7-30-13

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Power Play Wins

Texas Rangers -135

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Ocal Sports

Cardinals game 1
Mets

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KYLE HUNTER

MLB	Jul 30 '13 7:05p	Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers Take: Total 7½ un-105		in 8h
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Stephen Strasburg and Anibal Sanchez will square off in what I expect to be a pitchers duel Tuesday night in Detroit. Strasburg struggled a bit early this year, but he has been great in his last few outings. Sanchez is a very underrated starter for the Tigers. Washington's offense has been bad of late, and I don't see them getting it going against a guy like Sanchez. While the Tigers offense is very good, Strasburg definitely has the stuff to slow them down. The weather conditions here should help. Take the under.

MLB	Jul 30 '13 7:10p	Colorado Rockies vs Atlanta Braves Take: Total 8 ov+102		in 8h
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Tim McClelland has been the most consistent over umpire in baseball for the past decade. McClelland routinely squeezes the strike zone and makes life miserable for pitchers. Alex Wood is a huge prospect for the Braves, but he hasn't proved himself in the majors yet. Juan Nicasio has an ERA of 4.4 this year, and this Braves lineup should put up several runs against him. The posted total here is set at a very reasonable number here, and we aren't even having to lay any juice. Look for a relatively high scoring game. Take the under.

MLB	Jul 30 '13 10:10p	New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers Take: Total 7½ un-117		in 11h
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The New York Yankees lineup is slowly getting better, but they have a very long way to go. Derek Jeter still isn't completely healthy, and the majority of this offense's stars are still sidelined with injuries. The Dodgers' offense has actually gone cold of late, but they have been winning games thanks to a much improved pitching staff. It took the Dodgers until the 11th inning to score a run in their 1-0 win over the Reds on Sunday. Zack Greinke has a 2.53 ERA at home this year. The under is 5-0 in the Yankees last 5 interleague road games. The under is 3-0-1 in the Yankees last 4 road games as an underdog. The under is 4-0 in Pettitte's last 4 road starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 8-0-1 in the Dodgers' last 9 home games. The under is 4-0-1 in the Dodgers' last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 7-0-1 in the Dodgers last 8 games as a home favorite. The under is 3-0-1 in Greinke's last 4 starts overall. Take the under.

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KYLE HUNTER

7:05p Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers
*3 Star MLB Total Domination*
Take: Total 7½ un-105

7:10p Colorado Rockies vs Atlanta Braves
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO*
Take: Total 8 ov+102

10:10p New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers
*4 Star MLB Play of Day*
Take: Total 7½ un-117

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cashmyticket365

Tigers under 7.5 (Free play)

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Don Best Consensus

Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers
Pick: Detroit Tigers

The Tigers are 7-1 in their last 8 overall and 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. The Nationals are 1-5 in Strasburg's last 6 starts and 1-5 in their last 6 interleague road games.

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CHASE DIAMOND

9* Yankees / Dodgers - Under 7½

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Playersbet
Oak ML
Oak Team Total over 4

2 units each

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Stephen Nover MLB Money Line Tue, 07/30/13 - 7:05 PM
dime bet - 927 WAS (+125) vs 928 DET

Analysis:
Nothing against Anibal Sanchez, who has a 2.19 ERA in seven home starts, but the Nationals are finally starting to play better, are hitting and Stephen Strasburg is just too good to pass up at this 'dog number.
Strasburg is just 5-8, but his record is deceiving. He has a 2.85 ERA. His career interleague ERA is 2.09 in eight career starts.
The Nationals are 4-1 in their last five. Their lineup finally is healthy with Bryce Harper and Ian Desmond back in the lineup.
The Nationals did face Sanchez back on May 8 and won, 3-1.

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Accu-Score MLB

ML-Home Wins 55 to 59.9% 160-94, 63% +2408 -

STL 933 vs PIT 934 -- Over 50% on Pittsburgh Pirates -155
TOR 925 vs OAK 926 -- Over 50% on Oakland Athletics -153

4 STAR MONEY LINE 217-145, 59.9% +1696 -

NYY 931 vs LAD 932 -- Over 50% on Los Angeles Dodgers -174
SF 907 vs PHI 908 -- Over 50% on Philadelphia Phillies -134
NYM 911 vs MIA 912 -- Over 50% on Miami Marlins -116
HOU 915 vs BAL 916 -- Over 50% on Baltimore Orioles -243
WAS 927 vs DET 928 -- Over 50% on Detroit Tigers -128
COL 909 vs ATL 910 -- Over 50% on Atlanta Braves -154

4 STAR TOTALS 206-175, 54.1% +1350 -

STL 933 vs PIT 934 -- Under 8
SEA 919 vs BOS 920 -- Under 10
CHW 917 vs CLE 918 -- Under 7.5
TOR 925 vs OAK 926 -- Under 8
LAA 921 vs TEX 922 -- Under 8.5

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MLB odds and picks – Giants vs. Phillies, matchup of slumping teams, provides solid wagering opportunity
Two selections for Monday’s card
Follow The Linemakers on Twitter

The Giants' Barry Zito has yet to earn a win on the road this season.
By: The Linemakers More Experts
Published: Jul 30, 2013

LAS VEGAS -- We’ve got 17 games on the MLB board today, including a doubleheader between the Cardinals and Pirates for NL Central supremacy and the rebirth of the classic Dodgers-Yankees rivalry. Those games may be the most attractive to watch today, but when gambling, it’s not about the most intriguing game, it’s about the mismatch where the largest perceived edge can be found.

The biggest edge today comes in a game between two teams going through some major problems. The Giants, losers of their last four, travel to Philadelphia to take on a Phillies squad that has dropped eight straight. This ugly game features individual players on both sides mired in horrific slumps, but the biggest slump of all comes from one of the most important players on the field – the pitcher. Specifically, the Giants’ Barry Zito.

Not only has Zito gone 0-4 with a 6.35 ERA over his last nine outings, he’s also winless on the road this season with an 0-6 record and 9.89 ERA in eight games. Opponents are hitting .426 against him in those road outings.

In Zito’s last road game, a 10-1 loss at San Diego, manager Bruce Bochy could only take two innings of Zito before yanking him after he gave up four runs. It was Zito’s shortest start in more than two years.

The Giants’ chances appear even worse tonight when considering how their bats have performed. Sunday’s 2-1 home loss to the Cubs marked San Francisco’ eighth loss in their last 11 games, a stretch during which they've scored only 22 runs and hit only one home run. Their top player, Buster Posey, hit that lone homer, but is in a 1-for-23 slump over his past eight games.

Before this awful stretch by the Giants, they were only 6.5 games out of first in the NL West, but the combination of them losing and the Dodgers winning has them 10 back, all alone in last place.

We hate laying a price (-119) with a Phillies squad that has lost eight games in a row and any hope of a return to the wild card race along with it. We speculated last month that the Phillies might be able to get themselves back in the hunt and become buyers at the trade deadline, but they’ll actually be sellers, dangling the big carrot of Cliff Lee for a contending team’s highest bid.

John Lannan (2-4, 4.13 ERA) takes the mound tonight for Philadelphia, and we think he can at least stymie the Giants’ slumping bats and hold a lead against Zito for six innings. Prior to the All-Star break, Lannan allowed only one run over 16 innings in two starts, but an 11-day wait for his next start threw him off his game. He gave up four runs in four innings in an 11-3 loss at St. Louis on Wednesday.

Lannan hasn’t faced the Giants since 2011, when he was a member of the Nationals. While he’s 0-1 in three starts vs. the Giants, he has managed to produce a very respectable 1.74 ERA against them.

With a half-game separating the Pirates from the Cardinals, it might seem like fun to have some action on A.J. Burnett against Lance Lynn this afternoon. But it's always more fun cashing a ticket – and the Phillies look like the best opportunity to make that happen.

Tuesday’s selections:

Phillies (Lannan) -119 vs. Giants

Mets (Wheeler) +117 at Marlins

Second-half record: 27-16 (+1,261)

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Betting First Look with Marco D'Angelo

SF Giants

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Football Jesus Free text : Tor Argos+ points 22-9 so far in football

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Betting Line Moves

Detroit -130

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Joe Gavazzi MLB

Tuesday, July 30, 2013

MLB

Kansas City (Santana) (-125) at Minnesota (Pelfrey) 8:10 ET

3% Kansas City (Santana) (-125)

Whether it is actually possible for the Royals to track down both Cleveland and Detroit, whom they trail by 7 games, is a matter of conjecture. What is more important is that the Royals believe they can after a 6 game winning streak has pulled them even at 51-51. Only time will tell as we have seen 2 other teams (Philly and CWS) flounder badly after reaching .500. Yet this pitching matchup should work. In his return from injury season, I acknowledge that Pelfrey has pitched his best recently. But his YTD numbers remain at 4-8 with a 5.15 ERA and 1.51 WHIP. Those numbers are even worse from this mound. And in a pair of starts vs. KC this season, Pelfrey has a 9.72 ERA. Far prefer Santana who has been reborn since coming to the Heartland from the left coast. YTD numbers show Santana with a 3.06 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 107/30 KBB. In his last 4 starts against Minnesota, Santana is 3-0 with a 2.08 ERA. Let’s try the Royals to break through the .500 barrier.



Chicago White Sox (Peavy) at Cleveland (Kazmir) (-150) 7:05 ET

4% Cleveland ACTION (-150)

A walk off pinch hit HR by Jason Giambi extended the momentum for each of these teams. After pulling even at 24-24, Chicago White Sox have gone 16-39 and 1-7 recently. Don’t be surprised if there is a fire sale on veteran Pale Hose in the next 36 hours. That may include Peavy who, for all his potential, is struggling through another injury-plagued season and on the road in 7 starts has a 6.10 ERA. Far prefer the streaky Tribe whose current uptick has shown 5 consecutive victories and 8 straight wins on their home field to push their home record to 34-19 (quite dichotomous to that of CWS at 18-35 away). Cleveland has won 6/8 Kazmir home starts, a good omen for a pitcher who has not allowed an earned run in 14 IP of his last 2 starts. Make this an ACTION play, just to cover ourselves in the eventuality that Peavy does not start.



Toronto (Buehrle) at Oakland (Strailly) (-150) 10:05 ET

3% Oakland (Strailly) (-150)

Try not to get excited about the last start of Buehrle who pitched a 2 hitter with 9 Ks in a 4-0 win. It was only against Houston, the worst team in the league. Now, Buehrle must take to the road where, in 10 starts, he has a 6.44 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Buehrle has never had much success from this mound where, in 13 starts, he is 2-7 with a 4.45 ERA. Far prefer to ride the positive momentum that is Oakland following their wire-to-wire 9-4 rout of the Jays last night. With their 4th consecutive victory, Oakland is now vying for the best record in all of MLB at 63-43. That is courtesy of their recent 43-21 blitz and includes one of the best home records in baseball at 34-16, 24-6 recently and 21-6 following a win. Well aware that Strailly struggled in BBLs vs. LAA but prior to that the As had won 7/9 Strailly starts in which he personally went 5-0. In a similar way, Oakland has won 5/6 Strailly home starts where he has pitched his best ball of the year with a 3.63 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. Must be impressed with the youngster’s 75/28 KBB for the season!



Arizona (Kennedy) at Tampa Bay (Hernandez) (-160) 7:10 ET

3% Tampa Bay (Hernandez) (-160

Rays return home following a week of games at Division rivals Boston and NYY. They return with the Division lead and now start their weakest link, all a good reason for them to exhale. But if it is going to be the kind of season that is characterized by the blown call in Boston in the 8th inning last night, then we want to continue our own ascent with that of Tampa Bay. The run is now 49-25 including 22-4 in which they have outscored the opposition 132-64 after they stole the game in Boston last night. Hernandez may soon be relegated to the bullpen with his record of 5-11 and 4.92 ERA. Hernandez has allowed 3 or more runs in each of his last 9 starts and has a record of 2-6 with 4.98 ERA in the last 6 weeks. Admittedly, he has pitched better from this mound where, in 10 starts, he has a 4.25 ERA. We look his way, even in this potentially negative situation because his mound opponent, Kennedy, has truly lost his way. This guy is miles apart from the pitcher who authored the 21-4 record in 2011. This season, Kennedy is 3-7 with a 5.22 ERA. And it has been worse of late. In fact, Arizona has won just 1/10 Kennedy recent starts in which he has personally gone 0-4 allowing 38 runs in 50 2/3 IP. A pure fade especially against the magic that has been Tampa Bay!