12-14-13

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Alex B. Smith Sports

2* on Heat/Cavs Over 198

1* on Penn St -5.5
1* on Georgia St -7.5
1* on UMass -23
1* on NC State -12
1* on Oregon -6.5
1* on BYU -2

Blackhawks/Maple Leafs Under 6 -120
Penguins -110
Canadiens -1.5 +205

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 1138-871 (57%) over the last 5 1/2 years College FB 62-38 this yr,NFL 41-31:

Free winner Sat: Wichita St -6

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Saturday

Air Force -6.5

Bobcats -2

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Double Dragon Sports

12 Units Army/Navy Under 54

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NCAA Basketball Picks

New Mexico vs. Kansas

The 6-3 Jayhawks head to Kansas City looking to bounce back from back-to-back losses to Colorado and Florida as they play a New Mexico team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against a team with a winning SU record. Kansas is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Jayhawks favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 14 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 517-518: VCU at Northern Iowa (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: VCU 65.409; Northern Iowa 63.844 Dunkel Line: VCU by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: VCU by 6 Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (+6)

Game 519-520: Youngstown State at Pittsburgh (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 48.714; Pittsburgh 75.573 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 27 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 20 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-20)

Game 521-522: Arizona at Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 72.127; Michigan 70.725 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: Michigan by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+1 1/2)

Game 523-524: Western Kentucky at Louisville (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 51.252; Louisville 82.080 Dunkel Line: Louisville by 31 Vegas Line: Louisville by 22 Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-22)

Game 525-526: Loyola Marymount at Valparaiso (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Loyola Marymount 53.506; Valparaiso 59.549 Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 6 Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Loyola Marymount (+10 1/2)

Game 527-528: Central Michigan at Dayton (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 48.214; Dayton 71.783 Dunkel Line: Dayton by 23 1/2 Vegas Line: Dayton by 18 Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-18)

Game 529-530: Princeton at Penn State (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 59.096; Penn State 62.131 Dunkel Line: Penn State by 3 Vegas Line: Penn State by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Princeton (+5 1/2)

Game 531-532: Old Dominion at Georgia State (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 51.968; Georgia State 61.877 Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 10 Vegas Line: Georgia State by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (-7 1/2)

Game 533-534: Florida Atlantic at Maryland (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 51.407; Maryland 66.401 Dunkel Line: Maryland by 15 Vegas Line: Maryland by 18 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+18 1/2)

Game 535-536: Tennessee at Wichita State (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 61.168; Wichita State 76.644 Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 15 1/2 Vegas Line: Wichita State by 6 Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-6)

Game 537-538: Louisiana Tech at Oklahoma State (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 63.399; Oklahoma State 73.406 Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 10 Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 13 Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+13)

Game 539-540: Northern Illinois at Massachusetts (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 41.825; Massachusetts 71.994 Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 30 Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 22 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (-22 1/2)

Game 541-542: Notre Dame vs. Indiana (3:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 63.395; Indiana 73.498 Dunkel Line: Indiana by 10 Vegas Line: Indiana by 4 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-4)

Game 543-544: Arkansas State at Nebraska (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 53.810; Nebraska 59.687 Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 6 Vegas Line: Nebraska by 9 Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (+9)

Game 545-546: Michigan State at Oakland (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 72.648; Oakland 52.116 Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 20 1/2 Vegas Line: Michigan State by 16 Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-16)

Game 547-548: UC-Riverside at Air Force (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UC-Riverside 45.907; Air Force 48.856 Dunkel Line: Air Force by 3 Vegas Line: Air Force by 7 Dunkel Pick: UC-Riverside (+7)

Game 549-550: Middle Tennessee State at Mississippi (5:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 59.790; Mississippi 71.387 Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 11 1/2 Vegas Line: Mississippi by 9 Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-9)

Game 551-552: Tulsa at Oklahoma (5:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 55.681; Oklahoma 64.886 Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 9 Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 12 Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+12)

Game 553-554: Kentucky at North Carolina (5:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 69.404; North Carolina 70.305 Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 1 Vegas Line: North Carolina by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+3 1/2)

Game 555-556: Fresno State at California (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 53.697; California 69.992 Dunkel Line: California by 16 1/2 Vegas Line: California by 14 Dunkel Pick: California (-14)

Game 557-558: St. Mary's vs. Boise State (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's 64.044; Boise State 69.043 Dunkel Line: Boise State by 5 Vegas Line: Boise State by 3 Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-3)

Game 559-560: Purdue vs. Butler (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 62.246; Butler 63.954 Dunkel Line: Butler by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: Butler by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+3 1/2)

Game 561-562: Detroit at NC State (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 56.797; NC State 65.594 Dunkel Line: NC State by 9 Vegas Line: NC State by 12 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+12 1/2)

Game 563-564: New Mexico vs. Kansas (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 64.721; Kansas 73.087 Dunkel Line: Kansas by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Kansas by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-5 1/2)

Game 565-566: West Virginia vs. Marshall (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 65.858; Marshall 51.212 Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 14 1/2 Vegas Line: West Virginia by 12 Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-12)

Game 567-568: Houston at UL-Lafayette (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston 55.455; UL-Lafayette 57.119 Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+9 1/2)

Game 569-570: Xavier vs. Cincinnati (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 61.090; Cincinnati 69.295 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 8 Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-4 1/2)

Game 571-572: UL-Monroe at LSU (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 48.287; LSU 62.052 Dunkel Line: LSU by 14 Vegas Line: LSU by 16 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+16)

Game 573-574: Texas State at Texas (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 51.210; Texas 61.827 Dunkel Line: Texas by 11 1/2 Vegas Line: Texas by 14 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas State (+14 1/2)

Game 575-576: UC Davis at Stanford (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 41.315; Stanford 70.109 Dunkel Line: Stanford by 29 Vegas Line: Stanford by 22 Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-22)

Game 577-578: Illinois at Oregon (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 63.787; Oregon 75.412 Dunkel Line: Oregon by 11 1/2 Vegas Line: Oregon by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-6 1/2)

Game 579-580: South Alabama vs. Gonzaga (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 55.558; Gonzaga 70.109 Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 14 1/2 Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 16 1/2 Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+16 1/2)

Game 581-582: BYU at Utah (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: BYU 70.025; Utah 66.046 Dunkel Line: BYU by 4 Vegas Line: BYU by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: BYU (-1 1/2)

Game 583-584: St. Peter's at Seton Hall (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 45.082; Seton Hall 53.601 Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 11 Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+11)

Game 585-586: Eastern Kentucky at Wisconsin (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 52.786; Wisconsin 76.001 Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 23 Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 15 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-15 1/2)

Game 587-588: St. Bonaventure at Iona (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 58.508; Iona 62.256 Dunkel Line: Iona by 4 Vegas Line: Iona by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (+8 1/2)

Game 589-590: IUPUI at Marquette (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 40.203; Marquette 69.958 Dunkel Line: Marquette by 30 Vegas Line: Marquette by 18 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Marquette (-18 1/2)

Game 591-592: NC Greensboro at Rutgers (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NC Greensboro 46.925; Rutgers 52.412 Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Rutgers by 14 Dunkel Pick: NC Greensboro (+14)

Game 593-594: Jacksonville State at Dartmouth (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 42.628: Dartmouth 48.775 Dunkel Line: Dartmouth by 6 Vegas Line: Dartmouth by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville State (+7 1/2)

Game 595-596: Idaho State at Washington (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 42.245; Washington 59.677 Dunkel Line: Washington by 17 1/2 Vegas Line: Washington by 12 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-12 1/2)

Game 597-598: Belmont at South Dakota State (5:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 63.564; South Dakota State 53.904 Dunkel Line: Belmont by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Belmont by 4 Dunkel Pick: Belmont (-4)

Game 599-600: NE-Omaha at Nevada (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NE-Omaha 51.663; Nevada 53.983 Dunkel Line: Nevada by 2 1/2 Vegas Line: Nevada by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NE-Omaha (+5 1/2)

Game 601-602: SIU-Edwardsville at IPFW (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: SIU-Edwardsville 43.215; IPFW 54.805 Dunkel Line: IPFW by 11 1/2 Vegas Line: IPFW by 14 Dunkel Pick: SIU-Edwardsville (+14)

Game 603-604: Furman at Clemson (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Furman 37.464; Clemson 69.849 Dunkel Line: Clemson by 32 1/2 Vegas Line: Clemson by 20 Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-20)

Game 605-606: UNLV at Southern Utah (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 57.823; Southern Utah 44.709 Dunkel Line: UNLV by 13 Vegas Line: UNLV by 16 Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah (+16)

Game 607-608: Wofford at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 44.816; St. Louis 72.974 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 28 Vegas Line: St. Louis by 17 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-17 1/2)

Game 609-610: Illinois-Chicago at SE Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 50.079; SE Missouri State 55.954 Dunkel Line: SE Missouri State by 6 Vegas Line: SE Missouri State by 11 Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+11)

Game 611-612: WI-Green Bay at South Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 58.106; South Dakota 50.740 Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 7 1/2 Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 5 Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (-5)

Game 613-614: North Dakota State at Ohio State (8:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 60.075; Ohio State 72.225 Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 12 Vegas Line: Ohio State by 14 Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (+14)

Game 621-622: New Mexico State at Drake (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 60.651; Drake 65.492 Dunkel Line: Drake by 5 Vegas Line: Drake by 1 Dunkel Pick: Drake (-1)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer Saturday Annihilator

LA-LAFayette

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Spartan

Wichita State -6

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Today's NBA Picks

San Antonio at Utah

The 6-19 Jazz host a San Antonio team that is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games against teams with a losing SU record. San Antonio is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-7). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 14 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: LA Lakers at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 117.573; Charlotte 117.840 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 202 Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 3; 197 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+3); Over

Game 503-504: LA Clippers at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 122.225; Washington 115.712 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 6 1/2; 188 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 4; 193 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-4); Under

Game 505-506: Cleveland at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 117.029; Miami 121.886 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 5; 204 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 13; 197 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+13); Over

Game 507-508: Atlanta at New York (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 113.274; New York 123.161 Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 10; 187 Vegas Line & Total: New York by 1; 193 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New York (-1); Under

Game 509-510: Portland at Philadelphia (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Portland 125.307; Philadelphia 111.818 Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 13 1/2; 185 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 511-512: Toronto at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 116.751; Chicago 113.220 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 3 1/2; 198 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 513-514: Milwaukee at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 110.680; Dallas 120.808 Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 10; 204 Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 12 1/2; 195 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+12 1/2); Over

Game 515-516: San Antonio at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.527; Utah 116.486 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 10; 191 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 7; 196 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-7); Under

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Ecks and Bacon

E&B had Np on Friday.

For Saturday E&B are going across the pond to the English Premier League and like Hull City -$180/Stoke City for $100 and $100 on the draw +$212.

Ecks and Bacon is 4-3 +$285 for the week and 26-33-2 -$1093 so far in week seven.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

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Top Sports Tips

CFB
Army+13
The Army versus Navy game might not be as big of an event as it once was nationwide, but that doesn't matter because this game is about much more than just football. Pride is the first thing that comes to mind when speaking of this matchup. They should cover.

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JOE GAVAZZI

Review of (8) Coll Hoop games for Saturday

CBKB
Arizona at Michigan Noon ET CBS
This is a tough 10 am body time start for the No. 1 Wildcats. They do seem to have it all with an interior defender in Tarczewski, solid wings in Ashley and Gordon, and a solid back court in PG McConnell and Duke Johnson. Along with the coaching of Miller, it will be no surprise if they remain in the Top 5 all season long. They avoided the pressure of No. 1 with a midweek defensive gem against tricky New Mexico St. The only true road test has been a 69-60 win at San Diego St. Along the way was the marquee victory against Duke. In short, no knock on this team who under Miller is 32-18 ATS if they allowed 60 or less points in their previous game and who in his coaching career is 75-46 ATS in non con play. Championship runner up, Michigan, is struggling to replace the departed guard tandem of Burke and Hardaway. Frosh PG Walton is a winner, Stauskus has become a far more complete player, and McGary is a future NBAer. A trio of losses has already occurred at Iowa St., at Duke, and vs. underrated Charlotte. Four cupcakes have been devoured atChrisler, where Michigan is 36-2 SU L2+Y. Though Miller is familiar with the original Pittsburgh based concept of the amoeba zones offered by HC Belein, the concept of unlocking that puzzle is not so easy to translate to the young Wildcats.

Tennessee vs. Wichita St. 2:00 ET, In Trust Arena
Love what Cunzo Martin is doing at Tennessee. His hard-nosed, Big 10 concepts and inside-out offense are working well for triplets, Stokes on the inside and McRae and Barton on the outside. Since a stunning loss to UTEP, the Vols have ripped off a 3-0 SU ATS run covering by 21 points and allowing just 58 PPG. But it is rare that we back down from 7th year Wichita HC Marshall whose Final Four Wheatshockers are off to a 9-0 SU start, despite the loss of last year’s key pieces, interior force Hall and PG Armstead. With a solid defense allowing just 60/39/28 and the brilliant late game coaching of Marshall, the Shockers have opened 9-0 SU, 6-1 ATS including wins vs. the diverse styles of St. Louis and BYU. With the motivation of 60-69 revenge from last year and the benefit of no home impost from the In Trust Arena site, we confidently line up with Wichita St. to avenge last year’s defeat.

Notre Dame vs. Indiana 3:15 ET ESPN, Indianapolis, IN
All is not right in South Bend. Without the benefit of a physical defense,it will be tough for HC Brey to implement his “slow burn.” After viewing both Notre Dame midweek games at the Joyce Center, it is painfully obvious that they lack defensive quickness and front court scoring to complement a quality trio of guards in Atkins, Grant, and Connaughton. They have now failed in 3 consecutive home contests, beating Delaware by only 5, Bryant by only 11, and losing outright to N. Dak St. by 4. In so doing, they lost to the number by 21 points. Not good. Now, they must face an Indiana team who has fared surprisingly well in the early going, despite the loss of their own interior force Zeller and Olidapo. Crean has simply plugged-in experienced pieces and added an ever improving Frosh impact player in Vonleh. The result has been 7-2 SU, with losses by only 10 at Syracuse and 1 vs. UConn. The Irish are nowhere as good as either of those teams which will show today.

Min Tennessee St. at Mississippi 5:00 ET
The decline of the Blue Raiders was expected. Just 2 RS from a 28-6 NCAA team of last year has already lost at home by 12 to Belmont and by 20 on the road at Florida. Non con success has rarely been a part of the resume of 12th year HC Kermit Davis. Now, they visit Oxford on the wrong night. The Rebels are far more than Marshall Henderson dropping 3 point bombs. Jarvis Summers is a solid complement on the perimeter. Cox and Jones are dominant forces on the interior. But tonight, they host Mid Tenn following consecutive losses at Kansas St. by 3 and on this court last week to Oregon in a wild 115-105 OT loss. Combined with 65-62 revenge, for a loss at the Blue Raiders Murphy Center last year, it sets up an ideal situation. Rebs are 31-5 SU 2+Y on this court, while under 8thyear HC Kennedy, Ole Miss is 22-14 ATS home vs. non con. Lay it!

Kentucky at North Carolina 5:15 ET ESPN
Kentucky has already lost to Michigan St. by 4 and Baylor by 5 on neutral courts in their only 2 step-up games. This will be a yearlong maturation project under the tutelage of Calipari with another vaunted recruiting class. Two years ago, it evolved into a National Title. Last year, it never worked with the Wildcats losing to Robert Morris in the NIT. What we do know is that Calipari is a solid 37-23 ATS as underdog. In a similar way, North Carolina without key perimeter players Hairston and McDonald has been bad enough to lose on this court to Belmont by 3 and at UAB by 4. Yet, they have also recorded marquee wins vs. defending champion Louisville and then No. 1 Michigan St. Peripatetic! What we do know is that the Tar Heels are 49-4 SU on this court, 43-21 ATS to -9 at home, and 44-25 ATS hosting non-conference opponents. With more proven success with quality teams and the strength of their home court, the Tar Heels appear to be the value SIDE.

Purdue vs. Butler 6:00 ET BIG10, Bankers Life Fieldhouse
Under 9th year HC Painter, I thought the Boilers would be on a mission after winning 104 games the previous 4 seasons. Purdue dropped to 16 -18 last year, losing in the CBI QF. But the Boilers have disappointed a bit with a record of 3-5 ATS out of the gate. That includes losing by 10 to Oklahoma St. (trailed by 24), by 15 to Washington St., and defeating Siena and E. Michigan by only 5 points apiece. The rough and tumble ways of Big 10 Purdue will not intimidate a Butler team who has already been hardened by similar opponents as Purdue. In fact, in the same Holiday event, Butler beat Washington St. by 7, lost by only 2 to Oklahoma St. and 2 to LSU, covering all 3 of those games. Under 1st year HC Miller, the “Butler Way” continues. The Bulldogs are now 30-9 ATS on neutral floors, 3-0 TY and 41-13 ATS as dog to -1 vs. non con (2-0 TY). Based on comparative scores and history, this could be an easier than expected win for the Bulldogs.

West Virginia vs. Marshall 7:30 ET, Charleston, WV
In his 4th year at the helm, Marshall HC Herrion has much to prove. His 1sttwo seasons netted 43 victories making the 3 year run of the Herd total 67 wins. He stepped back to a 13-19 SU season of last and 1st round CUSA CCT loss. Though the Herd is 3-1 ATS out of the gate, a second division finish with just 1 RS is expected for Marshall. In preseason play, whereHerrion is 10-21 ATS, non con has never been a priority. Far prefer West Virginia, who even in last year’s down season won this matchup 69-59 as 5 point chalk. After needing plenty of meds to get through last year’s 13-19 SU debacle, and worst offensive team of his illustrious career, Huggins’ Mountaineers are on their own mission. Already, there has been a 2nd half meltdown at VA Tech and losses to quality teams Wisconsin by 7, Missouri by 9, and Gonzaga by 4. But all 5 victories, many against teams of a similar ilk to Marshall, have been by 13 or more points. It is because the Mountaineers offense has perked up considerably with averages of 83/47/43 and only 9 TOs per game. No doubt, the consumption of Maalox is far reduced for Huggins. He will also sleep easily tonight, after he puts away this in-state foe by double digits.

BYU at Utah 10:00 ET
If BYU perimeter players Haws and Carlino go off, the visiting Cougars will have their way in this. But in turning to a 94 ft. game, BYU HC Rose has exposed some major deficiencies. In short, the Cougars are one of the worst perimeter defensive teams allowing 78 PPG. Last weekend, we used a Top Play against BYU as UMass PG Williams consistently broke them down. There have also been losses to the divergent offensive styles of Wichita and Iowa St. Vastly underrated Utah is capable of the same. Clearly, the Utes were looking forward to this 61-58 revenge meet in their midweek matchup against Idaho St., when they trailed by double digits before recording a 74-66 win. Only a 69-67 loss at Boise, but easy cover, mars an otherwise perfect log which sees them stand 8-1 SU, 4-1 ATS. A quick look at the stats tells the story. The offensive numbers show the Utes averaging 86/55/36 with less than 10 TOs per game. On defense, they allowed just 61/39/25. A +9 rebound margin concludes the story. Although it is against a weaker slate than what BYU has faced, those numbers are impressive. Combine it with rivalry revenge from last season, a 37-18 ATS home mark, and 17-6 ATS non con mark under 3rdyear HC Krystowiak, and you got yourself a winner.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michigan tries to take down No. 1 Arizona Saturday
by Mark Kern

Crisler Center - Ann Arbor, MI
Tip-off: Saturday 12:00 p.m.ET
Line: Michigan -2

No. 1 Arizona will face a difficult task on Saturday as it travels to Ann Arbor to take on Michigan at the Crisler Center.

The Wildcats are 10-0, but have shown the ability to win in dominating fashion, but also in a grind-it-out style as well. Three times this season, Arizona (7-3 ATS) has won by six points or less. Its most impressive victory was on Nov. 29, when it defeated Duke in the Champions Classic. While other freshmen across the country have gotten more recognition, Arizona PF Aaron Gordon (11.9 PPG, 8.5 RPG, 1.3 BPG) is as explosive as any athlete in the country. While he has struggled from the free throw line (45 percent), his ability to run the floor as a power forward makes the Arizona offense very difficult to stop. He will be matched up with PF Glenn Robinson III (12.2 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 1.9 APG) of Michigan, who also is able to run the floor well for a big man. While the Wolverines (3-4 ATS) have three losses on the season, the teams they have lost to have a combined record of 21-4. In those defeats, the Wolverines have been able to score only 66.7 PPG. Without Trey Burke running the point this season, the offense has struggled to play like it did last season. A lack of offensive efficiency could be a huge problem on Saturday, as Arizona has not given up more than 66 points in any of its 10 games this season.

The Wildcats are one of the best teams in the country when they get out and run, in large part due to the play of PF Aaron Gordon and SG Nick Johnson (15.7 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 2.4 APG). Johnson has improved from last season, allowing the game to come to him more this season, rather than trying to make all of the big plays. Very few guards possess the athletic ability that he has, as his father is “Jumpin” Joey Johnson. With Gordon and Johnson running the break, all that is needed is a point guard that can distribute the ball. While Mark Lyons was terrific last season for the Wildcats, he was not a natural point guard. However, this season Arizona has a true pass-first leader in PG T.J. McConnell (7.4 PPG, 6.7 APG, 3.9 RPG). McConnell does a great job of recognizing when the Wildcats should push the pace, or when they should slow it down and set up and offense. His assist-to-turnover ratio is an astounding 3.35. With SF Brandon Ashley (12.3 PPG, 6.6 RPG, 58% threes) having the ability to score from anywhere on the court, he is the perfect complement to the trio of Gordon, Johnson and McConnell. While Arizona is not the highest scoring team in the country (77.4 PPG, 93rd in nation), it does a great job of turning defense into offense. With the Wildcats' rebounding dominance (41.5 RPG, 23rd in nation), they are able to get the ball out and run, where they are at their best. For Michigan, they must turn this into a half-court game, or it could get out of control early.

PG Derrick Walton Jr. (9.2 PPG, 3.0 APG, 2.7 RPG) has been asked to step in as a freshman and fill the void left by Burke’s departure, and while showing potential, is still a work in progress. However, the biggest problem for the Wolverines has been an inability to rebound the ball, ranking 104th in the country with 38.0 RPG. With C Mitch McGary (9.7 PPG, 8.9 RPG, 2.1 SPG) and Robinson as the starting frontcourt, the rebounding should be much better. One positive for the Wolverines has been the improvements of SG Nik Stauskas (18.9 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 3.3 APG), who has emerged as one of the elite scorers in all of the country, hitting 50 percent of his three-point attempts (24-of-48). Also shooting the ball well has been SG Caris LeVert (13.9 PPG, 4.2 RPG, 2.4 APG) giving the Wolverines one of the best scoring perimeters in the Big Ten. Head Coach John Beilein has built the Wolverines program up, and while they have struggled early, there is more than enough talent to pull off the upset over Arizona.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

CBB MIDDLE TENN ST at OLE MISS
Play On - Any team (MIDDLE TENN ST) very good shooting team - shooting >=48% on the season, after a game - shooting 60% or higher, allowing 40% or lower
78-38 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.2% 36.2 units )
8-6 this year. ( 57.1% 1.4 units )

CBB VA COMMONWEALTH at N IOWA
Play On - Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (VA COMMONWEALTH) poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=45% on the season
124-29 over the last 5 seasons. ( 81.0% 56.2 units )
8-2 this year. ( 80.0% 3.7 units )

CBB ST MARYS-CA at BOISE ST
Play On - Home teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (BOISE ST) in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after a loss by 15 points or more
67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% 32.9 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

NBA LA CLIPPERS at WASHINGTON
Play Against - Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog
91-47 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.9% 39.3 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% 1.8 units

NBA MILWAUKEE at DALLAS
Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss
208-47 over the last 5 seasons. ( 81.6% 80.2 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units

NBA TORONTO at CHICAGO
Play On - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (TORONTO) revenging a loss where team scored less than 85 points against opponent off a win against a division rival
34-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.6% 21.9 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHASE DIAMOND

9* NBA SOLID WOOD
Dallas-12½