12-17-13

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NCAAB

Tuesday, December 17

Pitt-Cincinnati were Big East rivals until this year, now both sides are in different leagues; Pitt is 5-3 in last eight series games. Bearcats scored an average of 50.5 ppg in losing last two games, at New Mexico/vs Xavier. Panthers are 8-0 so far playing #318 schedule- they're 2-0 vs top 100 teams, beating Stanford by 21, Penn State by 9. ACC favorites are 13-4 vs spread playing on a neutral floor.

Wake Forest hasn't played in 10 days since OT win over Richmond in last game, when they were down 12 with 7:31 left; Deacons are 8-2 vs #323 schedule, shooting just 64.5% from foul line. St Bonaventure split two top 100 games, beating Iona 102-89 Saturday, losing to Louisiana Tech by 4 on neutral floor, but they also had bad 72-70 loss at Siena.

7-2 Charlotte beat Michigan/Kansas State on a neutral floor; their two losses were by a point and in OT; 49ers are turning ball over 19.7% of time. Florida State was in same Puerto Rico tourney- they lost by hoop in OT to Michigan; Seminoles turn ball over 23.2% of time, very bad. FSU beat Charlotte 79-76 last season. First game in nine days for both.

First game in 12 days for Providence team that lost its PG for season, bad news for thin team; PC's bench plays 7th-least minutes in country. Friars shoot just 43.1% inside arc. Yale is 2-3 on road; they lost by 18 at UConn, in only top 100 game this year. Ivy League road underdogs are 9-8 vs spread. Big East home favorites are 18-12. This is first game in ten days for Yale.

5-4 Washington is currently lowest-rated team in Pac-12; they lost by 7 at San Diego State in only true road game- they lost by 18-11 to Indiana, BC on neutral floor last month. Tulane lost lot of transfers after move to Big East fell through; Green Wave is 5-5 while playing schedule ranked in bottom 15; opponents are shooting 40% from arc, 54.9% inside arc.

10-0 Wichita State has true road wins by 23 at Tulsa, 5 at Saint Louis; Shockers had revenge win over Tennessee Saturday, face Alabama squad here that is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 9-10-2 points, with loss to Drexel in triple OT. Tide turns ball over 19.3% of time; best team they beat so far is #121 Texas Tech. MVC road favorites are 7-1 vs spread.

7-2 Florida is playing its 4th straight top 50 opponent; Gators won by 6 over Kansas last game, are forcing turnovers 23.6% of time (#12), are #7 in defensive efficiency. Memphis won tourney in Orlando, avenging loss to Oklahoma State in finals- 101-80 loss in Stillwater was only true road game for Tigers. Memphis is forcing turnovers 23.3% of time. SEC home favorites are 22-16 vs spread.

Cal Poly made 20-28 inside arc, 2-18 outside arc in 63-60 Bracket Buster win over LMU last year, game Lions led by 7 with 17:47 left. Mustangs are just 4-5 this year, 0-3 in true road games, with loss at #153 Fresno State the most alarming one. First home game in 30 days for LMU team that lost by 7 at Valpo Saturday- they've lost four of last six games.

Cal-Irvine already split pair of road games at Pac-12 squads, winning by 14 at Washington, losing by 17 at Cal; Anteaters are 1-4 vs teams in top 200, but only one of losses was by more than six points. 9-0 Oregon is getting LY's PG Artis back here after suspension; Ducks are making 42% from arc, 58.6% inside arc, now with Artis they're much deeper team.

7-2 Manhattan is ranked #90, tops in MAAC; Jaspers are already 6-0 on road, winning by 5 at UNCW Sunday- they do turn ball over 20% of time, which isn't good. South Carolina survived 19 turnovers in a 63-57 win over Manhattan in Brooklyn LY; this is only second game in last 24 days for Gamecocks, who lost by 27 at Oklahoma State eleven days ago.

Murray State is hurting with PG Jackson (knee) out for year; Racers are 2-5 vs D-I teams, winning last two games by total of six points after 0-5 start vs D-I clubs. Southern Illinois is 1-7 vs D-I teams, losing last three games by 3-4-9 points; Salukis are making 30.6% from arc. OVC home favorites are 3-6 against spread; MVC road dogs are 13-11 vs spread.

Denver had great week last week, beating Colorado State/Wyoming, two teams they usually lose to; three of Pioneers' last four games either went to OT or were decided by three points. Belmont lost two of last three games, losing by 13 at South Dakota State Saturday; Bruins' losses are by 8-13-13 points. Belmont had two days to prep for Princeton offense.

New Mexico had 29-18 edge on foul line, held Aggies to 4-19 from arc in fairly easy 79-70 (up 10 at half) win in Las Cruces 13 days ago. Lobos got roughed up by Kansas over weekend and has trip to Vegas coming up this weekend; they're 3-2 vs top 100 teams, winning by 3-9-9, with a double OT win over UAB. Aggies are overscheduled- they've lost four of last five games, winning last game in OT at Drake.

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Belmont at Denver (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Denver -5.5 (-105) at 5Dimes

The Belmont Bruins have become a familiar name in CBB, as they had a pair of excellent teams that played in the NCAA Tournament the past two years. This team lost their top three players from a year ago, but their upset win vs. North Carolina keeps them in the spotlight. Denver has always been advantaged at home where they play at high altitude. They have used the altitude for their success, and with Belmont lacking depth it will again be a factor in this contest. Denver has translated the altitude and good play on their home court to go 9-1 ATS in their last 10 here vs. a winning team. The Bruins have managed just a 6-14 ATS mark following an ATS loss. Take Denver in this one.

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Jim Feist:

• Oregon -14****
• Pelicans/Warriors ↑207.5****
• Tulane +7.5***
• Thunder -2***

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Youngstown Connection
Date: Tuesday December 17, 2013
$20.00 NCAAB Play #2
#527 Wichita St -2 9PM Eastern
Line from 5 Dimes
Line as of 355PM Eastern 12/17/13

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Youngstown Connection
Date: Tuesday December 17, 2013
$20.00 NCAAB Play #1
#512 Cincinnati +6 7PM Eastern
Line from 5 Dimes
Line as of 355PM Eastern 12/17/13

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Youngstown Connection
Date: Tuesday December 17, 2013
$20.00 NCAAB Play #3
#536 Oregon -13 1030PM Eastern
Line from 5 Dimes
Line as of 355PM Eastern 12/17/13

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Jimmy Boyd
3* Charlotte +10
3* New Mexico St +8.5

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River City Sharps

While Green Bay has been a really good home play the past several years, we need to examine this one a little closer at Tennessee Tech comes to town. The Phoenix have started off strong again this season and have a nice win over Virginia to their credit, while Tech has not played as challenging a schedule. Even with that said, these two teams played a tight game a year ago as Tech defeated Green Bay 74-68 as a 2.5 point dog. Tech has actually been a better shooting team this season than Green Bay, although the Phoenix are shooting 48.2% from the field at home. The glass looks to be an even matchup as does the FT shooting, where neither team does a great job and both are under 65% for the year. We think the Phoenix will take care of business tonight, but Tech is an athletic team and their quickness may be a problem for Green Bay. With that said, our numbers all indicate a single-digit victory for Green Bay, so we are backing the doggie tonight in chilly Wisconsin. The Sharps say...

3 UNITS - TENNESSEE TECH (+14.5)

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Goodfella

Tuesday Night NBA Team Total


OKC THUNDER OVER 104.5 POINTS

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Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball


3-Unit Play. #519. Take Texas Arlington +17 over Oklahoma (Tuesday @ 8pm est).

My small concern is that Texas Arlington played this Oklahoma team so closely the last time they played them the previous year that Oklahoma will want to rout them at home. But, Oklahoma is a very young team and Arlington is stacked with veteran leadership who will get up for this game. Note, that Texas-Arlington will break the top 200 of most power rankings with their next win as this is the same team that lost 69-72 at Texas just a few games ago, lost to Eastern Michigan, Robert Morris and Cleveland State all by 5-10 points who are all sound teams. They have even faced Kentucky earlier this year and sure were blown out but that competition should allow them to play anyone in the country and not be intimidated. This was a 19 win team last year and they return a wealth of talent in Dowell, McClanahan, Edwards, Dillard and Outler. This is a good public fade on the card on a Tuesday night card and in a game that Arlington could be highly competitive, getting this many points is significant. Oklahoma's biggest blowout of the year was against Corpus Christie and note that this team won that game by 22 points and they are outside the top 300 and this is a Arlington team that is a top 200 team in my book so the point differential should be about 13. So, to get 17 points, let's roll with Arlington here as they are 5-2 ATS when facing teams with a winning percentage of greater than 60%.

Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball


3-Unit Play. #508. Take Under 208 Oklahoma City vs. Denver (Tuesday @ 9:05pm est).

We'll roll with the Under here between these two teams as a great public fade with roughly 75% or more on the over. These two teams faced each other once before and it was a tight contest as the total went up to 228. Have you noticed though that this total is set about 20 points higher than the first contest? There is good reason for that as Denver has revenge but in their token of revenge, it's a defensive minded revenge. This is a much better defensive team than in years' past and I am sure defense will be a lot more on this team's mind this time around after giving up 118 points to this OKC team earlier this year. Combine the fact this is a good public fade, OKC now having a great effort against Orlando and they too will likely step it up defensively and these two teams more familiar with each other, look for this game to likely go under the posted total. Note that Denver has gone under 6 of the last 7 games and this game is a bit prototypical of the Thunder vs. Hawks game which totaled at 193 and I'll take a shot here on the Denver coaching staff who has consistently pushed defense especially after game games in which they give up 110 points or more (they usually bounce-back with a 95 point total the next time out). Now, they face a team who they gave up 115 points to their last time out and defense I'm sure is on their mind, plus great public fade to boot.


Indian Cowboy's Picks For NHL Hockey


3-Unit Play. #57. Take Under 5.5 Goals Calgary vs. Boston (Tuesday @ 7:05pm est).

These two teams hook up for what should be a defensive contest. Calgary lost 1-2 back on December 10th and this is a revenge game for Calgary - granted, it is Boston. With Calgary giving up a rare 4 goals to New York (in overtime) in their last game, this team likely bounces back defensively today as in their last 8 games they have not given up 3 goals or more except in just 2 contests. Combine that with Boston giving up 6 goals in their last game to Vancouver as they were routed, look for them to bounce-back as well defensively. The last time this team gave up 6 goals was against Detroit on the road and they came back to win 3-2 (5) against the Rangers the following game. I like Calgary to get up to play if you will against Boston here as the Under is 4-0 when they face a team with a winning record and the Under is 7-1 in their last 8 games overall for the Flames while the Under is 3-0-1 for the Bruins following a loss of 3 goals or more in their previous game.

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Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee won on Monday with the Ravins+6.5/Lions and has Np for Tuesday.

Ecks and Bacon is 1-0 +$50 for the week and 29-37-2 -$1171 for week Eight.

mistake on Sunday with E&B NFL wager Ben lee won his 3 team 10 point teaser on Sunday.

All totals have been adjusted.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

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Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 12/17
NCAA College Basketball





Murray State -4 over Southern Illinois
(Spread Bet)
Overall Record: 185-164

(System Record: 185-6, Won last game)

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Cleveland Insider

NBA
4* Blazers/Cavs under 206.5

NHL
1* Winnipeg/Buffalo under 5

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Maddux Sports

Oklahoma /Denver over 207
Oklahoma -2

NCAA - Yale +11

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Your Bookies Money

4* Bobcats/KingsOver 196

3* Grizzlies Under Team Total 98

3* Lakers +3