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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369677

    #46
    Tale of the Tape: Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams

    The Kellen Clemens Era begins in St. Louis as the Rams entertain the Seattle Seahawks in a Monday nighter between NFC West foes.

    The Seahawks come in tied with the New Orleans Saints for the best record in the conference, led by a formidable defense allowing just 16 points per game. Clemens gets the start after regular quarterback Sam Bradford suffered a season-ending knee injury last week.

    Here's the breakdown in our betting tale of the tape:

    Offense

    Second-year quarterback Russell Wilson has bolstered the Seattle offense lately after opening the season with a thud. Seattle is averaging a modest 214 passing yards per game, but has 12 touchdowns and should receive a significant boost with the imminent return of star wide receiver Percy Harvin. The Seahawks have excelled in the running game, sitting among the league leaders with 154.4 yards per contest while racking up seven touchdowns on the ground.

    For all the flak Bradford was taking from fans, he had actually guided the Rams to a passable aerial attack. St. Louis finds itself just below the middle of the pack in passing yards per game (228), but has 14 passing touchdowns against just four interceptions through its first seven games. The Rams are averaging just 70.6 rushing yards per contest, but are encouraged by the progress being made by first-year running back Zac Stacy.

    Edge: Seattle

    Defense

    The vaunted Seattle defense doesn't do opposing offenses any favors, and Clemens should expect plenty of resistance Monday night. The Seahawks have limited the opposition to just under 92 rushing yards per game and four touchdowns on the ground, forcing six fumbles in the process. The pass defense has been even more sensational, ranking second in the NFL in fewest yards allowed per game (191) with six TDs against and 11 interceptions.

    St. Louis once had a defense to be feared, but hasn't been able to live up to that reputation so far in 2013. The Rams are allowing 247 yards per game with 12 touchdowns and just five interceptions. The opposition's quarterback rating of 103.4 is among the worst in the NFL. Teams have also been able to run all over St. Louis, gashing it for better than 126 yards per outing with seven touchdowns.

    Edge: Seattle

    Special Teams

    The Seahawks have one of the Top 10 kickoff return games in football, averaging 26.1 yards per attempt. The punt-return game is far less impressive; Seattle has run back six punts for a total of eight yards, easily the fewest in the NFL. Kicker Steven Hauschka has been one of the most accurate kickers in the league to date - connecting on 16-of-17 field-goal attempts - and made both of his kicks in last week's 34-22 triumph over the Arizona Cardinals.

    St. Louis finds itself in the middle of the pack when it comes to kick return yardage, averaging 24 yards per attempt. Like the Seahawks, the Rams have been dreadful on punt returns, racking up just 31 yards on 15 attempts. Veteran kicker Greg Zuerlein is a perfect 11-for-11 on field-goal attempts in 2013, including makes for 28 and 42 yards in last weekend's 30-15 defeat at the hands of the Carolina Panthers.

    Edge: Seattle

    Notable Quotable

    "I don't think he's better throwing the football or any of those things ... it's just his command of what we're asking him. He's just more comfortable. This is a kid that really can utilize a deeper understanding of what we're doing because he can act on it. I think, probably as much as anything, he's helping other guys play better around him." - Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll on Wilson

    "I've been working on my pass-catching. It was kind of hard, coming in a loss, but it's still a good milestone. That touchdown in that game didn't mean a whole lot, but hopefully there will be more in my career that I'll be able to celebrate." - Stacy, who scored his first career receiving TD in the loss to Carolina.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369677

      #47
      Brandon Lang Monday

      My 40 Dime selection is a 2-team 6 1/2 point teaser on the Seahawks and the Under.

      The current line on this game is -13 1/2 and 44 in Vegas and offshore. Lang wants you to take Seattle down to -7 and the total up to 50 1/2 and going Under.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369677

        #48
        Kelso 35 Seattle , 10 under Seattle, 5 unit parley sea and under . 10 redsox
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369677

          #49
          Anthony Redd

          75 Dime NFC Monday Night Total of the Year

          Under Rams
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369677

            #50
            BeatYourBookie


            Daily MLB Baseball Plays for Monday


            10* Play Boston +120 over St. Louis (MLB TOP PLAY)
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369677

              #51
              Playersbet

              3* Bos/Cards Under 7
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369677

                #52
                Intpicks

                3* Seahawks

                1* Cardinals

                Freeplay Over Red Sox
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369677

                  #53
                  Goodfella

                  Monday Night Football Team Total

                  ST. LOUIS RAMS UNDER 15 POINTS
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369677

                    #54
                    Bryan Leonard | MLB Total pick960 STL / 959 BOS Under 7 BetOnlineAnalysis:
                    BOSTON @ ST. LOUIS

                    Double Dime - Under Red Sox/Cardinals

                    With the series tied 2-2, both teams turn to their aces to try and a lead before the series heads back to Boston. Jon Lester gets the ball for the Red Sox. In four postseason starts, he has posted a 1.67 ERA and opposing batters are hitting just .204 off of Lester. What's nice for Lester is that he was able to throw some relatively stress-free innings in Game 1 as the Red Sox jumped out to a big lead. He'll also be pitching on regular rest and that's always nice at this stage of the season. The Cardinals ranked 27th against left handed pitching in batting average, 26th in OPS, and 26th in wOBA this season. Allen Craig, possibly the team's best hitter against southpaws, probably won't play since he appears unable to play the field. That should help Lester.

                    Adam Wainwright looks to bounce back from a terrible Game 1 start. His defense didn't help him much, but Wainwright fought with his command on the big stage. Pitching in front of the home crowd should be a big boost to Wainwright. This postseason, even with his lackluster start in Game 1, Wainwright has a 2.25 ERA over four starts and has a 12/1 K/BB ratio. Wainwright was shaky on too much rest for Game 1 and he'll be back on his regular turn here.

                    Home plate umpire Bill Miller is 174-117 in unders for his career behind the plate. That's nearly 60% unders. With two pitchers that throw a lot of strikes, it would seem that Miller is a pitcher-friendly umpire and that will make it a very difficult night for the hitters.

                    PLAY: BOS/STL UNDER
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369677

                      #55
                      Vegas Runner
                      Triple Dime - Under Rams
                      Triple Dime - Cardinals
                      Also Leaning Rams +14.5
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369677

                        #56
                        LT Lock

                        Under Rams
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369677

                          #57
                          ATS Lock Club

                          Seahawks
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369677

                            #58
                            Ivey Walters
                            Monday Night Football...What You Need to Know plus Coach's analysis

                            Seattle at St. Louis

                            Line Report: This line opened at Seattle -10 but with the news that St. Louis quarterback, Sam Bradford is out for the year, it has risen to 13.5. It seems it’s only going to continue to soar with some offshore books having the line as high as 14,5. I expect the public to continue to pound Seattle up until kickoff.


                            •Kellen Clemens will take over at quarterback for the Rams tonight. He hasn’t started a game since 2011 and is just 4-8 as a starter in the NFL.
                            •Clemens has thrown just 7 touchdowns against 13 interceptions while completing just 51% of his passes in his career.
                            •Clemens will likely struggle against a Seattle defense that is ranked second in the NFL.
                            •Everyone got to see Russell Wilson in action last week on Thursday night against Arizona where he carved up the Cardinals defense. Wilson has 11 touchdowns and only 4 interceptions.
                            •Wilson, a dynamic running quarterback, has had problems with holding onto the football as he has fumbled 5 times this year. That will be a big key in determining whether or not Seattle can cover the big number. Turnovers can crush a team laying double digits, especially on the road.
                            •St. Louis beat Seattle last year at home and played them tough in Seattle. However, this will be a much different game with Clemens at quarterback instead of Bradford.
                            •This Rams team is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 Monday Night games and are 3-12 against the number as home underdogs of 4 points or more in division tilts.
                            •There have been just three Monday Night division home underdogs of 11 points or more and all three came up losers against the spread.
                            •Those three teams scored just 19 points combined!
                            •Seattle, meanwhile, is 4-0 ATS in their last four Monday Night games.
                            •Seattle is 28-9-1 ATS in their last 38 games overall.
                            •The Seahawks have dominated their competition, outscoring their opponents by 205 points in their last 13 outings.
                            •Seattle is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a double digit favorite.
                            •Seattle is 5-2 SU and ATS verse the Rams since 2009.
                            •St. Louis is 3-4 SU this year but their wins have come against Arizona, Jacksonville, and Houston. Those teams are a combined 5-15 ATS this season.



                            Coach’s Take:

                            There is no way I could back Kellen Clemens against one of the top defenses in the league. I expect him to struggle mightily as he hasn’t started a game since 2011 and has struggled throughout his NFL career. But laying 13.5 points on the road is not enticing, especially in the NFL. Seattle is the better team in all areas and should dominate the game. Their defensive front is getting healthier and stronger each week and will pose problems for running back, Zac Stacey who will be relied on to take the pressure off Clemens. I really don’t see St. Louis moving the ball much tonight. Everything points to Seattle but I just can’t get myself to lay this many points on the road in a Monday Night game. I expect Seattle to dominate and certainly lean towards them in this contest but it is not a high percentage bet in my opinion, laying all those points.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369677

                              #59
                              BeatYourBookie Football Plays

                              Monday

                              10* Play Seattle -11 over St. Louis (NFL TOP PLAY)
                              8:30 PM EST

                              Seattle is 13-4 ATS vs. NFC Conference Opponents the last three seasons
                              Seattle is 12-2 ATS when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369677

                                #60
                                bookiemonsters
                                163
                                -121-3 run
                                39-38-4 run last
                                81 plays

                                POD canucks under 5.5
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