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Brady Kannon NFL Side Sun, 10/20/13 - 1:00 PM
dime bet - 403 CIN 3.0 (-120) vs 404 DET
Analysis: Here we go again with a team we played one way in the week prior and we're going the other way in the current week. The Bengals pulled out an overtime win in Buffalo but we cashed the ticket with The Bills staying within the number. This week however, we like the striped cats as underdogs in Detroit. While we went against The Lions last week and really liked our chances going into the half, up by 10-points straight up, that one went sour for us when Cleveland failed to run the ball and hold onto the lead. But the fact remains that The Lions have a poor defense, and like The Browns, Cincinnati has a very good defense. Here we also get a better offense in The Bengals, led by a better quarterback with better weapons. The Lions have been outstatted in their last 3-games and we feel due to last week's results on the scoreboard, we're getting some line value with a field goal. Finally.. The Bengals have owned The Lions, going 4-and-0 SUATS in this match up since 1984. Let's make that 5-and-0 today in The Motor City as we back the better team and the better defense, getting points.
NFL
New England (-3-) at New York Jets 1:00 PM EST
4* New York Jets+pts
In this matchup, New England is 6-0 SU, 4-2 ATS; that includes week 2 when the New England defense goaded rookie QB Smith into 3 INTs resulting in a narrow 13-10 New England victory. QB Brady continues to struggle with his new receivers, completing just 57% for 5.7 YPA. He will miss WR Amendola this weekend and has no assurance that Gronk will return. Thus, the 5-1 SU mark is the result of a bend but dont break defense, allowing just 16 PPG. Last week, they survived New Orleans, 30-27, winning on experience. Earlier in the day, the Jets had a downer following their MNF upset of Atlanta. It resulted in the Steelers first victory of the season. Weakest of votes favors the defense of the Jets, which allows just 76/3.0 overland, 304 total yards, and 4.9 YP play. Those kinds of numbers and a -16 net TO margin differential are working in their favor. The avenging home dog is the value side in this one.
NEW ENGLAND VS. N.Y. JETS
October 20, 2013 - 1:00 PM
Pick: sportsinteraction @ 4.5 -105 N.Y. Jets
Expert: Ben Burns
Evaluation: Oct 20 - 1:00 PM
I'm playing on the NY JETS. The Jets played the Pats very tough at New England, losing by three. With the venue now shifting to NY, I expect the Jets to again give the Pats all they can handle once again.*
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The Pats, who are off a miracle comeback home win vs. NO, are on the road for the third time in four games here.*
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Smith was still very raw when the teams last met. He's since gained some more experience. He'll be facing a NE defense which is banged-up and which has struggled the past few games.*
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The Jets defense did an excellent job against Brady last time out. *They're 7-3 ATS in Week 5-9 the past couple of seasons and I expect at least another cover here. 9*
SAN DIEGO VS. JACKSONVILLE
October 20, 2013 - 1:00 PM
Pick: Pinnacle @ 9.5 -133 Jacksonville
Expert: Ben Burns
Evaluation: Oct 20 - 1:00 PM
I'm playing on JACKSONVILLE. I won with both these teams last week. I had the Jaguars as massive underdogs against the Broncos and the Chargers as small underdogs vs. the Colts. The Jags covered but lost SU. The Chargers scored an outright win. As impressive as that victory was, I believe that this will prove to be an excellent spot to go against the Chargers.
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The Chargers, a West Coast based team, are playing an early game in the Eastern Time Zone, while coming off a game on Monday night. That's a tough scheduling spot. Taking the lowly Jags lightly will likely be easy to do.*
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Note that the Chargers have yet to defeat an opponent by more than 10 points. They lost their last road game (at Oakland) by 10 points. Their previous two road games were both decided by a field goal, a 3-point win at Philadelphia and a 3-point loss at Tennessee.*
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While they still lost by a wide margin, the Jags arguably played the Broncos tougher than a lot of teams have. QB Henne threw for more than 300 yards. Blackmon had 14 catches for 190 yards. The previous week, they'd shown improvement, hanging tough until near the end of the game. While they're obviously not going to the Super Bowl anytime soon, I feel that they're headed in the right direction. I expect at least another cover. 8**
SAN FRANCISCO VS. TENNESSEE
October 20, 2013 - 4:05 PM
Pick: 5dimes @ Under 40 -110
Expert: Ben Burns
Evaluation: Oct 20 - 4:05 PM
I'm playing on SF and Tennessee to finish UNDER the total. I successfully played on the Titans to stay below the total last week. I feel that this will prove another good spot to do so.*
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While they've seen all four of their games against NFC foes top the total, the 49'ers have seen the UNDER go 2-0 when facing teams from the AFC. *Last week's low-scoring game at Seattle was the Titans first against the NFC. As mentioned, it too stayed below the number.
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Going back a little further finds the UNDER at 6-3 the past 2+ seasons when the Titans have faced an NFC opponent and 7-4 when the 49'ers have faced one from the East. *Thats a combined 13-7 mark.
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The Titans were fortunate to score even 13 points last week; they managed only 66 yards on the ground, 166 through the air, scoring a TD off a blocked FG. Now, they're up against a stingy SF defense which is allowing an average of 11.3 points its last three games and an average of 239 yards per game on the road.
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The Titans have been respectful on the other side of the ball here at Tennessee. Their defense is allowing 18..7 points per game, 320 yards.*
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The 49'ers have run the ball 40, 36 and 38 times the past three games, a formula the Titans dream of imitating. I expect another heavy dose of the run here to help chew up the clock, ultimately helping to keep the final combined score below the number. 9*
ChicagoSportsConnection ...NHL
Oct 20 08:05 PM STRAIGHT BET
[54] WIN JETS -145
Oct 20 08:05 PM STRAIGHT BET
[10058] ANA DUCKS 3 WAY -125
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WINN at home vs Nashville.......
Tough spot in schedule for Nashville
They won yesterday in Montreal...also played Thursday night.
WINN rested yesterday and won for us in fine fashion Friday night. JETS -145
DUCKS are streaking...won 6 straight...Home cooking has been good.
One more home game before they hit the road.
Ducks rested yesterday and play a DALL club that played yesterday and Thursday night making it 3 in 4.
they are also playing 4th in 6.....and 6 in 10.Going with the rested team...Another team hitting a tough spot in their schedule. DUCKS -125 in Regulation.
GamingToday’s Consensus Picks October 20, 2013 6:12 AM by GT Staff
NFL Football
401 Houston Texans +6½: The Chiefs have been winning very ugly and are real lucky to be 6-0, the Texans are very happy to hit the road after being embarrassed at home last week by the Rams 38-13 as a -7½ point favorite, they will keep this game very close and get the cover if not the outright win.
403 Cincinnati Bengals +2½: We look for an outright win by Cincy in this game, they don’t lose in Detroit going 4-0 SU and ATS.
408 Washington Redskins PK: The Skins got beat last week 31-16 but the game was much closer than the final score, they are in much need of a win and they are 8-2 SU and ATS in their last 10 games vs. the Bears.
412 Carolina Panthers -6½: This is a very good play and a great spot for the hard trying Panthers to up their record to 3-3, they come off a big road win and catch the Rams in second of back-to-back road games.***
419 Baltimore Ravens +2½: The wrong favorite in this game, no way the Steelers should be the chalk, Ravens are a much better team and will get the outright win.
421 Denver Broncos -7: Manning makes his big return home as a big winner, he has something to prove, he is great and his team will be sky high for this game, the Colts will have no luck in this one.
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