11-22-08

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-08

FRANK PATRON 30000 UNIT LOCK #29

FRANK PATRON

30000 UNIT LOCK #29

AKRON ZIPS -2.5

Complete mistake here. Ohio is finished as they have been basically non competitive for a while and Akron is playing to keep slim bowl hopes alive. Akron has lost 5 games this year 4 of which came against undefeated Ball State Wisconsin Cincinnati and Buffalo with the Cincy and Buffalo losses coming by a combined 5 points. They also lost to Bowling Green by 4.

This is a good football team whose record doesnt reflect that and you mean to tell me we get them at this low of a line today. Great value here. One of Ohios 2 wins came against VMI who isnt even a D-1 team and they gave up 31 against them.

Akron will score at will as they roll to a 4TD rout.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-08

Jeff Benton

Texas Tech 30 Dimer
Nevada 10 Dimer
Pitt 5 Dimer
Miss 5 Dimer

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-08

ATS Financial Club

4 NCSU=11
4 Nevada +7
4 Arkansas -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-08

elso
Kelso's pick for Saturday 200 unit

2008 PERSONAL BEST FOOTBALL CLUB

Saturday, November 22, 2008
College Conference Blowout of the Year200UNLV (-10) over San Diego St
8:00 PM -- Qualcomm Stadium
UNLV by 45-50
Comments: This game is one of those rare occasions in college football where one team grades out in more than 40 of the 47 step-by-step elements I use in my team-vs.-team analysis. In this case, UNLV grades out on top in 46 categories and thus has better than a 95% chance to cover the number. This is not to suggest UNLV is an outstanding football team but merely to note how absolutely dreadful is San Diego State (1-10), a team that has lost to I-AA Cal Poly, 29-27, and has beaten only 2-9 Idaho, 45-17. UNLV grades out on top at all the skill positions, with the over-all ability of its offense, with its defense and with its special teams. While standing just 5-6, UNLV is playing its best football right now and comes into this game off back-to-back wins over New Mexico and Wyoming. San Diego State lost to New Mexico, 70-7, and to Wyoming, 35-10. Now factor into the equation a UNLV win makes the Rebels bowl eligible for the first time since 2000, a year in which they upset Arkansas, 31-14, in the Las Vegas Bowl. If ever a game had blowout written all over it because of the grading differential and the incentive factor, it is this one.
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Southwest at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-08

Dave Malinsky

Indiana @ Purdue Nov
PICK: 4* Purdue -11.5

Just another late-season game between two losing teams going through the motions? This is anything but that on one side of the equation, and we believe that Joe Tiller not only gets a chance to carry away the Old Oaken Bucket one last time, but does it in style. So in the kind of game in which the oddsmakers often struggle to incorporate the emotional factors properly, we have a most fair line to play a Purdue blowout.

The Boilermaker run under Tiller has been a special one, with 10 bowl appearances. And he has been more than a football coach at the University, also being awarded the “Order of the Griffin”, a special Purdue honor that is not tied to athletics. That means not only a concerted effort by the players to send him out with a final win, but also more than the usual fan support for a losing team playing their last game. And with 17 seniors slated to start for the last time on this field the emotion runs particularly deep, especially for QB Curtis Painter, who is finally healthy again, and can erase some of the memories from a disappointing season by exploiting a papier-mache Indiana defense.

Can Indiana make the same claims about wanted to erase bitter memories, and for the seniors to go out in style? No, it is an entirely different situation for the Hoosiers. Depth has been an annual problem for this program as the Big 10 battles take their toll, and note that they are an awful 4-13 ATS as underdogs in the last three games of the season since 2002. But this autumn it has been even worse. Because of injuries a total of 16 different starters have missed at least one game, and the area hardest hit has been the secondary, where starting safeties Nick Polk and Austin Thomas, and starting CB Chris Phillips, have all been lost for the season. Because of this there is simply nothing left in the tank on that side of the ball, having allowed averages of 42 points and 518.3 points per game in three November outings, and against Wisconsin and Penn State the past two weeks they were out-scored 58-0 in the second half, a tell-tale sign that there is no fight left. And note that as bad as those two games were on the scoreboard, Indiana was actually +6 in turnovers over those eight quarters!

It is more than just emotion here for Purdue – this is a team that could have been much better than the results if not for so many injuries. But not only is Painter as close to full health as he has been in quite some time, Eric Hedstrom and Sean Sester will also be returning in the OL, after each missed the last two games. The pieces were back in place for a blowout anyway, but the special nature of Saturday’s setting pushes the rest of it over the top.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-08

atslocks.com

Marshall @ Rice -9: Rice -9 (10 unit play)

Boston College +2 @ Wake Forest: Boston College +2 (10 unit play)

Michigan @ Ohio State -20.5: Ohio State -20.5 (15 unit play)

North Carolina State @ North Carolina -11: North Carolina -11 (10 unit play)

Michigan State @ Penn State -15.5: Penn State -15.5 (Free play)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-08

T June

Arizona
Wake
Oklahoma

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-08

Rocketman

Florida Atlantic @ Arkansas State
Play: 2* Florida Atlantic +4

Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Owls are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win. Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November. Owls are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 conference games. Owls are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. Red Wolves are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in November. Red Wolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Red Wolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Red Wolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Red Wolves are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Red Wolves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Red Wolves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. Red Wolves are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss. Red Wolves are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a bye week. Red Wolves are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Red Wolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. We'll play Florida Atlantic for 2 units today!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-08

Kelso Club Plays

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15 units ECU -6.5
5 units Mississippi +3.5
4 units Temple -12.5
3 units La Tech -6.5


Kelso Sat night

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Oklahoma -7

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-08

Northcoast Full Service Line
College Play Of The Week Tcu, Tv Play Of Day Louisville

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-08

Ats lock club
7u stanford
7u ul laf
6u okla
6u pitt
5u rice
5u maryland

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-08

Paul Leiner:

250* CFB Over 75 Texas Tech/Oklahoma

200* NBA Over 197.5 Phx/Port

50* CFB Michigan State +16

10* CFB Arkansas -1

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-08

Bob Balfe


College Football
Tennessee +3 over Vandy
Vandy started off the year 5-0, but most of it was due to a poor schedule and gift turnovers. Tennessee was just the opposite. The Vols would fumble at the worst times and seemed to be doomed in the turnover department. This is coach Fulmers last season and this team has looked horrible on offense, but Vandy's offense has not been much better. Tennessee still has more talent up and down the lineup. Vandy has not played too well at home and this looks like a huge trap game for the public. Take Tennessee.

Oklahoma -7 over Texas Tech
Texas Tech has one of the best offenses we could ever see, but today on the road they will get a first hand look at a quick defense. Oklahoma just has too much talent. This is a game where the thoughts of National Title will start to get in the heads of the #2 Red Raiders. If the game starts to get out of hand Tech will start to turn the ball over. Look for true talent to show its face today. Oklahoma has a lot more of it especially on defense. Take the Sooners.

Nevada +7 over Boise State
Boise is the best team in the WAC, but they are not the dominant force they used to be. Nevada has a great QB and they run the ball very well. Look for Nevada to control the clock limiting Boise States possessions. This should be a great game. Look for Nevada to pull a possible upset.

NBA Basketball
Clippers +3.5 over Nets

NCAA Basketball
St. Louis +2.5 over Boston College

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-08

Northcoast Totals:

3.5 over louisville,

3 under vandy, under cent fla

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-22-08

King Creole Sports!

8:00pm ET / #154 / Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Oklahoma Sooners

Play on: OKLAHOMA SOONERS minus the points

An UNDEFEATED Team getting a ton of points on the road? And we're going AGAINST 'em? You better believe it.

Undefeated teams who still come in as underdogs do not do very well this late in the season.
1-5 ATS since 1999 for all GAME NINE or greater UNDEFEATED conference road underdogs (Texas Tech).

If you believe that REVENGE plays a greater role this late in the season, there's only one way top go. Oklahoma still remembers last year's road loss to these Red Raiders 34-27.
16-5 ATS since 2003 for all Conference home favorites of < 10 points off 4 or more SU wins in a row playing with REVENGE (Oklahoma)... versus any opponent off 2 or more SU wins in a row (Texas Tech). If these home favs are playing GAME NINE or greater, they are a PERFECT 10-0 ATS in the same time span.

There's also a lot of value for teams playing with REST this late in the year.
25-9 ATS since 2002 for all GAME 10 > home teams with REST off a SUATS win (Oklahoma). Bring in an opponent also off a SU win (like Texas Tech), and the results improve to 16-5 ATS. If the opp is off 2 or more SU wins in a row (like Texas Tech), the results are 13-3 ATS... and 7-1 ATS if our rested home team is a FAVORITE (like Oklahoma).