6-30-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA TULSA at WASHINGTON

Play On - Home favorites (WASHINGTON) after 2 or more consecutive losses, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
89-45 since 1997. ( 66.4% 39.5 units )

WNBA SEATTLE at INDIANA

Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (INDIANA) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, with a losing record
226-92 since 1997. ( 71.1% 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 0.0 units )

WNBA TULSA at WASHINGTON

Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 explosive offensive team - scoring 77+ points/game on the season, after allowing 75 points or more
193-114 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.9% 67.6 units )
7-3 this year. ( 70.0% 3.7 units )

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EAGLE EYE SPORTS---Billy Joe Hershey
Sanfrancisco Giants
Washington Nationals
--------------------------
EAGLE EYE SPORTS---Detroit
Det Tigers Under 8

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Handicapping Kings

JIMMY

MLB

LAA/HOUSTON - UNDER 9 -115 (2PM)

OAKLAND -142 ST LOUIS (4PM)

WNBA

SA/ATLANTA - UNDER 157 (3PM)

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ScLiveDogs

Sunday MLB

Why we like the Rockies on Sunday at +105...going to fade the Giants in this road game where they are playing to a 14-27 road record on the season averaging 4.2 rpg while allowing 5.2 rpg. Aside from their road woes this season is the fact that the Giants are 1-8 in their last 9 overall games where they are averaging just 2.3 rpg with a .234 average while allowing 4.4 rpg during that stretch. The Rockies on the other hand have now won their last 4 of 7 games while averaging 4 rpg with a .288 average and allowing 4.1 rpg during that stretch. Those numbers are not whopping by any means, but they do have a built in home field advantage where they are 25-18 AT Coors Field on the season where they are averaging 5.4 rpg with a .288 average while allowing 4.5 rpg. The Giants will be pitching Madison Bumgarner who comes into this game with a 3.20 era on the season as well as a 1.71 era over his last 21 innings. We do make note that his last 14 innings were a bit misleading as they were both in the pitcher friendly parks of Dodger Stadium and Petco Park. With this game being pitched AT Coors Field, there is reason to back this home dog as Bumgarner has not fared well in his last two starts AT Coors Field where he allowed a combined 12 runs on 19 hits , 3 BBs and 6 Ks through 8 innings of work; including one of those starts being in 2013. There is more reason to fade Bumgarner on Sunday as he will be pitching this game on 5 days of rest, where on the season he sees his era elevate from a 3.20 overall era to a 3.96 era on 5 days of rest. Offensively, this Rockies lineup has a combined 153 ABs off of Bumgarner where they have a .301 average with 6 HRs. The Rockies will be pitching Drew Pomeranz who will be making his 2013 debut. Pomeranz has been pitching well over his last two starts down in Triple-A where he has allowed a combined 2 runs on 8 hits, 0 BBs, 14 Ks and 0 HRs through his last 13 innings of work. Also worth noting is that through his 2013 minor league campaign, Pomeranz has a 2.50 era during his daytime starts where he had allowed just 14 hits on 7 BBs, 24 Ks and 0 HRs through his 18 daytime innings. While pitching AT Coors Field during his 2012 season, Pomeranz did not shy away as he did post a respectable 4.91 era while allowing just 6 HRs through 51 innings at the hitter friendly Coors Field. From a bullpen perspective, we are looking at a home edge as the Rockies are posting a 3.38 home era with just 14 HRs allowed while the Giants have a road era of 3.43.

Play on the Rockies at +105

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BOB BALFE

COLORADO ROCKIES -110
(Pomeranz/Bumgarner)

The Giants have struggled scoring runs and that is a big no no when you are struggle with the bats in this ball park. The Rockies have no problem at all scoring and should cash in this afternoon. Take Colorado.

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Todays Bet Bets

(5 UNITS) Nats
Betting $650 to win $500

(5 UNITS) Rays
Betting $535 to win $500

(4 UNITS) Giants
Betting $460 to win $400

(4 UNITS) NYY/Bal - UNDER 8.5
Betting $400 to win $440

(3 UNITS) Cardinals
Betting $300 to win $405

(3 UNITS) Cincy/Tex - UNDER 8
Betting $300 to win $306

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SPORTS WAGERS

Chicago +105 over SEATTLE

Edwin Jackson owns an ugly 5.84 ERA, 1.56 WHIP line after 82 innings but his base skills have been good. Jackson has 73 K’s in those 82 frames and also has a strong 51% groundball profile. With the bases empty, Jackson’s numbers have been as good as any pitcher in the league. His troubles all stem from a ridiculously unlucky 62% strand rate. Jackson’s xERA of 3.98 is almost two runs lower than his actual ERA and with some inevitable better fortune, there's some nice profit potential here. That said, this one is more about fading Jeremy Bonderman pitching for the Mariners, a combo in which the risk swamps the reward.

It really is amazing ... baseball "experts" everywhere are singing the praises of Jeremy Bonderman and his 3.30 ERA after five starts and 1.40 ERA over his last three starts. "His fastball is hitting the corners”. "His slider is keeping batters off balance", they say. Good thing you are reading this because this is the only sentence you should believe ... "This is still Jeremy Bonderman." In eight seasons with the Tigers in his prime, Bonderman’s best ERA year was 4.08 in 2006. In 2008 his ERA was 4.29 and every other year it was close to or over 5.00. He’s been a stiff his entire career and he hasn’t discovered anything new. Bonderman also missed 2011 and 2012 before the M’s took a flyer on him. At Triple-AAA before his emergency call-up, Bonderman put up a less-than-impressive 4.52 ERA in 63 innings of work. In 30 innings over his five starts for Seattle, Bonderman has struck out 10 and walked 10. His xERA is 5.22, suggesting that some serious ERA regression is forthcoming. It’s a nice story for now but the most likely scenario here is that Bonderman is torched over his next few starts and his stay in Seattle will be a very short one. Misleading ERA’s of these two starters works in our favor.

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Jimmy Boyd

5* (MLB) Tampa Bay Rays ML -109

3* (MLB) Cleveland Indians ML +131

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SuperSportsGroup MLB

San Diego v. Miami 1:05pm
PICK: Marlins ML +110 Game

Washington v. NY 1:10pm
PICK: Mets ML +125 Game

Detroit v. Tampa Bay 1:40pm
PICK: OVER 7.5 Game -110

2 Team Parlay for
Jays ML +125 Game
Cleveland ML +125 Game

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Tony Petrini Sports VIP Club

Nationals -115 Rockies +110

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PAUL LEINER

100* Braves -140

50* Mariners -115

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Dave Essler

Over Astros
Over Rangers
Astros +1.5

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Greg Shaker MLB Money Line Sun, 06/30/13 - 4:10 PM

dime bet - 930 SEA (-115) vs 929 CHC

Analysis: I have the Mariners winning here at 55.8% of the time and playing 1%..

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CHRIS JORDAN

400* Orioles

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5Lines

Total Line for 06/30/2013

(Won last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Seattle Mariners : u8
Cost: -105

Run Line for 06/30/2013

(Lost last 4 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Los Angeles Angels : -1.5
Cost: -105