11-21-13

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RKapper
NBA

OKC/LAC 1H Over 107
Chi/Den Over 99 1H

FB
N.O. -9
Rice/UAB Over 63
Rutgers +17.5

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Sebastian:
200 OVER UAB
200 OVER UNLV
100 UNDER in Arlanta in NFL
100 Atlanta in same game
100 Denver in the NBA

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Sportsboss

Falcons
UCF
Florida St.
Washington

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R.a.w. Football - thursday


2* = "over" central florida/rutgers

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EXECUTIVE 200

cent fla

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trophy club
colorado

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red suit

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Falcons super bowl tonight play over53

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Nelly

UAB +19.5

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Joe Williams's Pick Pack

NCAA Football Thursday Picks

Premium Plays

Matchup: Rice at UAB Time: 7:30 PM EDT (Thu) Play: Over (63.5 -105) Line Source: 5dimes Posted on: November 21, 2013 @ 10:58:44 AM EST Rice has posted 45 or more points in three of its past four games, with two overs to show for it. The over has cashed in three of the past four for UAB, thanks mostly to awful defense, giving up 52 or more points in three of the past four. The over is 8-2 overall for the Blazers this season, including 2-1 at home. Look for Rice to run roughshod over UAB in tonight's game, with the Blazers providing some late offense for an over in the fourth quarter.

Member Plays

Matchup: Rutgers at Central Florida Time: 7:30 PM EDT (Thu) Play: Rutgers (+17.5 -107) Line Source: 5dimes Posted on: November 21, 2013 @ 10:58:44 AM EST Rutgers heads to Orlando looking to derail UCF on its trek for a BCS bowl game. That trek was nearly ruined in Philadelphia last weekend, but the Knights escaped Temple with a last-minute victory. Looking at the numbers, Rutgers is 1-4 ATS in their past five games overall. However, they had been playing without RB Paul James, arguably their best offensive talent, due to a four-game suspension. He returned last weekend and gave the team a solid performance on the ground. That added dimension will keep Gary Nova from having to do too much at the quarterback position. UCF is clearly the better overall team, and they're 7-3 ATS in their past 10. However, they were laying a similar number last week, and nearly choked the game away outright. They will win this game, but this is an awfully big number to cover against a team still fighting for bowl eligibility.

Guaranteed Plays

Matchup: UNLV at Air Force Time: 9:30 PM EDT (Thu) Play: UNLV (ML +115) Line Source: 5dimes Posted on: November 21, 2013 @ 10:58:44 AM EST This UNLV team is a bit underrated, and they're paying for what other teams have done in the past in Colorado Springs. That's why the 5-5 Rebels are underdogs to a 2-8 Falcons team. Yes, UNLV is 0-5 ATS in the past five meetings with Air Force. And yes, the home team has covered eight straight meetings in this series. But when most of those games were happening, most of these kids were in high school, or even middle school! Don't be fooled by the historical trends. True, sometimes they have credence when players are the same, but in this case, they're not. These recent trends are more telling: UNLV is 6-2 ATS in their past eight games overall, and Air Force is 7-19 ATS in their past 26 home games. The Falcons are 5-16 ATS in their past 21 overall, and 2-7 ATS in their past nine conference tilts. And USAFA is 0-4 ATS in their past four following a bye, while UNLV is 5-1-1 in their past seven Thursday games. Don't be afraid to pull the trigger on UNLV, who is fighting for bowl eligibility, while Air Force has long since been eliminated from that picture.

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Joe Nelson's Pick Pack

NCAA Football Thursday Picks

Guaranteed Plays

Matchup: Rice at UAB Time: 7:30 PM EDT (Thu) Play: UAB (+19.5 -110) Line Source: SouthPoint Posted on: November 21, 2013 @ 10:09:10 AM EST The Owls needs some help in the Conference USA West race but it will be another bowl season for Rice. Rice has scored 45 or more points in three of the last four games but this has not been an overly impressive statistical team. Rice has won and covered in four of five road games this season and this week they face a 2-8 UAB squad that has lost four in row while being outscored 195-80 in those games. UAB allows over 503 yards per game with 7.7 yards per play allowed, the worst mark in the nation. Rice allows 175 rushing yards per game however as this is not a great defensive team and the Owls caught some breaks last week with four turnovers going their way to create a somewhat misleading final. The Owls do have three road wins this season but they were soundly out-gained in two of those games, winning in overtime at Tulsa and winning by just six at Texas-San Antonio. Next week’s home date with Tulane will be a bigger game for the Owls and there could be a homecoming letdown after last week’s win. UAB has been a terrible team but this is just the fourth home game on a very tough road heavy schedule. The Blazers are 2-1 ATS at home this season and historically UAB is on a 20-9-2 ATS run as a home underdog since 1999. UAB actually features a superior yards-per-play offense than Rice, gaining 5.9 yards per play compared to just 5.6 for Rice. The home/road splits displays that disparity even further and the UAB defense has played much better at home, allowing a more respectable 6.1 yards per play and feature an even net yards per play margin. The home team has covered in the last four meetings in this series and value is certainly with UAB when comparing the spreads on common games these teams have played. Those numbers project Rice as only 8-11 points better than UAB where as this spread suggests a three touchdown difference.

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Hondo

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best bets
21-14 59%

=Tonight Ucf
Pitt
Mich St

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Guaranteed Sports Picks
NFL Thursday Night
UNDER 53

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Rocky's Lock Club


10 NHL Chi -141

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Pure Lock




CB Wake -21

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Brad Wilton
60 Dime
Conference USA Total of the Year
OVER - Rice-UAB