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Where the action is: Sharp money on Bucs, Under Thursday night
The NFC South steps into the primetime spotlight when the Carolina Panthers visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football. We talk to Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker with CarbonSports.ag, about the action coming in on this standalone game and where the odds could end up by kickoff:
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Open: +6.5, Move: +6
Some markets opened this game with Carolina as high as a touchdown favorite and have since seen the spread drop as low as +5.5. According to Stewart, action on this Thursday contest started balanced on both sides before sharps got involved earlier in the week.
“On Tuesday afternoon, we booked sharp action on the dog and went from +6.5 to +6, respecting the sharp action on the dog,” Stewart tells Covers. “But since going to +6, we’ve seen nothing but Panther money.”
The oddsmakers tried to stay on that key number of six, adjusting the juice from Carolina -6 (-115) to -6 (-120) but eventually went back to Panthers -6.5 (Even) with the public jumping on the road team. Carolina has gone 3-1 SU and ATS in its last four games while Tampa Bay remains winless, with a 1-5 ATS record on the year.
“With just over 70 percent of the action on the Panthers, we’re going to be rooting hard for the Bucs tonight,” says Stewart. “I can’t see us going to +7 in this game and again, we’ll take our chances with the Bucs +6.5 points.”
As for Thursday total, the number opened as low as 39.5 at some books and has climbed to as high as 40.5. CarbonSports.ag posted a total of 41 points and watched sharp action on the Under trim that total to 40.5.
“Since going to 40.5, we’ve seen a lot of over money, but nothing significant enough for us to move back to 41,” says Stewart. “We respect the under action."
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