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Game: St. Louis at Atlanta (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: St. Louis -109 (moneyline) at 5Dimes
St. Louis may be the most complete team in baseball, and their record is certainly evidence of that. They are in a good spot behind Adam Wainright in this one. Wainwright had an off year last season after returning from arm surgery. He has built the arm strength back up, and once again is amongst the elite in the game. He has allowed 3 runs or less in 17 of 21 starts, and the Cardinals find themselves in every game in which he takes the mound. Opponents have scored a grand total of 60 runs in the 21 starts - less than 3 per contest, while the Cards' offense has delivered 114. Atlanta got off to a big start, but has been a .500 team since. The Braves have been miserable against qulity pitching, posting a woeful 1-8 mark in their last 9 vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of less than 1.15. Play on St. Louis.
2 UNIT = Texas Rangers @ Cleveland Indians - INDIANS TO WIN (-125)
Listed Pitchers: Perez vs Kluber
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.60 units)
The Rangers enter this game losing 6 of their last 8 games and going just 2-5 over their 7 game home stand. The Indians are just 2-4 in their last 6 games, but they are coming off a 10-1 win Wednesday and are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall. Texas is 56-46 on the season with a 27-22 road record, while the Indians are 53-48 overall and a solid 30-19 at home. The Rangers will send lefty Martin Perez to the mound who is 3-3 on the year with a 3.40 ERA, .276 OBA and 1.37 WHIP. Over his last two starts he has worked 12 innings giving up 13 hits and 9 earned runs. Although Perez is 1-1 with a 1.96 ERA at home he is 2-2 with a much higher 4.50 ERA on the road. The Indians are 5th in the Majors in team batting average vs lefties at .263. Cleveland will send Corey Kluber to the mound as he looks to continue his recent success. Kluber is 7-5 on the year with a 3.69 ERA, .258 OBA and 1.23 WHIP and enters this game allowing 0 earned runs over his last two starts (12.2 innings of work). Over his last three starts his ERA sits at 0.95, and he has struck out 25 batters over those three starts. He is 3-2 with a solid 2.53 ERA at home on the year. Kluber has faced the Rangers once this season on June 11th allowing just 6 hits and 1 earned run over 8 innings of work. Take note that the Rangers have scored just 17 runs over their last 8 games (2.13 runs per game), they are 3-9 in their last 12 games overall, and 1-4 in their last 5 road games. The Indians are 7-0 in their last 7 vs lefty starters, 4-0 in their last 4 home games, 5-2 in their last 7 games following a day off, 6-2 in Kluber's last 8 starts and 4-0 in his last 4 home starts. We're getting a good price on Cleveland and I will take them for 2 units tonight as we look to kick start a solid weekend.
TORONTO BLUE JAYS OVER 5 RUNS (Note: Over 5.5 at +100/+105 is fine here too. I am 'laying the 'vig' at bovada on the Over 5.)
Roof will be open and we have slight wind blowing straight out as well. Rogers Centre will be a "lively park" tonight, that is for sure. Houston SP Lyles has gievn up 4 runs or more in 4 of his L/5 games, including 10 runs in 4 INN his last start vs Seattle. These Jays are simply more dangerous/potent vs RH pitching as well. They rank 2nd in the A.L. in HR's and 5th in the A.L. in .OPS. I really do not think Lyles go deep in this game tonight, and fully expect the Jays to get to him by the 5th/6th inning. The Astros bullpen is obviously terrible, ranking dead last in bullpen ERA & WHIP. I really like this Team Total to cash for us.
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