11-30-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

3* Missouri

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Stephen Nover

CFB Total Virginia Tech/Virginia OVER 41.5 double-dime bet

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Alex Smart

CFB-
Tulane+13
Memphis-8
Syracuse+2.5
Texas San Antonio-16
Georgia/Georgia Tech over 57.5
Idaho/New Mexico State over 63.5
Iowa State+9.5
Iowa State/West Virginia over 54
Tennessee-4
Tennessee/Kentucky over 53.5
Clemson+5
Missouri-4
New Mexico+36.5
Hawaii-6

CBB-
Sacramento State+10
UNLV-19.5
Western Kentucky-8
Murray State+17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Foxsheets..

CBB

- Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DETROIT) - good foul drawing team - attempting >=25 free throws/game, poor shooting team - shooting <=42% on the season.
(89-36 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +49.4 units. Rating = 4*)

There are 1 situations with a total rating of 3 stars.

- Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (S FLORIDA) - after one or more consecutive overs, average defensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG). (35-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.1%, +22.9 units. Rating = 3*) N ILLINOIS is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was N ILLINOIS 63.5, OPPONENT 64.1 - (Rating = 3*) AIR FORCE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. The average score was AIR FORCE 77.2, OPPONENT 64.5 - (Rating = 3*) EVANSVILLE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons. The average score was EVANSVILLE 74.1, OPPONENT 75.8 - (Rating = 4*) - Home teams as a favorite or pick (WEBER ST) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, a terrible team (<=20%) playing a team with a losing record. (50-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.4%, +28 units. Rating = 3*) - Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (WYOMING) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. (58-25 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.9%, +30.5 units. Rating = 3*) - Favorites of 10 or more points (WYOMING) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. (61-26 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.1%, +32.4 units. Rating = 3*) WYOMING is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was WYOMING 68.6, OPPONENT 56.7 - (Rating = 3*) - Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (SACRAMENTO ST) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%), after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher. (84-38 since 1997.) (68.9%, +42.2 units. Rating = 3*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

Underdog POW - UConn +3
Powerplay - 4* North Carolina -5
Economy - Tulane +11
Big Dog - Nevada +14.5 & +485
Big 12 - West Virginia -7.5

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Billy Coleman

4* Arizona St

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Hampton Sports Picks

- NCAAF for Saturday -

100* - Rutgers Scarlet Knights -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

Not gonna lie to you, this line doesn't make a lot of sense to us. We know Boise St is at home and New Mexico is only 3-8 on the season, but this is a BIG number and we really question if Boise can handle the cover. Consider that New Mexico, while they have struggled defensively, score 34.2 ppg. The bigger problem has obviously been their defense, where they are allowing a staggering 42.5 ppg. So with that in mind, we expect Boise State to be able to score at will against New Mexico, but the Boise defense isn't exactly the second coming of Alabama! They allow 24.4 ppg and 23 first downs per game. This is just too big a number against a team that has proven they can score (they scored 28 LW against Fresno and 42 the week before against Colorado St) We will take our chances here, so the Sharps say...

3 UNITS - NEW MEXICO (+37)

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Football Crusher
North Carolina State +3 over Maryland
(System Record: 40-3, lost last game)
Overall Record: 40-38-1

Hockey Crusher
New York Rangers -110 over Vancouver
(System Record: 31-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 31-19

Basketball Crusher
Detroit +8.5 over South Florida
(System Record: 13-2, won last game)
Overall Record: 13-20-1

Soccer Crusher
Arsenal de Sarandi + Belgrano UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 488-17, won last 6 games)
Overall Record: 488-422-71

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

5* UCONN / Rutgers Under 49. (total of the year)

4* Alabama -10. (no brainer)

4* Notre Dame +15.5. (Vegas insider)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Houston at San Antonio

The Rockets travel to San Antonio to face a Spurs team that is coming off a 109-91 win in Orlando last night and is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game. San Antonio is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 13. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 30 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Atlanta at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 118.530; Washington 118.982 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 192 Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4; 195 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+4); Under

Game 703-704: Chicago at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 121.333; Cleveland 112.904 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 8 1/2; 185 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 179 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: Brooklyn at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 111.698; Memphis 123.299 Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 11 1/2; 182 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 707-708: Minnesota at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 121.833; Dallas 120.836 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 215 Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 2; 208 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+2); Over

Game 709-710: Houston at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.342; San Antonio 133.391 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 13; 208 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6 1/2; 204 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-6 1/2); Over

Game 711-712: Boston at Milwaukee (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 112.050; Milwaukee 113.861 Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 2; 183 Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 187 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+1 1/2); Under

Game 713-714: Utah at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 110.621; Phoenix 122.830 Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 12; 193 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

Vancouver at NY Rangers

The Rangers host a Vancouver team that is 9-3 in its last 12 games in the series. The Canucks are the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has Vancouver favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-105). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 30 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Vancouver at NY Rangers (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.547; NY Rangers 11.553 Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-115); 5 Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-105); Over

Game 3-4: Toronto at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 9.693; Montreal 11.565 Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-160); 5 Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-160); Under

Game 5-6: Columbus at Boston (7:00 a.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.202; Boston 12.930 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-230); 5 Dunkel Pick: Boson (-230); Over

Game 7-8: Pittsburgh at Florida (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.406; Florida 12.413 Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1;5 Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-165); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Florida (+145); Under

Game 9-10: Buffalo at New Jersey (7:00 a.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 9.965; New Jersey 11.685 Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-200); 5 Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-200); Over

Game 11-12: Washington at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 10.695; NY Islanders 9.743 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 5 Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-110); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-110); Under

Game 13-14: Chicago at Phoenix (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.976; Phoenix 11.331 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-120); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-120); Over

Game 15-16: Philadelphia at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 12.413; Nashville 11.355 Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 17-18: Minnesota at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.897; Colorado 10.940 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 19-20: Calgary at Los Angeles (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.501; Los Angeles 12.168 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-220); 5 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-220); Under

Game 21-22: Anaheim at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.307; San Jose 12.884 Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-170); 5 Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-170); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks

Duquesne vs. Pittsburgh

The Panthers look to build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games versus the Dukes. Pittsburgh is the pick (-18) according to Dunkel, which has the Panthers favored by 18. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-18). Here are all of today's early games.

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 30 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 715-716: Detroit at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 55.321; South Florida 61.703 Dunkel Line: South Florida by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: South Florida by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+8 1/2)

Game 717-718: Duquesne vs. Pittsburgh (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 49.210; Pittsburgh 71.573 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 22 1/2 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 18 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-18)

Game 719-720: Northern Illinois at Nebraska (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 41.825; Nebraska 65.402 Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 23 1/2 Vegas Line: Nebraska by 17 Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-17)

Game 721-722: San Diego at New Mexico (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 58.975; New Mexico 67.408 Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: New Mexico by 14 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+14)

Game 723-724: Long Beach State at Washington (6:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 50.997; Washington 59.054 Dunkel Line: Washington by 8 Vegas Line: Washington by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (+9 1/2)

Game 725-726: South Alabama at Middle Tennessee State (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 55.558; Middle Tennessee State 66.196 Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 10 1/2 Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 8 Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-8)

Game 727-728: Colorado at Air Force (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 64.510; Air Force 53.968 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 10 1/2 Vegas Line: Colorado by 13 Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+13)

Game 729-730: Georgia State at Florida International (5:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 54.296; Florida International 47.302 Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 7 Vegas Line: Georgia State by 4 Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (-4)

Game 731-732: James Madison at Richmond (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 46.838; Richmond 65.225 Dunkel Line: Richmond by 18 1/2 Vegas Line: Richmond by 14 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Richmond (-14 1/2)

Game 733-734: Evansville at Ohio (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 60.456; Ohio 63.956 Dunkel Line: Ohio by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: Ohio by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Evansville (+6 1/2)

Game 735-736: Ball State at Cleveland State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 51.457; Cleveland State 56.725 Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 9 Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+9)

Game 737-738: Rhode Island at George Mason (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 50.685; George Mason 57.776 Dunkel Line: George Mason by 7 Vegas Line: George Mason by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (+9 1/2)

Game 739-740: Utah State vs. BYU (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 62.262; BYU 67.755 Dunkel Line: BYU by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: BYU by 1 Dunkel Pick: BYU (-1)

Game 789-790: Manhattan at Hofstra (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 56.570; Hofstra 52.104 Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Manhattan by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Hofstra (+6 1/2)

Game 791-792: Jacksonville State at Central Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 42.222; Central Michigan 53.193 Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 11 Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-7 1/2)

Game 793-794: Western Carolina at Wright State (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 48.731; Wright State 57.643 Dunkel Line: Wright State by 9 Vegas Line: Wright State by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (+10 1/2)

Game 795-796: Austin Peay at Youngstown State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 44.212; Youngstown 57.815 Dunkel Line: Youngstown State by 13 1/2 Vegas Line: Youngstown State by 12 Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (-12)

Game 797-798: Eastern Kentucky at NC State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 53.918; NC State 65.594 Dunkel Line: NC State by 11 1/2 Vegas Line: NC State by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NC State (-9 1/2)

Game 799-800: San Jose State at Weber State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 46.803; Weber State 63.753 Dunkel Line: Weber State by 17 Vegas Line: Weber State by 12 Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-12)

Game 801-802: Eastern Illinois at Western Kentucky (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 49.806; Western Kentucky 56.287 Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 8 Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+8)

Game 803-804: Montana State at Wyoming (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 41.113; Wyoming 60.676 Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 19 1/2 Vegas Line: Wyoming by 15 Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (-15)

Game 805-806: Murray State at St. Mary's (CA) (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 49.317; St. Mary's (CA) 71.029 Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 21 1/2 Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 17 Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (CA) (-17)

Game 807-808: Tennessee-Martin at UNLV (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 36.723; UNLV 62.651 Dunkel Line: UNLV by 26 Vegas Line: UNLV by 19 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-19 1/2)

Game 809-810: UC-Irvine at Sacramento State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 58.756; Sacramento State 46.564 Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 12 Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (-9 1/2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

20* Utah St. -18 (-24 now)
10* UNLV +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Nelson's Pick Pack
NCAA Football Saturday Picks
Premium Plays


Matchup: Penn State at Wisconsin
Time: 3:30 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Wisconsin (-24 -110)
Line Source: William Hill
Posted on: November 29, 2013 @ 2:21:18 PM EST


The Badgers could have won by a greater margin last week with some missed opportunities as the defense held Minnesota to less than 180 yards with no offensive points. Wisconsin can make a case as being one of the best two-loss teams in the nation but the paths to a BCS bowl are limited. Penn State played well against Nebraska last week at home only to fall in overtime. Road games for the Lions have gone poorly this season, going 0-3 S/U and ATS and this will be a very difficult matchup with Wisconsin featuring dramatic statistical edges and with revenge after Penn State pulled out a narrow win last season at home against the eventual Big Ten champions. There is still a lot at stake for the Badgers in the final home game of the season despite the run of conference championships ending and Penn State has been fortunate to have six wins this season. Wisconsin is known for its offense but the defense has allowed an average of six points per game this season at home while Penn State has allowed 37 points per game on the road. At home Wisconsin is gaining 7.8 yards per play while allowing 3.6 yards per play in contrast with the Penn State road splits, gaining just 4.9 yards per play and allowing over 6.0 yards per play. Cold conditions should only help the home team with one of the best rushing attacks in the nation and Penn State has seen two of its wins go to overtime the lone semi-quality win coming against Michigan at home in one of the wildest games of the season, a game Penn State had no business winning. The favorite has covered in eight straight meetings in this series and while this looks like a huge number at first glance, it is more than justified as Wisconsin is 15-5 ATS as a home favorite the last 20 attempts and Coach Andersen has an amazing spread record the last two years.

Matchup: Tennessee at Kentucky
Time: 7:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Kentucky (+4.5 -110)
Line Source: Peppermill
Posted on: November 29, 2013 @ 2:21:18 PM EST


Last week’s game meant everything for Tennessee as the Volunteers sought to redeem an ugly loss from 2012 against state rival Vanderbilt. The Volunteers appeared to have the game wrapped up a few different times before a bizarre finish and it will be a very tough loss to bounce back from. A bowl game is no longer an option and Kentucky will be up for a more manageable opportunity this week as the program has some positive momentum despite the rebuilding season. The Wildcats played Vanderbilt as well as Tennessee did two weeks ago and the home results have been poor due to an impossible schedule in Lexington this season. Kentucky actually gains more yards per play on offense than Tennessee despite scoring just 21 points per game this season and the defensive numbers are similar. The home team has won outright in five of the last seven seasons with the both home losses in that span coming in overtime games which makes the home underdog spread above a field goal extremely attractive for the Wildcats. Tennessee has been out-gained in nine of the last 10 games with the lone exception being a narrow win over South Alabama as the Volunteers have really been no better than lowly Kentucky this season despite picking up a few more wins. On the road Tennessee is gaining just 4.9 yards per play while allowing 6.9 yards per play and the emotional hangover should be severe after missing out on a golden opportunity last season and seeing postseason dreams dashed.

Member Plays


Matchup: Air Force at Colorado State
Time: 2:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Colorado State (-15 -110)
Line Source: Wynn
Posted on: November 29, 2013 @ 2:21:18 PM EST


It seemed that bad weather might help Air Force last week at home but the Falcons lost badly, falling to 2-9 on the season after the lopsided loss to UNLV in the final home game of the season. With a 13-game schedule Colorado State needs to win to make the postseason as the Rams failed in a big game last week at Utah State, being shutout in a game that featured very difficult weather conditions. The offense has been exceptional for the Rams outside of last week and this should be a big opportunity for Colorado State, looking to snap a seven-game slide in this series. At home the Rams are gaining 7.0 yards per play and this could be a rout as the Air Force defense is surrendering huge numbers, allowing over 38 points per game and over 477 yards per game. Opponents are rushing for 5.1 yards per rush against Air Force while the banged up pass defense for Air Force has surrendered over 72 percent completions for opposing quarterbacks. Colorado State knows what they will get from Air Force on offense and the Rams allow just 4.0 yards per rush this season with even better numbers at home. Air Force has actually been out-rushed in four of the last six games despite being a team that runs virtually every play which signals how bad the defense has been. Colorado State has a lot at stake and the Rams have covered in five of the last six games as a favorite and the series history favoring Air Force should provide plenty of motivation to the superior team.

Guaranteed Plays


Matchup: Notre Dame at Stanford
Time: 7:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Notre Dame (+15.5 -110)
Line Source: Heritage
Posted on: November 29, 2013 @ 2:21:18 PM EST


It has been a wild few weeks in the Pac-12 as Stanford was handed the Pac-12 North title with the stunning loss for Oregon last week. Next week’s game with Arizona State will determine a Rose Bowl slot so this non-conference game may be less meaningful for the Cardinal. It has been a solid 8-3 season for the Irish with some very high quality wins but a few upset losses that look even worse at this point in the season. These teams are very close statistically despite the two touchdown spread and the revenge factor from the controversial game last season may be overblown as next week’s game is certainly more important for Stanford while this is a huge game for Notre Dame to close the season. This may be too many points as Notre Dame has proven it can hang with top notch competition and Stanford has had a lot of close games until last week’s blowout win over local rival California. Notre Dame has allowed just 3.7 yards per rush on the road this season and the Irish have gained 6.5 yards per play on offense in road games. Stanford has not been as dominant as one would expect in home games and the underdog has covered in five of the last eight meetings in this series with the road team covering in three of the last four years. In the last five years Notre Dame has been a double-digit underdog just three times, covering in all three instances.