10-4-13

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Line Lounge
Today's Paid Pick

Friday, 10/04/2013-CFB

Take #309 BYU/Utah State UNDER 58

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DCI College Football

The Daniel Curry Index
Week 6 Scores/Predictions

Friday, October 4, 2013
Mountain West Conference
Nevada 31.2 at SAN DIEGO STATE 33.6, 9:00 pm ET

FBS Non-Conference
Byu 19.2 at UTAH STATE 26.2, 8:00 pm ET

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Dr Bob

Opinion

san diego state

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Xpertpicks
Friday Football Plays


· Play Nevada +5 over San Diego State (TOP NCAA PLAY)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
9:00 PM EST

Nevada has won 5 consecutive games after allowing an average of 7.25 yards or more a play and they have also won 5 consecutive games coming off a game where 80 points or more were scored. Nevada has won 11 of the last 17 games vs. conference opponents and they are averaging 38 points a game on offense vs. conference opponents this season.


· Play Utah State -6 over BYU (TOP NCAA PLAY)---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL

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Friday's NCAAF action: What bettors need to know

BYU Cougars at Utah State Aggies (-6, 57.5)

The Brigham Young Cougars boast one of the most robust rushing games in the NCAA - but they'll face a significant test Friday night as they visit the Utah State Aggies at Romney Stadium. Utah State is allowing an average of 17 points per game - good for 23rd in the nation - and has surrendered fewer than 127 rushing yards per game through its first five contests. The Aggies will have to deal with a dual threat in the BYU backfield, with quarterback Taysom Hill fifth in the country at 141.3 rushing yards per game and running back Jamaal Williams13th at 126 ypg.

Utah State could use a boost with the return to form of Joe Hill. The junior running back has been battling injuries all season and had just nine carries for 30 yards in last week's one-sided win over San Jose State. Hill is considered day-to-day for Friday's game. Backup Joey DeMartino has fared well in Hill's absence - carrying 34 times for 297 yards - but lacks breakaway speed and could find things difficult against a formidable Cougars defense. BYU holds a 45-34-3 edge in the all-time series, including a 6-3 victory last Oct. 5.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network
LINE: Utah State opened as a six-point favorite but the line has since dropped to -5.5. The O/U has climbed from 56.5 to 57.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-40s with clear skies and wind blowing from north to south across the length of the field at 5 mph.
TRENDS:

* The Cougars are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against the Mountain West Conference.
* The Aggies are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
* The under is 11-1 in BYU's last 12 Friday games.

Nevada Wolf Pack at San Diego State Aztecs (-6, 58)

The Wolf Pack offense is rolling again following a momentary hiccup, and will look to carry over its momentum into Friday's showdown with Mountain West rival San Diego State. Nevada scored 76 points in consecutive victories over Hawaii and Air Force, and hits the road for the first time since a 62-7 drubbing at the hands of the Florida State Seminoles. The Aztecs are also coming off a victory, defeating the New Mexico State Aggies 26-16 last weekend to halt a season-opening three-game losing streak.

Nevada is led by multi-talented quarterback Cody Fajardo, who threw for 389 yards and three touchdowns and added a pair of rushing scores in last week's 45-42 win over Air Force. Fajardo did considerable damage despite dealing with a knee injury that forced him to miss games against the Seminoles and Warriors. The junior signal caller will be wearing a knee brace against San Diego State as a precautionary measure, but has told reporters that the device does not inhibit his ability to run.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN
LINE: SDSU opened as a 5.5-point favorite, but the line has since shifted to six. The O/U has risen from 57 to 58.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with clear skies and calm winds.
TRENDS:

* Nevada is 1-7-1 ATS in its last nine games after scoring 40 points in its previous contest.
* SDSU is 6-1 ATS in its last seven conference games.
* The over is 7-1 in the Aztecs' last eight games against teams with winning road records.

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CFL Friday: What bettors need to know

Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Toronto Argonuats (-4, 56)

The Toronto Argonauts return from their four-game road trip to host the Hamilton Tiger-Cats on Friday as part of back-to-back games between the East Division rivals. Toronto clinched a playoff spot with its sixth straight road victory last week and hopes to translate some of that away success to Rogers Centre, where it is 3-3. Argonauts running back Chad Kackert was named offensive player of the week after recording 155 rushing yards and two touchdowns in his return from injury against Edmonton.

The Tiger-Cats were dismantled at home by the Calgary Stampeders last week as starting quarterback Henry Burris threw three interceptions and backup Dan LeFevour tossed two. Without an effective passing game, Hamilton was held to its lowest point total since being shut out by the Saskatchewan Roughriders in Week 4. The Tiger-Cats trail the Argonauts by six points for the East Division lead, meaning the next two games will go a long way toward determining who earns a bye in the opening round of the playoffs.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (6-7): Burris leads the league with 3,899 passing yards, while running back C.J. Gable has 569 rushing yards as part of 1,047 from scrimmage. Wide receiver Andy Fantuz has 678 receiving yards in an injury-shortened season, but on pace for his second career 1,000-yard campaign. "I think I'll continue getting better,” Fantuz told the Hamilton Spectator. “I feel like a lot of subtle parts of my game have already got a lot better and have been fine-tuned this year." Hamilton added another speedy wide receiver in Brandon Banks, who spent three seasons with the NFL’s Washington football team.

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (9-4): Kick returner Trent Guy was named special teams player of the week after returning four kicks for 131 yards, including a 65-yard return in the first quarter. Slotback Chad Owens and quarterback Ricky Ray remain out with injuries, but quarterback Zach Collaros is gaining confidence with every game, leading a 21-point rally against Edmonton in the second half last week. "It just goes to show the kind of character we have on this team," coach Scott Milanovich said. "Nobody here believes a game is over until there are zeros on the clock.''

TRENDS:

* Tiger-Cats are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.
* Argonauts are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.
* Over is 5-0 in the last five meetings.
* Tiger-Cats are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 meetings in Toronto.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Toronto DB Pat Watkins leads the league with five interceptions.

2. The Argonauts have allowed a league-high 296.1 passing yards per game, while the Tiger-Cats have allowed a league-high 28 passing touchdowns.

3. The Argonauts defeated Hamilton 39-34 at home to open the season.


Saskatchewan Roughriders at BC Lions (-3, 52.5)

The Saskatchewan Roughriders are in a tailspin after their franchise-record start to the season, dropping four straight games and sitting third in the West Division. The Roughriders will have a chance to make up some ground on a team that passed them when they visit the BC Lions on Friday. Saskatchewan’s offense has looked lost without league-leading running back Kory Sheets, who was on pace to break the CFL record for rushing yardage in a season before suffering a knee injury three weeks ago.

The Lions defeated the Roughriders 24-22 in Week 13 as part of a perfect two-game road swing to bring a three-game winning streak back to BC Place, where they are 6-0 in 2013 and have not lost in 12 regular season games. BC scored three defensive touchdowns in last week’s victory against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers, which took the pressure off backup quarterback Thomas DeMarco. DeMarco completed 15-of-21 passes with one touchdown starting in place of Travis Lulay, who will miss at least two more weeks with a shoulder injury.

TV: 10 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (8-5): Saskatchewan has been held to 34 points in two full games without Sheets. Quarterback Darian Durant completed 59-of-98 passes for 665 yards over that span, throwing three touchdowns and three interceptions, but the Roughriders running game was non-existent, totaling 54 yards. The defense is hurting as well without linebacker Renauld Williams, who led the team in tackles and sacks before being placed on the nine-game injured list. Slotback Chris Getzlaf is on pace for a career year with 861 receiving yards and seven touchdowns.

ABOUT THE LIONS (9-4): Linebacker Adam Bighill was named defensive player of the week after recording 10 tackles, one sack and forcing two fumbles against the Blue Bombers. Bighill returned one of those fumbles for a touchdown. Cornerbacks Dante Marsh and Cord Parks also scored touchdowns off turnovers. Lulay expressed confidence in DeMarco’s abilities Monday and said he hopes to resume throwing soon. "The swelling and inflammation stuff needs to go down and that's kind of where we're at,'' Lulay said. "We're getting to the tail end of that where I'm getting my range of motion back. Now it's a buildup to the strengthening and the throwing again.''

TRENDS:

* Roughriders are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.
* Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last four vs. West.
* Under is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings in BC.
* Roughriders are 2-7 ATS in their last nine meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Saskatchewan signed DB Rod Williams to shore up its secondary after Williams failed to make the roster of the NFL’s Minnesota Vikings. Williams played three seasons with the Edmonton Eskimos.

2. BC has 17 interceptions and allows a league-low 247.7 passing yards per game.

3. Saskatchewan SB Geroy Simon broke the CFL record for all-time receptions last week with five catches to bring his career total to 1,020.

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Today's CFL Picks

Hamilton at Toronto

The Argonauts look to build on their 18-7-1 ATS record in their last 26 games versus the Tiger-Cats at home. Toronto is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Argonauts favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-4). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 4 Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (10/3)

Game 491-492: Hamilton at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 110.543; Toronto 121.728 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 11; 60 Vegas Line: Toronto by 4; 56 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-4); Over

Game 493-494: Saskatchewan at BC (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 115.353; BC 115.343 Dunkel Line: Even; 48 Vegas Line: BC by 3; 53 Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+3); Under

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Rays at Red Sox: What bettors need to know

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox (-135, 6.5)

The Tampa Bay Rays have been in playoff mode for the last few weeks while battling for the wild card, winning a one-game tiebreaker in Texas on Monday and taking the one-game wild card playoff in Cleveland on Wednesday. Their reward is a trip to face the well-rested and top-seeded Boston Red Sox on Friday in Game 1 of the American League Division Series. The Red Sox will be playing for the first time since ending the regular season on Sunday.

Boston played an intersquad game on Wednesday to keep everybody fresh but will need to get into playoff mode quickly after spending the bulk of September comfortably ahead of the rest of the AL East. The Red Sox took 12 of the 19 meetings against Tampa Bay during the regular season, including two of three on the road from Sept. 10-12 to help put the division out of reach. The Rays won 10 of their last 12 going back to the regular season, with the pitching holding opponents to 2.83 runs in that span.

TV: 3:07 p.m. ET, TBS

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rays LH Matt Moore (17-4, 3.29 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Jon Lester (15-8, 3.75)

Moore finished out the regular season with wins in each of his last two starts but struggled with his command in September, issuing 20 walks in 29 total innings over six starts. The 24-year-old had one of his best starts at Boston on July 22, allowing just two hits and walking one in a shutout. Moore is making his third career postseason appearance - second start - and yielded a total of one run on three hits in 10 innings during the 2011 ALDS.

Lester had a string of nine straight quality starts come to an end at Baltimore last Saturday, when he was reached for four runs on nine hits in five innings. The 29-year-old faced Tampa Bay four times in the regular season and went 2-1 with a 4.32 ERA, including a win in the most recent meeting on July 23. Lester is 2-3 with a 2.57 ERA in eight career postseason games - six starts - but went 0-2 against the Rays in the 2008 ALCS.

TRENDS:

* Under is 6-1 in Lester's last seven home starts vs. Rays.
* Rays are 4-1 in the last five meetings in Boston.
* Under is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings in Boston.

WALK-OFFS:

1. The Red Sox are expected to go with Jonny Gomes in left field against the left-handed Moore over Daniel Nava and Mike Carp.

2. The Rays beat Boston in seven games in the 2008 ALCS - the only postseason meeting between the teams.

3. Tampa Bay 3B Evan Longoria is batting just .196 with 34 strikeouts in 26 postseason games.

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Tigers at Athletics: What bettors need to know

Detroit Tigers at Oakland Athletics (+112, 6.5)

The Oakland Athletics have a recent history of making the playoffs only to disappoint when the postseason begins. They will set about changing that when they host the Detroit Tigers in the opener of the American League Division Series on Friday. The Tigers are enjoying their third straight trip to the postseason and advanced to the Championship Series in each of the past two seasons.

The Athletics made the playoffs six times since 2000 and advanced past the Division Series only once, when they were swept out of the ALCS by Detroit in 2006. The Tigers played heartbreaker for Oakland last October as well, claiming a 6-0 victory in a decisive Game 5 of the ALDS. The big difference this time around is the health of Detroit slugger Miguel Cabrera, who is dealing with abdominal and groin injuries and managed just two extra-base hits in his final 25 games.

TV: 9:37 p.m. ET, TBS

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid 70s with clear skies and winds blowing NNE at 6 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Tigers RH Max Scherzer (21-3, 2.90 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Bartolo Colon (18-6, 2.65)

Scherzer is the favorite to win the AL Cy Young Award and finished the season with a gem, striking out 10 and allowing two hits in seven scoreless innings at Minnesota. The 29-year-old punched out eight and yielded an unearned run on three hits 5 1/3 innings against Oakland in Game 4 last October but was left without a decision when the bullpen blew the save. Scherzer was lit up by the Athletics on Aug. 29, surrendering six runs (five earned) over five innings in another no decision.

Colon finished up the season with four straight wins, posting a 1.04 ERA and issuing only four walks in that span. The burly veteran went up against Scherzer on Aug. 29 and did not factor in the decision, allowing one run on seven hits in five innings. Colon missed the playoffs last season but is 2-3 with a 3.61 ERA in nine career postseason starts.

TRENDS:

* Over is 6-0 in the last six meetings.
* Over is 4-1-2 in Scherzers last seven starts vs. Athletics.
* Under is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings in Oakland.

WALK-OFFS:

1. Athletics LF Yoenis Cespedes (shoulder) is hoping to play the outfield on Friday but could be stuck at DH, leaving Brandon Moss in left.

2. Detroit RHP Bruce Rondon (elbow inflammation) and LHP Phil Coke (forearm) will not appear in the ALDS.

3. Oakland RHP A.J. Griffin, who posted a 3.83 ERA over 200 innings in the regular season, was left off the ALDS roster due to mild tendinitis in his right elbow.

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NCAAF

Week 6

Friday's games

This is first time this century Utah State is fave in this series; underdogs are 8-3 vs spread in last eleven meetings, with BYU winning 10 of last 11 series games but Aggies covered last five, losing 6-3/27-24 in last two meetings. State opened with four road games in five weeks, losing by 4 at Utah, 3 at USC- they're 5-1 in last six games as a home favorite. Cougars lost rivalry game to Utah at home; they scored 16-13 in losses this year, 37-40 in wins, losing by 3 at rainy Virginia in only away game. BYU covered its last seven games as a road underdog; they've won three of last four visits here, but did not cover any of the four.

Dingwell came off bench to spark San Diego State's 39-38 (+6.5) win LY at Nevada; 1-3 Aztecs are struggling this year, blowing home game late vs Oregon State (threw pick-6 with lead in last 4:00) and beating a lowly New Mexico State team only 26-16 last week. Nevada got whacked bad in money grab games at UCLA/Florida State, then beat Hawai'i and Air Force at home; 375 rushing yards Falcons gained with its #1 QB out for game is alarming for Wolf Pack defense. Nevada is 7-8 in last 15 games as a road underdog. Aztecs are 10-7 in last 17 games as a home favorite.

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Cardinals on Thursday and likes the Red Sox on Friday.

The deficit is 1359 sirignanos.

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Sports Unlimited

pittsburgh

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MLB

Pirates-Cardinals
Cole is 4-0, 1.38 in his last four starts, with five of lhis last seven going under the total. He has not pitched against the Cardinals.
Lynn is 2-0, 1.46 in his last four starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five at home. He allowed 11 runs in 9.1 IP in his last two starts vs Pirates, after going 2-0, 3.00 in his first three against Pittsburgh this season (2-1, 5.60 total). Four of his five starts against Pittsburgh went over the total.

Pirates won six of their last eight games; they are 10-10 vs St Louis this year, but lost last five meetings, allowing 42 runs. Three of their last four games went over total. Cardinals won last seven games, outscoring opponents 36-7.

Dodgers-Braves
Greinke is 7-0, 1.36 in his last twn starts, with eight of ten staying under total. He shut Braves out for seven innings in 5-0 win June 6.
Minor is 0-4, 4.38 in his last six starts; six of his last nine starts went over the total. He was 1-0, 2.25 in two starts against the Dodgers this year.

Dodgers lost four of last six games with seven of last ten games staying under; LA is just 26-27 this season vs southpaws.

Four of last five Atlanta games went over total. Braves are 5-3 against Dodgers this year, but 3-0 home sweep in May was before Puig came to big leagues.

Rays-Red Sox
Moore is 2-0, 2.61 in his last two starts; he was 2-0, 1.80 vs Boston this year, tossing a 2-hit shutout at Fenway July 22.
Lester is 3-2, 2.57 in his last five starts; under is 7-2-1 in his last ten. He is 1-2, 4.32 in four starts against the Rays this season.

Tampa Bay won 10 of its last 12 games; they're playing in fifth city in last nine days, all on the road. Rays are 7-12 vs Boston this year, 4-6 in Fenway.

Red Sox are 32-22 vs lefty starters, Tampa Bay is 30-23.

Boston went 3-4 in last seven games, as they won AL East fairly easily; their last five games went over the total.

Tigers-A's
Scherzer is 2-0, 1.80 in his last three starts; four of his last five starts stayed under the total. He allowed eight runs in 11 IP vs Oakland this season.
Colon is 4-0, 1.04 in his last four starts; six of his last eight outings went over the total. He was 0-0, 3.00 in two starts vs Detroit this season.

Detroit lost five of last seven games but seemed to go thru motions once they clinched division; their last six games stayed under the total.

Oakland is 4-3 vs Tigers this year, with road team winning five of seven games. Detroit beat the A's in five games in LY's playoffs.

A's won 16 of last 21 games, eight of last ten at home. Nine of their last 11 games went over the total.

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NHL

Series records
-- Senators won six of last eight games against Buffalo.
-- Flames lost five of last seven games with Columbus.
-- Red Wings won three of last four games with Carolina.
-- Predators won 10 of last 12 games with Colorado (1-2 LY).
-- Home side won last two LA-Winnipeg games.
-- Islanders won three of last four games with New Jersey.

Totals
-- Four of last five Ottawa-Buffalo games went over total.
-- Last three Calgary-Columbus games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Carolina-Detroit games stayed under total.
-- Over is 7-4-1 in last twelve Nashville-Colorado games.
-- Last two LA-Winnipeg games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Islander-Devil games.