1-1-14

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The Philly Godfather

CFB
STRAIGHT BET [248] TOTAL UNDER 61-110 (NEBRASKA vrs GEORGIA) 100:

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Heart of Dallas Bowl: What bettors need to know

UNLV Rebels vs. North Texas Mean Green (-6.5, 54.5)

Game played at Cotton Bowl Stadium, Dallas, Texas

HEART OF DALLAS BOWL

When its comes to the two most unlikeliest teams to be playing in a New Year's Day bowl game, you'd be hard-pressed to beat the Heart of Dallas Bowl matchup between UNLV and North Texas. Both teams combined to win a total of just six games a year ago and the Rebels entered the season following back-to-back-to-back two-win campaign. But both teams overcame slow starts -- UNLV began 0-2 while North Texas started 2-3 -- to end long bowl droughts and wind up playing at the Cotton Bowl on one of college football's most sacred days.

The Mean Green play a short drive north up I-35 in Denton, Texas and is making its first bowl appearance since 2004 when it lost the last of four consecutive New Orleans Bowls to Southern Mississippi, 31-10. UNLV is playing in its first bowl game since 2000 when it upset Arkansas in the Las Vegas Bowl, 31-14. The Rebels lead the all-time series with the Mean Green, 4-0, and won the last meeting in 2000 in Las Vegas, 38-0.

TV: Noon ET, ESPNU.

LINE: The Mean Green opened as 6.5-point faves. The total has held at 54.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures in Dallas will be in the low-50s with wind blowing across the field at 12 mph.

ABOUT UNLV (7-5): Senior quarterback Caleb Herring, moved to wide receiver for his junior season after a disappointing sophomore campaign, has been the MVP of this team. He took over for sophomore Nick Sherry midway through the UNLV's third game with Central Michigan and rallied the Rebels from a 21-0 deficit to a 31-21 victory, the start of the team's first four-game regular-season win streak since 1984 when Randall Cunningham was the quarterback. Herring has passed for 2,522 yards and 22 touchdowns and been intercepted just four times.

ABOUT NORTH TEXAS (8-4): The Mean Green rank ninth nationally in scoring defense (18.1) and have been particularly tough in the red zone, allowing teams to score touchdowns just 45.5 percent of the time which, ranks sixth nationally. Senior running back Brandin Byrd leads the offense with 1,023 yards rushing, including 251 yards and three touchdowns in a season-ending 42-10 win at Tulsa. Derek Thompson, who passed for 2,640 yards this season, ranks second in school history in career passing yards with 7,191.

TRENDS:

* Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Mean Green are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Under is 4-1 in Rebels last five vs. a team with a winning record.
* Under is 5-1 in Mean Green last six games following a ATS win.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. RB Tim Cornett (1,251 yards, 15 TDs) and WR Devante Davis (77 catches, 1,194 yards, 14 TDs) became UNLV's first duo to top 1,000 yards rushing and receiving in the same season.

2. North Texas has blocked eight kicks this season.

3. North Texas senior Brelan Chancellor led Conference USA in both kickoff (28.14) and punt returns (16.82).

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Taxslayer.com Gator Bowl: What bettors need to know

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Georgia Bulldogs (-9, 59.5)

Game played at EverBank Field, Jacksonville, Florida

TAXSLAYER.COM GATOR BOWL STORYLINES

1. Georgia and Nebraska have been mirror images of each other, making it appropriate the two schools meet for the second time in a year Jan.1 at the TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl in Jacksonville, Fla. The Bulldogs downed the Cornhuskers in the Capital One Bowl last season, but both teams will be without the record-setting quarterbacks who appeared in that game. Georgia’s Aaron Murray tore his ACL in late November while Nebraska’s Taylor Martinez missed most of the season with a foot injury.

2. With the replacement quarterbacks’ roles likely to be somewhat minimized (Hutson Mason for Georgia and either Ron Kellogg III or Tommy Armstrong Jr. for Nebraska), the Bulldogs’ Todd Gurley and the Cornhuskers’ Ameer Abdullah figure to show their wares as two of the nation's top running backs. Gurley closed the season by gouging Georgia Tech for 122 yards on the ground and four total touchdowns while Abdullah ranks seventh in the country in rushing.

3. Nebraska and Georgia are among the most frequent visitors to the postseason in college football history. The Cornhuskers will celebrate their 50th bowl-game appearance (only Alabama and Texas have more) against the Bulldogs, who will appear in their 49th bowl game.

TV: Noon ET, ESPN2.

LINE: Georgia opened -9. The total is down one point from the opening 60.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with wind blowing toward the SW endzone at 6 mph. There is an 81 percent chance of rain.

TRENDS:

* Cornhuskers are 0-4 ATS in their last four neutral site games.
* Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last seven Bowl games.
* Over is 4-1 in Bulldogs last five non-conference games.
* Under is 8-2 in Cornhuskers last 10 neutral site games.

ABOUT NEBRASKA (8-4, 5-3 Big Ten): Most of the offensive line that got wrecked by injuries during the season is expected to be back in place by the bowl game – including tackle Jeremiah Sirles, guard Jake Cotton and guard/center Cole Pensick. The Cornhuskers finished last in the Big Ten and in a tie for 118th in the country in turnover margin (minus-12). Buoyed by the emergence of defensive end Randy Gregory (Big Ten-high 8.5 sacks), Nebraska yielded an average of 306 yards after it gave up 410.4 over its first seven contests.

ABOUT GEORGIA (8-4, 5-3 SEC): Injuries also derailed the Bulldogs from the outset, ending the season for key players such as defensive end Malcolm Mitchell, wide receiver Justin Scott-Wesley and running back Keith Marshall. Gurley also missed three games due to an ankle injury, but the offense averaged 41.2 points once Gurley returned. Georgia gave up at least 30 points to eight opponents and finished last in the SEC in passing yards allowed per attempt (7.6).

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Capital One Bowl: What bettors need to know

Wisconsin Badgers vs. South Carolina Gamecocks (+1.5, 51)

Game to be played at Florida Citrus Bowl, Orlando, Florida

CAPITAL ONE BOWL STORYLINES

1. The last time South Carolina defensive end Jadeveon Clowney played in a bowl game, he became a national sensation based on one brutal hit. The Gamecocks star will try to provide another highlight in possibly his last college game when the Gamecocks face Wisconsin in the Capital One Bowl in Orlando, Fla., on Jan. 1. The Badgers had a six-game winning streak snapped in the regular-season finale and are stepping back after three straight trips to the Rose Bowl.

2. Clowney is a likely top-five draft pick should he choose to leave school after his junior season and is hoping to help South Carolina to a third straight bowl win over a Big Ten School. The Gamecocks ended the regular season with five straight victories, including wins over top-10 opponents Missouri and Clemson.

3. Wisconsin finished second in the Big Ten Leaders Division, robbing it of a chance to make a fourth straight trip to the Rose Bowl as the champion of the Big Ten. The Badgers rely on a strong running game and tight defense, something they have in common with South Carolina.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, ABC.

LINE: South Carolina opened as a 2.5-point dog and is now +1.5. The total opeend at 51.

WEATHER: Temperatures in Orlando will be in the high-60s with a 54 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow across the field at 5 mph.

TRENDS:

* Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last four non-conference games.
* Gamecocks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven neutral site games.
* Under is 6-2 in Badgers last eight Bowl games.
* Under is 4-1 in Gamecocks last five Bowl games.

ABOUT WISCONSIN (9-3, 6-2 Big Ten): The Badgers gave up a little balance on offense in favor of a heavy running attack led by a pair of backs - Melvin Gordon (1,466) and James White (1,337) - that each eclipsed 1,300 yards and combined for 25 touchdowns on the ground. Wisconsin also excels at stopping the run, ranking second in the Big Ten behind conference champion Michigan State in rushing defense with an average of 101.3 yards allowed. The most dynamic player on the team may be senior receiver Jared Abbrederis, who is playing his final college game after posting career highs with 73 catches and 1,051 yards in the regular season.

ABOUT SOUTH CAROLINA (10-2, 6-2 SEC): Clowney was ticketed for driving 110 mph in a 70-mph zone early in December but will be available for the Capital One Bowl and will key a defense that finished second in the SEC against the run. “We’ll have to get our run defense pants on, that’s for sure,” Gamecocks coach Steve Spurrier said. “When you play a team like Wisconsin that can run it and run it and run it, they can stay on the field for a long time if you don’t watch it.” Connor Shaw passed for 21 touchdowns and just one interception during the regular season and adds to the ground game as well, including a season-high 94 yards and a touchdown against Clemson in the finale.

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Outback Bowl: What bettors need to know

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. LSU Tigers (-7, 49)

Game played at Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida

OUTBACK BOWL STORYLINES

1. The spotlight will be on freshman quarterback Anthony Jennings when LSU meets Iowa in the Outback Bowl in Tampa, Fla., on New Year's Day. Jennings will make his first career start in replacing Zach Mettenberger, who suffered a torn ACL in the Tigers' 31-27 victory over Arkansas on Nov. 29 in their regular-season finale. “He’s a very accurate thrower,” Tigers coach Les Miles told The Advocate about Jennings. “I think he fits the offense that Zach was running. ... We will run our offense just the way it is.”

2. Iowa is riding a three-game winning streak including victories over Michigan and Nebraska and wound up second in the Big Ten's Legends Division behind Rose Bowl-bound Michigan State. LSU won its last two games over Mississippi State and Texas A&M to finish third in the SEC West Division behind Auburn and Alabama.

3. The only previous meeting occurred Jan. 1, 2005 when Drew Tate threw a 56-yard touchdown pass to Warren Holloway as time expired to lift the Hawkeyes to a 30-25 victory in the Capital One Bowl. It was the final game in the LSU coaching career of Nick Saban as news broke hours later that Miles would take over.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: LSU opened-7 and the total has held at 49.

WEATHER: Temperatures at Raymond James Stadium will be in the mid-60s with a 52 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow across the field at 6 mph.

TRENDS:

* Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last five bowl games.
* Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Over is 5-0 in Hawkeyes last five non-conference games.
* Under is 4-1 in Tigers last five Bowl games.

ABOUT IOWA (8-4, 5-3 Big Ten): The Hawkeyes boast the No. 7 defense in the country at 303.2 yards per game - 11th against the pass (182.4) and 17th versus the run (120.8). Iowa's effective but unspectacular offense is led by sophomore Jake Rudock (60.2 percent completion rate, 18 touchdowns, 12 interceptions). The Hawkeyes are 14-11-1 in bowl games - 6-4 in coach Kirk Ferentz's previous 14 seasons (2-1 in the Outback Bowl) - and play in one for the fifth time in six years.

ABOUT LSU (9-3, 5-3 SEC): The Tigers averaged a potent 37 points with Mettenberger at the controls and their 200.8 rushing yards per game could be a big help to Jennings. Jeremy Hill ran for 1,185 yards and 14 touchdowns, but the sophomore is expected to be the focal point of Iowa's defense with Jennings at the helm. The Tigers, who are trying for a school-record fourth consecutive 10-win season, are 22-21-1 in bowl games and have appeared in one for 14 straight seasons.

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Essential betting tidbits for New Year's Day's bowl games

We dug up these vital betting tidbits for Wednesday's six NCAA bowl games that will help you make the right call before kickoff.

- The Nebraska Cornhuskers, who face No. 22 Georgia in the Gator Bowl, have played Under the total in eight of their last 10 neutral-site games.

- The Bulldogs are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games after surrendering more than 450 yards in their previous outing. Georgia was torched for 495 yards in a 41-34 double-overtime win over Georgia Tech on Nov. 30.

- UNLV, which tangles with North Texas in the Heart of Dallas Bowl, is 5-1 ATS in its last six games after scoring more than 40 points in its previous game. The Rebels are coming off a 45-19 thumping of San Diego State on Nov. 30.

- The Mean Green have played Under the total in nine of their last 11 games following a 40-point effort in their previous encounter. North Texas trounced Tulsa 42-10 on Nov. 30.

- No. 19 Wisconsin, which will take on No. 9 South Carolina in the Capital One Bowl, is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 games but came up short in each of its final two games of the season.

- The Gamecocks are just 1-4 ATS in their last five bowl appearances, and 1-6 ATS in their previous seven neutral-site games.

- Iowa, which battles No. 16 LSU in the Outback Bowl, is just 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games following a SU win. The Hawkeyes come in off a season-ending 38-17 triumph over Nebraska on Nov. 29.

- The Tigers have played Over the total in their last 12 games on grass, and in each of their previous four non-conference games.

- No. 5 Stanford, which will take on No. 4 Michigan State in the Rose Bowl, is 26-9-1 ATS in its last 36 games following a SU win of 20 or more points. The Cardinal come in following a 38-14 drubbing of Arizona State on Dec. 7.

- The Spartans have played Under the total in 14 of their last 17 games on grass.

- No. 15 Central Florida, which has a Fiesta Bowl date with No. 6 Baylor, is a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last five non-conference games.

- The Bears, coming in off a 30-10 triumph over Texas, are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games following an SU win.

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Where the action is: New Year's bowl line moves

The first day of the new year means bowl action really starts heating up. Wednesday has a pair of BCS bowl games as well as four other bowls. No less than eight Top 25 teams will be taking the field across the nation.

We talk to Mike Perry, an oddsmaker with Sportsbook.ag, about the action coming in on all the bowl games that New Year's Day has to offer.

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Georgia Bulldogs - Open: -9.5, Move: -9, Move: -8.5

Both the Huskers and Bulldogs have had to endure injuries this season. The teams met in the Capital One Bowl one year ago with Georgia trumping Nebraska by a score of 45-31. Each team will be starting backup quarterbacks this time around and the Bulldogs opened as favorites.

"On December 19, got sharp bet on Nebraska +9.5, so moved to +9," Perry tells Covers. "Last Thursday, another sharp play came on the Huskers, so moved to +8.5, where it still stands. Fifty-five percent of cash is on Nebraska."

UNLV Rebels vs. North Texas Mean Green - Open: -6, Move: -6.5, Move: -7

In what is probably the least-interesting bowl game on New Year's Day, sharp action has been fairly steady on the Mean Green of North Texas. It's been a year of change for both programs, as the two combined for just six wins all of last season, but combined for 15 this time around.

"This is pretty much a Snooze Year's Day Bowl game unless you have a bet on it," states Perry. "December 11th got sharp play on North Texas -6, so moved to -6.5. On Christmas Eve, we got another sharp play on the favorite so now using -7. Sixty-two percent of money is backing UNLV."

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. LSU Tigers - Open: -8

This line has yet to move with the Tigers as the favorites. This despite quarterback Zach Mettenberger out with an ACL tear.

Iowa heads into the Outback Bowl hot as it rides a three-game winning streak (2-1 ATS), including victories over both Michigan and Nebraska.

"A line where oddsmakers set it perfect, as it opened LSU -8 and still remains at that number," says Perry. " A couple of injury issues for both teams as Iowa QB Jake Rudock is probable (knee) and LSU WR Odell Beckham Jr is also probable (hip). Sixty-two percent of money is on the Tigers."

Wisconsin Badgers vs. South Carolina Gamecocks - Open: +2.5, Move: -1.5, Move: +1.5

The Badgers missed out on a fourth-straight trip to the Rose Bowl as they finished second in the Leaders Division. The Badgers were one of the top bets in college football as they finished the season 9-2-1 ATS.

South Carolina star Jadeveon Clowney could be playing in his last game for the program as he is likely destined to be a top-five pick in the NFL draft. The Gamecocks are also a hot team, riding a five-game winning streak and is 4-1 ATS during that stretch.

"A lot of movement on this game," Perry said. "Opened Wisconsin -2.5, and moved all the way to South Carolina -1.5, before going back in the Badgers favor to the current number of -1.5. Sixty percent of cash on the Gamecocks."

Stanford Cardinal vs. Michigan State Spartans - Open: +3.5, Move: +6.5

The 100th edition of the Rose Bowl pits two of the best defensive units in the country. That said, the Spartans will have to make due without their defensive captain as LB Max Bullough is out because of a suspension.

The Cardinal play in their fourth-straight BCS bowl game and defeated Wisconsin in last season's game in Pasadena. Action is all on the Cardinal in this one as their backers have moved the number since post.

"Big line move in the 'Granddaddy of Them All' as Stanford has gone from -3.5 to -6.5," Perry said. "Quite a few wiseguys like the Cardinal to not only win their second-straight Rose Bowl, but cover it as well. Not a big decision on this game at all, as 53 percent of cash is on Stanford."

Central Florida Knights vs. Baylor Bears - Open: -17, Move: -16.5

Both programs make their BCS Bowl debuts in the Tostitos Fiesta Bowl Wednesday night. Baylor and its high-octane offense leads the country in scoring at 53.3 points per game. Central Florida has the 13th ranked defense in the country, but it will be a tall order to shut down this offense.

Sharp action on the Knights moved the line early, but the majority of bettors don't give them a chance to cover the gaudy spread.

"We got small sharp play on UCF +17, so moved to +16.5," he said. "Central Florida already shocked the college football world once when they beat Louisville on the road. They will have Baylor's attention because of this feat, so dont expect an aftershock here. Only 34 percent of cash thinks UCF can cover the big spread."

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NCAAF BCS Bowls biggest betting mismatches
By JASON LOGAN

With the BCS Bowl schedule opening with the Rose Bowl and Fiesta Bowl on New Year’s Day, we have a special edition of our biggest betting mismatches looking at the five big BCS bowl games, uncovering some of the underlying mismatches to help you get the edge.

Rose Bowl

Stanford Cardinal vs. Michigan State Spartans (+6.5, 42.5)

Cardinal’s yards per play vs. Spartans’ lack of punch

Stanford’s offense is one of the most efficient in the country, scoring 33.2 points per game and putting up 6.3 yards per play – tied for 18th in the land. The Cardinal anchor their offense with the run and will take advantage of that big hole left in the middle of the MSU defense by Max Bullough’s suspension.

If the Spartans defense buckles, the offense may not have enough to climb out of a hole. Michigan State’s scoring attack was off and on all season. The Green and White appeared to be finding their way in November but then mustered only 14 points in a win over Minnesota. Michigan State averaged only 5.2 yards per play and ranked among the bottom of the Big Ten in big plays.

Fiesta Bowl

Central Florida Knights vs. Baylor Bears (-16.5, 70.5)

Knights’ slowed-down offense vs. Bears’ high-octane offense

The Knights best chance of slowing down Baylor’s explosive offense is to keep them off the field at the Fiesta Bowl. Central Florida has a cool and calculated offense, running only 68.3 plays per game and burning through 31:58 of time of possession. Despite that slow-motion pace, UCF still put up 33.2 points per game.

The Bears’ up-tempo attack ranked tops in yards (625.6 yards per game) and points (53.2 points per game) but worked quickly, using up just 27:40 of clock per game – 107th in the FBS. Baylor was dominated in time of possession in its loss to Oklahoma State, with the Pokes control 35:23 of clock. If UCF dictates the pace, that massive spread could be tough to cover.

Sugar Bowl

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (-15.5, 51.5)

Sooners’ dual-threat Trevor Knight vs. Crimson Tide’s weakness to running QB

Alabama doesn’t have many chinks in its armor, however, the Tide have been exposed by running quarterbacks this season. They allowed Texas A&M QB Johnny Manziel sprint for 98 yards and watched Auburn QB Nick Marshall put up 99 yards and a score on the ground in the Iron Bowl.

Mike Herndon of AL.com made note of the Tide’s weakness and says Nick Saban is well aware of the damage OU dual-threat Trevor Knight can do. Knight, who is splitting snaps with fellow QB Blake Bell, has rushed for 438 yards – picking up more than seven yards per carry. Knight is nursing a hand injury but is expected to play in the Sugar Bowl.

Orange Bowl

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Clemson Tigers (+2.5, 69.5)

Buckeyes’ battered defense vs. Tigers’ scoring options

The Buckeyes defense fell apart down the stretch, giving up 75 points in the final two games of the season, including 41 points to rival Michigan. Ohio State’s pass defense was exposed for 451 yards versus the Wolverines and 304 yards versus MSU, and limp into the Orange Bowl with significant injuries in the stop unit, most notably cornerback Bradley Roby.

Clemson’s connection of Tahj Boyd and Sammy Watkins is the best the nation, but the Tigers have plenty of other options on offense. Six-foot-5 WRs Martavis Bryant and Mike Williams are tough covers as is speedy Adam Humphries. Tight end Stanton Seckinger is also an option at 6-foot-4. Including Watkins, who caught 10 TDs, 13 different players caught passes for six points this season.

BCS Championship

Auburn Tigers vs. Florida State Seminoles (-8.5, 67.5)

Tigers’ home runs vs. Seminoles’ punt coverage

The Seminoles haven’t punted much this season, kicking the ball away only 36 times – second fewest in the country. Florida State, however, didn’t hold its ground covering those punts, allowing opponents to run back for an average of 18.27 yards – worst in the ACC and third worst in the FBS. Auburn is notorious for its big plays on special teams and can put the FSU Goliath on its heels with a big play on special teams.

The Tigers have one of the most dangerous return threats in college football in Tre Mason, who will live forever for his missed FG return TD in the Iron Bowl. Auburn was second in the SEC in punt returns at 11.76 yards per punt and was fourth in kickoff return yardage at 24.06. The Tigers have a taste for the big plays on offense as well, with eight plays of 50-plus yards, five plays of 60 or more, and four plays for 70-plus yards this season.

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English Breakfast: Premier League betting cheat sheet

The busy Premier League holiday season concludes with a full slate of New Year's Day games. This round of fixtures also represents the second time around the schedule as each team plays in it's 20th match of the season.

Swansea v Manchester City (+475, +325, -163)

Why bet Swansea: The Swans are enduring a rough patch of form as they've lost two and drawn three in their last five matches overall. Injuries have ravaged the side of late and have yet to adjust to life without talisman Michu. They're at home, and Manchester City is far from the club it is at the Etihad, but it will be a daunting task.

Key players out/doubtful: Michu, Michel Vorm, Garry Monk, Nathan Dyer

Why bet Manchester City: The Citizens are currently the faves to win the Premier League and deservedly so. They are currently enjoying a fantastic run of form as they've won four-straight matches and haven't lost in their last eight.

Key players out/doubtful: David Silva, Sergio Agüero, Micah Richards, Stevan Jovetic, Martín Demichelis

Previous meeting result: Man City 3, Swansea 0

Key betting note: Man City has won seven of the previous eight matches.


Arsenal v Cardiff (-350, +500, +1200)

Why bet Arsenal: After a huge victory over a resurgent Newcastle side, the Gunners took their spot atop the Premier League table. They'll have to overcome a gaggle of injuries, however, but could be poised to welcome Lukas Podolski back to the starting XI Wednesday.

Key players out/doubtful: Aaron Ramsey, Kieran Gibbs, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, Olivier Giroud

Why bet Cardiff: Poor Cardiff. Vincent Tan has turned the club into a laughing stock this season. The side has no manager as the ever popular Malkey Mckay was sacked by the club Friday. They are spiraling out of control and you'd be hard pressed to find a reason to back them at the Emirates.

Key players out/doubtful: N/A

Previous meeting result: Cardiff 0, Arsenal 3

Key betting note: The Gunners are unbeaten in 26 of their past 29 Premier League matches.


Crystal Palace v Norwich (+138, +230, +230)

Why bet Crystal Palace: The Eagles have lost three of their last four matches, but were unlucky in two of them. Especially their last match against red-hot Man City. They may not have gotten positive results lately, but they are certainly playing much better football. A home game against an erratic Norwich side could be the solid result they seek.

Key players out/doubtful: Adlène Guédioura, Jerome Thomas, Cameron Jerome

Why bet Norwich: They've lost two in a row and just can't seem to find the consistency they need, but the Canaries will field the better XI here. They've spent well in the offseason, and could spend some more in January, but they need to clean up their act if they wish to target talented players. One of those summer purchases has found a bit of form as Gary Hooper has three goals in his last five matches.

Key players out/doubtful: Elliott Bennett, Alexander Tettey, Anthony Pilkington

Previous meeting result: Norwich 1, Palace 0

Key betting note: Palace has kept scorelines under the 2.5 goal total in nine of its last 11 matches.


Fulham v West Ham (+150, +230, +210)

Why bet Fulham: This is a battle of two flat-out awful clubs so something probably has to give. The Cottagers have mixed in a win here and there, but are coming off an appalling performance against Hull.

Key players out/doubtful: Philippe Senderos, Matthew Briggs, Maarten Stekelenburg, Brede Hangeland

Why bet West Ham: The Hammers put all of their money in one basket - the Andy Carroll basket - and that hasn't paid off at all as the big striker has been hurt. Recent history is on their side, however, as their last win came against, you guessed it, Fulham.

Key players out/doubtful: Winston Reid, James Tomkins, James Collins, Stewart Downing, Ricardo Vaz Te, Andy Carroll

Previous meeting result: West Ham 3, Fulham 0

Key betting note: Fulham has lost nine of its last 11 games.


Liverpool v Hull (-333, +500, +1000)

Why bet Liverpool: The Reds may have exhibited that they are not title contenders as they've dropped two-straight matches. Granted, those losses were away to both City and Chelsea, but if they had title aspirations, those road wins would have gone a long way. They'll look to get back in the winning column against the promoted Tigers.

Key players out/doubtful: Daniel Sturridge, Mamadou Sakho, Joe Allen, Jon Flanagan, José Enrique

Why bet Hull: The Tigers exploded against an awful Fulham side for six goals last time out. Sitting a respectable 10th on 23 points, the Tigers look poised to stay up in the top flight. Momentum is on their side coming off that barrage of goals, and they'll try to repeat their victory over the Reds in the previous meeting.

Key players out/doubtful: Sone Aluko, Stephen Quinn, Joe Dudgeon

Previous meeting result: Hull 3, Liverpool 1

Key betting note: The Reds have netted at least three goals in their last six matches at Anfield.


Southampton v Chelsea (+300, +250, +105)

Why bet Southampton: The Saints finally posted a victory on Boxing Day after tumbling down the table, but promptly lost to Everton last time out. Southampton is capable of hanging with the big boys as we've seen in the earlier stages of the season, but they need to start getting results before clubs like Hull close the gap.

Key players out/doubtful: Victor Wanyama, Guly, Pablo Osvaldo, Artur Boruc

Why bet Chelsea: The Blues will be bolstered as midfield-dynamo Ramires returns from suspension for this fixture. They've won back-to-back matches and three of four overall, and also nabbed all three points from the Saints at Stamford Bridge in the earlier meeting.

Key players out/doubtful: David Luiz, Ryan Bertrand, Marco van Ginkel

Previous meeting result: Chelsea 3, Southampton 1

Key betting note: The Saints have seen scorelines go over the 2.5 goal total in their last three games.


Stoke v Everton (+300, +230, +110)

Why bet Stoke: The Potters are another club currently in the midst of a rough spell, but they'll have Glenn Whelan and Marc Wilson back from suspension. They showed no inspiration or creativity at all in their 3-0 loss to Tottenham, so there's nowhere to go but up.

Key players out/doubtful: Asmir Begovic, Robert Huth

Why bet Everton: Everton had a mini-hiccup when it lost at home to Sunderland, but the club bounced back in fine form to defeat Southampton 2-1 last time out. They're still in fourth and show no signs that they won't compete for Champions League football by the end of the season.

Key players out/doubtful: Gerard Deulofeu, Darron Gibson, Tony Hibbert, Arouna Koné

Previous meeting result: Everton 4, Stoke 0

Key betting note: The Potters are unbeaten in their last six home matches.


Sunderland v Aston Villa (+115, +240, +275)

Why bet Sunderland: This club might be at the bottom of the table, but they won't be for long. At home against a slumping Villa side is the perfect fixture to start their climb up the table. Results have been positive of late as they've drawn three and won one in their last four.

Key players out/doubtful: Wes Brown, Carlos Cuéllar, Keiren Westwood

Why bet Aston Villa: You would think something must be going right when a side doesn't start a striker of Christian Benteke's caliber. Sadly, that's just not the case for the Villains. Benteke's slumping season is a microcosm of the club's, but they snapped a four-game losing skid with a 1-1 draw against Swansea last time out.

Key players out/dobutful: Ciaran Clark, Charles N'Zogbia, Jores Okore

Previous meeting result: Villa 0, Sunderland 0

Key betting note: Villa is unbeaten against Sunderland in their last five meetings.


West Brom v Newcastle (+160, +240, +188)

Why bet West Brom: The Baggies finally put multiple goals on the board in a 3-3 draw with West Ham at Upton Park last time out. They are, however, mired in the worst run of form in the league as they're now winless in their previous nine matches in the Premier League.

Key players out/doubtful: N/A

Why bet Newcastle: The Magpies will be eager to get in the winning column to keep pace with the big boys of the league as they're coming off a 1-0 defeat to Arsenal. Newcastle has been excellent all season and should be poised to grab an important three points on the road.

Key players out/doubtful: Ryan Taylor

Previous meeting result: Newcastle 2, West Brom 1

Key betting note: West Brom has drawn three-straight matches.


Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur (-125, +280, +375)

Why bet Manchester United: Like the blue half of Manchester, United is also enjoying a four-match winning streak. They continue life without Robin Van Persie, but they will look to extend their winning ways at Old Trafford against an inconsistent - and banged-up - Spurs side.

Key players out/doubtful: Marouane Fellaini, Nani, Phil Jones

Why bet Tottenham: Here is another prime example of new boss, new results. Tim Sherwood has taken over the club after the canning of Andre Villas-Boas, and has seen largely positive results. They are coming off what could be their best performance of the season in a 3-0 whipping of Stoke. Christian Eriksen has found some great form under Sherwood's guidance, but the side must play the next month without midfielder Paulinho, who picked up an injury against the Potters.

Key players out/doubtful: Paulinho, Jan Vertonghen, Sandro, Younes Kaboul, Andros Townsend

Previous meeting result: Spurs 2, United 2

Key betting note: Spurs have won their last three matches away from White Hart Lane.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rose Bowl: What bettors need to know

Stanford Cardinal vs. Michigan State Spartans (+6.5, 42.5)

Game played at Rose Bowl, Pasadena, California.

ROSE BOWL GAME PRESENTED BY VIZIO STORYLINES

1. The 100th edition of the Rose Bowl Game presented by Vizio features Michigan State’s first appearance in the game in 26 years. The Spartans have already set a school record for victories but the achievement will feel even better if the fourth Rose Bowl win in program history is the topper. Stanford, playing in a BCS bowl for the fourth straight season and making its 14th Rose Bowl appearance, dispatched of Wisconsin in last year’s contest in Pasadena.

2. The defenses are expected to set the tone as Michigan State leads the nation in total defense (247.8) and Stanford ranks 14th (339). The Spartans also lead the nation in rushing defense (80.8) and the Cardinal excel at pounding standout running back Tyler Gaffney (1.618 yards, 20 touchdowns) between the tackles. Stanford ranks third at stopping the run (91.2) and is tied for the national lead with 40 sacks.

3. In a contest featuring hard-nosed play in the trenches, some top-notch athletes like Stanford receiver/returner Ty Montgomery and Michigan State cornerback Darqueze Dennard could shine. Montgomery caught 58 passes for 937 yards and 10 touchdowns and averaged 31.2 yards and scored two touchdowns on kickoff returns. Dennard (four interceptions) is the consensus top defensive back in the nation after winning the Thorpe Award.

TV: 5 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Stanford opened -3.5 and has jumped to -6.5. The total has held at 42.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies.

TRENDS:

* Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last four bowl games.
* Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Under is 7-0 in Cardinal last seven vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 4-1 in Spartans last five neutral site games.

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (12-1, 9-0 Big Ten): The Spartans allow 12.7 points per game – fourth-best nationally – and Dennard has plenty of company when it comes to standout defenders. Safety Kurtis Drummond also had four interceptions, linebacker Denicos Allen (15.5) and end Shilique Calhoun (14) combined for 29.5 tackles for loss but defensive leader Max Bullough (9.5 stops for loss as the Big Ten’s top middle linebacker) will miss the contest after being suspended. Michigan State scores 29.8 points per game with running back Jeremy Langford (1,338 yards, 17 touchdowns) leading the way and quarterback Connor Cook (2,423 yards) throwing 20 touchdowns against just five interceptions.

ABOUT STANFORD (11-2, 8-2 Pac-12): The Cardinal typically control games with their defensive front seven, led by outside linebacker Trent Murphy (nation-leading 14 sacks) and inside linebacker Shayne Skov (100 tackles, 10 for losses). Stanford also boasts strong performers in the secondary in safeties Ed Reynolds (77 tackles) and Jordan Richards (three interceptions). While Gaffney’s work as a bell-cow – he’s carried 306 times – fuels the offense, quarterback Kevin Hogan (2,487 yards) has thrown for 20 touchdowns against nine interceptions for an attack producing 33.2 points per game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: What bettors need to know

Central Florida Knights vs. Baylor Bears (-16.5, 69.5)

Game to played at University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, Arizona

TOSTITOS FIESTA BOWL STORYLINES

1. Fifth-ranked Baylor brings the nation’s top attack (53.3 points per game) into the Tostitos Fiesta Bowl in Glendale, Ariz., on New Year’s Day, but No. 15 Central Florida is no offensive slouch. The Knights average 33.2 points behind quarterback Blake Bortles, who ranks ninth nationally in passing efficiency with 22 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Bears quarterback Bryce Petty, who has thrown 30 touchdowns against two interceptions while rushing for 11 scores, ranks second in pass efficiency.

2. Both teams are making their first appearance in a BCS bowl. Baylor had national championship aspirations until getting blitzed at Oklahoma State 49-17 on Nov. 23, while Central Florida finished the season on an eight-game win streak to earn the American Athletic Conference’s automatic BCS bid.

3. While Central Florida boasts an outstanding running back duo in Storm Johnson (1,015 yards, 14 total touchdowns, 5.3 yards per carry, 29 catches) and William Stanback (six rushing scores), Baylor features a dangerous trio in Lache Seastrunk (1,060 yards, 11 rushing TDs), Shock Linwood (862, eight) and Glasco Martin (490, six). Seastrunk missed nearly three games with a groin injury but returned Nov. 30, running for 172 yards in season-ending victories over Texas Christian and Texas.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Baylor opened -16.5. The total is up to 69.5 from the opening 68.

WEATHER: N/A

TRENDS:

* Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last five neutral site games.
* Under is 4-1 in Knights last five games overall.
* Over is 8-1 in Bears last nine non-conference games.

ABOUT CENTRAL FLORIDA (11-1, 8-0 American Athletic Conference): The Knights rank 13th nationally in points allowed (19.6) and are led defensively by linebacker Terrance Plummer, who has 96 tackles, eight tackles for loss, two sacks, two interceptions and six pass breakups. Central Florida posted another 11-win season as recently as 2010 and has won its last two bowl games after losing its first three. But the Knights looked far from dominant down the stretch, squeaking by South Florida and Southern Methodist by a combined seven points.

ABOUT BAYLOR (11-1, 8-1 Big 12): The Bears won’t have lightning-fast wide receiver Tevin Reese, who averaged 25 yards per catch and hauled in eight touchdowns before dislocating his wrist, but Antwan Goodley (1,319 receiving yards, 13 TDs) and Levi Norwood (670, seven) also are thriving in coach Art Briles’ exciting scheme. Baylor averaged 51 more yards than any other team and scored at least 59 points seven times. The Bears, 10-9 in bowl games, rank 19th nationally in points allowed (21.2).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL Winter Classic: What bettors need to know

Toronto Maple Leafs at Detroit Red Wings (-125, 5)

The "Big House" will be filled to the brim on New Year's Day as the Detroit Red Wings host the Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL's Winter Classic at Michigan Stadium. With an expected record crowd in upwards of 106,000 at the outdoor stadium, the sputtering Original Six foes will likely have a snowy backdrop to the latest installment of their long-standing rivalry. The same stadium also witnessed the highest recorded attendance in ice hockey history when 104,173 people watched as Michigan cruised to a 5-0 triumph over rival Michigan State on Dec. 11, 2010.

While many are coming to see a show, both Eastern Conference representatives have struggled as of late - Toronto has lost seven of its last 11 (4-5-2) while Detroit has dropped eight in that span (3-6-2). Despite his team's struggles, Maple Leafs captain Dion Phaneuf has every reason to smile after signing a seven-year contract extension worth $49 million on Tuesday. "It was an easy decision for me to stay here and be a part of the Toronto Maple Leafs," the 28-year-old defenseman said with wife/actress Elisha Cuthbert in tow. "I think we're building something special."

TV: 1 p.m. ET, NBC, CBC, RDS

ABOUT THE MAPLE LEAFS (20-16-5): Phil Kessel scored twice to reach the 20-goal plateau for the sixth straight season as Toronto skated to a 5-2 victory over reeling Carolina on Sunday. The 26-year-old Wisconsin native has recorded back-to-back multi-point performances and collected four goals and four assists in seven career contests versus Detroit. Phaneuf, who scored against the Hurricanes, also tallied in Toronto's 5-4 shootout loss to Detroit on Dec. 21.

ABOUT THE RED WINGS (18-14-9): While Canada and the European nations will wait until Jan. 7 to announce their Olympic rosters, the United States will do so immediately following the Winter Classic. Although the Detroit Free Press already reported that Jimmy Howard will join Los Angeles' Jonathan Quick and Buffalo's Ryan Miller as goaltenders for Team USA, the Detroit netminder officially will learn his fate mere moments after the contest. Russian star Pavel Datsyuk scored in the first meeting versus the Maple Leafs and also tallied in a 6-4 loss to Nashville on Monday.

TRENDS:

* Over is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings.
* Home team is 7-2 in the last nine meetings.
* Maple Leafs are 1-10 in their last 11 road games.
* Over is 7-1 in Maple Leafs last eight games following a win.

OVERTIME:

1. Wednesday's crowd is expected to dwarf the largest attendance for an NHL game (71,217), which occurred during the 2008 Winter Classic at the home stadium of the Buffalo Bills.

2. Detroit RW Daniel Alfredsson scored the shootout-winning goal on Dec. 21. The veteran tested his balky back on Tuesday but left his availability in doubt as he exited without speaking to reporters.

3. Toronto LW James Van Riemsdyk, who is expected to join Kessel on Team USA, has collected three assists in his last four games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Arizona (-7) on Tuesday and likes Georgia on Wednesday.

The deficit is 1215 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You "Total Domination" for Wednesday, January 1st
2014 Gator Bowl Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Nebraska/Georgia under 60

2014 Heart of Dallas Bowl Super Total of the Year!!!!!
UNLV/North Texas over 54

2014 Capitol One Bowl Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Wisconsin/South Carolina under 51

2014 Outback Bowl Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Iowa/LSU over 49

2014 Rose Bowl Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Michigan State/Stanford over 42 1/2

2014 Fiesta Bowl Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Central Florida/Baylor under 70


Wednesday Night Pro Basketball Scoreboard-Scorcher!!!!!
Philadelphia/Denver over 211

NBA Best Bets
Dallas/Washington under 205
Indiana/Toronto under 194 1/2
New Orleans/Minnesota over 214
Charlotte/LA Clippers under 196
Best of Luck and Thank You!!!!!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spartans dealt big blow with Bullough suspension

Michigan State’s vaunted defense – arguably the best in the nation – was dealt a big blow Thursday when coach Mark Dantonio announced that senior middle linebacker Max Bullough would be suspended from the Rose Bowl meeting against Stanford.

Bullough is responsible for making the calls on a defense that ranks No. 1 in total yards allowed (247.8 ypg), No. 1 in rushing yards allowed (80.5 ypg) and No. 4 in points allowed (12.4 ppg).

Stanford opened as a 3-point favorite, and the Cardinal have since been bet up to 6-point chalk, even before the suspension came down.