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WEST VIRGINIA 79 - Purdue 67—With fast-paced, smooth-shooting WV
(82 ppg; 42% from arc) demonstrating good balance with five players reaching
DDs in its 74-64 victory over its archrival Marshall in its last game (Dec. 14),
must lay a couple hoops vs. youthful Purdue (only two seniors; nine frosh/sophs
on roster) in its first tilt as a visitor this term. The Mountaineers will surely be in
a surly mood recalling LY’s bitter 79-52 blowout in West Lafayette, where the
Mounties helped Indiana’s construction industry by its “bricklaying”
performance, hitting a sorry 29.3% from the field & 16.7% from 3-point land.
Different year, different deal back in Morgantown. 12-PUR -4 79-52 CABLE TV—ESPNU
RICHMOND over Ohio by 4 to 6—12-OHIO -7' 73-48
Georgia St. 85 - UTSA 69—Reloading UTSA has been non-competitive vs.
most of the higher-level foes it has faced, as its inability to loosen defenses with
three-point shooting (the Roadrunners only 29.9% triples) along with a suspect
defense (foes 48.1% from floor) and careless ballhandling (UTSA almost twice
as many TOs as assists) have contributed to some heavy defeats. On the other
hand, Sun Belt sources are starting to sound bullish again regarding GSU, now
that soph G R.J. Hunter (14.9 ppg) apparently is learning to co-exist with
Kentucky transfer Ryan Harrow (19.8 ppg), while 6-9 Southern Cal transfer
Curtis Washington has been making his presence felt on the glass. 12-DNP
NORTHWESTERN over Brown by 9 to 12—12-NWU -14 63-42
BOWLING GREEN over Detroit by 8 to 11—12-BGU +4' 70-65
Boston College over AUBURN by 4 to 6—12-BC -4' 50-49
UCF over Valparaiso by 4 to 6—12-DNP
MIAMI-FLORIDA over La Salle by 5 to 7—12-MIA -6' 76-59
Connecticut over WASHINGTON by 4 to 6—12-CONN -7 61-53 CABLE TV—ESPNU
UC RIVERSIDE over Northern Illinois by 1 to 3—12-DNP
Night Games
DAYTON over Southern Cal by 12 to 15—12-USC -3 63-61 (OT)
CREIGHTON 74 - California 69—With refreshed Cal benefiting from seven
full prep days, would consider taking 3+ hoops with the growling, revengeminded
Bears, who own the frontline size, backcourt skill, and coaching
pedigree to give CU a tough battle in Omaha, where the Bluejays are only 14-
15 as chalk L2+Ys. It’s fair to say that Cal would have had a real chance for
victory in LY’s 74-64 home series loss if departed G Allen Crabbe (he
apologized after the game) hadn’t destroyed the rims by converting a career-low
6 of 26 FGs (0 for 8 from tripleville). 12-Cre -1' 74-64
ILLINOIS ST. over DePaul by 3 to 5—12-DNP
Louisiana Tech over LA.-MONROE by 7 to 10—12-LTU -17' 68-52
Wis.-Milwaukee vs. Alabama St.—(at New Orleans, LA) No Prediction
TULANE over Northeastern by 1 to 3—12-DNP
Iowa St. 78 - George Mason 63—Mid-Atlantic observers not too impressed
with what they have seen at GMU and are wondering if HC Paul Hewitt is
cracking the whip hard enough on a team that continues to suffer from sloppy
ballhandling (inverted assist/TO), poor shot selection, and distance inaccuracy
(only 30% beyond arc). None of those traits are being exhibited by pleasant
surprise ISU, with lots of scoring balance (five DD scorers!). The Cyclones’
firepower quotient is aided by Marshall transfer G DeAndre Kane, scoring 14.1
ppg. Lots of positive numbers posted by Fred Hoiberg’s ISU, including near
50% shooting and holding foes to 26.6 % beyonf the arc, as well as a very
positive assist/TO (almost double). (at Honolulu, HI) 12-DNP
Oregon St. over Akron by 4 to 6—(at Honolulu, HI) 12-DNP
Saint Mary’s 78 - South Carolina 64—It’s apparent that unbeaten SMC has
adjusted to the graduation of the heart-and-soul of recent Moraga editions, G
Matthew Dellavedova (now with the NBA Cavs), as F Brad Waldow (17.6 ppg)
& G Stephen Holt (14.0 ppg) has assumed go-to scoring roles. On other hand,
Frank Martin is still looking for any reliable scoring options on his offensivelychallenged
Gamecock roster that is barely shooting 40% from floor in the early
going. (at Honolulu, HI) 12-DNP
HAWAII over Boise St. by 1 to 3—12-DNP
South Florida over Mississippi St. by 3 to 5—(at Las Vegas, NV) 12-DNP
UNLV 83 - Santa Clara 66—UNLV is beginning to show signs of emerging
from its early-season slump, covering five straight culminating with a midweek
romp past Radford. The fundamentals look good again for the Rebs against
Santa Clara, which does not appear to match up very well with UNLV bigs 6-9
Khem Birch (4.3 blocks pg) and 6-6 rebound monster and UConn transfer
Roscoe Smith (13.9 caroms pg!). The Broncos are doing almost all of their
scoring from the perimeter with frosh G Jared Brownridge (14.1 ppg) making
steady contributions. But doubt SCU gets any scoring n the paint against Birch.
12-DNP
West Virginia* over Purdue by 3
Host WVU has revenge for 27-point loss at Purdue last season. Why are we not overly
excited for them? WEST
VIRGINIA, 69-66.
Richmond* over Ohio by 8
Ohio is always good for an absolute road tank or three during the course of any given
season. If Richmond was better at the all-important aspect of shooting a basketball,
perhaps we’d call for one of those here. But they’re not.
RICHMOND, 70-62.
Georgia State over Texas San Antonio* by 6
Northwestern* over Brown by 8
Bowling Green* over Detroit by 1
Auburn* over Boston College by 5
The Boston College girlie-group travels to a desperate SEC squad that should bump
and grind them with immunity and make them very, very whiny.
AUBURN, 77-72.
Valparaiso over Central Florida* by 5
Miami-FL* over Lasalle by 4
Connecticut over *Washington by 7
A 3,000-mile trip by UConn’s Napier and Boatright to school Romar on the finer
points of basketball.
CONNECTICUT, 80-73.
Cal Riverside* over Northern Illinois by 3
***BEST BET
Dayton* over USC by 22
Another true roadie for USC, against an opponent that can play the game. Wouldn’t
touch the Trojans with a 10-foot pole, or Lithuanian, or Croatian. Shall we touch
Dayton? Why not? The Flyers typically fill their arena (they got 12,300 for god-forsaken Central Michigan recently) and the Trojan uniform carries some motivational
excitement for everyone involved. Dayton head coach Archie Miller is Arizona head
coach Sean Miller’s brother. The schedule has been light lately, so the brothers have
probably had time to chat about how to kill USC.
DAYTON, 88-66.
Creighton* over California by 14
The Blue Jays need to make the most of these highly attended home games against
high-profile opponents, because when they travel East to play Big East road games in
January and February, they will meet with resistance (and we will meet with winners!)
CREIGHTON, 84-70.
Depaul over Illinois State* by 1
Louisiana Tech over UL-Monroe* by 9
Tulane* over Northeastern by 1
DIAMOND HEAD CLASSIC (Honolulu, HI)
FIRST ROUND
Iowa State over George Mason by 13
Akron over Oregon State by 3
St. Mary’s over South Carolina by 16
Hawaii* over Boise State by 1
LAS VEGAS CLASSIC (Orleans Arena)
South Florida over Mississippi State by 6
UNLV* over Santa Clara by 3
CBB CALIFORNIA at CREIGHTON Play On - Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (CALIFORNIA) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread against opponent after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread 96-50 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.8% 41.0 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units )
CBB LASALLE at MIAMI Play Against - Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (LASALLE) poor shooting team - shooting <=42% on the season against opponent after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less 34-11 since 1997. ( 75.6% 21.7 units )
CBB N ILLINOIS at UC-RIVERSIDE Play Against - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (UC-RIVERSIDE) in a game involving two poor offensive teams (63-67 PPG), after a win by 6 points or less 27-7 over the last 5 seasons. ( 79.4% 19.3 units )
NBA TORONTO at OKLAHOMA CITY Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) 77-38 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.0% 35.2 units ) 6-1 this year. ( 85.7% 4.9 units )
NBA BOSTON at INDIANA Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (INDIANA) a very good team (>=+7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half 35-4 over the last 5 seasons. ( 89.7% 27.0 units ) 2-1 this year. ( 66.7% -0.1 units )
NBA MINNESOTA at LA CLIPPERS Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 105 after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games 49-20 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.0% 27.0 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units )
Vikings +9.5 over Bengals
The one thing that I really have liked about Cincinnati is their line play on both sides of the ball. The problem with that is now a few guys are nursing injuries and their secondary is banged up. I think the Vikings have a shot at winning this game outright. Cassel has been playing excellent and it’s the line play of this Vikings team that has been impressive as of late. Look for the Vikings to have a similar game plan as last week which will feature a lot of passing. Take Minnesota.
Hot teams
-- Pacers are 12-1 SU at home, 8-5 vs spread.
-- Oklahoma City won its last nine games (7-2 vs spread). Raptors won three of last four games, are 8-4 vs spread on road.
-- Clippers won/covered their last four games.
Cold Teams
-- Celtics lost four of last six games, are 8-5 vs spread on road.
-- Minnesota lost three of last four road games.
Series records
-- Celtics won four of last five games with Indiana.
-- Thunder won last three games with Toronto by 16-20-12 points.
-- Clippers won last seven games with Minnesota (7-2 vs spread).
Totals
-- 10 of 13 Boston road games stayed under the total; five of Indiana's last seven games went over.
-- Seven of last nine Toronto games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Clipper games stayed under total.
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