12-5-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NBA MIAMI at CHICAGO
Play Against - Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team
63-30 since 1997. ( 67.7% 30.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

NBA NEW YORK at BROOKLYN
Play Against - Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BROOKLYN) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days
236-154 since 1997. ( 60.5% 78.2 units )
3-0 this year. ( 100.0% 3.4 units )

NBA MIAMI at CHICAGO
Play On - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (CHICAGO) after 2 or more consecutive losses, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team
211-131 since 1997. ( 61.7% 66.9 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NHL WINNIPEG at FLORIDA
Play Against - Road Favorites against the money line (WINNIPEG) after allowing 2 goals or less in 4 straight games against opponent after allowing 4 goals or more
97-63 since 1997. ( 60.6% 70.0 units )
3-0 this year. ( 100.0% 3.4 units )

NHL OTTAWA at TAMPA BAY
Play On - Road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (OTTAWA) good power play team - scoring on more than 17.5% of their chances, hot offensive team - 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal
54-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.5% 39.7 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 1.5 units )

NHL OTTAWA at TAMPA BAY
Play On - Road underdogs against the money line (OTTAWA) good power play team - scoring on more than 17.5% of their chances, hot offensive team - 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal
55-28 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.3% 40.1 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 1.5 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WINNING POINTS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Mississippi State* over TCU by 5
TCU has been a long way up to Alaska and back for this, but they recently regained
the services of 6’9”, 22 forward Amric Fields, who can give them a “16 and 7” these
bricklayers desperately need.
[B]MISSISSIPPI STATE, 62-57.

Missouri* over West Virginia by 11
The warning for potential home-chalk layers would be that Missouri has a little
revenge peeky-boo coming up on Saturday vs. UCLA.
MISSOURI, 76-67.

Providence over Rhode Island* by 3

Northern Illinois* over Dartmouth by 8

**PREFERRED
Vanderbilt* over Marshall by 18
Vandy is canning 8 treys per game, and they have some size to help keep Marshall’s
leading scorer, 6’9”, 245 Elijah Pittman, in check. If 6’10” Rod Odom is hitting from
the outside (he was 19 for his first 37 on three-pointers), then Pittman may have to
stray defensively. Other than Pittman, Marshall is a 6’4” to 6’6” team where the scoring
depth does not run too far down the roster.
VANDERBILT, 77-59.

Kansas State* over Mississippi by 2
Ole Miss won two games in Brooklyn last weekend with leading scorer Jarvis Summers
in foul trouble on neutral floors. That trend should continue in a true road game.
KANSAS STATE, 70-68.

San Diego State over San Diego* by 5
Rebounding is an issue for the host Toreros. Rebounding should not an issue for the
visiting Aztecs in this match-up, but their 3-point defense might be at risk against
Toreros guard Johnny Dee.
SAN DIEGO STATE, 78-73.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WINNINGPOINTS

PRO BASKETBALL

*Brooklyn over New York by 3
Both these teams entered December in dark places with the Knicks lacking a floor
leader, chemistry and interior defense minus Tyson Chandler. The Nets, though,
aren't going to be worth backing until Deron Williams gets healthy and veterans Paul
Pierce and Kevin Garnett prove they aren't washed-up.
BROOKLYN 99-96.

*Memphis over Los Angeles Clippers by 1
The Grizzlies usually are very strong at home, but not having reigning defensive player
of the year Marc Gasol severely impacts their defense leaving them open to Blake
Griffin's slam dunks. Chris Paul sustained a groin injury right before Thanksgiving so
his status needs to be monitored.
MEMPHIS 97-96.

Miami over *Chicago by 8
By now Kirk Hinrich should be settling in as the Bulls' point guard replacing Derrick
Rose, who wasn't having a good season before getting hurt. The Heat's offense trumps
Chicago's defense as the Heat came out of Thanksgiving ranked No. 3 in scoring and
leading in field goal percentage, the only team averaging better than 50 percent from
the floor. MIAMI 102-94.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Benton
80 DIME
AAC Total of the Year
Cin / Lou Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Wilton
50 Dime
AFC South
Dead Mortal Lock
Houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Craig Davis
30 DIME
AFC South
Game of the Month
Jacksonville

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

5* 10 Point Teaser

Texans +6.5
Patriots Pk
Broncos -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux basketball

Eastern Kentucky +15.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GamingToday's Consensus Picks December 05, 2013 6:51 AM by GT Staff

Our web site players are looking for more college hoops so we are going to give them our consensus plays from our very famous and popular Noland Parry’s NCAA Basketball Power Guide.

NCAA Basketball

513 Dartmouth -2: High scoring Dartmouth who also has won of the best defenses in the country go on the road to take on a sub par Northern ill team and according to the Power page Dartmouth should be a much higher price in the range of -9, so we will be making them one of our top plays today in college hoops.

517 Mississippi +2: Parry’s NCAA Basketball Power Guide looks to have Ole Miss as a three hoop favorite and we get to take a bucket, Mississippi is the play.

NHL Hockey

52 Toronto Maple Leafs (NL): This is one of our high percentage system plays as we get the Leafs at home sporting a five game losing streak.

61 Winnipeg Jets -115: Winnipeg hits the road and skates into Florida to face off with the Panthers who have a three game losing streak, we will follow the streak.

65 Carolina Hurricanes +115: The Canes will be playing in Nashville tonight and the Predators have been doing little predatoring of late as they have dropped three straight games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole:
Hou/Jax Under 43.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportswagers - NFLHouston @ JACKSONVILLE
Houston -3½ +100 over JACKSONVILLE

Proving the adage that there's no better deodorant that winning, the Jaguars have erased most of the negative feedback of their 0-8 start over the past month and seem to have a new energy about them. With three wins in four games including back-to-back road wins, the Jags are no longer the laughing stock of the NFL. That honor goes to the Houston Texans, who have the least amount of wins in the league (2) and have lost 10 straight. Combine the two and we have the Jaguars stock up and the Texans stock sinker lower, thus creating this cheap price on the visitor. Now, we’re usually not in favor of spotting road points, especially in a prime time games but we’ll confidently make an exception here. You see, the Jaguars are pure garbage. They have yet to win a game at home all season and their five home losses were by 26, 34, 18, 32 and 13 points, respectively. Don’t be fooled by the Jags recent run of success, as they won three of their past four games because the opposition figured all they had to do was show up. The Texans won’t have that mindset. No way.
Houston’s dignity is on the line here. This was a team that many figured a lock to make the playoffs with a true chance of winning it all. The Texans won their first two games and subsequently have dropped 10 straight. One of those losses occurred just two weeks ago when these same Jags went into Houston and defeated the Texans 13-6. Under the best of circumstances, it’s difficult for teams of equal talent to defeat the same team twice in a year. Thing is, these two aren’t equal. Now the inferior team will attempt to defeat the superior one twice in three weeks. A close look shows the Texans could easily be on a 6-0 run right now after a 1-point loss to KC, a 3-point loss to Indy, a three-point loss to Arizona, a five-point loss to Oakland, a 7-point loss to Jacksonville and a four point loss last week to New England. The Texans also have a 3-point loss to Seattle earlier in the year. So while the Jags were getting smoked by every team in the league and we do mean smoked, the Texans have been really unlucky without a single bounce going their way in the crucial final few minutes of any of those games. It should be noted that in last week’s four-point loss to the Patriots, New England was not flagged for even one penalty. How is that possible in this day and age of flag happy refs? That just further details the bad luck surrounding the Texans. Teams that play great defense do not lose 10 in a row and the Texans defense is ranked #3 in the NFL behind Carolina and Seattle. Combined, that pair is 20-4. What we also like here is that Case Keenum is a gamer. He hates to lose and injects energy into the entire team. Houston is not this bad and will prove so in their final prime time game of the year. Losing to the Jags twice in three weeks is not an option and what we expect to see from the superior Texans is 10 weeks of frustration being taken out on this wretched host.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Football Play of the Day December 05, 2013 7:10 AM by GT Staff


Louisville at Cincinnati at 4:30 p.m. PST


The Bearcats have been on a major roll since 10-5 loss at USF as they now have won six straight games including a big win at Houston as the dog two weeks ago. They had a week to prepare for their cross state rival the Louisville Cardinals and they come into this game with revenge on their minds from last years heartbreaking loss in Louisville 34-31.


104 Cincinnati +3½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc CBB

#524 Take Monmouth +3 over Rider (7 pm ESPN3)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER

HOUSTON (101) AT JACKSONVILLE (102)
Latest Line: Jacksonville +3.5; Total: 43.0

The Texans hope to wake up from a nightmarish 10 straight losses when they visit the upstart Jaguars on Thursday night. Houston is 3-7 ATS during its skid, but it has lost each of the past six games by seven points or less, falling 34-31 at home to New England last week. Since starting the season 0-8, Jacksonville is 3-1 (SU and ATS), with all three victories coming on the road, including last week’s 32-28 win in Cleveland. But at home, the Jags are 0-4 (SU and ATS) and losing by an average score of 29 to 6. Before the Texans lost 13-6 to the Jags two weeks ago, they had won five straight in this series (4-1 ATS).
Forecaster: Houston 23, Jacksonville 16