10-6-13

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Power Play Wins

Power Play Of The Day

Carolina Panthers -2.5

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9x Sports

5:00PM
(Costa Rica Soccer) Side
Santos de Guapiles-115


8:30PM
SAN FRANSISCO 49'ERS-4.5


8:30PM
Atlanta @ Minnesota
(WNBA) UNDER 155.5

Bonkman's Play of the Day (NFL) 1:00PM MIAMI DOLPHINS-2.5

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Harry Bondi

3* Green Bay
3* Baltimore
3* Bengals

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executive

300 Seattle
300 San Fran

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LT Lock

Bengals +1
Cardinals +2
Cowboys +7

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Service Tally's I found - numbers vary as they were posted at different times.

KC 9
TENN 7

BALT 9
MIA 3

JAX 3
STL 4

NE 7
CIN 9

SEA 6
IND 11

DET 7
GB 20

NO 14
CHI 9

PHI 5
NYG 5

CAR 11
ARI 5

DEN 6
DAL 9

HOU 12
SF 2

SD 5
OAK 14

Panthers-20
Cards-14
Over-5
Under-3

Chargers-8
Raiders-16
Over-3
Under-1

Broncos-10
Cowboys-13
Over-14
Under-2

Texans-18
49ers-7
Over-7
Under-0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Runner
2* Raiders
2* Dallas

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Veritas Sports Investments
NFL
Carolina-2.5
Oakland+6
Denver-7 -120
Houston+5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tonight's NFL action, good luck!

Game 435-436: Houston at San Francisco (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 131.061; San Francisco 140.064
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 9; 45
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 6 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-6 1/2); Over

Game 431-432: San Diego at Oakland (11:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 133.189; Oakland 126.352
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 7; 42
Vegas Line: San Diego by 4; 45
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-4); Under

DCI
Houston 19.7 at SAN FRANCISCO 28.3, 8:30 PM ET
San Diego 26.3 at OAKLAND 18.2, 11:35 PM ET

Trend Report
8:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Francisco's last 11 games
San Francisco is 16-7-1 ATS in its last 24 games at home

11:30 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. OAKLAND
San Diego is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games
Oakland is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego

NFL
Long Sheet
HOUSTON (2 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 2) - 10/6/2013, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 35-16 ATS (+17.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

SAN DIEGO (2 - 2) at OAKLAND (1 - 3) - 10/6/2013, 11:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 3-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NFL
Short Sheet
Houston at San Francisco, 8:30 ET
Houston: 21-9 ATS in games played on a grass field
San Francisco: 6-18 ATS after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game

San Diego at Oakland, 11:35 ET
San Diego: 57-36 ATS after 2 or more consecutive ATS wins
Oakland: 21-40 ATS in home games versus division opponents

Colin Cowherd
Texans +6.5 (wiseguys agree)

Jack Jones
20* Texans/49ers NBC Sunday Night BAILOUT on Houston +7

KILLER SPORTS NEWSLETTER
SBB’s Sunday Night Total
4-STAR Houston and San Francisco Over
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: 52 points

STATFOX PLATINUM SHEET
• SAN FRANCISCO is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units)
against teams who force 0.75 or less turnovers per game on the season since 1992.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 20.3,OPPONENT 24.9.
PLAY ON HOUSTON
Rating = 3*

cappers access
sanfran

Pointspreadpros
Houston +7

PREDICTION MACHINE
NFL SIDES
435 8:30 PM HOU @ SF ♦ +7 - 59.6%
432 11:35 PM @OAK SD ♦ +5 - 57.7%

Sports Reporter
BEST-SF by 20

R.A.W. FOOTBALL
2* = OAKLAND

WinningAngleSports
Houston +6 over San Francisco

Kelso
25 Houston
15 chargers

WIZARD
10 unit Oakland +5

JT WALKER
San Francisco -6

BeatYourBookie
10* Play Houston +6.5

Jimmy Boyd
3* (NFL) Houston Texans +6

Mark Lawrence
3* houston
3* oakland

SB Professor NFL Picks
NFL 3.0:
11:30 PM
431. San Diego Chargers -4

Northcoast
marquee under 42 hou/sf

XpertPicks
Play Oakland +4.5 over San Diego (TOP NFL PLAY)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

From the swami... THE WALLACE REPORT--> underog GOM=raiders

APwins
Chargers -

Intpicks 10/6
2 STAR
Houston @ 49rs Over 41.5
1 STAR
Chargers @ Raiders Over 44.5

Wolkosky Milan
20* TEXANS / 49ERS OVER 43

TMC Sports Advisors
Houston +6

ATS consultants lock club
5 units Houston +6

Sportsboss
HOU

Dave Cokin:
texans +5.5

MysystemPicks
Oakland Raiders +4.5 (2 units)

ExNFLPlayersPicks
11:35 et Oakland+4.5

9x Sports
SAN FRANSISCO 49'ERS-4.5

Executive
300 San Fran

Vegas Runner
2* oak

Veritas Sports Investments
Oakland+6
Houston+5

Teddy Covers
20* Big Ticket: Oakland +4

Todays Best Bets
4* - [432] Oakland Raiders +4.5 -110 vs San Diego Chargers

Pigskin Prophecy
LIKE:
San Diego

THE GOLD SHEET
♦♦♦♦ KEY RELEASES ♦♦♦♦
SAN DIEGO by 17 over Oakland

The Philly Godfather
Oakland + 4 1/2 100

DAVE PRICE
Take: Oakland Raiders +5-110
6* NFL Sunday Night Bailout on Raiders +5

Stephen Nover | NFL Side - Sunday, Oct 6 2013 11:35PM
432 OAK triple-dime bet

Sixth Sense
Oakland+4.5

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS
9-UNIT "MEGA-HYDRA"
RAIDERS +4.5 vs chargers

Hank golberg
sd

Playbook:
4 OAK by 8

Chargers-8
Raiders-16
Over-3
Under-1

Texans-18
49ers-7
Over-7
Under-0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy 10* Total UNDER Chargers game

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Where the action is: Sunday sharp money on Texans

Sunday night gives us a Bay Area double billing as both the San Francisco 49ers and Oakland Raiders are hosting games under the lights.

We talk to sportsbooks about the action coming in on the Sunday Night Football matchup and where oddsmakers see the line closing come kickoff:

Houston Texans at San Francisco 49ers (-4.5, 43)

The first of the Sunday night games features a pair of underachieving teams as the Houston Texans travel to San Fran to face the 49ers.

The 49ers offense had sputtered after giving the scorekeeper fits against Green Bay in Week 1. QB Colin Kaepernick and the rest of the offense got things back on track in Week 4 against the St. Louis Rams.

The line in this matchup opened with the 49ers as 6.5-point favorites. According to Mike Perry, an oddsmaker with Sportsbook.ag, sharp action on the dog moved the line to +6 early in the week. Just this morning, more action on the Texans moved the line to the current number of San Fran -4.5.

"Seventy-three percent of cash is backing Houston," Perry told Covers. "I don’t anticipate us moving off 4.5 as we don’t want to set ourselves up for getting middled between 4 and 6 on the game."


San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders (-6, 46)

The second of the Sunday nighters is an AFC West battle as the San Diego Chargers head north to face the Raiders. The Bolts have dominated the rivalry in recent memory and are 8-2 ATS in the previous 10 meetings in Oakland.

Philip Rivers has been excellent this season with 1,199 yards passing on a 73.9 percent clip. He's tossed 11 TDs and has thrown just two INTs.

The line is being offered anywhere from San Diego as 4.5-point road faves to -6, including Sportsbook.ag, where it opened Chargers -6 and has remained throughout the week.

"Oddmakers set a great number on this game as the spread remains at the opening number of San Diego -6," Perry said. "I expect us to stay at that number until kickoff."

Perry says 70 percent of the money coming in is on the Chargers.

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Sunday Night Football betting: Chargers at Raiders

San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders (+4.5, 45)

Terrelle Pryor will be back under center when the Oakland Raiders host the San Diego Chargers in an AFC West duel Sunday night. While Pryor returns missing the last game with concussion-like symptoms, the Raiders will look to snap a two-game skid without possibly having the services of their top two running backs - both of whom were injured last week. Oakland lost Darren McFadden and Marcel Reece before losing a 14-0 lead against the Redskins a week ago.

Meanwhile, Philip Rivers appears to have resurrected his fading career in San Diego. Rivers threw for 401 yards, including the 200th touchdown pass of his career, as the Chargers rallied past Dallas last week. San Diego has dominated this series in recent years winning 16 of the last 19 meetings.

TV: 11:35 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE: San Diego opened as a 5-point road fave and is now -4.5. The total is up to 45 from the opening number of 44.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with clear skies.

ABOUT THE CHARGERS (2-2): San Diego and its already-suspect defense lost linebacker Dwight Freeney for the rest of the season with a torn quadriceps last week. With the previous loss of edge-rusher Melvin Ingram, Freeney's injury could be crippling for the Chargers, who still managed to blank Dallas in the second half on the way to a come-from-behind 30-21 victory. Despite missing star receiver Malcom Floyd (neck), Rivers and the San Diego passing game is ranked fifth in the NFL as receiver Eddie Royal (five) and tight end Antonio Gates (two) have already combined for seven receiving touchdowns.

ABOUT THE RAIDERS (1-3): McFadden is questionable with a hamstring injury and Reece is listed as doubtful with a knee injury. Their possible absence will force third-stringer Rashad Jennings into action and put a bigger onus on the unproven shoulders of Pryor, who was fairly impressive throwing for 624 yards and rushing for 198 more in his first three starts of the season. Last week's starter, Matt Flynn, was ripped by coach Dennis Allen after the game and demoted all the way to third string.

TRENDS:

* Chargers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five road games.
* Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games.
* Chargers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Oakland.
* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Oakland.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The game was switched to an 11:35 p.m. ET start time to accommodate the Oakland Athletics' playoff game on Saturday and give time for the stadium to be transitioned into a football configuration.

2. Manti Te'o made his NFL debut last week for San Diego and made three tackles.

3. Oakland is also missing center Stefen Wisniewski with a knee injury.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tale of the Tape: Houston Texans at San Francisco 49ers

It may be early to tab a game as a must-win, but the Houston Texans and San Francisco 49ers face just that as they square off Sunday night at Candlestick Park. Both teams come in with 2-2 records, and a third loss will complicate one team's quest for a return to the postseason. The Texans have dropped two straight, while the 49ers come in off a convincing victory over the St. Louis Rams.

Here's the breakdown in our betting tale of the tape:

Offense

The Texans are one of the few teams in the NFL ranked in the top 10 in both passing yardage (ninth, 276 per game) and rushing offense (seventh, 134.3). While several teams have trouble dressing one top-flight running back each week, Houston is blessed with two in Arian Foster and Ben Tate. The two combined for 216 total yards and a touchdown in last weekend's 23-20 loss to the Seattle Seahawks. Quarterback Matt Schaub is eighth in the league in passing yardage but just 16th in quarterback rating, having thrown six interceptions to date.

Coming off back-to-back duds in which they scored a combined 10 points, the 49ers let loose against St. Louis to the tune of 370 total yards and five touchdowns. The 49ers have been one of the top running teams in the league - ranked right behind the Texans at 131 yards per game - but are averaging just 200 yards through the air, the sixth-worst mark in the NFL. Third-year quarterback Colin Kaepernick is 24th in QB rating through four games, and were it not for the exploits of veteran running back Frank Gore (295 rush yards, two TDs), the 49ers might be even worse off.

Edge: Houston

Defense

No team in the NFL has defended the pass as well as the Texans, who are holding opposing offenses to an average of 141 yards through the air per game. The Texans made life miserable for Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson a week ago, limiting him to 123 passing yards while picking him off once and sacking him five times. Houston isn't nearly as stingy against the run, ranking 23rd in yards allowed at 113.3. The Texans have kept the rushing scores to a minimum, however, allowing just two through the first month of the season.

The Texans may be the class of the league when it comes to pass defense, but the 49ers aren't far behind. San Francisco is surrendering the third-fewest passing yards in the league to date (190.5), and held Sam Bradford to 19-of-41 passing while sacking him five times in last Sunday's rout. Opposing QBs are completing just 52.8 percent of their passes against the 49ers, the second-lowest mark in the league. San Francisco is near the middle of the pack in run defense, sitting 19th in yards allowed per game at 109.3.

Edge: San Francisco

Special Teams

Houston is one of only three teams to have allowed a punt-return touchdown so far in 2013, as Tandon Doss ran one back 82 yards in the second quarter of the Texans' 30-9 loss to Baltimore in Week 3. That return plays a major part in Houston boasting the third-highest punt-return average against in the league (16 ypa). The Texans are sixth in kickoff return average (27.3) and 25th in punt return average (4.5). Placekicker Randy Bullock has struggled mightily so far, missing four of his 10 field-goal attempts - including all three from 50 yards or longer.

San Francisco's return game is lacking, with the 49ers ranked 23rd in kick return average (21.1) and 27th in punt return average (4.4). They're more proficient on the defensive end, tied with Arizona for eighth in kick return average against (19.7) and 21st in punt return average against (7.6). Phil Dawson has the worst field-goal conversation rate so far this season, making just three of six attempts. He missed a 53-yarder wide right and a rare 71-yard free kick field goal wide and left in the 49ers' Week 4 win.

Edge: Houston

Notable Quotable

"They post guys up, so the backside guy can cut them. You watch tape, and there's a lot of guys on the ground. It's going to be important for us up front to stay on our blocks, keep our feet out of that stuff, sta up so there's no cut-back lanes, and tackle (Foster and Tate.)" - 49ers defensive tackle Justin Smith

"I haven't been on (Twitter) since January. Why have something you don't even utilize? So (my account is) gone. It has nothing to do with (criticism). I'm not a big social media guy. (It) has no bearing on anything and doesn't affect me going forward." - Texans quarterback Matt Schaub

[Can'tPickAWinner]

spartan | NFL Side Sun, 10/06/13 - 8:30 PM
triple-dime bet 436 SFX -6.5 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sunday's NFL Week 5 betting cheat sheet: Late action

Check out our NFL cheat sheet for Week 5's afternoon action.

Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals (+1, 41.5)

After losing its first two games by a total of six points, Carolina turned in a dominant performance against the Giants, rolling up 402 total yards and holding New York to 150. Williams has rushed for 417 yards and two TDs in four meetings with Arizona, including three 100-yard games.

The Arizona defense has been dominant against the run - ranking second in the league - but will have its work cut out against a Panthers team averaging 151 yards on the ground, though unit should be bolstered by the return of linebacker Daryl Washington after he missed the first four games for violating the league's substance abuse policy.

LINE: Opened pick and moved to Arizona +1. Total moved 42 to 41.5.
WEATHER: N/A
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Carolina (+2.0) - Arizona (+4.0) + home field (-3.0) = Cardinals -1
TRENDS:

* Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Panthers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
* Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.

Denver Broncos at Dallas Cowboys (+7.5, 56)

Denver is putting up 44.8 points and nearly 500 yards of offense. That offense is masking some potential issues on the other side of the ball, where the Broncos rank in the bottom third of the league in total defense. The Broncos have won 15 consecutive regular-season games, each by seven points or more.

Dallas is down two defensive starters in linebacker Justin Durant (groin) and defensive end George Selvie (concussion), who are uncertain for Sunday’s game. That puts even more pressure on Tony Romo and the offense to put up points. Romo is completing 72.4 percent of his passes with eight touchdowns and one interception but could be missing WR Miles Austin (hamstring) questionable.

LINE: Opened Denver -7 and moved as high as -8.5. Total moved 54 to 56.
WEATHER: N/A
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Denver (-9.5) - Dallas (-2.0) + home field (-3.0) = Broncos -4.5
TRENDS:

* Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Cowboys are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games.

Houston Texans at San Francisco 49ers (-6, 41.5)

Houston ranks second in the AFC in total offense (410.3 yards per game) and leads the NFL in total defense (254.3) but is minus-4 in turnover margin. The Texans expect linebacker Brian Cushing to clear the concussion protocol on Friday and be eligible to play after leaving last week's game in the third quarter.

Colin Kaepernick has been limited in the ground game but rebounded from a pair of poor passing games to throw two touchdown passes against St. Louis. The 49ers lead the NFC in total defense (299.8 yards per game) despite playing without star linebacker Patrick Willis (groin) last week, but they plan to have Willis back Sunday.

LINE: Opened Houston -6.5 and moved to -6. Total moved 42.5 to 41.5.
WEATHER: Mid 60s, clear skies, winds W 6 mph.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Houston (-1.5) - San Francisco (-4.0) + home field (-3.0) = 49ers -5.5
TRENDS:

* Texans are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.
* 49ers are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 home games.
* Over is 7-1 in 49ers last eight home games.

San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders (+4, 45)

San Diego and its already-suspect defense lost linebacker Dwight Freeney for the rest of the season with a torn quadriceps last week. Despite missing WR Malcom Floyd (neck), QB Philip Rivers and the passing game is ranked fifth in the NFL as receiver Eddie Royal (five) and tight end Antonio Gates (two) have already combined for seven receiving touchdowns.

Raiders RB Darren McFadden is questionable with a hamstring injury and RB Marcel Reece is listed as doubtful with a knee injury. Their possible absence will force third-stringer Rashad Jennings into action and put a bigger onus on the unproven shoulders of Pryor, who was fairly impressive throwing for 624 yards and rushing for 198 more in his first three starts of the season.

LINE: Opened Chargers -6 and moved to -4. Total moved 44 to 45.
WEATHER: Mid 60s, clear skies, winds W 2 mph.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: San Diego (0.0) + Oakland (+6.0) + home field (-3.0) = Chargers -3
TRENDS:

* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Oakland.
* Underdog is 8-0 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.