9-12-13

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John Paramo

NY Jets - New England over 42.5
TCU - Texas Tech over 62.5

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Pablosky

Pirates -1.5 (+125)
New England over 42.5

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Johnny Serrone

Texas Tech +3.5
Troy +8
Jets +12

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RAS

123 b green ov 61
161 ball st under 63-
177 kansas over 57-
193 wisc over 52

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Betting First Look with Marco D'Angelo

St. Louis Cardinals

** split 1/2* on ML and 1/2* on RL-1.5.

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Bryan Leonard

LA Angels

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Dave Cokin

Indians -123
Padres -108
Angels -116

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Jim Kruger

NFL Stat Of the Day
NFL Thursday home favorites have gone UNDER the lined total 63% of the time, 51-30, since 1990.

NFL home teams on Thursdays have covered 57% of games since 1990.
20-10-1 ATS when laying over a TD.
Patriots

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SB Professor NFL & NCAAF Original Systems - Picks 9/12

College Football
104. Texas Tech +3.5

Rest of Games
105. Tulane +7
107. Troy +7

NFL
101. New York Jets +13

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Dave Price:

6* TCU -3

6* Dodgers -170

6* Patriots -11

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Maddux Sports

New England -11

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Dave Essler MLB Total Thu, 09/12/13 - 8:10 PM
dime bet - 922 CWS / 921 CLE - OVER 8.5

Analysis: Can't resist this one, but because we are spread thin w/three sports, I am betting it smaller and will reason it later. I do think this may close at 9 and want it sooner rather than later.

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NFL Betting Week 2 Preview
by Frank Doyle

Patriot Games
Last week, the New England Patriots were big favorites but couldn’t cover in a tight win over Buffalo. They opened as 13-point favorites in Week 2 against the Jets, but that line is dropping steadily as the club works on a short week with injury concerns. Shane Vereen is out for a while and Danny Amendola and Rob Gronkowski are very, very doubtful. When the Pats were 12.5-point favorites, 70 percent of Sports Interaction’s tickets were coming in on New England, but that’s changed as the game nears. Now as New England sits as an 11-point favorite, just 56 percent of the action is coming in on the Pats.

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Vegas Sports Authority / By Jim Kruger

NFL Bonus Pick
Take NY Jets-New England Pats - UNDER 44
I have a recreational wager (10 to 33% of a unit) on the UNDER 44 in the NY Jets-New England game Thursday. Last Sunday, the Jets would have lost outright and not covered the point spread if their linebacker didn’t hustle and somehow catch Buc WR Vincent Jackson from behind on a breakaway pass which should have gone for a TD in the final 90 seconds. Then, an incredibly stupid penalty on the Bucs gave the Jets the opportunity for the winning field goal at the very end of the game.

It’s not going to be Christmas for the Jets against New England, but considering all of the Patriot injuries, 12 points seems generous to give New York. However, historically speaking, home teams favored in Thursday games have covered the point spread 63.6% of the time, 49-28-4.

I stopped releasing NFL Totals plays as I was losing more than I was winning with them. However, considering the Pat’s injuries and the ineptitude of the Jet’s offense, I have placed a recreational wager on the UNDER. Do not bet it any lower than 43 as that is one of the key numbers in NFL Totals.

History that supports the UNDER: When the home team is favored on Thursday games going back to 1990, the UNDER has happened 63.0% of the time, 50-31. That improves to 73.0%, 27-10, if it is a divisional game such as this Thursday’s. Regardless of divisional game or not, if the home team is favored by eight or more points, that UNDER goes to 18-4.

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Power Play Wins

Today's Play Of The Day:

New England -11