9-14-13

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DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - FREE PLAY SATURDAY

3-UNIT STRONG OPINION
N. ILLINOIS -28 (-130) (2pm) - FREE PLAY

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1095-825(57% +)over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner Sat: Washington -10

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Saturday

Arizona -24

Marshall -8

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Cappers Access

Nebraska -3
Alabama -9
Mississippi St +7
Purdue +20-

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NCAAF

Week 3

Saturday's games
Top 13 games

Lousiville is 8-5 in last 13 games with Kentucky, winning 24-17/32-14 in last two meetings; Cardinals won last two visits here, with last couple of wins by seven points each. Since '09, Wildcats are 5-8-1 as home dogs- they're 15-11 vs spread in last 26 non-league tilts. U of L is 3-3 as road favorite under Strong- they've got 10 starters back on defense and have one of best QBs in country (22 starts). Kentucky has QB with 5 starts, OL with only 49 combined starts, but that matters less in home games.

Indiana gave up 444 rushing yards to Navy's option offense last week in disappointing 41-35 home loss, after giving up two defensive TDs week before to I-AA Indiana State; since '08, Hoosiers are 4-8 as home faves, 8-11 in non-league games. Bowling Green won first two games by 19-27 points, running ball for 219-233 yards; they're 20-11 as road underdogs since '06, 11-7 under Clawson. For team with 19 returning starters, IU is off to bad start. MAC teams are 5-7 as non-league road underdogs. Big Dozen non-league favorites are 9-5, 7-5 at home.

Since 2004, East Carolina is 15-6-1 as home dogs, 5-3 under Ruffin; they are 10-17-1 vs spread in last 28 non-league games. Pirates are 1-6 in last seven games with Virginia Tech, losing last three played here by average score of 26-14. Hokies were 0-3 as road favorites LY, after being 20-8-1 in that role from '04-'11; they outgained Alabama 212-206 in neutral field opener, but gave up a defensive TD and two special teams TDs. Tech completed 20-35 passes last week vs I-AA foe, after being dismal 5-26 in dome week before, not what you expect from a senior QB.

Coach Edsall left UConn for Maryland, so this game has extra meaning; Huskies had last week off after hideous home loss to I-AA Towson in opener (TY 393-290). UConn (-2.5) won 24-21 at Maryland LY-- they outrushed Terps 153-96. Since '05, UConn is 15-3 as home underdogs. Maryland has thrown ball for 600 yards in first two games; they're 1-4 as road favorites since '06- this is first time they're been favored on road since '10. Neither team has much experience at QB, but at least Terps aren't playing a linebacker there this year. UConn's OL has edge here in experience. First road game for Maryland, with West Virginia on deck.

Fresno State (-15) gained 665 yards in 69-14 humiliation of Colorado at home LY; since '09, Bulldogs are 8-2 as road favorites. Colorado's new coach MacIntyre came from San Jose State, whose main rival in WAC was Fresno. San Jose (+6.5) upset Bulldogs 27-24 in last meeting in '11, after losing 33-18 previous year, MacIntyre's first with Spartans. Buffs are just 3-6 as home dogs last decade, but this also best coaching they've and in Richardson, Colorado has one of best WRs in country. When you lose game 69-14, you circle the rematch on the calendar. I'm just sayin'.

UCLA (+5) upset Nebraska 36-30 at home LY, gaining 653 yards, 344 on the ground; Bruins are 2-0 as road dogs under Mora, after being 11-18 in that role from '05-'11. UCLA had last week off after crushing Nevada in its opener; they're 4-1 in non-league games under Mora. Cornhuskers had defensive issues in 37-34 opening win over Wyoming- they scored coupel defensive TDs in rout of hapless Southern Miss last week- they are 8-2 in last 10 games as home favorites. Both teams have quality QB and similar amount of experience (80-88 starts) on OL.

Texas fired DC Diaz after giving up 550 rushing yards to BYU in 40-21 loss last week; not sure how that helps this week, facing Ole Miss squad they crushed 66-31 in LY's meeting (-10). Since '08, Rebels are 10-5 as road dogs- they already have road win 39-35 (-3) at Vandy, when they ran for 206 yards, passed for 283 with no turnovers. Ole Miss' QB has 15 starts, its OL 92 starts, so they can move ball. Since '09, Longhorns are 9-14 as home favorites- they covered only nine of last 26 home tilts and opening Big X play next week, they're headed in wrong direction.

USC lost 10-7 at home to Washington State last week despite Wazzu not scoring offensive TD; Soph Kessler gets third start after playing 1st half last week- Trojans' longest pass play last week (11-21/54) was just eight yards. Natives are restless with Kiffin; USC is 7-4 in last 11 games as home favorites, but with scholarship numbers down due to probation typical Trojan depth isn't there. Boston College is was 0-5 as road dog LY, after being 18-7 in that role from '03-'11; Eagles held Wake Forest to 246 yards in 24-10 win last week after struggling to beat I-AA team the week before. BC has had five different OC's in last 2.5 years.

Iowa-Iowa State split last six meetings in intense rivalry, with Cyclones' wins by 3-3-2 points, Iowa's by combined total of 87-15. Underdogs are 9-3 vs spread in last 12 series games; Hawkeyes lost five of last seven visits here, with dogs 4-2 vs spread in last six played in Ames. Since '10, Iowa is 2-5 as road favorites; they've got young QB and after losing at home to Northern Illinois in opener, had smallest home crowd in decade last week, so their program is sliding. State had last week off after dismal loss to I-AA Northern Iowa- they're 6-8-1 as home dog under Rhodes.

Texas A&M (+13) won 29-24 at Alabama LY, with +3 turnover margin huge stat in game where TY was 431-418, Bama. A&M is new to SEC, so Crimson Tide hasn't played here- since '08, they're 15-6 as favorites on road, but Bama's OL is inexperienced (44 starts) which showed in its opening win vs Va Tech, a misleading 35-10 win where Tide scored pair of special teams TDs and another on defense. TY in that game was just 212-206, VT. Since '05, Aggies are 9-6-1 as home dogs. Both teams are well-off at QB, Bama has revenge motive, Aggies have home field. LY, Alabama won national title; despite losing to A&M.

Washington (-4.5) waxed Boise State 38-6 in opener, gaining 592 yards as they avenged LY's bowl loss to Broncos, but over last decade, U-Dub is just 12-41 SU on foreign soil, 4-5 as road favorite- this isn't true road game, being played at Soldier Field not Champaign. Illinois had big 45-17 win over Cincinnati last week, with 210 rushing yards, 312 passing, so having veteran QB (28 starts) helps. Washington had last week off; their senior QB Price (27 starts) gives Sarkisian mobility. Illini covered four of last five tries as a home underdog. Interesectional road favorites: 11-8 so far in this young season.

South Carolina won 11 of last 13 games vs Vanderbilt, winning last four by unlikely average score of 18-8, with underdogs 7-4 vs spread last 11 years, 4-1 in last five played here. As Franklin has improved program at Vandy, they've played Carolina tough, outgaining them 276-272 LY in a 17-13 home loss (+6.5), but they haven't won. Gamecocks lost 41-30 at Georgia last week; under Spurrier, Carolina is 16-12-2 vs spread coming off a loss- they're 11-5 in last 16 games as home favorite. Since 2004, Vandy is 24-12-1 as a road dog- they lost opener at home to Ole Miss after leading 21-10 at half. These games have been defensive struggles.

Wisconson upgraded at HC when Anderson replaced Bielema, who ran off to Arkansas; Anderson was 14-2 vs spread as road underdog in his time in Logan. Badgers are 3-1 as road dogs last three years- they went out west in September LY, lost 10-7 (-7) at Oregon State. Arizona State is 18-12 as home favorites last five years, 4-1 under Graham; ASU has 70 starts back on OL and QB with 14 starts. Badgers have 58 starts on OL and new QB. Neither team has been tested yet, playing combined three stiffs. Teams met in 2010; Badgers (-12) won 20-19 in Madison, but since both teams changed coaches since then, it doesn't mean much.

Rest of the Card; notes on rest of the games

-- Eastern Michigan is 2-5 in last seven games as a road dog. Over last four years, Rutgers is 5-9 as a home favorite.
-- Stanford covered 12 of last 14 as a road favorite. Army covered five of last seven tries as a home underdog.
-- Home team covered eight of last 11 Marshall-Ohio games. Bobcats are 8-4 vs spread in last dozen non-conference games.
-- Since '08, New Mexico is 12-16 as a road underdog. Since '09, Pitt has covered 11 of 20 games as a home favorite, under three different HCs.

-- Wake Forest covered seven of last nine non-ACC home games. ULM is 7-6 in last thirteen games as a road underdog.
-- Western Kentucky is 4-0 vs spread as a road favorite; they turned ball over five times in six plays in 52-20 loss at Tennessee last week.
-- Georgia Tech won 15 of last 16 games (9-7 vs spread) vs Duke, which lost starting QB Boone last week. Tech is 2-4-1 as a road favorite.
-- Tennessee is 5-13 vs spread in last 18 games as an underdog. Oregon is 6-8-1 as a home favorite the last 2+ years.

-- Road dog won previous two Northern Illinois-Idaho games. Vandals covered twice in their last eight games as a home underdog.
-- Auburn won 10 of last 12 games vs Mississippi State, which failed to cover its last five tries as a road underdog.
-- Penn State is 6-1 as home favorite under O'Brien, who worked seven years as an assistant under UCF coach O'Leary. Knights are 16-11 as a road underdog the last few years.
-- Ball State covered 18 of last 27 games. North Texas lost to Ohio U of MAC last week, outgaining Mean Green 447-299.

-- Arkansas is 14-9-1 vs spread in its last 24 games as a home favorite. Southern Miss had 18 consecutive winning seasons until they went 0-12 LY- Golden Eagles are 1-6 in last seven games as a road dog.
-- Oklahoma won its last six games with Tulsa, going 4-1-1 vs spread. Blake Bell gets start at QB for injured starter Knight.
-- Cal Bears covered twice in last ten games as road dog. Over last four years, Ohio State is 2-6-1 when laying points on the road.
-- South Florida is 4-13 in last 17 games as home favorite- their QB was 6-26 passing last week. Oy. FAU covered both its games this season.

-- Rice (+11) upset Kansas in Lawrence LY, 25-24; their QB was once the starter at BYU. Owls are favored over BCS team for first time in 12 years- since '08, they're 8-2 as a home favorite.
-- Notre Dame won its last five games with Purdue by average of dozen points; Irish is 5-4 vs spread under Kelly when coming off a loss.
-- UTEP won its last four games vs New Mexico State (3-0-1 vs spread) Aggies allowed 100 points in first two games, vs Texas/Minnesota.

-- Arizona covered eight of last 11 non-league games. UISA has a win at New Mexico, but they're in over head here, vs team that won 58-13 last week at UNLV.
-- Home team won all four Oregon State-Utah games, covering three of the four games. Beavers covered 16 of last 22 games as a road dog.
-- Central Michigan beat I-AA New Hampshire 24-21 on final play last week, not exactly a great sign/ Chippewas are 1-9 as a road underdog.

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Dave Essler

3* Duke

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Today's MLB Picks

Kansas City at Detroit

The Royals look to build on their 4-1 record in Ervin Santana's last 5 starts against a team with a winning record. Kansas City is the pick (+135) according to Dunkel, which has the Royals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+135). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 14 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.774; Milwaukee (Hellweg) 15.830 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-180); 8 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+160); Over

Game 903-904: Miami at NY Mets (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Alvarez) 14.645; NY Mets (Matsuzaka) 13.801 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Miami (-115); 8 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-115); Under

Game 905-906: Miami at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Turner) 14.374; NY Mets (Torres) 13.462 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 9 Vegas Line: NY Mets (-135); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (+115); Over

Game 907-908: Philadelphia at Washington (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 14.672; Washington (Gonzalez) 16.931 Dunkel Line: Washington by 2 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Washington (-150); 7 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-150); Under

Game 909-910: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Baker) 14.993; Pittsburgh (Cole) 14.660 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-185); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+165); Under

Game 911-912: San Diego at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Erlin) 14.720; Atlanta (Medlen) 16.277 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-190); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-190); Over

Game 913-914: Colorado at Arizona (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Oswalt) 13.804; Arizona (Miley) 15.285 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Arizona (-180); 9 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-180); Under

Game 915-916: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.779; LA Dodgers (Nolasco) 14.817 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 8 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+145); Over

Game 917-918: Baltimore at Toronto (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 14.797; Toronto (Rogers) 15.850 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Baltimore (-155); 9 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+135); Over

Game 919-920: NY Yankees at Boston (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.432; Boston (Lester) 17.062 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Boston (-165); 9 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-165); Under

Game 921-922: Oakland at Texas (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Colon) 14.518; Texas (Darvish) 16.199 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Texas (-160); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-160); Under

Game 923-924: Kansas City at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Santana) 15.522; Detroit (Fister) 14.588 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Detroit (-155); 8 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+135); Over

Game 925-926: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Jimenez) 15.675; White Sox (Rienzo) 14.173 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Cleveland (-155); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-155); Over

Game 927-928: LA Angels at Houston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 15.772; Houston (Oberholtzer) 16.662 Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 7 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 8 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+140); Under

Game 929-930: Tampa Bay at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Moore) 15.376; Minnesota (Albers) 13.934 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-175); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-175); Under

Game 931-932: Seattle at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Paxton) 15.361; St. Louis (Wacha) 14.808 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-240); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+200); Over

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WNBA Basketball Picks

Tulsa at Seattle

The Shock look to take advantage of a Seattle team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Western Conference opponents. Tulsa is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 14 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 651-652: Chicago at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 114.967; Minnesota 125.125 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 10; 153 Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 8; 160 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-8); Under

Game 653-654: Tulsa at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 112.237; Seattle 112.670 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 152 Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 4 1/2; 144 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+4 1/2); Over

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Today's CFL Picks

Toronto at Saskatchewan

The Roughriders look to build on their 9-3 ATS record in their last 12 games in September. Saskatchewan is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-8). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 14 Time Posted: 8:00 p.m. EST (9/12)

Game 293-294: Winnipeg at Edmonton (6:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 107.448; Edmonton 109.952 Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 2 1/2; 58 Vegas Line: Edmonton by 4 1/2; 53 Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+4 1/2); Over

Game 295-296: Toronto at Saskatchewan (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 109.193; Saskatchewan 120.227 Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 11; 59 Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 8; 54 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-8); Over

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Essential Betting Tidbits for Week 3 of College Football

We dug up these vital betting tidbits for Saturday's early college football action that will help you make the right call before kickoff.

-Some big line moves for the 12 p.m. ET games as of late Friday morning:
Tulsa-Oklahoma -27 to -24.5
Stanford-Army +27.5 to +30
UCLA -Nebraska -7.5 to -3.5
Georgia State-West Virginia -37 to -40
Louisville-Kentucky +10 to +14
Akron-Michigan -35.5 to 37.

-More special teams gaffes from Tulsa last week. Fumble on a punt return, two missed field goals from short range (a problem going back to last season), and a punt return TD against. This has become a key betting factor for Tulsa games. +24.5 at Oklahoma.

-Virginia Tech easily beat FCS Western Carolina last week but QB Logan Thomas had 5 pass progression errors in the game. Not good considering Thomas, who loves to run, has had his had his running plays limited this season. -7.5 at ECU

-Blake Bell will start at QB in place of the injured Trevor Knight. This could actually be a good thing for the Sooners after Knight struggled with passing accuracy against West Virginia (10-of-20).

-The average weight of Stanford's offensive line outweighs Army's defensive line by 70 pounds. The defensive line outweighs the Black Knights' O-line by 40 pounds on average. Stanford +30 at Army.

-Stanford has 25 straight games with at least one takeway, longest streak in the nation.

-Keep in mind it could feel like 9 a.m. (Pacific Time) to the Cardinal when they play Army Saturday at noon ET at West Point.

-Seven players on Nebraska's front seven have made their college debuts over the past two weeks. They're in tough against a UCLA team that put up 653 yards on the Huskers last year. Nebraska -3.5

-UCLA has the No. 3 offense in the country so far with 647 yards per game.

-Kentucky freshman wide receiver Ryan Timmons told Kentucky.com he expects a high-scoring game against Louisville on Saturday. The total was at 60 late Friday afternoon.

-Brady Hoke has doughnuts coming for the first 5,000 students to go to the game vs. Akron on Saturday. He calls noon games "doughnut games" because he used to buy a doughnut before he played football at that time as a youth player. He says the Wolverines love these games. Michigan is -37.

-Bowling Green is one of 18 FBS teams who have started the year at 2-0 ATS. +3 at Indiana.

-You might want to look at first half wagers for Oregon this season. "Oregon has an FBS-high 60 TD drives that lasted 2 minutes or less since the start of last season. 40 of those 60 came in the first half" according to ESPN's stats & info.

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB TAMPA BAY at MINNESOTA

Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (TAMPA BAY) poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL
144-52 since 1997. ( 73.5% 57.2 units )
15-8 this year. ( 65.2% 0.8 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB CLEVELAND at CHI WHITE SOX

CLEVELAND is 31-14 (+18.0 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season.

The average score was: CLEVELAND (5.6) , OPPONENT (4.0)

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StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

WNBA TULSA at SEATTLE

Play On - Home teams (SEATTLE) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games
113-61 since 1997. ( 64.9% 45.9 units )
8-4 this year. ( 66.7% 3.6 units )

WNBA TULSA at SEATTLE

Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (SEATTLE) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
128-59 since 1997. ( 68.4% 0.0 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% 0.0 units )

WNBA TULSA at SEATTLE

Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points good free throw shooting team - making >=76% of their free throws
294-183 since 1997. ( 61.6% 92.7 units )
20-12 this year. ( 62.5% 6.8 units )

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Sharpwins

CFB
UL Monroe +3 over Wake Forest
The game kicks off at 12:30pmET.

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Jeff white

Bama/ A&M under 62 1u
Oregon-27 1u
Game of week 2u under 51 Vandy/SCarolina

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"Mr Chalk" 2013 MLB Season

Ben lee lost on Friday with the Diamondbacks -$150/Rockies.

For Saturday "Mr Chalk" likes two the Braves -$185/Padres and the Dodgers -$165/Giants both for $100.

"Mr Chalk" is 5-2 -$10 for the week and 95-58 +$567 for the 2013 MLB season.


For Saturday Ben lee (Ecks and Bacon) likes

*Arizona St -5/Wisconsin (Best Bet)

Illinois +10.5/Washington

Texas A&M +8.5/Alabama


For Saturday's fight between Saul Alvarez/Floyd Mayweather Ben lee likes under 11.5 rounds +$250 for $50.