9-9-13

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Kevin Thomas

Total Play of the Year

Over 51.5 -- Eagles vs. Redskins

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PowerPlayWins 9/09

Today Play:

NFL - Houston Texans -4

[golden contender]

GC: MLB System Play

On Monday we start the week with a Triple System 5* with the lead system dating to 1970. There is also a Double Perfect System MLB Blowout and a side in the other Monday night NFL Game. NFL 34 Games over .500 the last 3+ seasons and MLB is on a tear. Free MLB System Side below.



On Monday the free MLB System Play is on the LA. Angels. Game 966 at 7:10 eastern. This game fits a solid system that has won 12 of 15 times and plays on road favorites like the Angels that are off a home loss and scored 4 or less runs, vs an opponent like the Twins that are also off a home loss and scored 2 or less runs. With Weaver pitching we will take a shot with LA here as J. Weaver has allowed 1 run spanning 23 innings in his last 3 starts vs Minnesota. He has been hot of late with a 1.71 era in his last 3 games. Hernandez for the Twins has a 5.69 era in his starts this season. Minnesota is a dismal 1-8 at home off a home loss where they scored 2 or less runs. Meanwhile the Angels are a solid 9-2 on the road off a home loss. Look for the Angels to take down the Twins tonight in the opening game of the series. On Monday night start the week big. We are 34 games over. 500 in the NFL the past 3+ seasons and are on a hot streak to start this season. Tonight we have the 5* Triple system side from a lead system that dates to 1970 and the 100% Power Angle in the other Monday night game. In MLB We have a Double perfect system blowout side which is reasonably lined. MLB has been on a Major tear and has us at the Top for the Month at several major leader boards. Jump on now and start the week off big. For the free play take the LA. Angels. GC

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North Coast Marquee Over the Total Wash/Philly nFL

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Dave Essler | NFL Money LineMon, 09/09/13 - 7:00 PM
triple-dime bet480 WAS (-110) BetOnline vs 479 PHI

Analysis: Two team ML parlays here..........I simply don't see the Eagles winning in Washington, period, and was tempted to lay the -180 and/or the points, but rarely will I lay -3.5 just on general principles. So, since we certainly don't see Oakland winning at the Colts, I'll parlay the two. If the Colts win, we've got tons of options for Monday night, which could include teasing the Eagles and/or playing something in conjunction with the Texans-Chargers game.

Twoµ team ML Parlay:

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RAS

marshall -6-
troy +8
md teen st -4-
s fla -10-

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Philly Godfather

Texans -3

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NFL REPORT
____________________________________________

MNF Week #1 Information

Quick-Hits
•Philadelphia: 8-0 RD's > 3 points w/revenge vs. conference opponent... 4-1 away on Mondays... 31-17 away w/revenge...1-5 vs. division Game 5 < ... 3-7 L10 dogs... 1-6-1 OU Game One... Won just 1 of last 12 games SU in '12.
•WASHINGTON SERIES: 1-3 L4H... 9-0 vs. division w/OU line 47 > points... 7-0 SU/ATS run before home playoff loss to Seattle... SHANAHAN: 14-4 L18 vs. division (6-0 LY).

•Houston SERIES: 0-4 L4... 16-8-2 favorites L2Y (6-3-1 RF's)... 1-4 vs. AFC West.
•SAN DIEGO: 6-0 on Mondays... 1-7 w/OU line 46 > points... 1-4 Game One... 2-6 L8 home.

Situational Team Power Trend
•SAN DIEGO is 20-3 ATS (86.9%, +16.7 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 29.6, OPPONENT 17.6.

Situational Analysis
•Play Against - An NFL non-division underdog or favorite of less than 7 points (HOUSTON) in its season opener who won 12 or more games during the regular season last year versus an opponent who won 8 or fewer games last season.
ATS W-L Record Since 1990: 14-2, 88%

Betcha Didn't Know
According to our trusted database here at StatSystems Sports, opening week favorites on Monday Night Football have not fared all that well going just 22-20 SU and 14-28 ATS in all games since 1980. Thus, we should: Play Against any NFL Monday Night favorite (Houston and Washington) in Game One of the season.

Not only do these Game One Monday Night favorites lose the money 67% of the time (14-28 ATS), they lose the whole game nearly half of the time (22-20 SU). Put these same guys in a competitive role (-6 or less) and they fall to 12-20 SU and 9-23 ATS this role. Better yet, popularize these competitive Monday Night hosts with a stamp of 10 or more wins from the previous season and these MNF favorites dip to 2-11 SU and 1-12 ATS when laying 6 or less points in a game in which the Over/Under total is set at 41 or more points.

Subset: if Play Against team is favored by 6 or less points and won 10 or more games last season, and the Over/Under total in this game is 41 or more points, provided they are facing an opponent that has won 18 or more of its last 32 games. (ATS W-L Record: 0-10)

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"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee lost on Sunday with the 2nd "Chalkest" game on the board the Indians -$225/Mets.

For Monday "Mr Chalk" likes the Dodgers -$160/Diamondbacks.

"Mr Chalk" is 92-56 +$577 for the 2013 MLB season.

Ben lee has a play in Tennis for the Mens Final Rafael Nadal -$155/Novak Djokovic for $50.

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Bryan Leonard | MLB Total - Monday, Sep 9 2013 7:10PM
951 CHC / 952 CIN UNDER 8 Bookmaker.com double-dime bet
PLAY: CHC/CIN UNDER

Bryan Leonard | MLB RunLine - Monday, Sep 9 2013 7:10PM
966 MIN 1.5(-110) Bookmaker.com vs 965 ANA double-dime bet
PLAY: MINNESOTA +1.5

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Jimmy Boyd 9/9 & Updated Records

4* (NFL) Houston Texans -3.5

3* (NFL) Washington Redskins -3
3* (MLB) Detroit Tigers ML -135

MLB TOTAL 176-173 -28 Units
27-24
45-46
104-103

NCAAF TOTAL 11-6 +19 Units
2-1
4-0
5-5

NFL TOTAL 1-4 -12 Units
0-1
1-1
0-2

SEPTEMBER TOTAL 11-12 -6 Units
0-2
4-2
7-8

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ATS Lock Club

4 Houston

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spartan MLB Total Mon, 09/09/13 - 7:05 PM

double-dime bet - 962 BAL / 961 NYY - OVER 8.5

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Ats insiders club

Eagles/Wash under 52

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NFL odds: Week 2 opening line report

If you’re looking for coverage or analysis on any other game but Denver at New York this week, don’t hold your breath.

The “Manning Bowl” headlines the Week 2 schedule and you won’t hear about another game, team or player until the media vultures have picked this family feud clean.

Oddsmakers opened this game at Denver -2.5 following the Broncos’ dominant performance over the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday Night Football and have since suggested a push to Denver -4 following the Giants’ sloppy showing in a loss to the Dallas Cowboys Sunday night.

“Just the fact that the Giants didn’t look sharp, we have to move this line because of the public perception of how each team looked in Week 1,” Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, tells Covers. “As good as Denver was and how the Giants looked last night, we know that will stick in the minds of bettors. So we upped it a point and a half.”

For those of you keeping score, Peyton Manning is 2-0 SU and ATS versus his brother Eli Manning for their careers. The total for Sunday’s Round 3 of the “Manning Bowl” opened at 48 points.

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (-3, 44.5)

Overshadowed by sibling rivalry is this NFC West war between what many consider to be the two best teams in the NFL.

The Seahawks and Niners have a good thing going, which according to those Madden 25 commercials, started when Colin Kaepernick and Russell Wilson were at summer camp in the 90’s. I’ll have to fact check that one.

Most online books opened Seattle -3 while Korner and his team of oddsmakers came to the table with the spread as low as a pick. They eventually sent out Seahawks -3 but said things will get tricky in Northern Nevada – Reno and Tahoe – also known as Niners Country.

“I don’t know if the people up north can put up San Francisco as a dog,” he says. “They’ll be flood with 49ers action regardless. Northern Nevada is all Bay Area up there. I feel for them on this one.”

Korner says he’s much more impressed with San Francisco’s win over Green Bay and wasn’t convinced by the Seahawks’ efforts against Carolina. He expects this spread to come down quite a bit before kickoff on Sunday night.

New York Jets at New England Patriots (-13, 44)

Some shops opened this AFC East matchup as low as New England -10 and watched wiseguys smack the hell out of the odds, driving the spread all the way to -13.

That isn’t enough points, according to Korner, who sent out the Patriots -13.5 and expects that line to keep climbing before Thursday.

“Before the Jets won and the Patriots had a hard time (versus Buffalo in Week 1), this would clearly be two touchdowns. It’s a total anti-Jet number. We don’t get swayed on results too much. This is a gift. Who’s betting the Jets? Really, who? This is a classic favorite and over for a marquee standalone game.”

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5, 40.5)

Perhaps the biggest knee-jerk reaction from Week 1 revolves around the Steelers’ struggles after losing 16-9 to Tennessee. Pittsburgh didn’t perform well in the preseason and bettors are well aware of the aging core of stars keeping the Steelers intact.

Korner originally sent out Bengals -4 but admits he underestimated the market and gives credit where credit is due to those who opened Cincinnati just shy of a touchdown.

“The offshore guys had a better opening line,” he says. “I wasn’t as high on Cincinnati as others. I agree with the move to six and will be suggesting that everyone keep this one high.”