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Tigers' Scherzer climbs MLB money rankings with 13-0 start
Detroit Tigers pitcher Max Scherzer has earned bettors +8.20 units en route to MLB’s first 13-0 start in 27 years.
The Tigers right-hander picked up win No. 13 with a seven-inning, two-run effort in Detroit’s 6-2 win over the Toronto Blue Jays as a -128 road favorite Wednesday. The Tigers are 14-3 overall in Scherzer’s 17 appearances, which include four no-decisions.
He’s the first pitcher to start the schedule 13-0 since Roger Clemens won 14 outings without a loss with the Boston Red Sox in 1986 and is just the third starter to post that record in the past 100 years, joining Clemens and Ron Guidry of the New York Yankees in 1978. Those two went on to win the Cy Young Award that season.
Scherzer, who ranks seventh on the MLB money pitchers list, has been a moneyline favorite in all 17 of his 2013 starts. Last year, he posted a 16-7 record, earning +6.84 units in 32 starts.
Detroit is 8-9 over/under in Scherzer’s 17 trips to the bump this year. -
Football Jesus Free CFL pick : Saskatchewan RRComment
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MLB Report
Hot pitchers
-- Samardzija is 2-0, 3.22 in his last three starts. Liriano is 2-1, 1.93 in his last three starts.
-- Lee is 2-0, 2.70 in his last four starts.
-- Cashner is 1-0, 2.51 in his last four starts. GGonzalez is 2-0, 1.65 in his last four starts.
-- Turner is 2-0, 1.98 in six starts this season.
-- de la Rosa is 1-0, 1.42 in his last three starts.
-- Cain is 1-1, 1.56 in his last five starts. Ryu has a 2.75 RA in his last three starts, but no wins.
-- Leake is 2-0, 2.40 in his last four starts.
-- Masterson is 2-1, 2.83 in his last four starts.
-- MGonzalez is 4-1, 2.86 in his last five starts.
-- Hellickson is 3-0, 1.42 in his last three starts.
-- Harrelll is 1-1, 2.29 in his last three road starts.
-- Wilson is 5-0, 2.90 in his last five starts. Doubront is 1-0, 2.33 in his last three starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Braves lost Hudson's last eight road starts (0-6, 5.70 last six).
-- Wheeler allowed nine runs in ten IP in his last two starts. Hellweg allowed seven runs in 1.2 IP in his only MLB start.
-- Westbrook is 2-2, 6.55 in his last four starts.
-- Skaggs is 1-1, 5.40 in three starts this season.
-- Harang is 0-1, 5.00 in his last three starts.
-- Porcello is 0-3, 8.82 in his last three starts.
-- Correia is 0-1, 5.73 in his last two starts. Buehrle is 0-1, 6.55 in his last two.
-- Nova is 0-1, 5.93 in his last three starts.
-- Axelrod is 0-0, 7.84 in his last four starts.
-- Tepesch is 0-2, 7.82 in his last five starts.
-- Davis is 1-2, 6.16 in his last six starts. Milone is 1-2, 5.96 in his last four.
Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Liriano 2-10; Samardzija 5-17
-- Hudson 3-17; Lee 2-17
-- Cashner 5-13; Gonzalez 4-17 (0 of last 8)
-- Wheeler 1-3; Hellweg 0-1
-- Turner 0-6; Westbrook 3-10
-- de la Rosa 3-17 (0 of last 8); Skaggs 2-3
-- Ryu 4-16; Cain 6-17
-- Harang 5-13; Leake 2-16
-- Porcello 3-15; Masterson 3-18
-- Correia 6-16; Buehrle 4-17 (0 of last 8)
-- Gonzalez 5-14; Nova 3-5
-- Axelrod 5-16; Hellickson 7-17 (0 of last 8)
-- Harrell 3-18; Tepesch 3-16
-- Milone 6-17; Davis 5-16
-- Doubront 4-14; Wilson 4-17
Totals
-- Eight of last ten Cub games went over the total.
-- Ten of last twelve Philly games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in San Diego's last ten games.
-- Nine of last twelve New York games went over the total.
-- Five of their last seven Miami games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in Arizona's last six games.
-- Six of last seven San Francisco games stayed under.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Cincinnati home games.
-- 11 of last 15 Detroit games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Minnesota games went over total.
-- Eight of last ten Baltimore games stayed under total.
-- White Sox' last five games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Houston road games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Kansas City games went over total.
-- Three of last four games in Anaheim went over total.
Hot teams
-- Pirates won ten of their last twelve games. Cubs won three of their last four home games.
-- Braves won six of their last nine games.
-- Mets won seven of their last ten road games.
-- Marlins won ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Dodgers won ten of their last twelve games.
-- Cincinnati won four of its last five games.
-- Detroit won its last three games, scoring 24 runs. Indians won five of their last seven games.
-- Bronx won its last four games, scoring 29 runs. Orioles won five of their last seven games.
-- Tampa Bay won seven of its last eleven games.
-- Texas won ten of its last fourteen games.
-- A's won six of their last eight games. Royals won three of last four.
-- Red Sox/Angels both won eight of their last nine games.
Cold teams
-- Phillies lost three of their last four home games.
-- Padres lost ten of their last twelve games. Washington is 4-5 in its last nine home games.
-- Milwaukee lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Cardinals lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Arizona lost eight of its last eleven games. Rockies lost six of their last nine.
-- Giants lost 11 of their last 13 games.
-- Mariners are 3-5 in their last eight road games.
-- Minnesota lost eight of its last ten games. Toronto lost four of last five.
-- Astros lost seven of their last ten games.
-- White Sox lost six of their last eight games.Comment
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Baseball Crusher
Baltimore Orioles -110 over New York Yanks
(System Record: 47-6, won last game)
Overall Record: 47-49-1
Soccer Crusher
ASA Arapiraca + Chapecoense UNDER 3
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 421-15, won last game)
Overall Record: 421-363-56Comment
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Stamps at Roughriders: What bettors need to know
Calgary Stampeders at Saskatchewan Roughriders (-2, 54)
The Calgary Stampeders emerged from Week 1 as the top-ranked team in the CFL following a dominant showing at home against the BC Lions. The Stampeders (1-0) will try to defend their ranking when they visit the Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-0) on Friday. Saskatchewan, which is ranked fourth, is also off to a strong start after controlling its game against the Edmonton Eskimos from the opening kickoff despite missing new addition Geroy Simon on offense.
Calgary defeated the Roughriders 36-30 in the West Semi-Finals last year en route to an appearance in the 100th Grey Cup in Toronto. Saskatchewan will host this year’s Grey Cup, adding extra weight to its home opener. The Roughriders kept the Eskimos out of their end zone through three quarters last week, a defensive showing they would be happy to duplicate against the high-octane Stampeders offense.
TV: 9 p.m. ET, TSN
ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (1-0): Defensive lineman Charleston Hughes and running back Jon Cornish both received player of the week honors after their strong showing in Week 1. Hughes, who was named defensive player of the week, led Calgary with three sacks. Cornish, who was named the top Canadian player, ran for a league-best 172 yards and two touchdowns. Cornish, who also caught one pass for 20 yards, pledged to donate $10 to Calgary flood relief for every yard he earned in the game, totaling $1,920 that he rounded to an even two thousand dollars after the game.
ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (1-0): Running back Kory Sheets paced Saskatchewan’s offense in Week 1, carrying the ball 17 times for 131 yards and one touchdown. Sheets’ effective running opened up the field for slotback Chris Getzlaf, who caught three passes for 67 yards and a touchdown. Getzlaf only had two touchdowns last season. Getzlaf’s resurgence and the impending return of Simon from injury crowds a backfield that already includes 2012 CFL All-Star slotback Weston Dressler. Rookie defensive lineman Levi Steinhauer, who is from nearby Moose Jaw, Sask., forced two fumbles in his CFL debut.
TRENDS:
* Stampeders are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Saskatchewan.
* Over is 10-1 in Stampeders’ last 11 games overall dating back to last season.
* Roughriders are 6-1 ATS in their last seven Week 2 games.
EXTRA POINTS
1. Calgary defeated Saskatchewan in three of four meetings last year - including the West Semi-Final. Cornish was held to just 67 rushing yards in the Roughriders' only victory.
2. Stampeders QB Drew Tate showed no ill effects of last year’s injury-riddled campaign last week, throwing for 237 yards and three touchdowns.
3. Saskatchewan released WR Greg Carr on Tuesday after he caught one pass for five yards in the season opener.Comment
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Strategies for betting MLB team totals
Baseball is front and center in the betting world for the next couple months, so it's a good time to review MLB betting strategies.
Here are a few MLB team totals betting tips from an article recently published by Pinnacle Sports:
1) Gauging the juice
There is generally not enough action for books to deal these lines as sharp as they would a total or a runline. The key is to make sure you’re getting a good number and take solace in the fact you’re giving these lines more attention than the book is.
2) Common mistakes in calculating team totals
Myth: The two team totals should add up to the total for the game.
The article reads:
“If both teams will score 5 or more runs exactly half the time, meaning both teams have a fair Team Total of 4.5, you could safely bet the game to go over 9.5 at even money even though the Team Totals only add up to 9. That’s the way runs are distributed. It’s possible to score 24 runs in a game, but it’s impossible to score less than 0.”
3) Over or Under while playing team totals?
If the two team totals add up to a half run less than the game total, it’s a good idea to bet the under as long as the combined juice is small.
The article reads:
“Squares often bet with an unfounded optimism on what they’d like to see happen i.e. plenty of runs, and not what is most probable.”
4) Soft Lines
If a bettor wagers the mathematically incorrect side of a team total, especially if this happens twice, chances are this will move the line and cause it to present value. Sometimes, you may be lucky enough to find a line that has gone in the opposite direction of the main betting lines.Comment
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Today's MLB Picks
Atlanta at Philadelphia
The Phillies look to take advantage of an Atlanta team that is 0-8 in Tim Hudson's last 8 road starts. Philadelphia is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-140). Here are all of today's picks.
FRIDAY, JULY 5
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. ESTGame 951-952: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs (4:05 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Liriano) 16.558; Cubs (Samardzija) 15.288
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-120); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120); N/AGame 953-954: Atlanta at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hudson) 15.391; Philadelphia (Lee) 16.780
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-140); OverGame 955-956: San Diego at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Cashner) 13.619; Washington (Gonzalez) 14.944
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-150); UnderGame 957-958: NY Mets at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Wheeler) 15.556; Milwaukee (Hellweg) 14.652
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-105); OverGame 959-960: Miami at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Turner) 15.313; St. Louis (Westbrook) 16.726
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-180); UnderGame 961-962: Colorado at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.443; Arizona (Skaggs) 14.249
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/AGame 963-964: LA Dodgers at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Ryu) 14.568; San Francisco (Cain) 15.873
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/AGame 965-966: Detroit at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 16.516; Cleveland (Masterson) 15.692
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+110); OverGame 967-968: Minnesota at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Correia) 13.646; Toronto (Buehrle) 14.980
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-170); UnderGame 969-970: Baltimore at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.782; NY Yankees (Nova) 16.613
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+100); OverGame 971-972: Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Axelrod) 15.930; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 14.910
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+170); OverGame 973-974: Houston at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Harrell) 13.426; Texas (Tepesch) 14.847
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-215); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-215); UnderGame 975-976: Oakland at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 16.190; Kansas City (Davis) 14.988
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-110); UnderGame 977-978: Boston at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Doubront) 16.442; LA Angels (Wilson) 15.740
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+120); OverGame 979-980: Seattle at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Harang) 15.095; Cincinnati (Leake) 16.607
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-210); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-210); UnderComment
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Today's CFL Picks
Calgary at Saskatchewan
The Roughriders look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games in Week 2 of the season. Saskatchewan is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-1). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.
FRIDAY, JULY 5
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST (7/3)Game 425-426: Calgary at Saskatchewan (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 116.023; Saskatchewan 119.660
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 3 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 1; 54
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-1); UnderComment
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
Our Free Plays are 1058-790 (58 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !
Free winner 8-1 run FRI Oak A's -135Comment
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Gamblers Data
Free Play Friday
Orioles -118Comment
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Joe Wiz
Free Play Friday Oakland/Kansas City Under 9Comment
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Cappers Access
Cubs +135
Rays(RL) -1.5(+100)Comment
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Bookiemonsters
pod royals over 8.5Comment
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Paul Leiner
100* Mets +105
50* Angels -145Comment
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