7-14-13

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358391

    #31
    MLB Jul 14 '13
    1:05p
    Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Indians
    Take: Kansas City Royals +104
    in 2h
    *3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* This is a matchup between two teams who are on different sides of the expectations game in the first half of the season. Kansas City has under performed while Cleveland has over performed. I do think there is value on the Royals in this one because they have the much better starting pitcher. James Shields is much more consistent than Ubaldo Jimenez. Jimenez has been particularly bad at home this year, and he hasn't had a lot of luck against Kansas City in the past. The Royals are 8-0 in Shields' last 8 starts. They are 4-0 in his last 4 road starts. Cleveland is 0-4 in their last 4 games when scoring 5 or more runs in previous day. Take the Royals.
    MLB Jul 14 '13
    1:10p
    Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins
    Take: Washington Nationals -125
    in 2h
    *3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Miami Marlins have been playing better of late, but they still have no business winning a series against a solid team like the Washington Nationals. Taylor Jordan dominated in the minor leagues, and I expect him to have a nice career with the Nationals. Miami's lineup isn't much better than a typical triple A lineup. Henderson Alvarez has been very inconsistent in his young career, and the Nationals' lineup is much better with Bryce Harper healthy. A lot of value on Washington here. Take the Nationals.
    MLB Jul 14 '13
    4:10p
    Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners
    Take: Seattle Mariners -125
    in 5h
    *3 Star MLB Moneyline Cash* Joe Blanton has cost Angels bettors a lot of money so far this year. It hasn't really been a case of bad luck. Instead, Blanton has just been consistently bad. He is 2-11 this year with an ERA well above 5. On the other side, Hisashi Iwakuma has been very good this year for the Mariners. He struggled in his last outing, but I look for him to bounce back Sunday. In 6 career appearances against the Angels Iwakuma has a ridiculously low 1.03 ERA. Not surprisingly the Mariners are 5-0 in Iwakuma's last 5 starts against the Angels. Take Seattle.
    MLB Jul 14 '13
    4:10p
    Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks
    Take: Total 9 un-117
    in 5h
    *3 Star MLB Total Domination* Ron Kulpa is one of my favorite under umpires, and he'll be behind the plate for this game. Kulpa has one of the biggest strike zones in all of baseball and both of these pitchers should benefit from that expanded zone. The under is 22-6-1 in Kulpa's last 29 Sunday games behind home plate. Wily Peralta is a young prospect for the Brewers who has improved a lot in his last few starts. Milwaukee's lineup is very short handed without Ryan Braun and Aramis Ramirez. The total is posted a little too high here. Take the under.
    MLB Jul 14 '13
    4:10p
    Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers
    Take: Los Angeles Dodgers -124
    in 5h
    *4 Star MLB Play of Day* Ricky Nolasco will make his second start for the Dodgers and his first start at Dodgers Stadium. The Rockies lineup was shut out by Zack Greinke yesterday and I expect them to struggled again on Sunday against Nolasco. Yasiel Puig might now play in this one, but the Dodgers still definitely have the better lineup. The price here seems more than fair considering how well the Dodgers are playing.The Dodgers are 9-0 in their last 9 as a favorite of -110 to -150. They are 7-1 in their last 8 overall. The Rockies are 1-6 in Chacin's last 7 starts as a road underdog. Take the Dodgers.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358391

      #32
      Ben Burns 1st half GOY 10* San Diego
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358391

        #33
        John Ryan 25* LA Angels
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358391

          #34
          Cashmyticket365

          MLB
          Cleveland Indians
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358391

            #35
            RickJ's Handicapping Picks Sunday MLB Play
            1/2 Unit
            901 - T Jordan
            902 - MIA - H Alvarez +124
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358391

              #36
              River City Sharps

              MLB
              1:05PM Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Indians
              ​OVER 8 -120
              3 UNITS​

              ​​1:35PM Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies
              ​Chicago White Sox +163
              3 UNITS​

              ​​1:40PM Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays
              ​Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 -125
              2 UNITS​

              ​​4:10PM Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners
              ​Seattle Mariners -127
              3 UNITS​
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358391

                #37
                DHayes

                1* Angels +114
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358391

                  #38
                  Danny B

                  passing today
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358391

                    #39
                    Kyle Hunter

                    4* Los Angeles Dodgers -124

                    3* Kansas City Royals +104

                    3* Washington Nationals -125

                    3* Seattle Mariners -125

                    Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks
                    3* Total 9 un-117
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358391

                      #40
                      Jimmy Boyd

                      4* (MLB) Colorado Rockies ML +125
                      4* (MLB) Milwaukee Brewers ML +157

                      3* (MLB) Atlanta Braves ML -124
                      3* (MLB) Chicago Cubs ML +130
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358391

                        #41
                        Ben Burns' **VERY EARLY** MLB BREAKFAST CLUB BLOWOUT!

                        Braves ML
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358391

                          #42
                          Cleveland Insider

                          MLB
                          2* Royals +1.5 (-205) 542/265
                          2* Padres -1.5 (+140) 200/280
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358391

                            #43
                            Dr. Ed Meyer MLB Money Line Sun, 07/14/13 - 1:40 PM

                            double-dime bet - 923 HOU (+215) vs 924 TAM

                            The Rays just beat Houston with Erik Bedard by a score of 8-0 on the 2nd of this month. The Astros are actually terrific when seeking same-season revenge vs a starting pitcher. Houston is 6-4 as a road dog when facing a starter than beat them in their previous same-season match-up. The SDQL text is:

                            team=Astros and A and D and oS:W and oS:season=season and date>=20120928

                            What is really impressive about this one is that they are 4-1 as a 200-plus dog in this spot.

                            Also, Houston has been great as a big dog in a series closer when they are off a one-run loss. The Astros are 6-3 as a 170-plus dog in the last game of a road series when they are off a one-run loss. If they are off a fiver-plus run loss in the same situation, they are 1-14, so the close defeat has actually been a motivating factor.

                            The Rays are in a very soft spot. Yesterday, they allowed three runs in the top of the first but came back to win 4-3 and were very efficient, only leaving nine men on base. Tampa is 0-10 as a HOME FAVORITE in the last game of a series when they are off a win in which they left fewer than ten men on base. The SDQL text is:

                            team=Rays and HF and p:LOB<10 and p:margin>0 and SG=SGS and date>=20100919

                            Note that Tampa was a 150-plus favorite in seven of the ten games and a 200-plus favorite twice.

                            Finally, the Rays are 3-8 as a 165-plus favorite in the rubber game of a three-game set, as can be seen with this SDQL text.

                            team=Rays and line<=-165 and RG3 and date>=20100905

                            Tampa will be trying to avoid mailing this one in, but vs the Astros it will be hard to do. Grab the big price.

                            MTi's FORECAST: Houston 3 TAMPA 2
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358391

                              #44
                              TMC Sports Advisors

                              Oakland -155

                              Texas/Detroit Over 8.5

                              Cleveland -115

                              Arizona -155

                              Mon. 3-1
                              Tue. 4-0
                              Wed. 2-2
                              Thu. 3-3
                              Fri. 2-1
                              Sat. 4-0

                              18-7 Last 25
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358391

                                #45
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