9-13-13

[golden contender]

GC: MLB System play

T.G.I.F MLB Power card has the American League Game of the Month from a 17-1 system with a Perfect subset and the Big MLB Blowout System that Wins by nearly 4 runs per game and a Perfect totals system that averages 12.7 runs per game.+ NCAAF. MLB has been on a Major roll. Free MLB System Play below.



On Friday the Free MLB Power system Play is on the Pittsburgh Pirates. Game 952 at 7:05 eastern. The Pirates are too high a favorite to unit rate but for a free play they do fit a solid 19-4 power system that we use direct from the database that plays on home favorites with a total that is 8 or less and are off a home favored win vs this team last night while scoring 4 or less runs with no more than 1 errors, vs an opponent off road dog loss that scored 2 or less runs and had 4 or less hits, like the Cubs last night. The Pirates took the opener of the series and should roll again here tonight against a Chicago team that has lost 15 of 18 as a road dog off a road loss when scoring 2 or less runs. The Pirates have the better pitching numbers with C. Morton over Chicago starter J. Arietta who has a 7.36 road era. Look for the Pirates to take another. On Friday the T.G.I.F Power System card has 3 plays all from Perfect situations one is the American League Game of the Month, the other a 5* Blowout system that wins by nearly 4 runs per game and a perfect system total that averages 12.7 runs, all are league wide system that go back over 10 seasons. We even have a play in the Friday night college Football game. Jump on now and Start the Weekend Big as we Continue to use material and Data you wont see any where else. For the free play take the Pittsburgh Pirates. GC

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Bookieshunter

3* U8.5 Indians/Wsox

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Baltimore at Toronto (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Toronto +114 (moneyline) at Diamond

The Toronto Blue Jays were expected to contend in the AL East, but with already having played 107 games vs. teams .500 or better, the division and schedule has been an improbable task. Baltimore blew a huge opportunity at home vs. the surging Yankees, dropping three straight after winning the opener, and they could be feeling a bit hung over here, losing last night on a wild pitch. Jason Hammel has been their worst option all season as his ERA stands at 5.11, and the Jays do swing the bats. The Orioles are desperate for a win, but face a tall order here behind Hammel, as they are just 1-10 in his last 11 starts. Baltimore's track record here has been a dismal, 12-39 in their last 51 played over the border. Play is on Toronto.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Johnny Serrone 9/13




Boise St -23.5
Orioles
Rangers
Red Sox/Yankees Under 9

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9/13 Ats insiders club

Air force/Boise St over 57

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Sports Cash System

free picks:

Cincinnati Reds -144 over the Milwaukee Brewers (MLB Baseball)

Los Angeles Dodgers -178 over the San Francisco Giants (MLB Baseball)

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Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 9/13

Bet Level 1: Pittsburgh Pirates -176 over the Chicago Cubs


(System Record: 137-5, Won last game)
Overall Record: 137-121

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Stu Feiner

Air Force

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DOC’S SPORTS
4Unit Play. #110 TakeBoise State Broncos -23.5 over Air Force Falcons (Friday 8 pm ESPN) Wewere eyeing the Falcons as a member play for much of last week but pulled itdown, and that turned out to be a good decision as they got pounded at homeagainst Utah State. I do not expect things to get any easier tonight againstBoise State, a team that has one of the most prolific offenses over the lastdecade. After their loss to Washington, Boise State got back on track in a bigway last week against an FCS team, and I do not expect them to have muchopposition against the Falcons this week. Air Force is really reloading onoffense this year with only four starters returning. Boise State needs astatement win to get back into the Top 25 rankings, and thus I expect them toput up close to 60 points on the board tonight. Air Force is just 1-10 ATS in theirlast 11 games. Boise State has covered five of their last six games played onFriday.

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Todays Best Bets

5* - [969] Baltimore Orioles -122 vs Toronto Blue Jays

3* - [971] New York Yankees UNDER 9 -103 vs Boston Red Sox

5* - [110] Boise State -23.5 -112 vs Air Force

4* - [974] Texas Rangers -132 vs Oakland Athletics

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EAGLE EYE---RANDY ROSE
Your Pick: New York Mets (-154)
Your Pick: New York Yankees (+129)

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Spartan MLB Money Line Fri, 09/13/13 - 7:05 PM

dime bet - 967 KC (+161) vs 968 DET

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Line Changers

mlb
chw/cleve - under 8 - (3 units)

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Jeff White

Air Force +24.5

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Sportswagers MLB
Today's Free Picks for Sep 12, 2013





Cleveland @ CHICAGO
Cleveland -1½ +127 over CHICAGO


2:10 PM EST. The White Sox are more like the Bad News Bears. They continue to make mental and physical mistakes at an alarming rate and that suggests their collective heads are not in this thing. The South Side has dropped three in a row while being outscored 24-4. They’ve also lost 11 of their past 14 games and they’ll face a pitcher here they’ve never seen before in Danny Salazar. Salazar’s skills have electric. He has 45 K’s in 37 innings, a .209 BAA, a 1.05 WHIP, a 2.92 ERA and a just about equal xERA of 3.05. Danny Salazar owns some of the best raw stuff of any SP in MLB, including a 96 mph four-seam fastball and a dominant splitter. He also dominates both lefty and righty bats and should thrive here against a disinterested group of weak hitters. The Indians are a bit risky spotting 1½ runs against right-handers but against lefties, they thrive with the second best batting average in the majors. Cleveland faces a lefty here in Hector Santiago. Despite delivering a sub-3.50 ERA for Chicago last season, Santiago found himself in the bullpen entering 2013, the same place he began 2012 before being moved to the rotation. History seems to be repeating itself, as Santiago is once again starting, and, on the surface, thriving.But the skills reveal the reason why Chicago seems hesitant to deem him a full-time starter. Santiago is a walk machine with a fly-ball tilt, a combination that generally tends to produce blow-ups. He's also been the beneficiary of a favorable strand %, which has contributed to the wide ERA/xERA gap. Santiago’s strikeout rate is also decreasing. His decent strikeout rate previously acted as damage control for his wildness but if it doesn't rebound, he becomes a far riskier play. Santiago sports a surprisingly tame 61%/11% dominant start/disaster start split for a pitcher who on the surface looks so disaster prone, but, given his unfavorable home park and clear home/road ERA splits (4.03 / 2.60), he still profiles as a pitcher who is in for some nasty outings before season's end.



Our Pick
Cleveland -1½ +127 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.54)




Chicago @ PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH -1½ +129 over Chicago


Jake Arietta has two wins in seven starts since the Orioles dumped him off to Chicago. He’s made one road start since the trade and barely made it through five innings after walking five and allowing four runs in those five innings. In total, Arietta has made 11 starts this year and only three of them have been quality one’s. Last year we went 3-9 with a 6.20 ERA in 109 IP at Baltimore. Arrieta has a history of control issues and nothing has changed. He’s already walked 37 batters in 57 frames this year and 17 over his past 28 innings. His line-drive rate is at an alarming 31% and he does not have the luxury of the winds blowing in here like they do at Wrigley. Against a focused and determined Pirates club that has reeled off four straight including a sweep in Texas, Arietta has little chance for success. He’s officially on our stiff list. The Cubbies have the league’s worst team batting average in the league on the road at .228. Things don’t figure to improve here against Charlie Morton. Morton has been one of MLB's most dominating pitchers during his second half return from 2012 Tommy John surgery with a 3.13 ERA and an absolute elite 65% groundball rate. And he's more than a groundball machine. He has a 94 mph average four-seam fastball. He's still refining the pitch mix that will generate more swings-and-misses from batters, but with his good velocity and the best groundball tilt in MLB, Morton could be the key cog in Pittsburgh’s quest for a championship. He’s that good and it’s no fluke.



Our Pick
PITTSBURGH -1½ +129 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.58)




San Diego @ ATLANTA
San Diego +131 over ATLANTA


The Braves magic number is down to just six games, meaning they are virtually a lock make the playoffs but they are certainly overpriced in the first game of this series. Atlanta is on cruise control right now. They are like an NFL team playing the prevent defense. To give some of its starters some rest, the Braves are turning to a rookie pitcher, making his first MLB start (see our MLB call-ups). In 20 starts with Triple-A Gwinnett, David Hale went 6-9 with a 3.22 ERA, however, he allowed 123 hits in 114 innings for a BA against of .279. A two-way player at Princeton who saw more time in center field than on the mound, Hale continues to play catch-up in his development as a pitcher. He has a quick arm with a fluid delivery that produces a heavy 92 mph fastball. His slider can be a solid offering at times, while his feel for his changeup comes and goes. Hale needs to do a better job of getting ahead in the count and of working off his fastball. His strikeout to walk ratio 36/77 BB/K at the minor league level was pedestrian at best. As a -140 favorite, this rookie brings far too much risk. Ian Kennedy has enjoyed a renaissance of sorts since being traded from the D-Backs back in early August. Of his seven starts since for the Padres, five of them have been of the pure quality variety. The Padres have won three of Kennedy’s last four starts and over that span, he’s been taken deep just one time. It may surprise you to learn that no team other than the Astros have struck out more than the Braves and that should bode very well here for Kennedy. Over his last 27 frames, Kennedy has whiffed 32 batters. He also brings an outstanding xERA of 2.72 since joining the Padres to this contest. Ian Kennedy was not a good fit in Arizona but he’s been a great fir for the Padres and offers up plenty of value here taking back a tag like the one offered here against a rookie pitcher that was rated as the Braves 16th best prospect heading into 2013.



Our Pick
San Diego +131 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.62)




San Diego @ PHILADELPHIA
San Diego -102 over PHILADELPHIA


The Phillies had big motivation on their side when they recently swept the Braves prior to this series but that motivation level is not nearly as high against this “also ran” guest. These two split the first two games of the series with Padres taking the opener 8-2 before losing to Cliff Lee last night, 4-2. Roy Halladay missed his last start due to flu-like symptoms. A shoulder strain nagged him most of last season, resulting in his first sub-200 IP year since '05. That shoulder carried 240 IP per season from 2008 to 2011. Halladay has spent most of this season on the DL. Before going on the disabled list, Halladay's biggest problem was his control and since returning, it has gotten worse. In three starts covering 17 innings, Halladay has walked nine batters while striking out eight. That’s not the only concern. Halladay’s groundball rate is at a career low 34%. His line-drive rate is at a career high of 27%. Age, health and the toll of all those great innings has made Roy Halladay a huge risk and the only thing that has him favored here is his name and pedigree. It has been nine straight pure quality starts for Tyson Ross since rejoining the rotation on July 23. He takes on a Phillies team who is playing out the season with a somewhat makeshift lineup. Ross is a must play, spotting less than a nickel or even a dime against Halladay and the Phillies. Ross’s skills have outperformed his results more than any starting pitcher in the game. His 3-7 record does not do justice to his 3.36 xERA, (2.79 actual ERA) 54% groundball rate, 8.4 K’s per nine and solid control. Put Tyson Ross on your radar as one of the most undervalued pitchers in the majors. Ross has nasty stuff, he has game and his chances of winning here are far greater than Halliday’s chances.



Our Pick
San Diego -102 (Risking 2.04 units - To Win: 2.00)

Yesterday	0	1	0.00	-2.04
Last 30 Days	31	41	0.00	-6.75
Season to Date	212	218	0.00	+70.54

I guess he is on Washington and not SD on the last pick