7-9-13

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Cappers Access

Rays(RL) -1.5(+120)
Angels -120

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WNBA Basketball Picks

Atlanta at Minnesota

The Lynx look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games versus Atlanta. Minnesota is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-5). Here are all of today's picks

TUESDAY, JULY 9 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 651-652: Seattle at New York (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 108.234; New York 109.906 Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 1 1/2; 146 Vegas Line & Total: New York by 6; 141 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+6); Over

Game 653-654: Atlanta at Minnesota (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 114.625; Minnesota 121.540 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 7; 155 Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 5; 160 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-5); Under

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INTPICKS

Today's Official Picks

Tuesday, July 9, 2013

All 1 unit

MLB

7:05 PM ET

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit

Take Detroit Run Line (-1.5) -120

8:15 PM ET

Houston @ St. Louis

Take St. Louis Run Line (-1.5) -125

*Parlay Alert: Detroit & St. Louis Run Lines (Pays +253)

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EAGLE EYE SPORTS---Billy Joe Hershey
Chicago Cubs
Detroit Tigers

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tkwins

Baltimore under 9.5 7units
Mariners -125 5 units
Royals +127 3units

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Phillies, Best 'OVER' Bet in MLB, Lose Howard for 6-8 weeks

The Philadelphia Phillies have played over the total in 13 of their last 16 games heading into Tuesday night's action at home against the Washington Nationals

That streak has helped propel Philly to become the best 'over' bet in the majors with a 50-39-1 over/under record. Any $100 bettor would be up $344.51 if they had bet the over in each of the club's past six games, during which the over went 5-1.

The Phillies have averaged 5.1 runs per game over their past 16 contests, nearly 1.5 runs more than their season mark. But Philadelphia’s offense was dealt a huge blow Monday when it was determined that slugger Ryan Howard requires surgery to repair a torn meniscus in his left knee and will miss six to eight weeks.

Howard was hitting .266 with 11 home runs and 43 RBIs prior to the injury.

The Phillies took Game 1 of a four-game set with the Nationals, 3-2.

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB MINNESOTA at TAMPA BAY

Play On - Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (MINNESOTA) with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season, starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings
74-79 since 1997. ( 48.4% 49.2 units )
6-13 this year. ( 31.6% -3.1 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB KANSAS CITY at NY YANKEES

NY YANKEES are 14-4 (+11.4 Units) against the money line against AL Central opponents this season.

The average score was: NY YANKEES (6.2) , OPPONENT (3.6)

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA SEATTLE at NEW YORK

Play On - Home teams (NEW YORK) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% -1.2 units )

WNBA ATLANTA at MINNESOTA

Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) off an home win scoring 85 or more points, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season
42-15 since 1997. ( 73.7% 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 0.0 units )

WNBA SEATTLE at NEW YORK

Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points good free throw shooting team - making >=76% of their free throws
278-172 since 1997. ( 61.8% 88.8 units )
2-5 this year. ( 28.6% -3.5 units )

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Handicapping Kings

JIMMY

MLB

WASHINGTON +136 PHILLY (7pm)

CINCY -134 MILWAUKEE (8pm)

WNBA

NY -6 SEATTLE (7pm)

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PAUL LEINER

100* Diamondbacks -115

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CHASE DIAMOND

8* KILLER CLUB

LA Dodgers vs. Arizona
Money Line: Arizona-109

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SportsWagers 7/9

Yesterday	2	1	0.00	+2.50
Last 30 Days	42	38	0.00	+28.38
Season to Date	131	137	0.00	+32.40

Today's Free Picks for Jul 09, 2013





Oakland @ PITTSBURGH
Oakland +107 over PITTSBURGH

Gerrit Cole has made five starts since being called up and three of those five were of the pure quality variety. This hard-throwing youngster made it through three levels last season. In AA, Cole kept the ball on the ground and had an elite strikeout rate but this isn’t AA. In his 30 innings at this level, Cole has just 16 K’s to go along with a troubling 28% line-drive rate. His WHIP of 1.31 is also bordering on unacceptable. Cole has a high ceiling but he’s going to suffer the ups and downs of a pitcher with very little experience at both Triple-AAA (just 74 innings) and the big leagues.
Dan Straily is very similar to Cole in that he is a former minor-league K leader that rocketed from AA to majors by August of last season. His first seven starts last year in the majors had its ups and downs too and in the end, Straily went 2-1 with a 3.89 ERA in 39 innings. After his June 22 start of this year, Straily was temporarily assigned back to Triple-A because the A’s didn’t need a fifth starter. He was subsequently called back up for a July 4 start in which he threw a 7-inning, one-hit gem against the Cubbies. While his overall skills in June weren't exciting, he bumped up his swinging strike rate to 10.0% that month, a mark which gives his decent strikeout rate even more upside. Straily’s 5.00 ERA is the result of his 59% stand rate but a close looks shows that he still carries plenty of profit potential pitching for this determined A’s squad. Among his great starts this year aside from the aforementioned beauty against the Cubs, Straily threw a two-hitter in Texas in seven frames and a four hitter in six innings against the Giants. Straily’s style should bode well here against a Pirates team that strikes out far too often and that has suddenly lost five of seven and three in a row.


Our Pick
Oakland +107 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.14)





Los Angeles @ ARIZONA
Los Angeles +103 over ARIZONA

The Dodgers are one of the hottest offensive teams in the league right now and have been so for well over three weeks now. Over that span, L.A. is in the top two in the NL and top four in the entire league in most offensive categories that include runs scored, team BA, on base % and OPS. They scored six times here last night but that could have easily been twice that after the Dodgers belted out 17 hits and left 11 on base. Expect the Dodgers to be a little extra jacked up tonight against Ian Kennedy, who wwill face the Dodgers for the first time since he was suspended for plunking Yasiel Puig. Kennedy has an ugly overall 5.16 ERA, including a 5.40 ERA the first time he goes through lineups. His skills tank after that. He has a BAA of .295 the second time through lineups and a .344 BAA the third time through. He also comes in with an ugly 34%/24%/41% groundball/line-drive/fly-ball profile and over his last five starts, that groundball rate is even lower at 31%. The hot-hitting Dodgers could and probably will tee off against this heavy fly-ball and line-drive pitcher at this unforgiving park.
Ricky Nolasco was once a near-elite skill set just waiting for some hit/strand rate regression to facilitate a breakout. But while the Marlins were waiting for that regression, Nolasco turned 35 and is no longer in the Marlins long term plans. Now Nolasco gets a reprieve of sorts, as he instantly joins a true contender and he figures to be very much focused in his first start in his new digs. Nolasco also brings with him elite control and a good strikeout rate (25BB/90K in 112 IP). Over his last two starts, Nolasco has whiffed 13 batters without issuing a single walk. He also has a 53% groundball rate over his past three starts. The Marlins had won three of Nolasco’s past four starts and now he gets the benefit of starting for a team whose offense is clicking and that is winning a lot of games recently. That works.


Our Pick
Los Angeles +103 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.06)





Colorado @ SAN DIEGO
Colorado +115 over SAN DIEGO

After posting some pretty sweet numbers in five April starts and holding steady until recently, Eric Stults' skills have come back down to earth. Over his last six starts, he has just 16 K’s in 37 frames and we’re seeing both his line-drive rate increase and his groundball rate decrease. Those are three definite warning signs that tell us to avoid him. Stults is a 33-year-old journeyman that has spent 111 days on the DL over the past three seasons and many more days in the minors (over 800 minor league innings) since he was drafted way back in 2002. Prior to this season, Stults had never thrown more than 99 innings in a season at this level. He’s up to 112 innings already this year and this now becomes unchartered waters for a guy with a long history of poor durability and very average stuff. Furthermore, the Padres have dropped 10 in a row and 12 of their past 13 games.
Jhouly’s Chacin has started 16 games this season and comes in with an ERA of 3.74 and xERA of 4.19. While there is nothing remarkable about that on paper, a close look reveals that 11 of Chacin’s 16 starts have come at Coors Field, the best park for hitters in the majors. On the road, Chacin’s numbers are elite, where his ERA is 2.05 and his groundball rate is 52%. Chacin has not allowed a HR in his last four road starts and he has a much better chance of thriving in this game than his mound opponent. The Rockies also have a better chance of winning this one than the reeling Padres and that is value at its best.


Our Pick
Colorado +115 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.30)

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Power Play Wins

Play of the Day

Giants

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Teddy Covers

Cubs

Mariners

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Goodfellas

Dodgers/dBacks over 8.5
Rays -160

Both double dime