12-6-13

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Cappers Access

(CFB) N. Illinois -4.5
(NBA) Celtics +4.5
(CBB) Baylor +3.5

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Football Crusher
Northern Illinois -4.5 over Bowling Green
(System Record: 41-4, won last game)
Overall Record: 41-41-1

Hockey Crusher
Colorado Avalanche -132 over Calgary Flames
(System Record: 35-0, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 35-21

Basketball Crusher
Los Angeles Lakers + Sacramento Kings OVER 204.5
(System Record: 16-2, lost last game)
Overall Record: 16-23-1

Soccer Crusher
Argentinos Juniors + Rosario Central UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 488-17, lost last 3 games and a push)
Overall Record: 488-425-72

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks

Arizona State at DePaul

The 7-2 Sun Devils travel to DePaul tonight to face a Blue Demons team that is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games against teams with a winning SU record. Arizona State is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sun Devils favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 6 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 821-822: Arizona State at DePaul (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 66.440; DePaul 57.812 Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Arizona State by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-2 1/2)

Game 823-824: Loyola Marymount at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Loyola Marymount 55.211; Pittsburgh 72.882 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 17 1/2 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 20 Dunkel Pick: Loyola Marymount (+20)

Game 825-826: South Carolina at Oklahoma State (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 53.680; Oklahoma State 78.917 Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 25 Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 17 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-17)

Game 827-828: California at UC-Santa Barbara (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: California 66.141; UC-Santa Barbara 61.955 Dunkel Line: California by 4 Vegas Line: California by 1 Dunkel Pick: California (-1)

Game 829-830: Kentucky vs. Baylor (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 73.127; Baylor 67.503 Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Kentucky by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-3 1/2)

Game 831-832: Manhattan at Marist (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 59.529; Marist 45.163 Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 14 1/2 Vegas Line: Manhattan by 9 Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (-9)

Game 833-834: Siena at Niagara (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Siena 48.520; Niagara 49.545 Dunkel Line: Niagara by 1 Vegas Line: Niagara by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Siena (+5 1/2)

Game 835-836: St. Peter's at Canisius (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 43.359; Canisius 57.603 Dunkel Line: Canisius by 14 Vegas Line: Canisius by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-9 1/2)

Game 837-838: Fairfield at Quinnipiac (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 45.026; Quinnipiac 59.896 Dunkel Line: Quinnipiac by 15 Vegas Line: Quinnipiac by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Quinnipiac (-7 1/2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Denver at Boston

The Celtics host a Denver team tonight that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games in Boston. Boston is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Boston (+5). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 6 Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 801-802: Philadelphia at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 112.903; Charlotte 116.222 Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 3 1/2; 191 Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 6; 196 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+6); Under

Game 803-804: Milwaukee at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 105.499; Washington 122.170 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 16 1/2; 198 Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 10; 191 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-10); Over

Game 805-806: Cleveland at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 108.904; Atlanta 119.858 Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 11; 204 Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 6 1/2; 195 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-6 1/2); Over

Game 807-808: Orlando at New York (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 116.981; New York 115.448 Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 1 1/2; 182 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 809-810: Denver at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Denver 120.989; Boston 120.852 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 197 Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 5; 200 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Boston (+5); Under

Game 811-812: Golden State at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 117.182; Houston 130.739 Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 13 1/2; 214 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 813-814: Oklahoma City at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 125.628; New Orleans 118.777 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 7; 210 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 4; 206 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-4); Over

Game 815-816: Toronto at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 118.167; Phoenix 118.269 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 196 Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 4 1/2; 200 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+4 1/2); Under

Game 817-818: LA Lakers at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 118.658; Sacramento 118.723 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 211 Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 3 1/2; 204 Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+3); Over

Game 819-820: Utah at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 110.621; Portland 126.807 Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 16; 195 Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 11 1/2; 200 Dunkel Pick: Portland (-11 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chase Diamond

9* Baylor +3½

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Paul Leiner

100* Bucks/Wizards Over 190

100* Kentucky -3.5

50* DePaul +2.5

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Maddux

10* Bowling Green +4.5

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JOE GAVAZZI

CFB

5* N-Illinois

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Mark Lawrence
BG +3 (now +4.5)
3-unit play

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12-0 No. Illinois meets Bowling Green for MAC title
by Freddy Wander

MAC Championship Game
Ford Field - Detroit, MI
Kickoff: Friday, 8:00 p.m. ET
Line: Northern Illinois -3, Total: 57.5

Bowling Green will attempt to take down undefeated No. 16 Northern Illinois and become MAC champions on Friday night.

The Falcons bring a four-game winning streak into this contest in which they outscored their opponents by a whopping 176 to 17 margin (39.8 PPG). Their most recent game was a 24-7 victory at Buffalo which brought them to 7-1 in conference play and clinched a berth in this championship game. The Huskies have not lost this year, and secured a flawless regular season with a 33-14 victory over Western Michigan, but did not cover the 35-point spread that was given to them. This game will be played at Ford Field in Detroit, which is closer to NIU, which has a stellar 6-1 ATS in non-home games, while Bowling Green owns a 4-2 SU record (5-1 ATS) as the road team this year. These two programs did not meet during the regular season this year, and last met in 2011 when NIU blew out the host Falcons, 45-14, covering the 6-point spread and holding a 623-334 yardage advantage. Northern Illinois has won the past three meetings in this series (2-1 ATS), which have all finished Under the total. Bowling Green is 10-1 ATS after outgaining its opponent by 175+ yards in the previous game in the past two seasons, but the Huskies are 8-2 ATS in the past three seasons when facing a team with 250+ passing YPG. There are no major injuries for either team in this game.

The Falcons went from second last year to the top spot in the East division of the MAC this season. They used a balanced offense (254.4 passing YPG, 209.6 rushing YPG) in many of their victories. QB Matt Johnson had a great first season as a starter, throwing for 2,802 yards (9.0 YPA) with 18 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Although he has thrown nine touchdowns during Bowling Green’s four-game winning streak, he has tossed one interception in each game as well. Johnson has also contributed 235 rushing yards (2.5 YPC) and five touchdowns on the ground, including a season-high 72 yards (1 TD) in the team’s latest win against Buffalo. The true life of this offense has been HB Travis Greene who is 10th in the nation with 1,422 rushing yards (6.1 YPC) and has 10 touchdowns on the ground. Greene has tallied four straight 110-yard games with five touchdowns in that span. RB William Houston has been the goal-line back for the Falcons, and has scored 11 rushing touchdowns on just 48 total carries using his 262-pound frame. Senior WR Shaun Joplin has gotten the bulk of the receptions (47) and receiving yards (807), and is coming off his best game of the season (149 yards, 1 TD). Freshman WR Ronnie Moore did not play last week, but is expected to play on Friday night. In his last game at Eastern Michigan, Moore caught seven passes for 161 yards and 3 TD. With a slew of injuries to the Falcons receiving corps this year, there are 10 different players with receiving touchdowns in the Bowling Green offense, with Joplin (3 TD) and Moore (6 TD) the only players with more than two scores. The Falcons defense has allowed only 11.0 PPG in conference play, and rank 5th in the nation allowing a meager13.8 PPG to their opponents. Senior DT Ted Ouellet (26 tackles, 4.5 sacks) has 3.5 sacks during his team's four-game winning streak, including two in their most recent game last week.

The Huskies had no trouble getting to the MAC Championship game this season with only one conference game being decided by seven points or less, winning these games by an average score of 43 to 20. Overall this season, they have averaged 42.8 PPG (9th in nation) on 542.3 YPG on offense, including 318.9 YPG on the ground (4th in FBS). The main contributor to those impressive numbers this season has been Heisman hopeful QB Jordan Lynch. He ranks third in the nation with 1,755 rushing yards (7.1 YPC) and has 20 rushing touchdowns. Lynch has run for 724 yards (181 YPG) and 12 total touchdowns over his past four games, including an FBS quarterback record 321 yards (11.9 YPC) and three touchdowns in the win over Western Michigan last week. In that game, he threw for only 39 yards on 5-of-17 completions, but has been solid all season with 2,457 yards through the air (7.5 YPA) with 22 TD and only 5 INT. He has not thrown a pick in five straight games. Amazingly, Lynch is not the only 1,000-yard rusher on his team, as HB Cameron Stingily has rumbled for 1,007 yards (5.6 YPC) on the ground with nine touchdowns. Lynch primarily relies on three players to throw to: WRs Da’Ron Brown (689 rec. yards, 9 TD), Tommylee Lewis (623 rec. yards, 3 TD) and Juwan Brescacin (398 rec. yards, 4 TD). Every other player on the team has less than 10 receptions and less than 100 receiving yards. Senior S Jimmie Ward (77 tackles, 6 INT) leads a NIU defense that has allowed 23.6 PPG to their opponents this season (39th in FBS), and has not given up more than 27 points to any of their conference opponents this year.

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ALLEN EASTMAN

NCAAF - Week 15

4* BOWLING GREEN +4.5

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WINNING POINTS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Depaul* over Arizona State by 1
The Blue Demons have some size to make ASU shiver and shake, but they/he can
always find ways to screw up any edge.
DEPAUL, 75-74.

***BEST BET
Pittsburgh* over Loyola Marymount by 33
LMU leading scorer Anthony Ireland is 5’10”, 170 and has never met a shot he didn’t
like. He’s bricking it from 3-point range so far, as are the rest of the perimeter shooters.
The next two leading scorers are freshmen, and the bench doesn’t bring anyone
with a scoring average greater than 5.6 ppg off it. Pitt was shooting 40% from threepoint
range after six games, they don’t turn it over (10 per game), their guards are six
inches taller and 40 pounds heavier than Ireland, and 6’8” and 6’9” Michael Young
and Talib Zanna can wave their arms around and scare off the LMU forwards.
PITTSBURGH, 81-48.

Oklahoma State* over South Carolina by 25
OSU head coach Travis Ford, who oversees a monster backcourt and a highly ranked
team, to visiting head coach Frank Martin: ‘Hey, you’re that guy with the mean stare
who used to coach K-State in our conference. Thanks for coming back so I can kill
you! You think you can prepare your guys for us off workouts for 12 days while we
were playing four real games in that span?’
OKLAHOMA STATE, 81-56.

California over Cal-Santa Barbara* by 9
What’s the deal with Cal’s Richard Solomon? The Bears’ 6’11”, 235, senior ex-big stiff
turned ace rebounder and interior offensive producer got poked in the eye and has
missed a couple of games. Who’ll guard Gaucho guy Alan Williams, their ‘undersized’
6’7” heart-and-soul who they run their offense through?
CALIFORNIA, 79-70.

Kentucky over Baylor by 3 (at Arlington, TX)
Coach Calipari of Kentucky: “Most teams are going to try to beat us by sagging, playing
zone, using clock and shooting threes. I don’t think they’re going to go on a wideopen
game with us. I don’t think they’re going to stretch out the man-to-man defense,
you can’t. We’ve got to make sure we’re guarding that three better.” He is probably
describing Baylor’s plan beautifully. Baylor’s Brady Heslip and Gary Franklin are
armed and ready to fire away on those threes.
KENTUCKY, 68-65.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WINNING POINTS

PRO BASKETBALL

Philadelphia over *Charlotte by 2
The 76ers are far more respectable than perceived with Evan Turner and Spencer
Hawes among the more underrated players in the East. Charlotte has failed to cover
in 27 of its last 36 Friday games.
PHILADELPHIA 96-94.

*Washington over Milwaukee by 6
The Bucks have revenge for a home loss suffered to the Wizards. Milwaukee is getting
healthier, but lack of talent and and adopting to a new coach makes the Bucks a difficult
team to back. The Wizards are missing leading scorer Bradley Beal, yet they beat
Milwaukee on the road without him.
WASHINGTON 101-94.

*Atlanta over Cleveland by 10
It seems Mike Brown can't coach unless he has LeBron James. The Cavaliers have one
of the worst spread marks in the league at 4-13 through their first 17 games and
Brown hasn't helped with his random rotations and nonexistent offensive playbook.
ATLANTA 103-93.

***BEST BET
Orlando over *New York by 6
The Magic have been idle since Tuesday and draw the Knicks playing for the second
straight night. New York only was averaging 87.5 points during regulation in its last
five games going into last Friday. The Magic were 6-1 when holding foes to under 95
points through their first 15 games.
ORLANDO 99-93.

Denver over *Boston by 6
Denver is deep into its six-game road trip playing away for the fourth time in six days.
Despite lacking marquee talent, the Nuggets have started to assert themselves covering
four of their last five away matchups before beginning this trip, including straightup
victories at Dallas and Minnesota.
DENVER 105-99.

***BEST BET
Golden State over *Houston by 4
The Warriors are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 road games entering this month.
Harrison Barnes has been a capable replacement for Andre Iguodala and Stephen
Curry and Klay Thompson continue to provide big backcourt numbers. The Warriors
have improved defensively while Houston was surrendering the fourth-most points
per game in the league.
GOLDEN STATE 107-103.

Oklahoma City over *New Orleans by 7
The Thunder are getting back to their dominant ways, covering five of six coming out
of Thanksgiving while stepping up their defense. The Pelicans ranked among the bottom
three teams in defensive field goal percentage so Kevin Durant should be in line
for another fine performance.
OKLAHOMA CITY 101-94.

*Phoenix over Toronto by 4
Toronto entered its current West Coast trip having covered five of its first seven road
contests. The Suns, though, could have the most underrated backcourt in the league
with Eric Bledsoe and Goran Dragic.
PHOENIX 100-96.

Los Angeles Lakers over *Sacramento by 2
Sacramento should have motivation for a 100-86 loss at the Lakers on Nov. 24. The
key for the Kings is improving at the forward spots, which they are trying to do acquiring
Derrick Williams and moving Jason Thompson and rookie Ben McLemore into
the starting lineup.
LA LAKERS 97-95.

*Portland over Utah by 13
First-round pick Try Burke is starting to play now for Utah, but the Jazz remain the
worst team in the NBA. The Jazz are 1-9 SU, 4-5-1 ATS on the road.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB S CAROLINA at OKLAHOMA ST
Play On - Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (S CAROLINA) good rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game, on Friday nights
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
5-3 this year. ( 62.5% 1.7 units )

CBB SIENA at NIAGARA
Play On - Any team (NIAGARA) an excellent offensive team (>=76 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-76 PPG), after a loss by 15 points or more
50-19 since 1997. ( 72.5% 26.6 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% -1.0 units )

CBB LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT at PITTSBURGH
Play On - Favorites of 11 or more points vs. the first half line (PITTSBURGH) after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers
62-29 since 1997. ( 68.1% 30.1 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% 0.8 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PERRY MANGFOLD

SOCCER
2:30 pm Mainz 05 (GER-1) at Nurnberg (GER-1)
UNDER 2.5 -109
1 units

2:00 pm NEC Nijmegen (HOL-E) at Utrecht (HOL-E)
OVER 3 -114
1 units

1:00 pm Elazigspor (TUR-S) at Galatasaray (TUR-S)
OVER 3 -132
1 units