9-12-13

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Sports Cash System

free picks:

New England -13 over the New York Jets (NFL Football)

Texas Tech / TCU UNDER 62 (Total Points Scored in Game) (NCAA College Football)

Pittsburgh Pirates -168 over the Chicago Cubs (MLB Baseball)

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BOB BALFE

September 12, 2013

Texas Tech
TCU -3, 62
9/12/2013 7:30 PM

SELECTION: TCU -3

Better coach TCU. Better QB TCU. Better Defense TCU. Last year Tech won a triple OT thriller. Seth Dodge threw 7 touchdowns to 0 interceptions. That is unheard of. This week Dodge will be leading the Atlanta Falcons practice squad. Baker Mayfield a true walk on freshman takes his place. If Mayfield can repeat the performance Dodge had with a weak, shuffled and injured offensive line than I will gladly not mind handing money over to the man in this one. Mayfield has played great this year, but go look at who they played. He will get his first true test tonight. Terrance Boykin is the best player on the field. Boykin was not even the starter this year, but lucky for TCU they have two excellent quarterbacks and Boykin last year came in and won some key starts against ranked teams on the road. His mobility is key in this game. This Red Raider Defense was basically last in College Football at creating turnovers last year. Another big key I look at in this game is special teams. TCU returns most of its special teams while Tech will be breaking in a bunch of new faces this year. TCU really wants payback for last years heartbreaking loss. Neither team is as good as last year, but TCU still has the pieces to compete. Texas Tech is going to struggle. Dont let TCUs gave last week fool you. This still is a well-coached defense and I think it was just a hangover game after losing to LSU which is a big named SEC program that the Horned Frogs played well. New coach and young quarterback is not a winning recipe for conference play. Take TCU.


New York Jets
New England Patriots -11.5, 43.5
9/12/2013 8:30 PM
SELECTION: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS/NEW YORK JETS UNDER 43.5

Both teams are very lucky they survived week 1 and came out with a win because this game would not be good for the team facing 0-2 in the face. Can someone please name me one serious playmaker in this game that is not out or nursing an injury? Tom Brady is one of the best quarterbacks in the game, but make no mistake about it. You are only as good as the players that surround you. The Patriots are so thin at receiver to begin with and the guys who are playing are all banged up. Their tight ends in this game are names you would not even recognize. This team is in serious trouble. Their running game also is thin and has a few major injuries. This Jets Defense is not at all bad. Double digit favorites have not done well the past few years in the NFL. I will say this, I would not be shocked to see the Patriots cover the number just because on paper they shouldnt. The Jets have a new running back and fullback not to mention a new quarterback with basically nobody to throw the ball to. I am not a big fan of taking Unders in the NFL anymore, but this line is set like a line would be last year. The talent is far from last year. Now there is always a chance we get defensive scores, but I trust Brady enough not to turn the ball over. Geno Smith is another story, but I really think this is a game in which ever team gets a lead they will really work on that clock. Both coaches know this game can be won and I don’t think you are going to see either team take chances that can turn into 6 going the other way. Bottom line here is the offensive playmakers in this game under these circumstances are as weak as you are ever going to see in the NFL. If the game goes over then so be it. It is my job to put us in the best position to collect money. Nothing more and nothing less. I dont think either of these teams are capable of marching down the field and throwing up a ton of points. Rhythm is everything in this league and right now I just dont see it. Take the under and bet this game as soon as you can because I see this line dropping.

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John Ryan

Tulane

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Ray Falco

Patriots Over
TCU

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Erin Rynning

15* TCU -3

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IveyWalters

MLB Triple Dime Best Bet

3% Cleveland Indians -125

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Where the action is: Bettors fading injured Patriots

What was supposed to be a sure thing for the New England Patriots is looking less and less like an easy win, when the beleaguered Pats host the New York Jets on Thursday Night Football.

New England suffered through an awful offseason and nearly got knocked off in the opener versus Buffalo. Now, the Patriots are down two offensive weapons – RB Shane Vereen and WR Danny Amendola - and the betting public is showing their lack of faith in New England.

We talk to sportsbooks about the action coming in on this AFC East rivalry and where they expect the odds to close come kickoff Thursday night:

New York Jets at New England Patriots – Open: -12, Move: -13.5, Move: -11

Both the Jets and Patriots picked up wins in Week 1 but only one of those victories is being seen as a positive. Oddsmakers opened New England as a 12-point favorite after narrowly avoided an upset at the hands of the Bills and early money moved that spread just under two touchdowns.

However, once injury news got out on Vereen and Amendola, New York bettors came out of the shadows and trimmed this line as many as 2.5 points. New England is already missing many key weapons and will need its unknown skill players to step up on the big stage.

“As expected the money kept on coming for the Jets with the line shifting to 11.5, which has slowed the bettors down,” Russ Candler, head of trading at UWin.com told Covers. “It might not be enough for the line to hold at 11.5 and we’re certain the line will go off around the -11 mark. The early morning money will have a big say on the final number.”

The total has also shrunk in the past day, dropping as low as 42.5 after opening as high as 44.5 points. Both the Jets and Patriots played under the number in their Week 1 contests, however, New England boasted the fast-paced offense and was the best over bet in the NFL last season, going 11-5 over/under.

“After it was announced Danny Amendola wouldn’t play, the total dropped to 43.5 with 68 percent still on over,” Mike Perry of Sportsbook.com told Covers.

"The punters have attacked the point totals, taking the overs. Shoot out here we come," says Candler.

The Patriots are seeing the majority of action on the moneyline, even more so after books trimmed their straight-up price from as high as -750 to -588. According to Sportsbook.com, 88 percent of moneyline wagers are on New England.

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Z Money Sports

New England -11
TCU -3
Louisiana Tech -7

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NC marquee's:

Texas Tech
New Eng

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SB Professor NFL 3.0 Picks - 9/12

101. New York Jets +13

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Line Lounge
Thursday, 9/11/13-CFB

Take #104 Texas Tech (+3.5) over TCU ( for ½ a unit)

The main story here is that TCU has lost their starting QB Pachall, and they did not look too impressive against Southeastern Louisiana. TCU gave up over 339 total yards, 207 of them rushing. Giving up 17 points to that weak of a caliber team and only scoring 38 doesn’t seem to foreshadow a good outcome.

Texas Tech has a new coach, and he has led them to a 2-0 start. His innovation, tempo, and play calling has really been phenomenal. He may not have the most talented team, but with Pachalll out, this game will come down to coaching. And it is here Texas Tech has the advantage. Against SMU, Tech had 461 yards and the new comer Mayfield looked impressive. He threw 413 yards for 4 TDs and these were not flukes. He has great awareness and is at ease in the pocket. I see him breaking down TCU’s secondary, and with TCU not being able to muster much offense, the TCU defense will get more tired as the game goes on. I expect a few innovative calls in this one from Tech, and I see them coming out with the win at home in this win.

Projected Score: Texas Tech 38 TCU 32

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TMC Sports Advisors

Patriots -11.5

Patriotes /Jets Under 44.5


Pirates Pittsburgh -1.5 +125

Dodgers los Angeles -170

Today 3-0 on Early Bets

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9xSports

Thursday 9/12

(NFL) 8:25PM NEW YORK JETS+11.5

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Harry Bondi

3* New England

Free Play TCU

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BIG AL

MLB
Under 8 - Boston/Tampa Bay

CFB
Tulane
Texas Tech
Troy