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Ben Burns on Central Florida vs. Louisville - October 18, 2013 - 8:00 PM
Pick: @ 14.5 Central Florida Reason For Pick: I'm playing on CENTRAL FLORIDA. This line has climbed considerably from its opener. While I already really liked the Knights, I now believe that we're also getting very good line value.
Louisville is indeed a very strong team, on both sides of the ball. The Cardinals check in with a perfect 6-0 record. They've defeated every opponent by a minimum of 14 points and are winning their games by an average score of 41 to 7.3. While those are certainly impressive numbers, I believe that Central Florida is by far the best team that the Cards will have faced.
The Knights are 4-1 on the season, including a victory at Penn State. That 34-31 victory, part of their 3-0 road record, was arguably more impressive than anything Louisville has yet to accomplish. The Knights lone loss on the season came at home - and by only a field goal - against a talented South Carolina team.
In going 3-0 on the road, the Knights have outscored their hosts by an average score of 32-16.
For the season, UCF is averaging 414 yards per game, 6.5 yards per play. The defense is permitting just 16.6 ppg, 353 ypg. The Nittany Lions were the only team to score more than 30 points against them - and they got just 31.
Bridgewater has proven to be a very capable QB for the Cards. However, he wasn't all that sharp last time out. While not nearly as well known, UCF has a capable QB of its own. Blake Bortles has completed nearly 65 percent of his passes for 1,334 yards and nine touchdowns.
While the Knights are off a bye, the Cards are playing their third game in the past 13 days. The Knights have been excellent as road underdogs in this range over the years and I look for them to prove a much tougher test for the Cards than many will be expecting.
ยทPlay Louisville -12 over Central Florida (TOP NCAA PLAY)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
8:00 PM EST
Central Florida has lost 5 consecutive games against the spread after covering the spread in two of the last three games and they have also lost 10 of the last 16 road games against the spread. Central Florida has lost 6 of the last 9 games against the spread when playing in the month of October and they have also lost 11 of the last 18 games against the spread vs. conference opponents.
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