8-25-13

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All Sports Capper

10* New Orleans Saints @ Houston Texans over 44

20* Toronto Blue Jays -140
20* Arizona Diamondbacks -135
10* New York Yankees +135
10* Kansas City Royals -130

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Seabass Report for Sunday-all 50's:
Angels
Phillies
Oakland

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Bookieshunter

2* rockies/marlins under 7.5
1* det/nym under 7.5
1* wash/kc under 8.5
1* oak ml

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wayne root vikings

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Kelso

100 unit MLB play tampa bay
25 MLB st Louis
10 nfl saints
10 San Fran

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TMC Sports Advisors

Texas -140

Angels los Angeles -130

Diamondbacks -140

Washigton/Kansas City Under 8.5


Free Play

Mets +1.5 -130


NFL PRESEASON (9-10)


49´ers San Francisco -3

Saints /Texans Over 44

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Scott Landau Sunday:

SF +116 / CWS +131 / MET +140 / WAS +120

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bookiemonsters
136-87 run

12-4-1 run last 17 plays

pod yankees game under 7.5

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Profitbets Soccer

ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE:
Manchester City Over 2.5 (*10)

ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP:
Wigan ML (*5)

ITALY A:

Lazio ML (*5)

Napoli Ov 2.5 (*25)

As Roma ML (*5)

MLB

DBACKS F5 ML (*5)
DBACKS ML (*25)


PIRATES ML (*5)

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Betting Line Moves

Ny Liberty +3.5

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Sportswagers MLB

Today's Free Picks for Aug 25, 2013





L.A. Angels @ SEATTLE
L.A. Angels/SEATTLE over 7½ -110

This is probably the only site on the internet that warned you all about Jered Weaver. We’ve been maintaining that Weaver is a stiff and that his results have been fueled by pure luck and finally, true to what his skills suggest, Weaver has been whacked in back-to-back starts to the tune of 17 hits and 13 runs in 11 innings. Almost every ball hit of Weaver is hit hard and it’s been that way, not for two starts but the entire season. Weaver’s line-drive rate of 30% over the past two months is one of the worst marks in baseball and it’s on par with guys like Bruce Chen and Joe Blanton. Weaver has consistently been able to stave off hit %, strand % and hr/f regression over his career but his margin for error keeps getting smaller and smaller. His fastball velocity has dipped to even new lows and now sits at 86.6 MPH. On the road this season, Weaver is 1-4 with a 5.03 ERA. Weaver’s luck has finally run out over his past couple of games and the only reason we’re not fading him here is because Aaron Harang is on the other side.
Harang seems to really, really like the AL West but he's playing with fire now. His command has been eroding for three years. Anytime Harang throws a good game it’s because of elevated strand levels and pure luck. Harang is an innings eater for a non-contending team and he’s running out of gas. Over his past 24 innings, covering just five starts, Harang has walked 10 batters and has posted a 1.54 WHIP, a 7.13 ERA and an xERA of 5.95. He’s also an extreme fly-ball pitcher with a groundball/fly-ball rate of 29%/46%. Current Angels are hitting .350 off Harang with 57 hits in 163 career AB’s. That includes 11 jacks and an unsightly 1.049 OPS. Matt Harvey and Max Scherzer hooked up yesterday and the total in that game was 6. This total is 1½-runs higher than that one and these are two pitchers who are among the most hittable in the game. They are both playing with fire and if this game stays under this total, it’ll only be because we got extremely unlucky.


Our Pick
L.A. Angels/SEATTLE over 7½ -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)





Minnesota @ CLEVELAND
Minnesota +156 over CLEVELAND

The Indians went off for seven runs yesterday but that came against Liam Hendricks, an unknown stiff with a horrible history at this level. After Hendricks was knocked out in the fourth inning, the Indians did not score again the rest of the day. Cleveland’s bats have gone cold. They are hitting just .224 over their past 20 games, which is the worst mark in the AL and second worst in the entire league. With Scott Kazmir starting today, the Tribe are likely going to have to score a bunch to win because Kazmir is fighting it big time. He recently missed a start with a fatigued arm and returned one week ago in Oakland. Kazmir allowed 10 hits and five runs in five innings in Oakland and looked dreadful. Kazmir has given up five runs in back-to-back starts. His groundball rate over his last four starts has dipped from 41% on the year to 22% over that stretch. That’s troubling. His WHIP is also trending the wrong way, which was at a pedestrian 1.33 to begin with but over his last four starts, Kazmir’s WHIP has climbed to 1.68. Remember, Scott Kazmir missed all of 2011 and 2012. The Tribe took a flyer on him and for the most part, it’s worked out ok. Thing is, he’s ran out of steam and has already thrown 119 innings after a two-year hiatus. Everything in his profile, from more walks to less strikeouts to more fly-balls and line-drives to less groundouts all scream to stay away from him.
Mike Pelfrey isn’t going to attract as lot of attention today because he’s about as ordinary as they come, at least on the surface but we’re here to tell you that Pelfrey looks very interesting. In June and July, Pelfrey posted a 3.35 ERA and lasted at least six innings in six of seven starts. His shortest outing during the span was 5.2 innings. On May 31, Pelfrey’s ERA was 6.66 but he has cut 1½ runs off that mark and his ERA now sits at 5.19. Pelfrey has allowed three runs or less in 10 of 13 starts since May 31. June 1 marked the 13th month since Pelfrey had Tommy John surgery, and his elbow finally appears back to normal. Over the past two months, his fastball has consistently clocked at 93-94 mph. In a recent string of four starts against Toronto, Tampa, Cleveland and the Angels, Pelfrey posted a 2.28 ERA. Mike Pelfrey is not only far, far under the radar, he’s actually pitching better than he has in years and Minnesota has won three of his past four starts while Scott Kazmir is hanging on by a thread. In terms of value, this one offers up as much or more than any other on the board today because Minnesota’s chances of winning are probably better than Cleveland’s chances.

Our Pick
Minnesota +156 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.12)

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Paul Leiner

2000* Orioles-130

500* Tigers-140

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SB Professor Early MLB Picks

926. New York Mets +126
918. Tampa Bay Rays -151

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Mike Neri Sports - Late Service

BASEBALL
903 Colorado w/De La Rosa -110 1:10 EST
Risk 1 Unit to make .91 Units

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NorthCoast Comp

Coleman- Colo (DeLaRosa)