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Confederations Cup betting: Brazil-Spain final preview
Sunday marks the final day of the Confederations Cup with a pair of matches including a tasty final which pits host-nation Brazil against the nation which many describe as the best side of all time, Spain. Odds reflect just how close this matchup is going to be. Pre-tourney fave Brazil are +150 to repeat as Confederations Cup champions. The Canarinho defeated the United States 3-2 in the final in the 2009 version of the Cup.
Spain played a long, grueling match against the Italians which went scoreless into extra time and eventually won on penalties. It was a first-class penalty taking exhibition that saw the Spanish prevail 7-6 with Italian defender Leonardo Bonucci the first to miss.
Brazil v Spain (+150, +240, +180)
Site: Rio De Janeiro
Game time: 6 p.m. ET
Brazil made it to the final courtesy of a late header by the reportedly Tottenham Hotspur-bound Paulinho. The midfielder has been arguably Brazil's second-best player in the tourney. The best? No question it's the electric Neymar. The attacking dynamo has delighted fans with flashes of brilliance and a samba-infused style that the footy-mad Brazilian public crave. He has paced Brazil's attack with three goals and a pair of assists along with striker Fred who has three goals to his name.
The Spanish lead the way in essentially every offensive category in the Confederations Cup. They dominate possession, controlling the ball at a clip of 64.8 percent. They take the most shots per game with 22. The Spanish are the most accurate passing team at 91.8 percent. In that regard, it's been another master-class performance from La Roja. However, the lengthy match versus the Italians, paired with one less day of rest could mean the Spanish may very well be a fatigued side. That said, they do possess the depth to replace tired legs with a sub of almost-equal value. When your bench boasts quality players like Santi Cazorla, David Villa, Jesus Navas, et al, it's a glorious luxury indeed.
This should an incredibly tight affair, but if the teams avoid parking the bus and do not play for a draw (and ultimately penalties), footy fans could be in store for a contest of the highest caliber.
* The Spanish have 24 wins and five draws in their previous 29 competitive matches.
* The Brazilians lead the head-to-head battle winning four of eight matches. Spain have beaten Brazil twice. -
Sunday Night Baseball: Yankees at Orioles
By STEVE MERRIL
It’s an AL East battle on Sunday Night Baseball as the Orioles host the Yankees.
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles (-121, 8.5)
TILLMAN ON FIRE
Chris Tillman is 9-2 with a 3.72 ERA for the Orioles. He has won six of his last seven starts and he is 5-0 in the month of June. The righty has given up just 10 runs in those five starts this month with wins coming over the hard-hitting Tigers and Red Sox. Tillman has had a bit of a control issue in his last three starts; he has a negative 10/11 strikeout/walk ratio. He has not faced the Bronx Bombers since September 2nd when he allowed 2 runs and two hits in three innings in an 8-3 Baltimore win. Tillman hasn’t seen the Yankees at home since September 19th, 2010 when he gave up six walks in just over three innings.
KURODA KEEPS ON GOING
Hiroki Kuroda is 7-5 with a 2.77 ERA. He has held opposing hitters to a .200 batting average over his last three starts which came against the Dodgers, Rangers, and Athletics. He has not won a road start in his last four chances picking up two losses and two no-decisions. He pitched in Baltimore back on May 22nd and gave up 5 runs and eight hits in two innings. Kuroda has been able to pitch into the sixth inning in six straight starts.
INJURY REPORT
The Yankees continue to have numerous big names on their injury list. Alex Rodriguez, Mark Teixeira, Curtis Granderson, Derek Jeter and Kevin Youkilis are all out as well as Michael Pineda and Francisco Cervelli. Pineda is on a rehab assignment and he could be back after the All-Star break. A-Rod is ready to start a rehab assignment with Jeter aiming to return in July as well. Granderson could be back next week after fracturing his pinkie finger.
Baltimore's injury list is short and about to get shorter with Brian Roberts most likely being activated on Sunday. Wei-Yin Chen is dealing with an oblique injury, while Wilson Betemit has a knee injury that may keep him out until the end of July.
TRENDS
Yankees are 0-4 in Kuroda’s last 4 road starts
Yankees are 34-15-2 Under in Kuroda’s last 51 starts
Orioles are 21-8 in Tillman’s last 29 starts
Orioles are 3-1-1 Over in their last 5 Sunday games
HITTERS TO WATCH
Robinson Cano 8-for-16 vs. Tillman
Ichiro Suzuki 1-for-10 vs. Tillman
Nate McLouth 3-for-22 vs. Kuroda
J.J. Hardy 2-for-14 vs. KurodaComment
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Yankees, Orioles Wrap Up 3-Game Set Sunday
First pitch: Sunday, 8:05 p.m. ET
Line: New York Yankees +106 vs Baltimore Orioles -116
Jockeying for second place in the AL East, the Yankees and Orioles will finish a three-game series on Sunday night.
The Yankees enter this series having lost three of their past four games, scoring a combined 10 runs in those four games. This series finale features a strong pitching matchup. New York's Hiroki Kuroda (7-5, 2.77 ERA) has been his team's most consistent starter, though he’ll take on Chris Tillman (9-2, 3.72 ERA) who has led Baltimore to victory in seven consecutive starts. However, the Orioles have struggled lately. Though they have won two of their past three contests, that came after a four-game losing streak. These two teams have faced each other twice this season, splitting the six games with Baltimore taking two of three at home. Overall, the Yankees have dominated the series between these two teams recently. They are 28-19 (.596) against the Orioles over the past three years, including 14-9 (.609) at Camden Yards. New York has done well against AL East foes this season, going 18-13, while the Orioles are just 17-18 in division play.
The Yankees have won two consecutive Kuroda (1.05 WHIP) starts, snapping a skid of five consecutive losses when he took the mound. During that stretch he was mostly a victim of poor run support, however, with New York averaging 1.4 runs per game in that span. However, the first of those five losses (May 22 at Baltimore) was all on Kuroda. In his first-ever visit to Camden Yards, he lasted just two innings while allowing eight hits and five runs. The struggling New York offense that is now without 1B Mark Teixeira (wrist) for the season, ranks among the nine worst teams in the majors in runs (302, 22nd), average (.238, 26th), on-base percentage (.301, 24th) and slugging percentage (.380, 24th). Kuroda has started against the Orioles four times in his career, going 2-2 with a 3.42 ERA and 0.99 WHIP, limiting them to a .265 on-base percentage. Driving his success this season has been his impeccable control, giving up just 21 walks and 85 hits in 100.2 innings. He entered Friday ranked 7th in the American League in both ERA and WHIP. The two guys he needs to watch out for on Sunday are CF Adam Jones and 1B Chris Davis. Jones is 5-for-12 in his career against Kuroda while Davis, who ranks among the AL's top two players in BA (.333), HR (28) and RBI (74), is 4-for-12 with a home run and four RBI against Kuroda. The right-hander is supported by a Yankee bullpen that has a 3.42 ERA and 13-7 record, led by Mariano Rivera’s 26 saves and 1.55 ERA. The relievers have been even better on the road this season, sporting a 3.01 ERA.
Unlike Kuroda, Tillman (1.30 WHIP) has been blessed with tremendous run support, getting an average of 7.7 runs per game during his seven-start unbeaten streak. Entering Friday, the Orioles rank second in the majors with 391 runs and lead MLB with a .451 slugging percentage. Though not as deft as Kuroda, Tillman has also been good at keeping runners of base with 36 walks and 87 hits in 94.1 innings of work. Though he has yet to face the Yankees this season, that’s something he’s probably happy about. In seven career starts against the Pinstripes, he is 2-3 with an 8.16 ERA and 2.16 WHIP. However, he will not have to face injured stars Derek Jeter, Curtis Granderson, Mark Teixeira or Alex Rodriguez, who are a combined 17-of-41 (.415) with 2 HR and 11 RBI versus Tillman in their careers. Tillman might be best served by pitching around the one true healthy threat in the Yankees lineup, 2B Robinson Cano, who is 8-for-16 with a home run and 6 RBI against Tillman. The Baltimore bullpen has a mediocre 3.96 ERA this season (20th in MLB) with 14 wins and 11 losses.Comment
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MLB
Hot pitchers
-- Cashner is 1-0, 2.37 in his last three starts. Eovaldi is 1-0, 3.00 in two starts this season.
-- GGonzalez is 1-0, 2.43 in his last five starts. Wheeler is 1-0, 3.17 in two starts this season.
-- Lohse is 2-0, 2.67 in his last four starts.
-- Bumgarner is 3-1, 2.77 in his last four starts.
-- Kendrick is 1-0, 1.72 in his last couple starts. Fife is 2-2, 3.03 in his last five.
-- Latos is 3-1, 2.85 in his last six starts.
-- Bonderman is 1-0, 1.42 in his last four starts.
-- Buehrle is 2-1, 2.63 in his last four starts. Dempster is 3-1, 3.96 in his last four home starts.
-- Tampa Bay won seven of last nine Hellickson starts (2-0, 1.38 last two)
-- Santana is 2-0, 2.08 in his last five starts. Correia is 1-1, 2.55 in his last three.
-- Wilson is 4-0, 3.38 in his last four starts.
-- Tillman is 5-0, 2.91 in his last five starts. Kuroda is 1-0, 2.95 in his last three.
Cold pitchers
-- Cahill is 0-5, 7.60 in his last seven starts. Maholm is 1-2, 5.60 in his last three outings.
-- Morton is 1-1, 5.63 in three starts this season.
-- Pomeranz was 4-10, 5.21 in 26 MLB starts in 2011-12; he is 8-1, 4.20 in 15 AAA starts this season. This is his first MLB start this year.
-- Milone is 0-2, 5.94 in his last three starts. Westbrook has a 5.40 RA in his last four starts.
-- Darvish is 0-1, 6.35 in his last couple starts.
-- Jackson is 0-2, 9.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Porcello is 0-2, 9.58 in his last couple starts.
-- Sale is 0-3, 4.13 in his last four starts. Masterson is 1-3, 5.45 in his last five outings.
-- Harrell is 0-1, 11.42 in his last couple starts.
Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Cashner 5-12; Eovaldi 0-2
-- Gonzalez 5-16; Wheeler 1-2
-- Lohse 6-15 (3 of last 5); Morton 1-3
-- Cahill 4-16; Maholm 3-16
-- Bumgarner 1-16; Pomeranz 0-0
-- Kendrick 6-16; Fife 1-6
-- Latos 6-16; Darvish 5-15 (0 of last 5)
-- Westbrook 2-9; Milone 5-16 (0 of last 7)
-- Jackson 6-16; Bonderrman 1-5
-- Kuroda 5-16 (0 of last 6); Tillman 4-16
-- Buehrle 4-16 (0 of last 7); Dempster 6-15
-- Porcello 3-14; Hellickson 7-16 (0 of last 6)
-- Santana 7-16; Correia 6-15 (4 of last 7)
-- Masterson 3-17 (1 of last 10); Sale 6-15
-- Wilson 4-16; Harrell 3-17
Totals
-- Five of last six Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Last five San Diego games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Arizona games stayed under total.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in Colorado's last thirteen games.
-- Eight of last ten Dodger home games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Texas games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Oakland games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Mariner games went over the total.
-- Four of last six Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Boston games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Detroit games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Minnesota games.
-- Four of last six White Sox games went over the total.
-- Under is 11-5-1 in last seventeen Houston home games.
Hot teams
-- Pirates won their last eight games, scoring 51 runs.
-- Marlins won six of their last eight games.
-- Mets won eight of their last twelve games.
-- Braves won four of their last five games.
-- Colorado won its last four home games, scoring 21 runs.
-- Dodgers won seven of their last eight games.
-- Rangers won eight of their last ten games.
-- Oakland won 15 of its last 18 home games.
-- Cubs won three of their last four games.
-- Baltimore won five of its last six games.
-- Tampa Bay won four of its last six games.
-- Angels won their last six road games, scoring 40 runs.
-- Minnesota won five of its last six home games.
-- Cleveland won nine of its last twelve games.
-- Boston won eight of its last ten home games.
Cold teams
-- Washington lost four of its last six road games.
-- Brewers lost five of their last six games.
-- Padres lost five of their last seven games.
-- Arizona lost five of its last six games.
-- Giants lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Phillies are 4-6 in their last ten games.
-- Reds lost six of their last eight games.
-- Cardinals lost five of their last seven games.
-- Mariners lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Bronx is 5-12 in its last seventeen games.
-- Toronto lost four of its last six games.
-- Tigers lost four of their last five games.
-- Astros lost four of their last five games.
-- White Sox are 4-8 in their last twelve games.
-- Royals lost seven of their last ten games.
Umpires
-- Wsh-NY-- Last five Hernandez games went over the total.
-- Az-Atl-- Home side won nine of last eleven Culbreth games.
-- SF-Col-- Underdogs won 16 of last 24 Reynolds games.
-- SD-Mia-- Four of last five Conroy games stayed under.
-- Mil-Pitt-- Home side won five of six Rackley games.
-- Phil-LA-- Seven of last nine Miller games stayed under.
-- Stl-A's-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Hickox games.
-- Cin-Tex-- Seven of last nine TBarrett games stayed under.
-- Chi-Sea-- Four of last five Diaz games stayed under total.
-- Tor-Bos-- Underdogs won six of last ten TWelke games.
-- Cle-Chi-- Four of last five Wendelstedt games stayed under.
-- KC-Min-- Over is 8-3-1 in last twelve Hallion games.
-- LA-Hst-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Muchlinski games.
-- Det-TB-- Underdogs won four of last six Carapazza games.
-- NY-Balt-- Six of last seven Schrieber games stayed under.Comment
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
Our Free Plays are 1052-789 (58 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !
Free winner SUN Nationals w/ GonzalezComment
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Gamblers Data
Free Play Sunday
Braves -140Comment
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Power Play Wins
Play of the Day
TB RaysComment
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Baseball Crusher
Minnesota Twins -105 over Kansas City Royals
(System Record: 46-5, lost last 4 games)
Overall Record: 46-45-1
Soccer Crusher
Uruguay + Italy OVER 2.5
This match is happening in FIFA
(System Record: 418-15, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 418-362-55Comment
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Hondo
Hondo scored with the Reds and Cardinals last night but was out to lunch with the Brewers and Giants so the debt held steady at a smooth 750 carters.
Today, Mr. Aitch expects Buehrle to show some brawn against the Sawx — 20 units on the Blue Jays.Comment
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NASCAR betting: Quaker State 400 preview
Who will be victorious in the third NASCAR Sprint Cup Race at Kentucky Speedway, which has a reputation for being a "rough track" on Sunday?
Here’s our betting preview:
Favorite: Kyle Busch (7-1)
Busch has one win, one top-five and two top-10s in two starts at Kentucky Speedway. There have been 534 laps circled across the two races held at Kentucky and KB has led 45.5 percent of them
Live dog: Brad Keselowski (12-1)
Keselowski won last year's race at Kentucky with a backup car. He took a gambled on fuel late in the race to rack up his third win of the 2012 season. He ranks second, out of 45 drivers with an average place of 3.8 at Kentucky.
Long shot: Ryan Newman (80-1)
Newman finished fourth in the 2011 race at Kentucky but crashed with 59 laps to go last year after qualifying fifth. He has two top-10 finishes in his last five Sprint Cup races and has great value at 80-1 this week.
Key stat: Ten different drivers have posted top-10 victories at Kentucky in just two Sprint Cup races.
Notable quotable:
"I love how much character that racetrack has. It's so rough. The groove moves around, and you really are just trying to dodge the big swells and bumps to find grip for your race car.” –Jimmie Johnson on racing Kentucky Speedway
Odds to win the Quaker State 400 courtesy of 5dimes:
Kyle Busch 6-1
Kasey Kahne 7-1
Jimmie Johnson 7-1
Matt Kenseth 8-1
Denny Hamlin 11-1
Brad Keselowski 12-1
Carl Edwards 27-2
Clint Bowery 27-2
Kevin Harvick 27-2
Kurt Busch 16-1
Martin Truex Jr. 33-2
Greg Biffle 18-1
Jeff Gordon 19-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 39-2
Tony Stewart 43-2
Joey Logano 33-1
Brian Vickers 44-1
Juan Montoya 45-1
Jamie McMurray 115-2
Ryan Newman 80-1Comment
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Today's MLB Picks
Philadelphia at LA Dodgers
The Phillies look to bounce back from yesterday's loss and build on their 4-0 record in Kyle Kendrick's last 4 starts against NL West opponents. Philadelphia is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+100). Here are all of today's picks.
SUNDAY, JUNE 30
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. ESTGame 901-902: San Diego at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Cashner) 15.443; Miami (Eovaldi) 13.726
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Diego (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-120); UnderGame 903-904: Washington at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 14.666; NY Mets (Wheeler) 15.644
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+110); OverGame 905-906: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Lohse) 13.867; Pittsburgh (Morton) 16.825
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 3; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-140); UnderGame 907-908: Arizona at Atlanta (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Cahill) 15.035; Atlanta (Maholm) 14.763
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+120); OverGame 909-910: San Francisco at Colorado (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 14.125; Colorado (Pomeranz) 15.288
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+105); UnderGame 911-912: Philadelphia at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 16.227; LA Dodgers (Fife) 15.253
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+100); OverGame 913-914: NY Yankees at Baltimore (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 13.921; Baltimore (Tillman) 16.821
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 3; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-125); UnderGame 915-916: Toronto at Boston (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 16.892; Boston (Dempster) 15.832
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Boston (-145); 10
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+125); OverGame 917-918: Detroit at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 15.046; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 16.364
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); UnderGame 919-920: Kansas City at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Santana) 16.072; Minnesota (Correia); 14.422
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-110); OverGame 921-922: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 15.937; White Sox (Sale) 14.248
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+125); OverGame 923-924: LA Angels at Houston (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Wilson) 14.269; Houston (Harrell) 14.751
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-180); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+160); UnderGame 925-926: Cincinnati at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Latos) 15.148; Texas (Darvish) 14.245
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+135); OverGame 927-928: St. Louis at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Westbrook) 14.302; Oakland (Milone) 15.658
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Oakland (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-135); UnderGame 929-930: Chicago Cubs at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Jackson) 15.466; Seattle (Bonderman) 14.478
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100); OverComment
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WNBA Basketball Picks
Tulsa at Washington
The Mystics look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games against teams with a losing SU record. Washington is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Mystics favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-4). Here are all of today's picks
SUNDAY, JUNE 30
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. ESTGame 601-602: San Antonio at Atlanta (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 106.684; Atlanta 119.530
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 13; 162
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 11; 157
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-11); OverGame 603-604: Tulsa at Washington (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 104.100; Washington 109.985
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 6; 152
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4; 158
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-4); UnderGame 605-606: Seattle at Indiana (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 105.774; Indiana 113.842
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 8; 133
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 6; 138
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-6); UnderComment
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CAPPERS ACCESS
Nationals -140
Royals -110
Mariners -120Comment
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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets
MLB CLEVELAND at CHI WHITE SOX
Play On - Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHI WHITE SOX) with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL
67-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 74.4% 34.1 units )
8-6 this year. ( 57.1% -0.7 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets
MLB NY YANKEES at BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 128-90 (+48.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.5) , OPPONENT (4.3)Comment
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