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Louis -3 NCAAF, Ole Miss +2.5, and Mia -5. 200* ea
Louis -3 NCAAF, Ole Miss +2.5, and Mia -5. 200* ea
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J Clifton
Cincy + 3 1/2 (b)
under 50 1/2 (c)Comment
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JOE GAVAZZI
4* Jacksonville Jaguars
5* Missouri-6
5* Providence-6
5* Ole Miss+2Comment
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THE GOLD SHEET
PRO FOOTBALL
*Houston 24 - JACKSONVILLE 17—With three wins in its last four, it’s too
bad Jax didn’t begin ascending a couple of weeks sooner, which might have
put the Jags in the "wild" AFC wildcard race. Which does not include
Houston, with no SU wins since baseball season and now holding a narrow
lead over Atlanta as the NFL’s most disappointing 2013 entry. But their nearmiss
vs. N.E. suggests the Texans have yet to throw in the towel, and Case
Keenum looks more like an NFL QB when helped by a ground force, which Ben
Tate provided with 102 YR vs. the Pats after missing most of the Nov. 24 loss
to the Jags with a rib injury. How long can Jax count on Chad Henne’s recent mostly error-free form? TV—NFL NETWORK
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
*CINCINNATI 28 - Louisville 26—Have utmost respect for nationallyranked
L’Ville, but prefer to take about a FG with sizzling Cincy, gunning for its
7th straight victory in this battle for a possible BCS bowl (if UCF loses at SMU).
Bearcats’ groovin’ 6th-year sr. QB Brandon Kay (70.3%; 2797 YP, 22 TDs)—
operating behind a stone-wall OL (only 11 sacks allowed on 392 pass
attempts!)—well-equipped to outduel Cards’ NFL-ready QB Teddy
Bridgewater, who has generated only 22 ppg his last two outings. Since
Cincy’s unsightly 45-17 setback at Illinois back in early Sept., the gangtackling
Bearcat defense (yielding only 3.0 ypc) has permitted a meager 15
ppg, which is comparable to Cards’ 12 ppg allowance. This is the toughest
road game (by far) for Charlie Strong’s overvalued squad, which is only 1-6
vs. spread last 7. Note, confident Cincy 9-3 as a home dog since 2004 (4-0
since 2007!). TV—ESPNComment
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WINNING POINTS
PRO FOOTBALL
Houston over *Jacksonville by 3
Since becoming the first team to win their first two games on the final play of each
game, the Texans haven't won since dropping 10 in a row. Statistic-wise, the
Texans should bury Jacksonville. But mistakes, turnovers and bad karma have made Houston the most disappointing team in the AFC. Just 11 days ago, the
Jaguars held the Texans to 218 yards and 11 first downs in a 13-6 victory. Now the
Jaguars make their only prime time appearance having won three of their last four.
These victories, however, have all come on the road. Jacksonville is 0-5 SU and
ATS at home with every defeat being by 13 or more points.
HOUSTON 23-20.
HISTORICAL TRENDS
Houston at Jacksonville – The Jaguars upset the Texans, 13-6, in Week 12.
The Texans are 5-1 SU, 3-2-1 ATS during the past six meetings.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Cincinnati* over Louisville by 1
Cincinnati took Louisville to overtime last year before succumbing 34-31. This
affair has the earmarks of another cliff-hanger. Louisville QB Teddy Bridgewater is
potentially the top overall pick in next year’s draft, but Cincy counterpart Brendon
Kay has been Bridgewater-like during the Bearcats 6-game winning streak, completing
72 percent of his throws.Comment
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STATFOX PLATINUM SHEET
PRO FOOTBALL
• (101) HOUSTON (SU: 2-10, ATS: 3-9) at (102) JACKSONVILLE (SU: 3-9, ATS: 4-8)
Game Breakdown: The Texans hope to wake up from a nightmarish
10 straight losses when they visit the upstart Jaguars on
Thursday night. Houston is 3-7 ATS during its skid, but it has lost
each of the past six games by seven points or less, falling 34-31
at home to New England last week. Since starting the season 0-8,
Jacksonville is 3-1 (SU and ATS), with all three victories coming
on the road, including last week’s 32-28 win in Cleveland. But at
home, the Jags are 0-4 (SU and ATS) and losing by an average
score of 29 to 6. Before the Texans lost 13-6 to the Jags two
weeks ago, they had won five straight in this series (4-1 ATS).
Betting System:
Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 - pathetic team - outscored by opponents by 10 or more
points per game (6-30 ATS).
Play = HOUSTON against the spread
Series history – Last 5 Seasons:
JACKSONVILLE is 5-5 ATS (5-6 SU) vs. HOUSTON (2-3 ATS, 3-2 SU at home.)
StatFox Six Pack:
• JACKSONVILLE is 9-23 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest over the L3 seasons.
• JACKSONVILLE is 9-0 UNDER at home against conference opponents over the L2 seasons.
• JACKSONVILLE is 2-9 ATS as a home underdog over the L2 seasons.
• HOUSTON is 5-17 ATS vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 27 or more points/game since
1992.
• HOUSTON is 38-21 OVER in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
• HOUSTON is 2-8 ATS in games played on a grass field this season
STATFOX FORECASTER
Houston 23
Jacksonville 16
STATFOX SUPER SITUATIONS
• Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK JETS, JACKSONVILLE) -
pathetic team - outscored by opponents by 10 or more points
per game.
• The situation’s record is 30-6 over the last 5 seasons (83.3%, +23.4 units).
Rating = 4*
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
• (103) LOUISVILLE (SU: 10-1, ATS: 4-7) at (104) CINCINNATI (SU: 9-2, ATS: 6-5)
Game Breakdown: Cincinnati can still play its way into a BCS bowl game with an impressive win
on Thursday night and a lot of help. Since an embarrassing loss at South Florida, they’ve won six
in a row SU, and they’ve also covered in four of five. A year ago at Louisville, the Cardinals
outgained Cincinnati 524-353 but needed overtime to beat the Bearcats, 34-31, in a wild finish.
The Cardinals have won four in a row since their lone loss, to UCF at home, but they’ve failed to
cover in their last three games while averaging only 25.0 PPG.
• Charlie Strong is 10-1 ATS away after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread at
LOUISVILLE.
• Tommy Tuberville is 3-13 ATS after gaining 300 or more passing yards in 3 straight games.
• Tommy Tuberville is 0-7 ATS at home after gaining 325 or more passing yards in 2 straight
games.
STATFOX FORECASTER
Louisville 23
Cincinnati 23Comment
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EAGLE EYE---Randy Rose
Your Pick: New York Knicks (-110)
Your Pick: Los Angeles Clippers +1 (-110)Comment
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Jimmy Boyd:
4* Missouri under 148.5
3* Cincy +3.5 (NCAA)
3* Grizzlies -1.5
3* Texans -3.5Comment
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Goodfella
Thursday Night NBA on TNT Team Total
MIAMI HEAT UNDER 97 POINTSComment
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s & p investors
xxx large.....nfl game of the year......jax +3.5 (buy the hook)Comment
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Steve Budin
CALI-CARTEL
100 DIME
WINNER # 8 IN A ROW
CincinnatiComment
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Andre Gomes | NBA Money Line
Free pick
501 NYK (-105) Bookmaker.com vs 502 BrooklynAnalysis: NBA - 501 New York Knicks @ 502 Brooklyn Nets
This is a game between two ridiculous Eastern teams that had high expectations for this season. For tonight, I believe the Knicks have better conditions to pound the Nets than the opposite. Brooklyn have Brook Lopez back and he is the only consistent player on the team's offense, but he needs some time to get back into his top form after an injury lay-off. However, Brooklyn is forcing a lot to try to feed Lopez down low. This is why the Nets had 22.9% and 24.8% volume of post ups on their last two games. They had efficient numbers on this play, but their offensive flow keeps being awful.
This is actually good news for the Knicks' defense that is a nice post up defensive team by being #6 in the league with 0.76 PPP allowed. Andrea Bargnani isn't a weak individual defender, even though he is terrible on awareness and team help defense. The Knicks struggles on defending transition plays and they are coming from allowing 19 fast break points from the Pelicans, while their team help defense keeps struggling and so, they keep getting pounded by the opposing aggressive guards. However, they will be on a nice spot tonight, as Brooklyn is #29 in the league on fast break points with just 9.3 per game, while Deron Williams is still out and that will be a relief for the Knicks' guards.
On the other side, Brooklyn's perimeter defense has been awful and they are #30 on pick and roll defense and #28 on spot up defense. The Knicks have been inconsistent on outside shooting this season, but the Nets will give them enough conditions for them to a nice outside game tonight. Therefore, I believe the Knicks have the better matchups to win tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501 New York Knicks ML @ -105 / 1.95 on BookmakerComment
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Andre Gomes | NBA Money Line
Free pick
501 NYK (-105) Bookmaker.com vs 502 BrooklynAnalysis: NBA - 501 New York Knicks @ 502 Brooklyn Nets
This is a game between two ridiculous Eastern teams that had high expectations for this season. For tonight, I believe the Knicks have better conditions to pound the Nets than the opposite. Brooklyn have Brook Lopez back and he is the only consistent player on the team's offense, but he needs some time to get back into his top form after an injury lay-off. However, Brooklyn is forcing a lot to try to feed Lopez down low. This is why the Nets had 22.9% and 24.8% volume of post ups on their last two games. They had efficient numbers on this play, but their offensive flow keeps being awful.
This is actually good news for the Knicks' defense that is a nice post up defensive team by being #6 in the league with 0.76 PPP allowed. Andrea Bargnani isn't a weak individual defender, even though he is terrible on awareness and team help defense. The Knicks struggles on defending transition plays and they are coming from allowing 19 fast break points from the Pelicans, while their team help defense keeps struggling and so, they keep getting pounded by the opposing aggressive guards. However, they will be on a nice spot tonight, as Brooklyn is #29 in the league on fast break points with just 9.3 per game, while Deron Williams is still out and that will be a relief for the Knicks' guards.
On the other side, Brooklyn's perimeter defense has been awful and they are #30 on pick and roll defense and #28 on spot up defense. The Knicks have been inconsistent on outside shooting this season, but the Nets will give them enough conditions for them to a nice outside game tonight. Therefore, I believe the Knicks have the better matchups to win tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501 New York Knicks ML @ -105 / 1.95 on BookmakerComment
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R.A.W. FOOTBALL - THURSDAY
2* = (NFL) HOUSTON
2* = (COLF) CINCINNATIComment
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Sportbook guru
10 units cincinnati/louisville over 50.5Comment
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