1-4-14

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Dwayne Bryant

SATURDAY, January 4, 2014

College Basketball 2:00 PM ET
2 Units[552] GREEN BAY -9.5

NBA 7:05 PM ET
2 Units[504] INDIANA -11

NFL 8:10 PM ET
3 Units (MAX BET)NEW ORLEANS SAINTS +3

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Wayne Root


Pinnacle Opening round wild card game: Kansas City Chiefs

Also got these, (he sells at multiple sites)

no limit Chiefs
millionaire Saints
millionaire cfb Houston

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EXECUTIVE HOOPS

450 xavier
300 mich st
300 ole miss

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Goodfella

3* Saints/Eagles Under

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Wunderdog Sports Free Play

Game: Western Kentucky at Troy (1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Western Kentucky -6.5 (-108) at 5Dimes

Troy has had a rough start, losing 8 of 13. Western Kentucky is a strong defensive team that has won five of the last seven. The Hilltoppers are 18-6 ATS against a team with a losing record, plus 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400. Troy struggles badly on offense, averaging 63.5 points per game (#325 in the nation) and shoots .404% (#322). Western Kentucky is 4-1 ATS against the Sun Belt and faces a Troy team that has dropped five of the last six by an average of 14 points. Take Western Kentucky.

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Teddy Covers
Colts

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Betting Line Moves

Boston College +1.5
Marquette Over 134

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PICK ADDICT

8:10pm EST:

2.6* NFL [104] Philadelphia Eagles -3

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Marco D'Angelo
Eagles

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vegas-runner | NFL Side Sat, 01/04/14 - 8:10 PM
triple-dime bet 103 NOS 3.5 (-120) 5dimes vs 104 PHI Analysis: *** NFL WILD CARD 3* LATE STEAM SET-UP ***

SAINTS +3.5 (-120)...BUY the 1/2 POINT at Reduced Vig

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Dominic Brando's Inner Circle from Tim Donaghy's Ref Picks site.

NHL is 26-7 on the season, won with the Blackhawks last night

NHL 1 Unit San Jose Sharks -115 at 3:00 afternoon game

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NFL Wild Card Weekend trends: Home teams hitting at just 49.2 percent
By MARC LAWRENCE

Don’t look now but the 2013 NFL season is in the rear view mirror and with it the start of the Wild Card playoff games starting this Saturday. Let’s take a look at some of the best, and worst, trends surrounding this weekend’s card.

The Good, the Bad and the Ugly

Here’s a brief capsule of the teams and noteworthy trends:

Kansas City at Indianapolis (-2.5, 46.5)
Good: Chiefs coach Andy Reid 3-0 ATS away non-division playoff dog
Bad: Reid 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS last five games vs. the Colts
Ugly: Colts 0-3 SU and ATS last three playoff games

New Orleans at Philadelphia (-2.5, 53)
Good: Saints QB Drew Brees is 4-2 SU and ATS career vs. Philadelphia
Bad: Saints 3-5 SU and 1-7 ATS away this season, averaged 17.8 PPG
Ugly: Saints 0-5 SU and ATS all-time away in NFL playoffs

San Diego at Cincinnati (-7, 47)
Good: Bengals 4-0 SU and ATS off a win in this series
Bad: Chargers 2-9 ATS vs. AFC North last five years
Ugly: Bengals 0-5 SU and ATS last five playoff games

San Francisco at Green Bay (48, +2.5)
Good: Jim Harbaugh is 3-0 SU and ATS vs. Green Bay
Bad: Mike McCarthy is 5-8 SU and ATS as a home dog
Ugly: Super Bowl losers are 0-5 SU and 0-4-1 ATS away Game One playoffs

Home Field Disadvantage

Home cooking used to be a solid handicapping edge during the playoffs. Not so anymore.

For the longest time backing home teams in the NFL postseason has been a solid-moneymaker, going 172-120-6 (55.1%) dating back to 1980.

Today, however, that would be a mistake as the success of home teams in the playoffs has dissolved quicker than Alka Seltzer in a cold glass of water on New Year’s morning.

A closer look finds home teams just 119-107-5 ATS (51.%) since the 1990 season and, even worse, 64-66-1 ATS (49.2%) since 2000. Thus, like the economy, NFL playoff hosts have fallen on hard times.

Division Downers

Wild Card road teams have a difficult time after dueling a division opponent in their season ending finale, going 21-43-1 ATS – including 1-7 ATS the last two years.

Send these highwaymen out as dogs of more than 3 points and the task worsens as they are 4-33 SU and 9-28 ATS.

Not a good sign for the Chargers this week.

ATS Diabetes

Like kids in a candy store, NFL Wild Card teams playing off huge regular season wins tend to crash-and-burn in these playoff openers.

Teams off a SU underdog win are just 11-25 SU and 13-22-1 ATS, including 3-15 SU and 4-14 ATS if the Over/Under total in today’s game is set at more than 41 points.

So long 49ers.

In a similar vein, teams suffer from more than a sugar rush In opening round playoff games if they managed to they beat the spread by 10 or points, going just 9-19-1 ATS when on the road during this round.

The Chiefs and the Saints could be up against it this weekend.

Stat of the Week

The straight-up winner in NFL opening round playoff games is 104-11-3 ATS since 1980.

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Sportsboss

Conn
BC
KST
Bradley

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Vegas Sports Informer
(3*) Take #518 Sacramento -5 over Charlotte (10:05 p.m., Saturday, January 4)

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Docs NHL
4* Carolina
5* nashville
3* columbus