7-14-13

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB ST LOUIS at CHICAGO CUBS

Play On - All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ST LOUIS) with a bullpen that averages less than 2.75 innings per game against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL)
284-142 since 1997. ( 66.7% 89.7 units )
14-8 this year. ( 63.6% 3.6 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB TEXAS at DETROIT

TEXAS is 18-6 (+13.2 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.

The average score was: TEXAS (5.3) , OPPONENT (4.0)

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA SAN ANTONIO at CONNECTICUT

Play Against - Underdogs (SAN ANTONIO) after allowing 75 points or more in 4 straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.1 units )

WNBA ATLANTA at SEATTLE

Play Against - Underdogs vs the money line (SEATTLE) after 1 or more consecutive unders, an average offensive team (65-72 PPG) against an average defensive team (65-72 PPG)
261-91 since 1997. ( 74.1% 0.0 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 0.0 units )

WNBA ATLANTA at SEATTLE

Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record, in July games
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

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Handicapping Kings

JIMMY

MLB- OAKLAND -151 BOSTON (4PM)
WNBA- ATLANTA -6.5 SEATTLE (9PM)

MARC

MLB- MINNESOTA/NYY - UNDER 8.5 -120 (1PM)
MLB- TORONTO/BALTIMORE - UNDER 9.5 -110 (135PM)
WNBA- SA/CONNECTICUT - UNDER 154 (5PM)

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Betting First Look with Marco D'Angelo

Tampa Bay Rays RL-1.5

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Bookiemonsters
114-70 run

22-13 run last 35 plays

pod orioles under 9.5

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Baseball Crusher
Los Angeles Dodgers -124 over Colorado Rockies
(System Record: 50-6, won last game)
Overall Record: 50-54-1

Soccer Crusher
Rosenborg + Odd Grenland OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Norway
(System Record: 427-15, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 427-366-56

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bettingPROfit

POD Washington Nationals

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SuperSportsGroup MLB

Washington v. Miami 1:10pm
PICK: Marlins ML +125 Game

Houston v. Tampa Bay 1:40pm
PICK: Astros RL (+1.5) +115 Game

San Fran v. San Diego 4:10pm
PICK: OVER 8.5 Game +100

3 Team Parlay for
Royals ML +100 Game
Brewers ML +150 Game
Rangers ML +160 Game

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Handicapping Kings

JEFFS PLAYS

SIDES
1X- CHICAGO WS +163 PHILLY (135PM)
1X- OAKLAND -151 BOSTON (4PM)

TOTALS
2X- CINCINNATI/ATLANTA - UNDER 7.5 -115 (135PM)

1X- MINNESOTA/NYY - UNDER 8.5 -120 (1PM)

1X- KC/CLEVELAND - OVER 8 120 (1PM)

1X- WASHINGTON/MIAMI - UNDER 8.5 -110 (1PM)

1X- CHICAGO WS/PHILADELPHIA - OVER 7.5 -115 (135PM)

1X- MILWAUKEE/ARIZONA - UNDER 9 -120 (4PM)

1X- SF/SD - OVER 8.5 +100 (4PM)

1X- LAA/SEATTLE - OVER 8 -125 (4PM)

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Sunday's National League betting notes and tips

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Sunday's National League games:

Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins (124, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Nats starter Taylor Jordan makes his fourth major-league start after allowing nine runs (six earned) and 19 hits over 15 2/3 innings through the first three

Hot batting stat: Miami SS Adeiny Hechavarria, who scored the winning run Saturday, is batting .312 (39-for-125) since June 5.

Weather: Roof could be closed due to a slight chance of rain. Temperatures will be in the low-90s with cloudy skies and wind blowing in from center field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 13-3-3 in Miami's last 19 home games.


New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates (-153, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Pirates starter Gerrit Cole has yielded just two home runs in 36 2/3 innings pitched.

Hot batting stat: Pirates OF Andrew McCutchen, who homered and added an RBI single on Saturday, has four multi-hit performances in his last seven contests.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-90s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow in from right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 10-3 in the Mets' last 13 games overall.


Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves (-115, 7.5)

Hot batting stat: Reds OF Shin-Soo Choo is hitting .413 during his current 11-game hitting streak.

Hot pitching stat: Braves starter Julio Teheran is 4-1 with a 2.50 ERA in eight home starts, striking out 56 in 50 1/3 innings at Turner Field.

Weather: Temperatures in the high-70s and mostly cloudy skies. Winds will blow from right field to left field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 7-0 in Teheran's last seven home starts.


Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers (-133, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Rockies starter Jhoulys Chacin has yielded a .338 batting average to the Los Angeles roster in 14 career appearances (13 starts).

Hot batting stat: Rockies 1B Todd Helton, who has 699 career multi-hit games, is 6-for-15 against Dodgers starter Ricky Nolasco.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-80s and sunny skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 10 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 7-1 in the Dodgers' last eight games overall.


Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks (-155, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Brewers starter Wily Peralta extended his scoreless streak to 15 1/3 innings by pitching a three-hit masterpiece against Cincinnati on Tuesday for his first career complete game.

Cold batting stat: The Diamondbacks have been out-hit in all three games of the series.

Weather: Roof could be closed due to extreme heat.

Key betting note: The home team is 6-2 in umpire Ron Kulpa's last eight games behind home plate.


San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres (-144, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Giants starter Barry Zito has gone 0-3 with a 5.82 ERA over his last seven outings, six of which the Giants lost.

Hot batting stat: Giants C Buster Posey is 6-for-12 with a home run against Padres starter Eric Stults.

Weather: Sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Giants have won 20 of their last 29 games against the Padres.


St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs (136, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Cards hurler Adam Wainwright has worked at least seven innings in each of his last three outings, including a seven-frame performance against the Houston Astros on Tuesday in which he allowed just one run and five hits en route to victory.

Hot batting stat: Cubbies OF Alfonso Soriano has belted six of his 16 homers in his last eight games.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-80s and clear skies. Winds will blow in from right field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The Cardinals are 10-1 in Wainwright's last 11 starts as a road favorite.


INTERLEAGUE

Chicago White Sox at Philadelphia Phillies (-163, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Phillies lefty Cole Hamels gave up one run on six hits over eight frames to lower his July ERA to 1.20 during Tuesday’s 4-2 triumph over the Nationals.

Cold batting stat: Chicago and Philadelphia combined to go 6-for-42 with runners in scoring position in Saturday’s doubleheader.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-90s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Phillies (47-48) are 3-10 in games in which they have a chance to reach .500.

** Odds, probable starters and weather as of 10:15 a.m. ET.

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Sunday's American League betting notes and tips

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Sunday's American League games:

Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians (-112, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Royals starter James Shields owns a 1-5 career mark versus Cleveland and yielded five runs on nine hits for a no-decision on July 4 against the Tribe.

Hot batting stat: Cleveland 2B Jason Kipnis had three hits Saturday and has hit safely in 21 of his last 23 games. He is 3-for-9 in his career versus Shields.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-90s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow in from right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Royals are 8-0 in Shields' last eight starts.


Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees (-207, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Yanks starter C.C. Sabathia has given up 20 homers this season – tied for the third-highest total in the majors.

Cold batting stat: The Yankees have homered in only 11 of their last 34 games.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-90s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 5-1 in Sabathia's last six starts vs. Twins.


Texas Rangers at Detroit Tigers (-168, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rangers lefty Martin Perez improved to 3-0 with a 1.44 ERA over his last four starts since being recalled on June 22.

Cold batting stat: Rangers 2B Ian Kinsler is batting .154 (4-for-26) in his career versus Tigers starter Justin Verlander.

Weather: Temperatures in the high-80s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow in from left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 5-1 in Verlander's last six home starts.


Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles (-119, 9.5)

Cold pitching stat: Orioles righty Scott Feldman has struggled in 12 career appearances (six starts) against Toronto, going 0-4 with a 6.11 ERA.

Hot batting stat: Blue Jays RF Jose Bautista is 5-for-11 with a home run and two doubles against Feldman.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-90s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings.


Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays (-243, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Astros lefty Erik Bedard lost his two starts in July, allowing nine runs (eight earned) in 11 2/3 innings after going 3-1 in five June outings.

Cold batting stat: Rays 3B Evan Longoria has just four hits in 33 at-bats (nine games) during Tampa Bay's current home stand.

Weather: Dome.

Key betting note: The under is 7-1 in Rays starter Chris Archer's last eight starts.


Boston Red Sox at Oakland A's (-149, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: A's starter Bartolo Colon has won nine of his last 10 outings after limiting the Pittsburgh Pirates to a run in seven frames on Monday.

Cold batting stat: Boston DH David Ortiz is 6-for-46 with 15 strikeouts against Colon.

Weather: Temperatures in the high-60s and sunny skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 13 mph.

Key betting note: The Red Sox are 3-10 in the last 13 meetings.


Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners (-129, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Angels starter Joe Blanton is coming off a rough outing in Chicago, where he surrendered six runs and eight hits over five innings in a loss to the Cubs on Tuesday.

Hot batting stat: Seattle's home run streak is the longest in the American League since Texas set the major-league record in 2002 with a 27-game run.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-70s and sunny skies. Winds will blow from left field to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting stat: The over is 9-1-1 in Mariners starter Hisashi Iwakuma's last 11 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

** Odds, probable starters and weather as of 10:10 a.m. ET.

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K1 Sports

MLB
Colorado
Baltimore
St. Louis

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SB Professor NASCAR Picks 7/14

Here are the driver matchups for today's race at New Hampshire:

Martin Truex Jr +160 over Kurt Busch
Clint Bowyer +100 over Jeff Gordon
Dale Earnhardt Jr -140 over Tony Stewart

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SPORTS WAGERS

Toronto +109 over BALTIMORE

Scott Feldman is back where he does not belong, that being in the American League, where he pitched from 2005 to 2012 as a member of the Rangers. Feldman put up some nice numbers with the Cubbies this year before being traded to Baltimore but he has a horrible history in the AL, with a .284 BAA, a .345 OBP, and a 1.44 WHIP. In four of the eight seasons he pitched in Texas, his ERA was over 5.00 and in his first start at his new ballpark he was tagged for nine hits and seven runs in 5.1 innings. Feldman is very prone to giving up jacks and that’s likely going to hurt him here against this tough Blue Jays line-up.

The Blue Jays have won five of the past six games against the Orioles. Josh Johnson has 31 K’s over his past 29 innings and his xERA over that span is 3.06. Johnson has only thrown 60 innings this year and is rounding into the form that the Blue Jays had hoped for when they signed him. He appears to be healthy and the skills are definitely there. Johnson and the dangerous Blue Jays simply offer up too much value as a dog against Scott Feldman

Minnesota +190 over N.Y. YANKEES

The Yankees are simply a huge risk spotting a price like this one because of their inability to score runs with their makeshift lineup. The Yankees four and five hitters are Vernon Wells (.242) and Lyle Overbay (.246). Keep Brett Gardiner off the base-paths and pitch around Robinson Cano and the Yanks become feeble. New York has scored just three runs in the first two games of this series against Scott Diamond and Sam Deduno. The Yanks whacked Kyle Gibson in the rookie’s second big league start but Gibson’s other two starts against the Royals and Rays were of the quality variety. Gibson turned down the Phillies in the 36th round as an Indiana high schooler and became a first-rounder out of Missouri in 2009, signing for $1.85 million. His stock fell late that spring due to forearm tightness, and though he remained healthy in 2010, he needed Tommy John surgery in September 2011. He returned in 2012 with 13 appearances of no more than four innings before a stint in the Arizona Fall League. Gibson’s stuff has returned after his elbow reconstruction. He threw his four-seam fastball at 92-94 mph in the regular season and the AFL, where he started in the Rising Stars Game and ranked third in strikeouts. He also threw strikes with his two-seamer and his plus changeup with sink that he long has used as an out pitch. For more info on Gibson, see our MLB call-ups section.

The Yanks are heavily favored because C.C. Sabathia starts. Sabathia’s fastball velocity has dropped from 92.3 mph in 2012 to 89.9 mph in 2013, the biggest drop among any SP with at least 65 IP. His base skills have been good but far from the elite levels he posted during most of his career. In 19 games started, Sabathia is 9-7 with a 3.99 ERA, which highlights the risks even more of laying more than 2-1 on him pitching for a team with a serious lack of offense.

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9xSports

(MLB) 4:05PM Boston @ Oakland UNDER 8