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Wayne Root's Inner Circle Upset of October; The Biggest and the Best, Saturday
INNER CIRCLE----MISSISSIPPI......INNER CIRCLE UPSET OF OCTOBER The powerful SEC has important week 8 of games, today we look at the LSU Tigers traveling to Vaught-Hemingway Stadium located in Oxford, MS to face the Ole Miss Rebels. Head to head LSU has won last three contests including last years 41-35 win at LSU. The Louisiana State University Tigers have been an AP ranked team since the beginning of the season. After getting knocked down a peg by Georgia the team was able to recover with a win over the Florida Gators on October 12th, 17-6. At 3-3 the Ole Miss Rebels are not exactly a contender for the top spot amongst the talent in their conference. Things started out fine over the first 3 game stretch that opened the season but then the Rebs had to head to Tuscaloosa....to face Bama. Their last game was a loss to the #9 ranked Texas A&M Aggies, 38-41. A close game but these guys are slated to play another top 10 team in this game too. Getting more than a touchdown on a home SEC underdog is always a good spot to be in. The Rebels have two close home losses in the last two games and the Rebels let A&M win by late field goal last week. Look for young Ole Miss to learn from their two closes losses as they catch LSU looking ahead. Tigers are coming into hornets nest and let one slip away as the Rebels get the big upset. The dog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 contest. TAKE MISSISSIPPI
I don't know how old anyone here is but this guy has been dropping lines like this for over 20 years that I'm doing this. Check out his youtube, stuff is hilarious.
2 UNIT = Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox - UNDER 7 RUNS (+106)
Listed Pitchers: Scherzer vs Buchholz
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.12 units)
The St Louis Cardinals won 9-0 last night in Game 6 of the NLCS to advance to the World Seires. Tonight we've got the Tigers and Red Sox in Game 6 of the ALCS as the Tigers hope to force a Game 7, while the Red Sox look to advance to the World Series with a win tonight. On the mound for Detroit we've got Max Scherzer who is 2-0 in the postseason with a 2.25 ERA. In this series he was given a no decision after going 7 innings allowing just 2 hits and 1 earned run with 13 strikeouts and 2 walks. Scherzer has been great all season on the road going 9-2 with a 2.28 ERA, .177 OBA and 0.92 WHIP during the regular season. Clay Buchholz will be on the mound for Boston and although he has had a rough go so far in the postseason I expect a good start from him. Over two starts he has a 6.17 ERA, but most of the damage came in two rough innings. In his start vs Detroit he had allowed just 1 run through the first 5 innings before giving up 4 runs in the 6th inning. The same thing happened in Tampa Bay when he was cruising until a three run homerun later in the game. I expect him to be on a shorter leash tonight, but with that said I don't expect him to come out early. During the regular season he was 6-1 with a 1.99 ERA, .208 OBA and 1.09 WHIP. With a chance to make it to the World Series on the line I expect Buchholz to have his best stuff tonight. The UNDER is 11-4-1 in the Tigers last 16 overall, 19-7 in their last 26 road games, and 6-1 in Scherzer's last 7 road starts. When these two teams met last we had the under, but Big Papi hit a grand slam in the bottom of the 8th inning to put it over the total. Tonight we will be enjoying a pitching performance between two great starting pitchers. I'm on the UNDER.
Rough week for my Sooners last week. I expected Texas to put up a fight. But I didn’t expect the outright win. Although it shouldn’t have come as too big of a surprise given that OU has now scored just 4 TD’s in their 3 Big 12 conference games. The Sooners have some work to do on that side of the ball if they want to be able to compete against the better teams in the Big 12. Every week is tough to cap in this conference this season because of the lack of any NFL talent at the QB position in these spread offenses. It makes every team vulnerable every week. So for OU and the others, with the exception of maybe Kansas, who to use the words of Charles Barkley is “just turrible” there aren’t any gimmes. It’s not a coincidence that Baylor is leading the conference standings right now. They are the only team with NFL type talent at QB. But it’s getting to the point in this 8th week where the Bears will have a big target on their backs. They’ll get everybody’s best shot going forward, especially when they hit the road. Things tightntened up quite a bit for them at KSU this past weekend. And all KSU had on offense with their skill players hurt was QB run right, run left, run up the middle. Plus Baylor is about to run into some much better defenses on the road like OSU and TCU.
I see a lot of tight lines this week in the Big 12. So I may be all over the map with my plays this week. OU is tempting because of the phenomenal ATS record that Stoops has the week after an outright loss. But it’s awfully hard to trust Bell to get it done on the road now that TCU has pretty much given everybody the blueprint on how to play the Sooners. And Texas utilized the box 8 make Bell pass to beat them scheme to the max last week. But Kansas is so gawd awful bad that OU is still on my radar in this game. I also lean to OSU this week. But the line is very tight with my numbers. There’s probably a pretty good chance though that Gundy will have a few things worked out on offense after having a bye week. I heard there has been a lot of scrimmaging between the first units the past 2 weeks. Something OSU doesn’t normally do. So the Pokes should at least be pretty sharp coming into this game. It’s just a matter of how many points your willing to give to this TCU defense.
1 Unit Duke/Virginia Over 52 (-110)
Duke/Virginia Over 52
This number matches up very well with my number this week. My projected totals numbers are usually about even or under the lined numbers. But in this case I’m showing 55. Which makes this a pretty strong play, for me anyway. I don’t know if it was an aberration or not, but Virginia managed to gain over 500 yards on Maryland last week. And I would bet that Maryland is better on D than Duke. So I’m gambling on them being able to match that performance or at least come close. Now that Duke has QB Anthony Boone back they are a different, and much more prolific team on offense. Boone made an unexpected appearance off of the injury list last week and had a nice performance, passing for nearly 300 yards with a 3-0 ratio. He should be just as sharp or sharper in his second week back. This game has shootout written all over it. Weather is expected to be good this Saturday.
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