11-18-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Youngstown Connection
Date: Monday November 18, 2013
$20.00 NBA Play
#501 Portland +2.5 735PM Eastern
Lines from Heritage
Line as of 415PM Eastern 11/18/13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Youngstown Connection
Date: Monday November 18, 2013
$20.00 NFL Play
#429/430 NE/CAR Over 46 840PM Eastern
Lines from CRIS
Line as of 455PM Eastern 11/18/13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PLAY: NEW ENGLAND/CAROLINA OVER
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY

Tonight I am looking to the over in the Monday Night Game between New England & Carolina. There are a couple of reasons why I am looking this way. Bill Belichick has had 2 weeks to prepare for this Carolina defense and Belichick knows you are not going to run on this defense as only Buffalo has run for more than 105 yards against Carolina. With that said I expect New England to employ a game plan like they did against Pittsburgh where they spread the field with their passing game. They can do this now as this is the healthiest this offense has been all year. I also expect Cam Newton to make some big plays with his feet tonight as mobile QB's put more pressure on the New England defense. Buffalo and EJ Manuel and the Jets and Geno Smith put up 21 and 30 points against New England. My projection is 52 or more points will be scored tonight.

TAKE NEW ENGLAND/CAROLINA OVER as MARCO'S NFL MONDAY NIGHT BIG BET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

New England Patriots at Carolina Panthers (-3)/47- 8:40 ET ESPN

5* New England Patriots (+3)
Last Sunday, the Carolina defense erased the final question marks from the minds of their doubters. The
Panthers entered the game at San Francisco on a 4-0 ATS run. Their opponents, however, had all been losing teams. The questions lingered: Were the Panthers fat after stuffing themselves on cupcakes? They were playing on the strong home field of a 49ers team who was coming off their bye week and was on a 5-0 ATS run. But as the game wore on, it was clear the Panthers could go toe to toe with the powerful 49ers. The end result was a 10-9 Carolina victory in which they held San Fran to just 151 yards. Now, the Panthers enter on a 5-0 SU ATS run in which they have covered by 72 points, with a +8 net TO margin in those games. The surprising defense has led the way. For the season, they are allowing just 13 PPG and 283 YPG. They are controlling the point of attack, outrushing opponents by an average of 127-82. On this field, Carolina has been even more dominant allowing 4 opponents the total of only 37 points. Now, they are faced with a major challenge against the New England Patriots. When we last left New England, WRs Amendola and Gronkowski were returning to full health. QB Brady was leading an offense that put up 55 points and over 600 yards against the once vaunted Pittsburgh Steelers. Now, the Brady/Belichick combo has had 2 weeks to prepare for a 2 week primetime gauntlet which finds the 49ers facing Carolina tonight and hosting the Broncos on SNF next week. Be sure the Panthers have caught the attention of New England and the appropriate game plan is in place. We never stand in the way of New England in this role, and neither should you. In the L10Y, New England is 18-4-2 ATS (8-1 ATS L4Y) as a road dog.

CBKB
Cleveland St. at E. Michigan (-1-) 7:00 ET

5* Cleveland St (+1-)
Third year E. Mich HC Murphy (Boeheim disciple) is making a defensive mark this season with the Eagles. After gorging themselves at home on 3 cupcakes, Albion, Concordia, and Bobby Mo, the Eagles are a perfect3-0 allowing just 53 PPG. While that’s been happening, Cleveland St. has gone a highly respectable 2-1 with a home victory vs. Iona and a road split at San Fran and Tex-Arlington. The Vikings are far better prepared to play this contest. Motivation for 8th year HC Waters not an issue after his Vikings dropped to 14 victories following a combined 49 wins the previous two seasons. We play the better team at home against a Convo Center home court, where the Eagles are a non-threatening 29-15 SU previous 3 seasons.

Idaho St. at San Francisco (-17) 10:00 ET

5* San Francisco (-17)
The Idaho St. Bengal Tigers are one of my early season play against teams. Again this year, they will drop like a stone without a parachute to the bottom of the Big Sky. We faded them Saturday night in their 88-60 loss at Arizona St. Tonight, they are in the wrong place at the wrong time against a high-scoring San Francisco team who will be in no mood to show mercy. Friday night, we lost with the Dons in their 92-90 home court defeat to Nevada. I am sure the weekend was not pretty, as 6th year HC Walters cracked the whip. Under Walters, this has been an optimum spot for his Dons who are 19-7 ATS following a home loss. Against the defenseless Bengals, look for San Francisco to easily match their 92 PPG offensive output in rolling to a 20+ point victory.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 11/18
NFL Football

Carolina Panthers -3 (spread) over the New England Patriots
Overall Record: 172-149
(System Record: 172-6, Won last 4 games)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sebastian:
400 New England
50 Arizona in college baskets
100 UNDER Chicago Bulls
200 Portland in the NBA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cleveland Insider

NBA
2* Bobcats/Bulls over 180.5
2* Nuggets/Thunder under 213
1* Blazers/Nets under 197

NHL
1* Calgary Flames/Winnipeg Jets under 5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive

200 Patriots

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Burns MAIN EVENT Panthers game UNDER

Ness GOTM PATRIOTS

Fargo ENFORCER PATRIOTS

Fiest MNF total INSIDER Panthers game OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TMC Sports Advisors


Portland +2
Philadelphia +12
Chicago -12
Patriots +3

Added
Patriots / Panthers Over 47

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pure Lock

Georgia St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Freese

20* Georgia St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DHayes2

Over 46 NE/Car

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Akmens

New England +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Duke's Sports

2 Units Carolina -1