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N.Y. Giants @ KANSAS CITY
N.Y. Giants +4½ -110 over KANSAS CITY
The Giants are 0-3 and have been a complete dumpster fire the past two weeks in blowout losses to both Denver and Carolina. After an 0-2 start, New York went into Carolina last week and took a massive amount of money. They never stood a chance in what has to be considered one of the most humiliating losses in Tom Coughlin’s career. All those folks that wagered on the Giants last week will be quick to bet against them this week. The G-Men’s stock has hit rock bottom.
The Chiefs have had extra days to prepare after going into Philadelphia last Thursday night and easily defeating the Eagles in a game that Philly Chip was schooled by Andy Reid. The Chiefs are now 3-0 and their stock hasn’t been higher in a very long time. That sets this one up as a classic buy-low, sell high scenario and we’re all over it. You see, the oddsmakers know the Chiefs are overvalued and have set this number at an appealing margin. Let’s not forget that the Chiefs played Jacksonville in the opener, scored just 17 points at home against Dallas in Week 2 and had outstanding field position and five takeaways in Philadelphia last week. 90% of the teams in this league would’ve scored at least 45 points against Philly under those circumstances. Alex Smith never throws deep and he doesn't take a chance on throwing into coverage. That has left the always covered Dwayne Bowe high and dry. The Giants are not going to roll over again. You may read about internal issues regarding the Giants in that many players are frustrated about their roles. Don’t let that influence you. This is a well-coached New York team with one of the best QB’s in the game. Now that QB and humiliated squad is getting 4½ points against a QB that could not move the ball against a brutally bad defense in Philadelphia. The time to jump on a team is when everyone else is jumping off and that’s precisely the situation here. Giants outright.
Our Pick
N.Y. Giants +4½ -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)
Indianapolis @ JACKSONVILLE
JACKSONVILLE +9 -110 over Indianapolis
Yeah, we know it’s not easy to pull the trigger on the Jaguars. This is a team that can’t move five yards and that have scored a measly 28 points in three weeks. 14 of those points came in garbage time last week in Seattle in the second half with the Jags down by about 100 points and the Seahawks not caring. However, this week the Jags get Blaine Gabbert and TE Marcedes Lewis back and Maurice Jones Drew says his ankle is 100%. Still, this isn’t about that.
This one is all about fading the Colts after they went into San Francisco last week and beat up on the 49ers as a 10½-point dog. You may have to go back 50 years for the last time you saw an NFL team go from a 10½-point dog to a 9-point choice in one week. That’s a 19½-point turnaround in a week but what in reality it’s a complete overreaction to both Indy’s success and Jacksonville’s ineptitude. Wagering on the NFL isn’t about trying to figure out which team is supposed to win or breaking down X’s and O’s. You can listen to all those experts on Sunday morning do that. That’s if you can understand what Shannon Sharpe is saying because dude speaks with marbles in his mouth. Wagering on this sport is all about finding the right spot and taking advantage of a favorable number. That applies here. The Jags almost always play their best against the Colts. They defeated them in three straight seasons with the point spread being four or less in five of those six games. Additionally, the Colts have the Seahawks on deck next week back in Indianapolis after going into San Fran last week. This one sets up as another buy-low, sell high opportunity and it’s also a classic sandwich game for the favorite. You will see a bunch of different numbers out there but at Sports Interaction, we see a +9 today (Friday) so if you’re on board for this one, bet it sooner rather than later.
Our Pick
JACKSONVILLE +9 -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)
Arizona @ TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY -2½ -110 over Arizona
Josh Freeman is out and the third QB taken (after E.J. Manuel and Geno Smith) in the June draft is in. The Buccaneers are switching gears and starting ex-North Carolina State quarterback Mike Glennon and there is going to be lots of talk about whether or not the move was a personal one by HC Greg Schiano. Schiano has never liked Freeman and this could be viewed as a desperate move to save his own job. This one has a similar feel to last week’s Cleveland at Minnesota game in which nobody wanted any part of the Brownies. We warned you about fading Cleveland and we’re warning you again about fading the Bucs. Mike Glennon is a rookie yes, but he’s also a talent that backed up Russell Wilson with the Wolfpack before inheriting the starting assignment as a junior and ultimately throwing 62 TD passes in two years. Glennon may not shine but he doesn’t have to. The Bucs are 0-3 but they are a “good” 0-3 after losing to the Jets on a bizarre last drive in Week 1, losing to the Saints in Week 2 by just two points and falling to New England, 23-3 on the road last week. That final score in New England was not as bad as it looks, as the Bucs had just 35 less yards of offense than the Patriots. Defensively, the Buccaneers have been outstanding against both the run and pass as no one has rushed for more than 65 yards on them and they have only allowed four passing scores this year despite facing Drew Brees and Tom Brady. After facing Brees and Brady, facing Carson Palmer and the Cardinals should appear in slow motion. The three teams that the Bucs have faced are a combined 8-1.
Arizona lost to St. Louis. Enough said. They also lost to the Saints by a score of 31-7, the same Saints team that the Bucs lost by two points to and were in a position to win in the final minutes. Everything was supposed to be different in Arizona with Carson Palmer but it looks like the same-old from this angle. In Week 1, Palmer threw for 327 yards and two TDs. That dropped to 248 yards and one touchdown in Week 2 and 187 yards and no TDs last week. Nobody likes diminishing returns. This Cardinals offense remains sorely limited with an ineffective rushing game and little more than Larry Fitzgerald in the passing equation. This is also the Cardinals third road in four weeks. With that, we’re suggesting you ignore the supposed chaos in Tampa Bay. The media blows everything out of proportion. From what we’ve seen so far, the Bucs are a quality football team with one of the best defenses in the NFL while the Cardinals are a bad football that is showing no signs of improving.
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY -2½ -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)
N.Y. Giants @ KANSAS CITYN.Y. Giants +4½ -110 over KANSAS CITY
The Giants are 0-3 and have been a complete dumpster fire the past two weeks in blowout losses to both Denver and Carolina. After an 0-2 start, New York went into Carolina last week and took a massive amount of money. They never stood a chance in what has to be considered one of the most humiliating losses in Tom Coughlin’s career. All those folks that wagered on the Giants last week will be quick to bet against them this week. The G-Men’s stock has hit rock bottom.
The Chiefs have had extra days to prepare after going into Philadelphia last Thursday night and easily defeating the Eagles in a game that Philly Chip was schooled by Andy Reid. The Chiefs are now 3-0 and their stock hasn’t been higher in a very long time. That sets this one up as a classic buy-low, sell high scenario and we’re all over it. You see, the oddsmakers know the Chiefs are overvalued and have set this number at an appealing margin. Let’s not forget that the Chiefs played Jacksonville in the opener, scored just 17 points at home against Dallas in Week 2 and had outstanding field position and five takeaways in Philadelphia last week. 90% of the teams in this league would’ve scored at least 45 points against Philly under those circumstances. Alex Smith never throws deep and he doesn't take a chance on throwing into coverage. That has left the always covered Dwayne Bowe high and dry. The Giants are not going to roll over again. You may read about internal issues regarding the Giants in that many players are frustrated about their roles. Don’t let that influence you. This is a well-coached New York team with one of the best QB’s in the game. Now that QB and humiliated squad is getting 4½ points against a QB that could not move the ball against a brutally bad defense in Philadelphia. The time to jump on a team is when everyone else is jumping off and that’s precisely the situation here. Giants outright.
Our Pick
N.Y. Giants +4½ -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)
Indianapolis @ JACKSONVILLEJACKSONVILLE +9 -110 over Indianapolis
Yeah, we know it’s not easy to pull the trigger on the Jaguars. This is a team that can’t move five yards and that have scored a measly 28 points in three weeks. 14 of those points came in garbage time last week in Seattle in the second half with the Jags down by about 100 points and the Seahawks not caring. However, this week the Jags get Blaine Gabbert and TE Marcedes Lewis back and Maurice Jones Drew says his ankle is 100%. Still, this isn’t about that.
This one is all about fading the Colts after they went into San Francisco last week and beat up on the 49ers as a 10½-point dog. You may have to go back 50 years for the last time you saw an NFL team go from a 10½-point dog to a 9-point choice in one week. That’s a 19½-point turnaround in a week but what in reality it’s a complete overreaction to both Indy’s success and Jacksonville’s ineptitude. Wagering on the NFL isn’t about trying to figure out which team is supposed to win or breaking down X’s and O’s. You can listen to all those experts on Sunday morning do that. That’s if you can understand what Shannon Sharpe is saying because dude speaks with marbles in his mouth. Wagering on this sport is all about finding the right spot and taking advantage of a favorable number. That applies here. The Jags almost always play their best against the Colts. They defeated them in three straight seasons with the point spread being four or less in five of those six games. Additionally, the Colts have the Seahawks on deck next week back in Indianapolis after going into San Fran last week. This one sets up as another buy-low, sell high opportunity and it’s also a classic sandwich game for the favorite. You will see a bunch of different numbers out there but at Sports Interaction, we see a +9 today (Friday) so if you’re on board for this one, bet it sooner rather than later.
Our Pick
JACKSONVILLE +9 -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)
Arizona @ TAMPA BAYTAMPA BAY -2½ -110 over Arizona
Josh Freeman is out and the third QB taken (after E.J. Manuel and Geno Smith) in the June draft is in. The Buccaneers are switching gears and starting ex-North Carolina State quarterback Mike Glennon and there is going to be lots of talk about whether or not the move was a personal one by HC Greg Schiano. Schiano has never liked Freeman and this could be viewed as a desperate move to save his own job. This one has a similar feel to last week’s Cleveland at Minnesota game in which nobody wanted any part of the Brownies. We warned you about fading Cleveland and we’re warning you again about fading the Bucs. Mike Glennon is a rookie yes, but he’s also a talent that backed up Russell Wilson with the Wolfpack before inheriting the starting assignment as a junior and ultimately throwing 62 TD passes in two years. Glennon may not shine but he doesn’t have to. The Bucs are 0-3 but they are a “good” 0-3 after losing to the Jets on a bizarre last drive in Week 1, losing to the Saints in Week 2 by just two points and falling to New England, 23-3 on the road last week. That final score in New England was not as bad as it looks, as the Bucs had just 35 less yards of offense than the Patriots. Defensively, the Buccaneers have been outstanding against both the run and pass as no one has rushed for more than 65 yards on them and they have only allowed four passing scores this year despite facing Drew Brees and Tom Brady. After facing Brees and Brady, facing Carson Palmer and the Cardinals should appear in slow motion. The three teams that the Bucs have faced are a combined 8-1.
Arizona lost to St. Louis. Enough said. They also lost to the Saints by a score of 31-7, the same Saints team that the Bucs lost by two points to and were in a position to win in the final minutes. Everything was supposed to be different in Arizona with Carson Palmer but it looks like the same-old from this angle. In Week 1, Palmer threw for 327 yards and two TDs. That dropped to 248 yards and one touchdown in Week 2 and 187 yards and no TDs last week. Nobody likes diminishing returns. This Cardinals offense remains sorely limited with an ineffective rushing game and little more than Larry Fitzgerald in the passing equation. This is also the Cardinals third road in four weeks. With that, we’re suggesting you ignore the supposed chaos in Tampa Bay. The media blows everything out of proportion. From what we’ve seen so far, the Bucs are a quality football team with one of the best defenses in the NFL while the Cardinals are a bad football that is showing no signs of improving.
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY -2½ -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)
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