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Stephen Nover MLB Money Line Wed, 06/19/13 - 7:05 PM
double-dime bet - 965 KAN (+140) vs 966 CLE
The Royals gave away a victory last night against Cleveland. But they've been playing good ball and their bullpen usually has been highly reliable. I see the Royals bouncing back today.
Kansas City is 11-3 in its last 14 games. Luis Mendoza has had five strong starts in his last six outings. He has a 2.95 ERA during his last three starts against the Indians.
Cleveland starter Justin Masterson has proven tough at home. The Royals faced him earlier this season, though, and scored seven runs off him in six innings.
Masterson has dropped three in a row to Kansas City. His ERA during this span is 8.84.
Normally we would not recommend spotting a half puck to a team like the Blackhawks, but just like every team the Bruins have played this post-season besides the Maple Leafs in the first round (did Toronto really score 18 goals on Rask?), Boston has the Blackhawks reeling and over-thinking the game. Zdeno Chara is one man. Yeah, he’s great but Joel Quenneville has Patrick Kane and Jonathan Toews split up so that Chara can’t be on the ice against both of them all the time. Quenneville’s constant line juggling is unnecessary and the frustration it’s causing for the players is evident. John Tortorella of the Rangers was always line juggling and we all know how that worked out. Chicago is down just 2-1 to these Bruins but this deficit seems deeper than the 3-1 hole they were in to Detroit.
Before this series, the Bruins were worried about respecting Chicago’s speed and avoiding dumb penalties. As it turns out, it should have been the other way around. Every game it’s a disciplined, exhaustive effort by the B’s and three stars are not enough to recognize all the great efforts from top to bottom. Instead of dwelling on that morale-killing loss in Game 1, the Bruins have responded by digging deep and doing everything it takes to win. Chicago is getting great efforts from certain players but when your top two guys (Toews and Kane) aren’t producing or going extra hard, it resonates down the entire bench. There is a cliché that says, “If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it” but again, Quenneville is overthinking the game and even if he puts Kane and Toews back together here, the damage may have already been done. Then there’s Tuukka Rask, who has frustrated every team he’s played and he’s doing the same to the Blackhawks. In the end, the Bruins have shut down the high-flying Penguins and Blackhawks when most said it was not possible. After the injury to Nathan Horton, Claude Julien put together a third-line of Daniel Paille, Chris Kelly and Tyler Seguin and the trio came calling again. Julien is out-coaching Quenneville, Boston is more focused and certainly playing with more purpose while the Blackhawks are getting worse with each passing period. Doubtful anything changes tonight and therefore we’ll spot the -½ puck.
Stanley Cup action report: Total bettors taking over 4.5 goals
The Boston Bruins can put the Chicago Blackhawks on the ropes with a win at home in Game 4 of the Stanley Cup final Wednesday. We talk with Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker for CarbonSports.ag, about the money coming in on tonight’s NHL playoff action:
Chicago Blackhawks at Boston Bruins – Open: -135, Move: -140
Some books have pumped up the Bruins moneyline for Game 4 while others have begun to trim the price tag on the home side, with action showing on the Blackhawks. According to Stewart, it’s been all Boston money at his book.
“We opened the Bruins at -135 on the moneyline and have since gone to -140 as 73 percent of the money is coming in on the Bruins,” he says.
Boston has won the last two games of the Cup final after losing Game 1 in triple overtime. The Bruins have a huge home-ice edge, having won seven straight inside the TD Garden heading into Game 4.
Puckline bettors are also siding with Boston in Game 4. According to Stewart, 75 percent of bets are taking the Bruins to cover the 1.5-goal spread (+225). The Bruins edged the Blackhawks 2-0 in Game 3.
The total for Game 4 opened at 4.5 and has drawn action on the over, bumping it up to 5 at some markets. Stewart says 70 percent of the over/under bets are siding with the over despite the last two games finishing under. The under is also 4-0 in Boston’s last four home games.
MLB
Rays +110[/B] over Red Sox
(Hellickson/Dempster)
Both teams have been struggling to hit the ball the last week, but to me Dempster allowing all of those walks this year is never good for a game that might be low scoring. More guys you put on base the more chances for runs to be allowed it really is that simple. Take Tampa.
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