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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369669

    #31
    NFL Top 3: NFC teams falling short of win totals

    For as many pleasant surprises there have been in the NFL so far this season, there have been just as many stunning disappointments.

    Between a pair of 2-8 teams in the NFC South and an East race where the winning team may finish at .500 or worse, the conference has seen its share of duds through the first 11 weeks. Several teams are in danger of missing their projected win totals, while one has already been mathematically crossed off the list.

    Here are three teams who rank among the NFC's biggest letdowns (over/under courtesy LVH):

    Atlanta Falcons (2-8; O/U: 10)

    The Falcons would be the biggest bust in the entire league were it not for an equally poor season put together by the AFC's Houston Texans. The injury bug has bitten the Atlanta offense in a major way, knocking starting running back Steven Jackson out of the lineup for several weeks while claiming wide receiver Julio Jones for the season after just a month of action. Fellow wideout Roddy White has been banged up all year, leaving quarterback Matt Ryan with few healthy options. The Falcons' defense has also struggled, leaving Atlanta to play out the string over the final six weeks.

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-8; O/U: 7.5)

    The Buccaneers weren't expected to be as prolific as their division rivals from Atlanta, but their season is no less a disappointment. Tampa Bay has also been plagued by injuries - most notably to No. 1 running back Doug Martin - but had a bigger issue earlier in the season when quarterback Josh Freeman had a falling out with the organization, resulting in his release. The Buccaneers turned to Mike Glennon, who has been solid if unspectacular, and have played better in recent weeks - but they'll need to win out in order to get to eight wins. It's a tall task.

    Washington Redskins (3-7; O/U: 8)

    With the Dallas Cowboys, New York Giants and Philadelphia Eagles all plodding along, this should have been a cakewalk for the talented Redskins. And yet, they find themselves in the same situation as their division foes - trying to fix what's ailing them while at the same time keeping a close eye on the standings. Second-year quarterback Robert Griffin III has struggled to develop a rapport with his receiving corps, and doesn't have the same explosiveness that enhanced the Washington rush attack last season. Oh, and the pass defense may be the worst in the NFL. That doesn't help.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369669

      #32
      Broncos at Patriots: What bettors need to know

      Denver Broncos at New England Patriots (+1, 53.5)

      The stakes are typically high when Peyton Manning and Tom Brady square off and that will again be the case Sunday night when the Denver Broncos visit the New England Patriots. The Broncos are in the midst of a grueling three-game stretch, sandwiching a pair of games with AFC West co-leader Kansas City around Sunday's matchup. The Patriots, coming off a controversial last-second loss at Carolina, need a win to maintain any hopes of securing home field for a potential playoff matchup.

      Brady is 9-4 in his career against Manning, who is on a record-setting pace for passing yards thanks to the addition of former New England wide receiver Wes Welker. In six seasons in New England, Welker amassed a staggering 672 receptions, but his status is in question due to a concussion sustained in last week's 27-17 victory over the Chiefs. "This is a big game for both teams so you have to expect their best players," Brady said. "I'm sure all those guys will be ready to go."

      TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

      LINE: The Pats opened as 1-point dogs. The total is down from the opening 56.

      WEATHER: Wind will blow across the field at 15 mph. Temperatures will be in the low-20s.

      ABOUT THE BRONCOS (9-1): Denver became the first team to put up more than 17 points against Kansas City and is averaging a league-high 39.8 points behind Manning, who has thrown for 34 TDs versus six interceptions. Welker leads the team with 61 receptions and his nine TDs are second to tight end Julius Thomas (10), who is questionable with a knee injury, but the Broncos also additional weapons in wideouts Demaryius Thomas (60 catches, 9 TDs) and Eric Decker (54 catches). Knowshon Moreno is a dual threat out of the backfield for Manning, but overlooked has been the recent play of Denver's defense, which has yielded 19.3 points in its last three after giving up an average of 35.3 points in the previous three.

      ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (7-3): New England fell two games behind the Chiefs and Broncos in the chase for the No. 1 seed after last week's loss at Carolina that featured a reversed penalty call on the final play. Brady went four straight games without completing 60 percent of his passes, but he has raised his game the past two weeks with the return of a healthy tight end Rob Gronkowski and wideout Danny Amendola. Running back Shane Vereen had eight catches last week in his first game since the season opener, but the Patriots have serious issues on defense - their top three cornerbacks are hurt and they have already lost starting nose tackle Vince Wolfork and middle linebacker Jerod Mayo for the season.

      TRENDS:

      * Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
      * Over is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings.
      * Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.
      * Over is 4-1 in Broncos last five road games.

      EXTRA POINTS:

      1. Manning's 3,572 yards are the most in history through the first 10 games of a season.

      2. Brady is 4-6 lifetime against Denver but has won the last three, including a 45-10 rout in the playoffs in January 2012.

      3. The weather could be a great equalizer, with temperatures below freezing and 20 mph winds forecast for the contest.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369669

        #33
        Prediction Machine

        228 4:05 PM @ARI IND -2.5 55.5 57.7 $56 - white/grey

        220 1:00 PM @CLE PIT -2 4.4 56.3 $41 - yellow
        231 8:30 PM DEN @ NE -2.5 5.1 55.9 $37
        226 4:05 PM @OAK TEN -1 3.0 54.9 $26

        213 1:00 PM MIN @ GB 5 -3.5 53.8 $15 - orange
        209 1:00 PM TB @ DET 9 -7.7 53.6 $13
        223 1:00 PM NYJ @ BAL 4 -2.9 53.1 $8
        218 1:00 PM @MIA CAR 4 -2.9 53.1 $8
        221 1:00 PM CHI @ STL 1 1.5 53.0 $7
        230 4:25 PM @NYG DAL -2.5 3.6 52.6 $2

        212 1:00 PM @HOU JAC -10 10.6 51.9 $0 - red
        215 1:00 PM SD @ KC 5 -4.5 51.2 $0
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369669

          #34
          Peyton Manning vs. Tom Brady: Who's the better bet?

          Week 12 action in the NFL features a number of marquee matchups - but one clearly rises above the rest as Peyton Manning and his Denver Broncos visit New England for a showdown with Tom Brady and the Patriots.

          Manning and Brady will face off for the 14th time - and will do so with playoff implications for both teams. The Broncos are tied with the Kansas City Chiefs for top spot in the AFC West, while Brady's Patriots have a two-game lead in the AFC East and can strengthen their hold on top spot with a win.

          Here's a breakdown of the all-time matchup in a special Tale of the Tape:

          Straight-up: Brady 9, Manning 4

          Brady has dominated the head-to-head record between the future Hall-of-Fame QBs, winning the first six encounters - including the 2003 AFC Championship Game - and going 6-2 at Foxboro Stadium. Manning does have the most significant victory of the series, leading Indianapolis back from an 18-point deficit to prevail 38-34 in the 2006 AFC title game. It's the biggest comeback in conference championship history.

          ATS: Brady (6-5-2)

          This matchup is much closer than the SU history, in part due to a series of closely contested games. Brady kicked off the tete-a-tete with a 5-0-1 ATS record - highlighted by a 44-13 rout of Manning's Indianapolis Colts in Brady's first career start - but Manning covered in each of the next four matchups. The two have split three spreads since, including a narrow Brady cover in New England's thrilling 31-28 victory over Indianapolis in their last meeting in 2011.

          O/U: 8-5-0

          With two of the best quarterbacks of a generation facing off, points are often scored in bunches - and the Brady-Manning encounters are no exception. The first meeting saw 57 points scored, kicking off a trend that saw the teams combine for greater than 50 points in five of the first seven showdowns. The high-water mark of 72 points was set in New England's 38-34 win in Week 13 of the 2003 season and equaled in the Colts' 38-34 win in the 2006 AFC title game.

          Passing yards: Manning 3,821, Brady, 3,059

          Manning has edged out Brady when it comes to passing yardage, averaging a whopping 293.9 yards per game compared to Brady's mark of 235.3. Manning has a number of big yardage games against the Patriots on his career resume, including a 349-yard performance in the 2006 conference championship and a 326-yard effort in a 27-20 triumph over the Patriots earlier that season. Brady was hurt by a 168-yard showing in their first-ever encounter in 2001.

          Touchdowns/interceptions: Manning: 27/19; Brady: 23/12

          Known more as a gunslinger than his Patriots counterpart, it should surprise no one that Manning has more touchdowns and interceptions in the all-time series. Manning handed Brady his first victory as a starting quarterback, throwing three interceptions - two of which were run back for scores. He also has a place in history as the first quarterback to throw for four touchdowns against the Bill Belichick-led Patriots in 2003 - albeit in defeat.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369669

            #35
            EZWINNERS

            2* Chargers +4

            2* Cardinals -3

            2* Patriots +2
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369669

              #36
              Steve Fezzik

              3* New England Patriots
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369669

                #37
                King Creole total of the Month

                Patriots-Denver Over
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369669

                  #38
                  Sixth Sense Sports

                  Bucs
                  Browns
                  Jets
                  Patriots
                  Cowboys
                  Chargers
                  Over Bears
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369669

                    #39
                    Chicago Syndicate

                    (NFL) Game of the Year Ravens
                    Over Lions
                    Panthers
                    Giants
                    Patriots
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369669

                      #40
                      LA Syndicate

                      (NFL)
                      Chiefs
                      Over Raiders
                      Cardinals & Over
                      Patriots
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369669

                        #41
                        Ivey Walters

                        2% New York Giants -2.5
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369669

                          #42
                          Hilton Super Contest TOP NINE Contestents

                          JARHEAD - W36 L18 T1 LW 2-3
                          Week 12 Picks: GB CAR CHI BAL TEN

                          4 RICKY - W34 L18 T3 LW 1-3-1
                          Week 12 Picks: GB STL BAL ARI DAL

                          HOUSE AT SAL - W35 L19 T1 LW 3-1-1
                          Week 12 Picks: SD MIA CLE TEN ARI

                          TOOFDOC - W33 L19 T3 LW 2-1-2
                          Week 12 Picks: MIN SD CLE NYJ NE

                          VEGASDAVE2 - W34 L20 T1 LW 3-1-1
                          Week 12 Picks: SD MIA BAL OAK DAL

                          INDY BOYS - 34 L20 T1 LW 3-2
                          Week 12 Picks: SD CLE STL DAL NE

                          BIG LIB - W34 L20 T1 LW 3-1-1
                          Week 12 Picks: NO KC MIA DEN SF

                          EBN OZN - W34 L20 T1 LW 3-1-1
                          Week 12 Picks: ATL TB GB DAL NE

                          COMING FOR THE TROP - W34 L20 T1 LW 3-1-1
                          Week 12 Picks: SD MIA CLE IND WAS
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369669

                            #43
                            William Holloway / halloffamepicks

                            NFL
                            Ravens(-3.5)
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369669

                              #44
                              ALLEN EASTMAN

                              8-Unit NFL Game of the Year

                              Dallas Cowboys +2.5
                              411 System

                              3-Unit play Take Houston 1st Half -5.5
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369669

                                #45
                                VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER

                                NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS

                                4 Unit Play. #224 Take Baltimore -3 ½ over NY Jets (1:00p.m., Sunday, Nov 24)
                                Too me it looks like Geno Smith is running out of gas and the offense of the Jets only produced 14 points last week. Geno Smith had a horrible game last week going 8/23 with 3 picks and if I have pick Smith or Super Bowl champ Flacco I'm going with Flacco. Baltimore lost a tough game last week but the weather was crazy and probably had some small affect. One bright spot about last weeks game with the Ravens was that their was a Ray Rice sighting. Ray Rice rushed for 131 yards and if he has another good ground game that will open up the passing game for Joe Flacco. Close game overall and I see Baltimore winning this game by a touchdown late in the 4th quarter. The NY Jets have dropped 4 out of their last 5 road games and the Jets are also 1-5 ATS against a team with a losing record. Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and the Ravens are also 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

                                2 Unit Play. #230 Take NY Giants -2 ½ over Dallas (4:25p.m., Sunday, Nov 24)

                                3 Unit Play. #231 Take Over 54 - Denver at New England (8:30p.m., Sunday, Nov 24 NBC)
                                The offense of Peyton Manning travels to New England to battle the offense of Tom Brady. With these 2 QB's on the field how could I look at the under! Last home game Tom Brady played he threw for 4 touchdowns and the Patriots beat the Steelers 55-31. The Patriots defense has given up an average of 25.8ppg and if Cam Newton was able to throw against the Pats defense what is Peyton Manning going to do. I see both QB's throwing for at least 2 more touchdowns and I see both defenses giving up points. Denver is 15-5-1 O/U against AFC teams and New England is 5-1 O/U in the month of November.



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