streaking" in the wrong direction, and they are sending out big time hit or miss SP Ubaldo Jiminez tonight. KC sends out Santana, and he has been fantastic for these Royals. He has already tossed a gem vs these Indians this season, and add on the fact that the slumping Tribe has 2 very important pieces of their lineup out in Swisher and Cabrera, and of course they are w/out their closer Perez as well. Simply riding the HOT team playing with extreme confidence and a defnite bullpen edge as well as a SP edge IMO. I expect Santana to "limit" the Tribe and out pitch Ubaldo and hand the ball over to the Royals very solid back end of their bullpen.
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