8-8-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fletcher aka GamblersData

Fletcher
Tampa-3 5*
Tenn-2.5 4*
Tenn un 35.5 5*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DHayes

Cardinals -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

analyzer
under indians

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

3* (NFL) Tampa Bay Bucs -3
3* (MLB) Boston Red Sox ML -117

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportswagers CFL

Today's Free Picks for Aug 08, 2013





Toronto @ MONTREAL
MONTREAL +2 -102 over Toronto

This is a no bet for several reasons. For one, the Alouettes are so banged up and so out of sync that we cannot recommend a bet on them in good conscious. Dan Hawkins lasted all of five games for Montreal after trying to instill a new system that wasn’t broken to begin with and Hawkins failed miserably. GM Jim Popp takes over for now and that’s another adjustment the players are going to have to make. From the beginning, the media and fans in Montreal have been asking why any coach would come in and throw out an offensive system that was as brilliantly successful as the one Marc Trestman put in. The Als had to make this change because Hawkins looked lost out there. There is just far too much uncertainty surrounding the Als right now and that makes them difficult to pull the trigger on.
Why not the Argos then? Well, for one, we’re getting a bad number. The Als opened as a 1½-point choice here and the entire betting world is on the visitor and that influx of money has now made Toronto a 2-point choice. That’s a bad number when we could’ve taken 1½-points just two days ago. Additionally, the Argos are coming off a dismantling of the Lions and that has Toronto’s stock high. That’s also not the right time to step in. On paper it looks like the Argos should run over these Als but we’re not so sure. Montreal has been a highly successful program running the offense it will employ tonight. In fact, the Als have been near unbeatable at home over the past decade and while this is a different year, it’s still very much a lot of the same personnel. The Als players are also likely feeling a sense of relief and they should be a lot more relaxed tonight. We’re never in favor of buying high and selling low and if you bet Toronto tonight that’s precisely what you’ll be doing. We’re much more in favor of buying low and selling high and this game fits that theory to a tee. This is a no play for us but we would not be surprised one bit if the Alouettes came out, played a very strong game and won it outright. You’ve been warned.

No bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportswagers NFL

Today's Free Picks for Aug 08, 2013





Seattle @ SAN DIEGO
Seattle -2 -105 over SAN DIEGO

The first preseason game is almost always a guessing game but one thing we know for sure is that the Chargers have a new coaching staff while the Seahawks coaching staff is quite familiar with this routine. That’s significant because for the first time, new Charger coach, Mike McCoy will be in charge and he has to get himself familiarized with coaching an NFL game in terms of sending out plays, communication with other coaches and sending out the right personnel for each and every play. And it’s not like the Chargers are a disciplined group of guys that will make things easy for McCoy. No, the Chargers have a history of making more mental mistakes than almost any team over the years and that was under a seasoned and veteran coach in Norv Turner. McCoy’s other priority will be to put together an offensive line to protect Phillip Rivers. Keeping Rivers in one piece is imperative. He was sacked 49 times last year and committed 22 turnovers, mainly because he was under siege behind a leaky line. Rivers will see very little time because an injury to him would be devastating and McCoy figures to have his best people in there after an evaluation period before allowing Rivers to take a snap. That leaves the quarterbacking duties to Brad Sorenson, Charlie Whitehurst and Nathan Enderle. The Chargers have so many kinks to work out and so many players to evaluate that the scoreboard will be the least of their worries.
Pete Carroll is now in his fourth year as head coach of the Seahawks. In Week 1 of the preseason schedule, Carroll is 3-0 because he’s a guy that likes to set a tone. This is what Carroll had to say about the upcoming preseason games. Said Carroll, “The way we look at it is this is the time to find out full-speed football. We are not trying to fool you that we are tackling (in practice). We are not tackling out here. These four games are huge for that. Now it comes to game time. And things change sometimes (in games) and we have to get to the truth — who are these guys and what are they all about and where do they fit in and how can we best utilize their talents?’’ Read that over a couple of times and you’ll get a better understanding of Pete Carroll. He creates competition for players looking to earn a spot on the roster. He’s serious about winning and he’s serious about the preseason. The Seahawks will send out at least two experienced QB’s in Brady Quinn and Tavaris Jackson and both will play their hearts out in an attempt to win the back-up job. Russell Wilson may even play the first quarter or take 20-25 snaps. Peter Carroll also has a big ego and he would not like losing to an inferior team or a rookie head coach that is coaching his first NFL game. Carroll ups his Week 1 preseason record to 4-0.

Our Pick
Seattle -2 -105 (Risking 2.1 units - To Win: 2.00)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ultra Sports MLB

Kansas City +110 List Chen vs. Lester

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SMASH THE BOOK

Thursday 8/8


MLB
** 964 Kansas City UNDER 8 -110 **


** Top Selections **

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookiemonsters
124-83 run

32-26 run last 58 plays

pod cardinals under 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast Sports:

3* Baltimore +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Todays Best Bets

NFLx

(3 UNITS) Seahawks
Betting $405 to win $300

(4 UNITS) Ravens
Betting $400 to win $580

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Accu-Score MLB

ML-Home Wins 45 to 49.9% 134-109, 55.1% +2255 -

BOS 963 vs KC 964 -- Over 50% on Boston Red Sox -113
COL 951 vs NYM 952 -- Over 50% on Colorado Rockies +105

2 STAR MONEY LINE 402-293, 57.8% +2124 -

CHC 955 vs PHI 956 -- Over 50% on Chicago Cubs -110
MIL 957 vs SF 958 -- Over 50% on San Francisco Giants -158

4 STAR MONEY LINE 237-160, 59.7% +1611 -

DET 961 vs CLE 962 -- Over 50% on Detroit Tigers -150
BOS 963 vs KC 964 -- Over 50% on Boston Red Sox -113
MIA 953 vs PIT 954 -- Over 50% on Pittsburgh Pirates -145

4 STAR TOTALS 228-193, 54.2% +1570 -
DET 961 vs CLE 962 -- Under 7.5
MIA 953 vs PIT 954 -- Under 6.5
LAD 959 vs STL 960 -- Under 8.5
BOS 963 vs KC 964 -- Under 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

NFLx

Ravens +3 over Bucs
There can't be sucker bets in the preseason can there? The defending champs are sure to be on most gamblers ticket tonight. I just don't think the Bucs have the depth at the skill positions to compete with the Ravens backups. Tampa has a new coach and a ton of things to work on. You might think they are more determined to win this game for momentum,, but I believe that every single player in the NFL has the competitive mentality to want to win no matter if its a regular season game or preseason. The far better team here is the Ravens up and down there lineup. Take Baltimore

Browns -3.5 over Rams
I don't like laying this much in the preseason because teams go for 2 at the end of games and take it of ties to avoid overtime. I just can't get over the fact the Rams are going to have to revamp their entire running game with Jackson gone and just about every receiver on this lineup has never caught a pass for this team. This is the true definition of the word youth. Every skill position is young and once they get into the backups mistakes will be made tonight. Its almost a guarantee. Cleveland has some issues in their running game so I expect tonight's game to be a showcase of the QB's airing the ball out which they need major work with. This should be a good game, but I think the Rams will hand the Browns this game with youthful mistakes. Take Cleveland.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HARRY BONDI

NFL Pre-Season Football Free Play

ST LOUIS (+3) over Cleveland
8 p.m. ET

We got the free football winners of to a good start Sunday with Dallas outright over Miami and will back another dog that we expect to win outright tonight with the same rational. We like to bet coaches more than anything other than inside info in the pre-season. Jeff Fisher always took pre-season games seriously when he was the head coach in Tennessee and we made money backing him. Last pre-season, his first in St Louis, we also went with Fish and he again made us money going 3-1 ATS. We expect the Rams to be a money maker again this pre-season so lets jump on them tonight as they take on a poor Cleveland squad that will be without its top two running backs. Take the Rams over the Browns in preseason action tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB odds and picks – Breaking our own rule to back Max Scherzer vs. Indians
Two selections for light Thursday's card
Follow The Linemakers on Twitter

The Tigers' Max Scherzer goes for win No. 17 Thursday against Cleveland.
By: The Linemakers More Experts
Published: Aug 08, 2013

We've got only seven baseball games on Thursday's card, four of which begin before 3:45 p.m. ET.

Before we get into the day's action, here are a couple of the major storylines unfolding in the second week of August: the Rangers catching fire and catching the sluggish A's in the AL West; the Braves winning 13 straight to give them the best record in baseball (70-45); and the Pirates showing they're not folding in August as they ride a four-game winning streak into this afternoon's game against the Marlins.

But while the Braves have been stealing a lot of headlines with their impressive run, the Tigers, who go for their first four-game sweep at Cleveland since 1988, are right behind them with an 11-game win streak. The Tigers have seemed bored at times this season, and have gone through several stages of mediocrity, but their recent play with the right type of attitude validates why Las Vegas sports books made them the preseason favorite to win the World Series.

They have stepped up against the pesky Indians, who haven't allowed the Tigers to put too much distance between them in the AL Central. Coming into the series, Cleveland was only three games back; now there is a six-game gap, and we think Detroit will make it a seven tonight.

The main reason lies within the Indians themselves, a team that has been riddled with streaky highs and lows. When they're good, they go on win streaks with everyone in the lineup mashing the ball. But when they're bad, they’re among the worst in baseball, enduring stretches where their hitters don't hit and their pitchers can't get anyone out. They're in one of those funks now, mucked in three-game losing streak that has seen them drop 2.5 games behind in the AL wild-card race.

Things look even worse for the Indians on Thursday, considering they have to face Max Scherzer (16-1, 2,85 ERA), who not only looks to set a career high in wins tonight, but is also on a run of 13 2/3 scoreless innings. Since the All-Star break, he's gone 3-0 and allowed only two runs over 21 2/3 innings.

Over his last three starts at Cleveland, Scherzer is 2-0 with a 2.05 ERA. The Tigers have won eight of their last nine at Progressive Field, averaging 6.3 runs a game over that stretch. If the Tigers can get that kind of output from their bats tonight, Scherzer should be able to get his 17th win.

We haven't seen a pitcher start 16-1 since Roger Clemens began 20-1 in 2001. Scherzer’s first strikeout tonight will give him 171 on the season and 1,000 over his career. He also leads the AL in WHIP (0.91), and if we offered odds on the Cy Young award in Las Vegas, he'd be at least a -600 favorite, a pretty lofty number considering he's still got about eight or nine starts remaining to muddy his stats.

The Indians start Zach McAllister (4-6, 3.47 ERA) tonight, and while he's pitched well over his past two starts, he's just 0-3 with a 4.67 ERA over his last five outings.

Because of the Tigers win streak, Scherzer on the mound, and the Indians being extreme at both ends of their winning or losing streaks, we feel comfortable laying -145 with Detroit tonight. Our general rule is not to recommend laying anything over -140, but in this instance, with a line that should be about -160, the price is right. This is the best value of a limited schedule today.

Thursday selections:

Tigers (Scherzer) -145 at Indians

Royals (Chen) +110 vs. Red Sox

Second-half record: 43-29 (+1,691)